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We’re back for Week 2 of the Bet the Farm Playoff Challenge! Which is… what, exactly? The perfect chance for all you degenerates to get your fix without hurting your wallet! Here’s how the game is played:

- Each week we’ll list the current point spread and total for each playoff game when this goes live. Those are the spreads/totals everybody will use for their picks that week, no matter when they pick (even if the spreads/totals change officially).
- You must make one wager on each playoff game. You can wager either the spread or total, but not both, for any single game. You must bet every single game during the postseason.
- You get one point for each Wild Card and Divisional Round game you guess correctly, two points for each correct Conference Championship Game, and four points for the Super Bowl. However, you will make each of these wagers the week of that specific game.
- Once during the playoffs, you may identify one game as your “lock.” If you get that game right, you get two extra points. You only get one lock for the entire playoffs, so the maximum final point total is 18.
- You can jump in at any time (even now), just try to use the same handle throughout the entire playoffs.

Official Standings

(* indicates a player who has used their Playoff Lock)

King Daddy Crunch*: 5
Scott P: 4
Blake Fusion: 3
Comatose: 3
Josh Carey*: 3
Nick S: 3
Phil*: 3 (I’m counting “lock of the year” as a “Playoff Lock.”)
Danski6: 2
Darth Ripken: 2
Heraldo*: 2
ichirosan: 2
RambleOn: 2
TheTinDoor: 2
Tristan*: 2
VinWins: 2
Zorboss: 2
Lambeau Leap: 1
Sky: 1

And King Daddy Crunch shows us how you get ahead by correctly using your Playoff Lock. Despite technically picking fewer games correctly than Scott P, Mr. Crunch vaults to the top of the leaderboard by virtue of his Playoff Lock Seattle coming through against the Redskins (though, I have many, many angry things to say about Mike Shanahan screwing me out of at least a push in that one). However, with four points to be awarded in each round of the playoffs, there’s still plenty of time for anybody (yes, even Sky) to catch up and find their way to the top of the leaderboard. (Note: After points, the leaderboard is purely alphabetical. If you think I mis-graded your games, leave a note in this week’s comments and I’ll double check).

Bet the Farm Official Lines for the Divisional Round

Denver -9 vs. Baltimore. O/U: 46
San Francisco -3 vs. Green Bay. O/U: 44.5
Atlanta -2.5 vs. Seattle. O/U: 46
New England -9.5 vs. Houston. O/U: 47.5

Josh Carey’s Picks

Denver/Baltimore OVER 46: Talk about not knowing what to do with a spread. Denver winning by ten seems just about right, but there’s enough ambiguity there that I’d rather play for the over. I could see the Ravens doing enough to hang around in this one, losing by a touchdown in a 27-20ish game, or maybe grabbing a garbage time TD en route to a 35-13 loss. But while those scenarios both end up on different sides of the spread, they do hit the over. So I’m going to go with the higher-scoring option here.

San Francisco -3: If Yahoo’s pick’em contest can be believed, most of the money (and I suspect, picks down below as well) are going in Green Bay’s direction. I think a lot of this has to do with the manhandling of Minnesota we just saw Green Bay lay down last week. What did we see from San Francisco? Nothing. The week before that? A 27-13 home win that was viewed largely as a failure because the 49ers didn’t cover a ridiculous spread. If Colin Kaepernick can make like Alex Smith and avoid mistakes while also adding a dynamic element to the San Francisco offense, then I see the superior 49ers defense getting them past the explosive Packers attack.

Atlanta -2.5: This is pretty much what I just wrote about the 49ers all over again. We’ve had a week to forget about a Falcons team everybody wanted to hate anyways, while getting to drool over Russell Wilson outdueling Robert Griffin III (disregarding, of course, that the latter was more hobbled than a pirate with a peg leg for most of the game). But if injuries prevent the Seattle pass rush from disrupting Matt Ryan’s pocket presence, he should have no trouble finding at least one of his talented receivers (there are at least three after all). And I still refuse to bet with Seattle on the road, even when they’re getting points.

New England -9.5: Unlike the Denver pick, I am going to run with the crowd here and take the huge home favorite. Arian Foster’s Twitter bulletin board material aside, Houston hasn’t exactly looked like they’re in the Patriots’ league this season – including a drubbing at Foxboro earlier this season. It would take a spectacular effort from the defense to keep Matt Schaub in this game, and I just don’t see it coming.

