Tweet about this on TwitterShare on FacebookShare on Google+Share on Reddit

9501642-ad

Welcome everybody to this week’s edition of Deep Impact! With a busy week of sports underway (World Series, NBA season opener, Joel Embiid gracing the Sixers court for real), it’s almost easy to forget that hey, they’re going to play NFL games this week! It’s even easier to forget that professional football is happening this week when writing this while watching the Jaguars. As usual for our series, we’ll take a look at players less than 10% owned for those of you who play in deep formats to think about Week 8 options. Also as usual for our series, I will arbitrarily break that threshold because dammit, sometimes there just isn’t a name under it that I would consider starting at a position. Don’t judge me!

 

Start:

Robert Kelley (RB, Washington Football Team, 10% owned) – Back when I was plugging Chris Thompson on a weekly basis, I pointed out that Thompson was worth adding as a PPR back, but that Kelley would likely be the guy to get the starting job if Matt Jones missed time. Well, so far this week Jones hasn’t been practicing thanks to a knee injury, and head coach Jay Gruden has been quoted as saying,“No, this isn’t Jon. You have the wrong number, Rich. No, I won’t call you Mr. Gannon, Rich. Please stop calling when you’re drunk.” No, that’s not the quote I’m looking for. Ah, here it is: “If Matt has an issue where he can’t go, it would be Robert in the lead role, more likely.” Well, there it is right from the lesser Gruden’s mouth. Thompson will stay in his third-down back role, and I think he would still see an uptick in carries, but Kelley would be the guy to start this week in a relatively soft matchup against the London Keepcalms *checks schedule* sorry, I meant Cincinnati Bengals. Their 4.6 yards per carry allowed is 25th in the league, and aside from locking down a pre-Super Saiyan Jay Ajayi, pretty much everyone to run against them has put up good numbers. If Jones doesn’t go, Kelley is an easy call this week, and Thompson is worth considering too.

Adam Thielen (WR, Minnesota Vikings, 5% owned) – Sammy Sleeves and company had rough sledding against the Eagles last week, and Thielen only pulled down two catches for 52 yards as a result. Teammate (and one of my stashes from a couple weeks ago) Cordarrelle Patterson had a solid outing with seven grabs, 67 yards and a touchdown, but was added to the injury report with a concussion today. Since he’s just starting the league’s concussion protocol, I doubt he’s ready in time for a prime matchup against the Bears. Enter Theilen, who had a breakout performance while Stefon Diggs was out, and would stand to gain a good chunk of targets if Patterson is unable to go.

C.J. Fiedorowicz (TE, Houston Texans, 12% owned) – Cheating our 10% threshold here, as I like to do, since I think the tight end options below 10% should be left on the wire where they belong. CJ is just above our mark, and has gone three straight weeks with seven or more targets. Granted, last week he only went for 35 yards, but that was against a stingy Broncos defense where he should have only been started in the most dire of circumstances. This week, against the Lions, the blocking tight end that apparently sold his soul in the offseason for hands (maybe he made a deal with the Robot Devil?) should be in deep league lineups. Would you rather start someone like washed-up Antonio Gates? I don’t care how many targets Gates is still getting, he moves around the field like the Tin Man before he got his joints oiled.

Stash:

Kapri Bibbs (RB, Denver Broncos, 4% owned) – With C.J. Anderson owners getting blindsided with news today that he’s potentially out the rest of the season, fantasy gamers have rushed to the wire en masse to snag Devontae Booker, who probably wasn’t available in deep formats to begin with. If you were one of the lucky ones to snag Booker (or one of the smart ones who already had him), you should go ahead and handcuff him with Bibbs, who averaged 4.2 YPC in the preseason while leading the team in rushing. Obviously preseason stats don’t count for much, but he’s looked solid when called upon and would be the next man up if Booker goes down. Don’t expect him to get more than 5-10 touches per game as long as Booker is healthy, but don’t be caught flat-footed if you have room on your roster to take out some Booker insurance.

Drop:

Jordan Howard (RB, Chicago Bears, 81% owned) – Sorry guys, the party is over for Howard. What are you holding on for at this point? He’s getting less touches than Ka’Deem Carey, former starter Jeremy Langford is back at practice and likely to return in Week 8, the Bears play the Vikings this week, and have a bye next week. What does all that add up to? At best, Howard has one week splitting carries with Carey against the best run defense in football before this situation turns into a muddled trio with a healthy Langford back after the bye. At worst, Langford comes back early and Howard won’t get enough touches to have a prayer of being useful this week, let alone going forward. If your league is very deep, I could see holding Howard as a lottery ticket that maybe Langford gets reinjured and Carey turns back into a pumpkin. If you need production now, I’d move on. If you’ve got any questions on starts or transactions for Week 8, leave them in the comments.

