Fantasy Football Advice

Archive for the ‘2011 Statistical Strategery’

Week 17 Running Back Strategery

December 28, 2011 By: Doc Category: 2011 Statistical Strategery, Fantasy Football Daily Notes, Statistical Strategery 2 Comments →

Here are the team defensive stats against Running Backs for the whole season. As you can see San Francisco is good Tampa Bay is bad!

TmO
pp
Fan
Pts
Ru
Att
Ru
Yds
Y
PC
Ru
TD
R
ec
Re
Yds
Y
PR
Re
TD
Off
Yds
TB@ATL24.526.3130.751.134.7344.69.40.33175.3
STLSF21.926.7133.551.134.2734.58.10.07168
NOCAR17.518.392.350.53654.69.10.33146.9
OAKSD19.122.5110.94.90.734.2745.110.60.2156
CAR@NO22.124.11174.80.875.247.69.20.4164.6
BUF@NE21.125.5121.74.80.935.5341.87.60.2163.5
DET@GB14.921.7101.54.70.335.8739.96.80.13141.3
CLEPIT19.729.7135.34.50.673.9329.97.60.13165.1
PHIWAS17.623103.54.50.64.6743.49.30.2146.9
NYGDAL17.323.7107.14.50.84.8735.67.30.07142.7
NEBUF16.921.797.24.50.535.6747.98.40.2145.1
GBDET16.420.593.14.50.66.4754.18.40147.1
TEN@HOU18.625.4112.54.40.65.8741.97.10.27154.4
SD@OAK15.922.9101.64.40.44.438.28.70.2139.8
DENKC17.626.4113.54.30.335.645.68.10.27159.1
WAS@PHI17.124102.54.30.733.733080.2132.5
IND@JAC20.829.6124.94.215.7342.77.50.07167.6
ATLTB14.320.384.54.20.534.6347.40.13118.5
KC@DEN18.626.9110.24.10.674.447.310.70.13157.5
CHI@MIN14.820.383.94.10.475.9343.17.30.2127
ARISEA14.625.2103.64.10.733.5320.95.90124.5
DAL@NYG1420.483.14.10.534.1333.180.13116.2
MINCHI17.624.195.840.535.7349.28.60.33145
JAXIND15.524.496.840.84.8730.16.20126.9
PIT@CLE14.323.292.340.47430.77.70.13122.9
HOUTEN12.321.185.340.473.627.17.50112.5
NYJ@MIA16.525.397.93.90.933.228.58.90126.4
SEA@ARI16.424.993.53.80.534.9344.18.90.13137.7
CINBAL15.322.686.73.80.84.8735.97.40122.6
MIANYJ13.321.580.63.70.33544.68.90.07125.2
BAL@CIN13.423.883.43.50.63.229.59.20112.9
SF@STL9.418.663.13.40.075.3342.580.07105.6

Defenses Against Tight Ends

December 16, 2011 By: Doc Category: 2011 Fantasy Football, 2011 Statistical Strategery, Fantasy Football Daily Notes Comments Off

Ds vs TEs for the last 8 weeks

The numbers are where the defenses rank in each category so the larger the number the worse the defense.

Tmwk 16Avg PtsRecReYdsYPRReTDavg
GBCHI293232292629.6
NYG@NYJ323029203128.4
WASMIN292230312828
TENJAC273131241826.2
NYJNYG262528261924.8
CARTB232327241923.2
MIN@WAS28252393023
INDHOU29292033122.4
BUFDEN251821212622.2
SEASF222425102320.8
KCOAK24413302819.8
DALPHI201524271019.2
ATL@NO21281842318.8
NEMIA15182628418.2
PITSTL19252261517.4
ARI@CIN162016131015
CINARI11211916414.2
HOU@IND10141722413.4
PHI@DAL131010181513.2
JAX@TEN161514101013
CHI@GB1812751912.2
NOATL1178181511.8
TB@CAR621232411.2
BALCLE8109131010
DEN@BUF139412310
CLE@BAL715151019.6
OAK@KC92313199.2
MIA@NE412111719
SF@SEA2122246.2
SD@DET5556106.2
DETSD376645.2
STL@PIT151212

Defenses Against Quarterbacks

December 15, 2011 By: Doc Category: 2011 Fantasy Football, 2011 Statistical Strategery, Fantasy Football Daily Notes Comments Off

Ds vs QBs for the last 8 weeks

The numbers are where the defenses rank in each category so the larger the number the worse the defense.