Zorboss’ Picks

Denver -9:  Peyton Manning vs. Baltimore Ravens:  Nine consecutive victories over the legendary Ravens defense; two playoff wins by 17 and 9 points respectfully; a 34-17 destruction of the Ravens in 2012 as a Denver Bronco.  As per the definition of the word ‘owned’ listed in the urban dictionary, Peyton Manning has total and undeniable dominance over the Baltimore Ravens, making them ride in the middle of the back seat of Peyton’s Cadillac.  Speaking of middles, Peyton will make Ray Lewis wish he retired the game before, as he will expose the Ravens’ weakness in the middle of the field.  Broncos 34 Ravens 17.

San Francisco -3:  I don’t have a real feeling for this game, as I can make a case for both teams to move on to the next round, but I’m going to roll with the 49ers as my pick.  Just like the game before, I’m taking the team who won their regular season meeting to win the post-season match up as well.  Home teams did well last week and there is no reason to buck that trend with better home teams hosting in round two.  Colin Kaepernick, while similar to Joe Webb as an athletic running quarterback, can actually throw the pigskin.  The Niners versatility on offense, and their stout defense, will get the W for San Francisco come Saturday night.  49ers 27 Packers 21.

Atlanta -2.5:  Seattle has received a lot of praise for their performance last week and their form over the last month of the season.  Let’s look at some of these games: last week they got to play three quarters against and injured and immobile RG3; spanked the Rams, Bills, and Cardinals, two of which already fired their GM and head coach; beat San Francisco at home in the rain, after the Niners traveled all the way to New England to play the Patriots, then had to travel all the way back to play Seattle.  Needless to say, Seattle has had some favorable match ups to get them to where they are now.  I think Atlanta’s explosive offense make enough big plays to win this tilt in the dome, where the Falcons are pretty good.  Falcons 28 Seahawks 21.

Houston +9.5:  Trends don’t trend for too long, and new fads come along and get fatter, until another angle comes along and zooms in on your bets.  In other words, I’m taking a road team to win along with the opposite of what happened in the regular season tilt.  Even though the Texans got spanked in New England earlier in the year, I think they have the skill and game plan to win in the rematch.  One: they can run the ball, control the game, and keep this game low scoring and close.  Two: Houston’s defense has the talent and ability to round back into earlier season form, putting some pressure on the quarterback and creating game changing turnovers.  Three: I really hate the Patriots.  Four: Texans 27 Patriots 24.

Now, take your shots in the comments below!

  1. TheBigAndTheRed says:
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    Denver -9
    San Francisco -3
    Atlanta/Seattle. Under 46
    New England -9.5 (Lock)

    • Danski6 says:
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      Denver vs Baltimore OVER 46
      Green Bay +3
      Seattle +2.5
      New England -9.5 (Playoff Lock)

  2. Sky

    Sky says:
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    Denver -9
    San Francisco -3
    Seattle +2.5
    New England wins but doesn’t cover the spread…is that how you say it?

    • Josh Carey

      Josh Carey says:
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      @Sky: You can say it that way, but for our purposes, what you’re really doing is taking Houston +9.5.

  3. Phil says:
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    I made a mistake on my statistics with the Indy game. Which gave me the wrong side.
    Onward for round two…. double checked my numbers this time.
    Denver -9. Easy win.
    Houston +9.5. When they played last it was the third road game in a row for Houston. They had no chance. This time they make a game of it and could win. For sure they cover.
    SF -3 good game. Could be an overtime game win for SF.
    Seahawks +2.5 Another close game.
    Last weeks games were boring. Not this week.

  4. Phil says:
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    I had to write more about the Houston game this weekend.
    You ask how can they win against New England when they got killed the last time they meet.
    Let’s take a look at what led up to that game. Nov11 Houston played a very tough game in Chicago, which they won. The next week they go home and play Jacksonville,the game goes into overtime. They now travel to Detroit and play another overtime game. Next, another away game with Tennessee. Next they travel to New England. Are you kidding 4 away games in 
    5 weeks. Two of them go into overtime. And they already clinched a playoff spot.  WOW this game will not a a blow out. Houston could win it.

    • Josh Carey

      Josh Carey says:
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      @Phil: While all fair points, their defense has looked suspect for almost half the season now, and I have no faith that Matt Schaub can out-duel Tom Brady on his home turf. Will we see as drastic a blowout as the last one? I don’t think so. Will the Patriots will by 10 or more? I’m confident. One of us will be right soon enough, the legitimate disagreement beforehand is what makes this fun.

  5. Tehol Beddict says:
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    Greetings, it is I, Tehol Beddict. Being that I am betting everything I possess in real life on these games, it’s only right I play along on here as well.

