Don't be shellfish...Tweet about this on TwitterShare on FacebookShare on Google+Share on Reddit

For some reason, Jay Cutler is concerned about his offensive line this season.  I don’t know why that could be; it has been quite an offensive group since he’s been in Chicago.  Starting from 2009, the Chicago Bears have given up 110 sacks.  That would give any man cold feet and I’m sure Kristen Cavallari can attest.  There’s a difference between a running quarterback like Cam Newton and a running scared quarterback like Cutler, namely the urine stains the Bears facilities has to wash out after each game.  Though I’m sure having Brandon Marshall as the number one receiver over Roy Williams will help, he still needs longer than one second to pass the ball.  Is it any wonder Cutler has been using animal therapy to deal with his fears?  I’m not gonna get excited about Cutler for fantasy purposes this year.  In fact, I bite my thumb at the idea of it.  In other news-like information:

Vince Young – Signed with dream team 2.0 last Friday – also known as ‘whatever team will pay him to still play’ – joining the Buffalo Bills to be the backup for Ryan Fitzpatrick.  This move might actually have fantasy relevance given Ryan’s late-season swoon after signing his extension during the 2011 season.  Of course, only bye week and two quarterback league relevance but that counts right?

Wes Welker – Signed a franchise tender on Tuesday, which is almost as tasty as a chicken tender.  Last year was off the charts for Welker and his fantasy owners, especially in PPR leagues.  We can’t assume a repeat but if he gives us a 2007 or 2008 season again it will be almost as useful, more or Wes.

Adrian Peterson – Says he’ll be very surprised if he doesn’t play week 1.  Sky at Razzball says he’d be very surprised if he did.  Who you gonna believe?  I know it’s early to test your faith but believe me, athletes say the darndest things.

Christian Ponder – In other Viking news, Ponder was extremely happy to see the Vikings sign OL Matt Kalil.  Though on the surface Ponder had a bad rookie campaign, you have to consider some factors.  One, he played with a hip pointer injury over his last five games.  Two, he was a rookie dropped into the starting role about mid-way through a training campless season.  Three, blindside isn’t just a movie title, kids.  There could be some sneaky value in Ponder this year, even if Peterson doesn’t come back straight away.  We wrote a lot about this kid in a newsie type blurb.  Sounds like we’ll need to deliberate about him as hard as he does his faith with a sleeper post in the future…

Darren McFadden – States that everything is ‘full speed ahead’ for the 2012 season.  I’m going to let you in on a big secret: ‘McFadden is very good when he is healthy’.  Oh, you knew that already?  Alright then, another secret: ‘He never stays healthy’.  So you knew that too?  So why are you drafting him then?  He always goes higher than he should based on his talent.  It’s hard to replace your 2nd or 3rd round pick and when you have someone who’s never played a full season going that high, you’re asking for the headache.  But if you want to draft him, go ahead.  Go on, I’m Darren ya!

 

 

16 Responses

  1. David_KOA says:
    (link)

    @Sky,
    In 2008 when Cutler, Marshall & Bates(QB coach) were all in Denver.
    Mr. Cutler had A stat line of 4,526 yards(8, 300+ games), 25 TD’s and that’s to go along with 200 rushing yards & two TD’s. That placed him in the top five for his position(fantasy points). In 3 of his 5 NFL seasons(throwing out his rookie year) he has rushed for at least 200 yards and scored a rushing TD in every single season.