Tmwk 16Fan PtsCom%PaYdsPaTDAvg
HOU@IND11231.75
NYJNYG42132.5
BALCLE24813.75
CLE@BAL39314
KCOAK1110598.75
PITSTL4810138.75
SEASF6111299.5
JAX@TEN7264610.75
ATL@NO125111611
CHI@GB9724611.5
MIA@NE14619912
STL@PIT8287612.25
OAK@KC20392013
ARI@CIN131523313.5
SF@SEA1019131614.5
DEN@BUF1518171917.25
DALPHI172526919.25
SD@DET2413142619.25
DETSD3012162019.5
CINARI2013252019.5
PHI@DAL1916212420
BUFDEN183062820.5
TENJAC1627281521.5
NOATL2521311322.5
TB@CAR2724152422.5
WASMIN2329182323.25
GBCHI2217292623.5
NEMIA2622321824.5
CARTB2920272826
INDHOU2832202827
NYG@NYJ3122303128.5
MIN@WAS3231223229.25

Week 13 Defenses Against Running Backs

November 30, 2011 By: Doc Category: 2011 Fantasy Football, 2011 Statistical Strategery, Fantasy Football Daily Notes 6 Comments →

Here are how defenses have stacked up against running backs in the last 7 games.

Ra
nk
TmO
PP
F
PA
Ru
Att
Ru
Yds
Y
PC
Ru
TD
R
ec
Re
Yds
DV
OA
AV
G
1ATL@HOU1211513623.875
2NYJ@WAS51810171556.5
3HOUATL455851116118.125
4PITCIN6114171512148.75
5MIAOAK295112419108.875
6SFSTL33261323119.875
7BAL@CLE12251211929610.75
8PHI@SEA81186137142111
9NEIND791114717112312.375
10CIN@PIT16778271181612.5
11CHIKC91317192821412.75
12MINDEN131914872113913
13JACSD1520171219154313.125
14DAL@ARI1114182413731713.375
15SEAPHI9149833130814
16OAK@MIA14111319139152915.375
17DET@NO1716192779171215.5
18WASNYJ24312012134101516.125
19ARIDAL1827211527522817.875
20SD@JAC1924262272222218
21NODET19624321921171919.625
22TEN@BUF28222523131824720
23DEN@MIN19282717327271320.125
24KC@CHI192623191318261820.25
25GB@NYG19416292324232720.625
26CLEBAL2730302423512620.75
27NYGGB25822312318202020.875
28STL@SF26212928231373122.25
29BUFTEN291715153026252422.625
30CAR@TB312328243021293227.25
31IND@NE303231212729283028.5
32TBCAR322832293230322530

Rest Of The Season Strength Of Schedule

November 25, 2011 By: Doc Category: 2011 Fantasy Football, 2011 Statistical Strategery, Fantasy Football, Fantasy Football Daily Notes 6 Comments →

Better check these out, better not cry, better not pout I’m telling you why, because people will point and laugh and call you names like Pinocchio.

The larger the number the easier teams rushers and passers and receivers will have in doing the stuff they do.

Run Defense Strength Of Schedule

TeamWK 12WK 13WK 14WK 15WK 16Season15/16
TEN31262530723.818.5
DET192517292322.626
MIA82924262221.824
NYJ261327241821.621
DAL52118312419.827.5
CAR3031343119.817.5
DEN23179222619.424
GB14182927919.418
CHI29271561919.212.5
BAL2203023201921.5
TB163278321920
PIT27112022817.615
NE24301315517.410
ATL174327251716
HOU7311323016.631
CIN20104282116.624.5
KC10912192915.824
NYG25198131215.412.5
JAC4233131615.49.5
SEA1324289215.25.5
WAS6122218171517.5
IND322211641510
OAK9519142714.820.5
BUF12162351514.210
MIN3151425131419
ARI2882201113.815.5
NO18141617313.610
SF1282110613.28
SD1572611412.67.5
PHI226512810.610
STL212611101010.5
CLE111102118.811

(more…)

Pass Defense Matchups: Week 10

November 11, 2011 By: Doc Category: 2011 Fantasy Football, 2011 Statistical Strategery, Fantasy Football Daily Notes 14 Comments →

Here’s a look at the stats for Week 10′s passing matchups.