    The Ravens are +10 now and I’m riding with them. If you force me to take them -9 I suppose I must.

    The over over of San Fran/Green bay of 44.5 is my lock of the week and my lock of the century. Bet the house. Trust me. Actually, maybe don’t trust me.

    I’m from Seattle and refuse to bet against them. Sadly, the last time I bet big on them(1800 total) was their last loss at Miami(FML!!!!!!!) But here we go again, and I will take SEATTLE and the points.

    Finally, I will be taking as they will surely blow Houston’s back’s out.

    I enjoy your weekly post and look forward to this next year as well. do you do basketball? I’m having trouble making money there

    • Josh Carey

      Josh Carey says:
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      @Tehol Beddict: Sorry, rules is rules. Going to make you take Baltimore +9 (in fairness, I did see the line move early Wednesday morning before this went up, but felt it wasn’t fair to just change the line on Zorboss, who had already written up his pick as Denver -9).

      I’m also going to assume that last pick is for New England, even if their name doesn’t appear anywhere in that sentence.

      Appreciate you reading, but no dice on the basketball thing. I can’t stand the NBA and do all of my college basketball cramming in the weeks leading up to March Madness. Football’s my thing.

  6. VinWins

    VinWins says:
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    Denver -9
    San Francisco -3
    Atlanta -2.5
    New England -9.5

  7. ichirosan says:
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    Denver -9
    SF/GB Over
    Seattle +2.5
    NE/Hou Over

  8. TheTinDoor says:
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    Baltimore +9
    SF/GB OVER 44.5
    Atlanta -2.5
    New England -9.5

  9. Heraldo says:
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    Denver
    SF
    Atlanta
    New England

  10. King Daddy Crunch says:
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    Ah, it’s good to be the King! Also nice to be on top of the pack!

    Seeing if I can continue by Crunching these picks out:

    Denver/ Baltimore UNDER 46
    SF -3
    Atlanta -2.5
    New England -9.5

  11. Scott P says:
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    I forgot all about the lock deal. It sucks to be the only team to pick all four games correctly, but still be in second place. This week is tough for sure and the picks are killing me. One of the favorites will lose, but I don’t know which one.

    Denver -9…Two good defenses, only one good offense. I worry about Peyton and the cold. I like the under, But think the spread is a safer bet.

    Green Bay +3…The San Fran defense is tough, but I don’t think it will be enough to carry a weak SF offense.

    ATL/SEA Over…As a Saints fan, I hate Atlanta and can’t pick them in good conscience. Seattle might be able to keep it close, but the recently weakened pass defense will get burned by White or Jones.

    Houston +9.5…I live in Houston and am hosting the party for the game on Sunday. I just have to take Houston on this.

  12. Blake Fusion says:
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    Denver/Baltimore over
    Green Bay +3
    Atlanta -2.5
    New England -9.5

  13. Darth Ripken says:
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    Denver -9.5 (lock)
    Sanfransisco -3
    Seattle +2.5
    Houston +9.5

  14. Nick S. says:
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    Denver – 9 (lock)
    Green Bay + 3
    Atlanta -2.5
    Houston +9.5

    Go Lions!

  15. goodfold2 says:
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    Forgot to put in last week. here’s this week, in case i have a chance.

    Den -9
    Sf vs GB over 44.5
    Atl -2.5
    Hou +9.5

    • goodfold2 says:
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      @goodfold2: shit i forgot, make the sf vs gb over 44.5 the PLAYOFF LOCK.

  16. Tehol Beddict says:
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    Well guys Uncle Tehol did it again. As if winning the writers league fantasy title wasn’t enough, I just had to come in and go 4-0 in my first “Bet The Farm” Appearance. I’m starting to think I should get paid for my information. you know what the fuken sad thing is here? that I didn’t bet any real money on my lock of the week over in san fran game hahahah though i picked up a few bucks on the over in the second half. didn’t hit a single parlay this week other than seahawks second half and over, and parlays are usually my specialty. God all of my parlays i put in and not one, including all my picks on here???????? THIS IS DISGUSTING!!!!!!! So while I should be crowned king on here, I should be beaten like a dog in real life. FML

    • Josh Carey

      Josh Carey says:
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      @Tehol Beddict: As for the beaten like a dog in real life part, could always give Mike Vick a call…

  17. Scott P says:
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    1-3 on the week to follow up my 4-0 start. Ugh..

  18. Sky

    Sky says:
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    I’m just proud I’ve proved I should never bet…ever…

Comments are closed.