    Being that I like to take the wait as long as I can approach before pulling the trigger on my QB(fantasy football). I am intrigued by Jay and his current ADP of 9.04(14th) QB off the board. I am in favor of hopefully being able to pair him with say Big Ben(QBBC) to start the year. As of now that would only cost you a 8th & 9th round draft pick. With this approach a couple of things(thinking positive) can happen. I have solid QBBC approach that gives me more value then what I paid for them. Another option be that they both get off to a hot start and I am able to move one of them for say a RB, WR or combo. That would have cost me a much higher pick. Either option allows me to obtain my real goal of going RB & WR(heavy) early in the draft.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      Personally, if I’m looking in Cutler’s ADP range, I’d prefer Matt Ryan. I’m sure once people start looking over stats from last season, he’ll creep up in the draft. He finished as the 8th best QB last year, just a few points short of Tony Romo and Eli Manning. When you factor in a full season of Julio Jones on the opposite side of Roddy, there’s a good chance that Ryan has a very strong season. I have Cutler in my top 15 rankings but I trust his OL just as much as he does.

      And I 100% agree to go WR/RB heavy early and QBBC is a great strategy. Too much QB talent out there to be going after a top end one.

      • David_KOA says:
        (link)

        @Sky,
        I like me some Matt Ryan as well in 2012(especially at his current ADP). He was a beast from weeks 9-16 in 2011! His stat line of 298.5 YPG, 2.5 TD’s & .5 INT’s. I would have to assume those are top six numbers for his position during that span. Like you said the weapons around him(Rodgers & Jones) are only going to keep getting better. Matt Ryan is not coming off the board till 7.07(11th) QB.

        That being said he is coming off the board almost two whole rounds before Cutler. I would not rank Cutler ahead of Ryan heading into this year. I am really starting to like me some Big Ben. Especially for his asking price at this current time. I would feel very confident if he was my QB1. I think he will finish very close or even better then Ryan. I like Cutler as a upside(QB2) play. The best case would be he kills it early and I can flip him before anything can go wrong(like he gets killed by his O-line).

        I would like to use that 7th round pick(it would cost for Ryan) and hopefully get get an upside RB(C.J. Spiller or J-Stew). Depending on the format I would like to have 3RB’s(leaving the first & second with RB-RB) & 4WR’s.

        • Sky

          Sky says:
          (link)

          @David_KOA, For me, I’d like Ryan to be my QB1. My concern with Cutler isn’t the talent or the tools around him but that offensive line. It’s basically open season on him every play.

          Big Ben concerns me due to the continual beatings he takes. It’s a big part of his game to stay in the pocket for as long as possible before he passes and has been rocked hard for it over the years. I simply question how long he can do it. I’d like for him to prove me wrong but I would be worried to have him as my QB1.

          Don’t get me wrong, I totally see the mindset behind your strategy, it is just more risky than I’m willing to go.

  2. David_KOA says:
    (link)

    @Sky, I am happy to here that going into camp it is a even playing field between Kolb and Skelton for the teams starting QB job. I am really hoping that Skelton can get the gig(fantasy purpose). It is not that I would even consider Skelton for my fantasy teams. It is more for Larry and his fantasy value. In the eight games that Skelton was throwing Fitz the rock he averaged 5.25 catches, 94.1 yards & .75 TD’s

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      Yeah, I watched that trend carefully last year. Kolb would be better for the team overall if he can step up, but Skelton knows where to throw it at least.

  3. DSimms says:
    (link)

    A keeper question for you guys: I get to keep 3, each year they go up two rounds from where I initially drafted them and am having trouble deciding.

    I will have 10th pick in a 12 team snake

    Lesean Mccoy – give up 1st round pick
    DMC – give up round 10 pick
    Britt – give up round 9 pick
    Jimmy Graham – give up round 6 pick
    Steve Smith CAR – give up round 7 pick
    Stafford – give up round 3 pick
    Jacoby Ford – give up round 12 pick

    Im leaning DMC, Graham and McCoy. Is this a no brainer?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      I can’t argue that strategy; sounds good.