Ra
nk
Te
am
Op
p
Yds
/Gm
QB
FPA
Co
mp%
WR
FPA
TE
FPA
DV
OA
T
Ds
A
VG
1BALat SEA512131223.7
2NYJNE724313114.4
3HOUat TB251144595.7
4CLESTL1352261257.7
5CINPIT10477111538.1
6PITat CIN36911713138.8
7DETat CHI67211015359.57
8NYGat SF1781322211511.1
9WASat MIA11141891810311.85
10JACat IND891542971312.1
11PHIARI911101212142012.57
12NOat ATL14206195182014.57
13SDOAK41027814192715.57
14SFNYG221912172181316
15CARTEN13122462028916
16ATLNO1925232484916
17DALBUF161717113191316.28
18STLat CLE12228293162716.7
19SEABAL181328201023917.28
20OAKat SD202131822252018.4
21TENat CAR151522527272018.7
22KCDEN2116142316222719.85
23CHIDET262626153261320.57
24BUFat DAL2523251625171320.57
25ARIat PHI292720282429523.1
26TBHOU2818192128301923.28
27GBMIN3129112723202924.28
28MINat GB3024302619212024.28
29DENat KC233231316243025.28
30NEat NYJ323029329262025.4
31MIAWAS2731162530312025.7
32INDJAX242832307323226.4

 

The Colts have an unbelievably poor pass defense, but they are facing Blaine Gabbert and an unbelievably poor passing offense. Could Jason Hill or Mike Thomas end up with a decent game? Sure. Do you want to chance it? Only if you have to. Gabbert has thrown for 299 yards . . . in his last three games. That’s less than 100 yards per game. That’s not good . . . The Redskins get the poor Miami pass defense, but John Beck has been playing craptastically and Rex Grossman was splittling snaps with him in practice. Who knows what’s going to happen there. Fred Davis is the only play in the passing game . . . The Patriots are usually a “start every able body receiver against them” play each week but Mark Sanchez makes it a little harder to go all in. If you own Santonio Holmes, Plaxico Burress, or Dustin Keller you probably shouldn’t own them unless you are going to start them against the Pats, but there are no guarantees . . . So far all of the easy passing matchups are against poor quarterbacks and Matt Cassel against Denver is no exception. Cassel is the 22nd ranked fantasy quarterback this season, but it’s still hard not to like the Chiefs receiving trio of Dwayne Bowe, Steve Breaston and Jon Baldwin. With Champ Bailey on Bowe, Breaston and Baldwin should have plenty of time in wide open land . . . Oh, ok, so Aaron Rodgers is the first good quarterback as we go down the easy matchup list. The rich just get richer. In week 7 the Vikings and newly appointed Vikings’ QB Christian Ponder were actually leading 17-10 in the second quarter and then quickly were down 33-17. Greg Jennings was Rodger’s go to receiver with 147 yards and a TD in that game, but it’s tough to know who Rodgers will get the ball to week in and week out. Thankfully he spreads the ball around well and efficiently and every receiver not named Donald Driver or Randall Cobb is a start . . . On the other side of the ball the Vikings don’t have nearly the playmakers as the Packers, but they do face the inept pass defense of the Pack. Christian Ponder is very risky, but he does make the passing game better and their best receiver by a country mile is Percy Harvin. I’m going all in on Harvin this week. He had the bye week to rest his ribs and should be ready to go in a game where his team will most likely be behind and need to throw the ball.

Rest Of The Season Rush & Pass Defense Strategery

November 10, 2011 By: Doc Category: 2011 Fantasy Football, 2011 Statistical Strategery, Fantasy Football Daily Notes 11 Comments →

Take a look at the rankings for the rest of the season and week’s 15 and 16 for opponent’s rush and pass defense below. The lower the number the tougher the opponent.

Rush Defense Schedule

Miami has a nice schedule against the run, but of course their running back situation is a little muddled, but stashing Daniel Thomas is a good idea . . . If Chris Johnson can ever do anything of consequence he could possibly, maybe, do something with this schedule . . . I love me some DeMarco Murray and so does his schedule . . . Shonn Greene has a nice schedule, but I’m still not buying . . . Arian Foster has an amazing playoff schedule but a God-awful stretch before that. I think you’ll survive it . . . I’m warming up to Willis McGahee and his playoff schedule is stoking the fires . . . (more…)