  4. DANgerous says:
    (link)

    Sky,
    Welcome!! Excited and pumped for the upcoming season!! Keeper question. I get to keep two AP”he is purple Jesus”, Demarco, Reggie Bush, Romo, Rivers or Nicks? It’s a pretty heavy point system towards Qb with like of Arod, Brees, Manning bros, Brady and Newton all keepers So I can get romo or rivers again down the road. I’m thinking AP and Demarco, am I right here? Thanks in advanve

    • David_KOA says:
      (link)

      @DANgerous,
      I think you have the correct two keepers(Peterson & AP) for your team heading into 2012. Although AP might not be a full go to start this year. He will be back at some point and being a keeper you are also playing for the future. All positive coming out of Dallas about Murray and his health. If he can stay that way for a full season, I think we can expect monster numbers(1500+ total yards and double digit total TD’s).

      I do really like Nicks coming into this year. Yes he did not produce the numbers that a lot of us had hope for. He still put up WR1 production and best of all he stayed healthy for 15 games last year. With Cruz on the other side(and Randle in the mix) and hopefully he carries over his postseason dominance. We could be looking at a stat line of 1200+ yards and at least 10 TD’s

      I am not a huge fan of Reggie heading into the new year. A lot of question that we just don’t have the answers too. Can he repeat another 15 games? What is Daniel Thomas role going to be with the team in 2012? Can you think of a more nightmarish team for fantasy owners to try and draft from?

      Even if you miss out on Romo or Rivers during the draft. You will have plenty of other solid options a couple names that Sky and I had brought up in earlier post Matt Ryan and Big Ben.

      • David_KOA says:
        (link)

        @David_KOA, Oops I wanted to type (Peterson & Murray) as the correct keeper options.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      AP’s injury worries me. How long can you wait until you have to declare? I agree with your choices if AP is healthy.

  5. David_KOA says:
    (link)

    @Sky, Not that I was really a Beanie Wells fan heading into the upcoming drafts. From week five through 17 he only averaged 66 rushing yards(that is also including his crazy 228 yards vs the rams), 3.9 YPG & .45 TD’s. He brings almost nothing to fantasy owners when it comes it the passing game. Now with news coming out that he “does not know” when he will be back on the field. It seems that my avoid Beanie Wells will be in full effect(come draft day) and favoring Ryan Williams and his ADP. At least he is running and making cuts.

    The running back position alone just seems like such a dark and scary place this year. It is much more fun talking about the wide receiver position and all it’s upside at that spot.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      Agree about the scary terrain. It’s going to hang heavy on the drafts this year and makes it all the more important to nail down an RB1 early. Will be interesting to see how WR shakes out this year; will be interesting to see what Blackmon can do with the current Gabbert/Henne thing going on in Jacksonville. Hopefully one of them at least goes the way of Skelton and throw to the right guy :)

      Beanie has always been an injury guy and last year was the seal of fate for me on ever drafting him again; this is probably one of those teams that I try and avoid the RB situation entirely…again…ugh, it really is nasty out there at RB.

      • David_KOA says:
        (link)

        @Sky,
        I have not taken part in any real(or mock) drafts to this point. I have look at some recent completed mock drafts over at FFC. It seems like picks 10-12 are good spots to be able to come away with RB-RB out of the gate. Then with the depth of WR(which is awesome) you can go to that position with your next three to four picks. The only way I might not go with four WR’s(3-6), is if Michael Vick was sitting in my que box in the 5th round. Not all the time but a few times I have seen him falling till the end of the 5th. Vick brings too much to the table for me to pass his upside at that point in a draft.

        Looking at Justin Blackmons current ADP, he is being drafted as a WR3. I would not feel comfortable drafting him in that range. I see a handful of WR’s going after him that I would much rather have. He is going ahead of players such as D. Moore, S. Rice, Malcom Floyd, S. Holmes & L. Moore. That is just to name a few off the top of my head. I really don’t see his services landing on any of my teams.

        • Sky

          Sky says:
          (link)

          Michael Vick is indeed a worthwhile wildcard in 1 QB leagues. Basically, he’s Cam Newton with less games played. Something that if you draft right, you can plan correctly for.

          Sadly true about Blackmon but that’s what happens when there’s no one to pass it to him. Kid is an amazing athlete.

Comments are closed.