 

 

  1. King Kong says:
    (link)

    Greetings!

    .5 ppr at flex start either rob Kelley, Adam. Thielen, knile Davis, or add alf blue in case Miller is out? I don’t own Miller. Or start atvfkwx moncrief or hogan (revenge game?)

    If yes for Kelley I’d drop Howard for Kelley . Regardless, I’m considering dropping Howard for either thielen,knile Davis.

    On the flip i own James Starks, better stash my Starks or bibbs?

    Have any sleeper defenses for this week? Cowboys D has been solid at home; they were also good vs bengals & packers recently. How about Bears D? Vs Bradford on Halloween night ? The Bears D did get a couple key players back last week ,

    Thanks!

    • King Kong says:
      (link)

      @King Kong:

      This just in cordarrle Patterson didn’t practice today on Friday

    • Alex Lee

      Alex Lee says:
      (link)

      @King Kong: Kelley is definitely the play, Matt Jones has been ruled out. Go get him now. Howard vs the Vikings is unplayable in any format this week. I’d hold Starks over Bibbs, since I think the Packers will be forced to use him when he’s healthy given his experience and knowledge of the playbook. Sleeper D that I like more than Bears/Cowboys – the Browns *ducks thrown tomatoes*. The Jets offense is such a mess, and I’m happy to bet against them every week until they show improvement. The forecast currently calls for rain too, and a sloppy game usually favors the defense.

      • King Kong says:
        (link)

        @Alex Lee:

        Dropping Howard for Kelley is the play? Could thielen be sneaky this week if C-Patterson is out? That Bears secondary has been getting torched but I do like the RB Better in the flex , lol I should’ve sold high on Howard when he was good now that backfield is a mess

        • King Kong says:
          (link)

          @King Kong:

          Just looked Chiefs D (they are at Indy), then Bucs D host raiders, Raiders D at TB, chargers D at Denver- bosa is beast, Bears hosting vikes, cowboys hosting philly , lions D at Houston

          • Alex Lee

            Alex Lee says:
            (link)

            @King Kong: All question marks, but I’d go with the Chiefs. They’ve put together a couple of solid games, Indy is pretty banged up and their offensive line is a sieve. Also good with the Chargers against the Broncos, they just had a tough time against Julio but who doesn’t?

        • Alex Lee

          Alex Lee says:
          (link)

          @King Kong: I’d drop Howard or Hogan, probably lean Hogan right now between those two. I don’t think either is a must-own right now. I like Thielen too, he led the team in snaps last week and has a very nice matchup. But if I’m going with a fringe RB or WR for a flex, I’ll err on the side of the guy who is going to be the early down back plus get goal line work.

  2. Jack says:
    (link)

    Any idea how many touches Knile Davis might see this week?

    • Alex Lee

      Alex Lee says:
      (link)

      @Jack: All I’ve seen is that he’s going to “be involved”. Who knows what that means. I’m sure the Packers would love to have some touches for “traditional” running backs, but I doubt he’s heavily involved unless Montgomery is very ineffective in the dual threat role that he’s been doing quite well with thus far. As a complimentary player, I think his ceiling is 10 touches.

  3. Jack says:
    (link)

    Jordy or Fuller?

    • Alex Lee

      Alex Lee says:
      (link)

      @Jack: I think Fuller bounces back this week, but still would go Jordy over him.

  4. Bourito says:
    (link)

    Is Torrey Smith going to get traded and if yes, do you see DeAndre Smelter getting a chance to prove himself? Is he worth a stash in very deep leagues?

    TIA

    • Alex Lee

      Alex Lee says:
      (link)

      @Bourito: If you are scouting 49ers practice squad WRs for fantasy purposes, I think you’re officially in the deepest league of all time. I’d always bet against mid-season trades, they aren’t very common and even with the rumors that came out recently, I don’t see the Eagles giving up anything to chase a mediocre receiver for this season. Howie has proven himself to be smarter than that. Smith probably stays put, and Smelter, even if Smith does get traded, has a long way to go before being stash-worthy.

  5. Chicken Dinner says:
    (link)

    CJ Fied or Barnage? PPR

    Was all in on CJ until word McCown was coming back. He peppers Barnage.

    • Alex Lee

      Alex Lee says:
      (link)

      @Chicken Dinner: I agree with you – McCown makes me lean Barnidge.

  6. Andrewm says:
    (link)

    I picked up bother Kelley and Thompson in standard format? Who do you think I should start?
    Kelley may start but I kinda see him having more touches at the end of the game. And the bengals are near the bottom defending receiving RBs? Your thoughts

    • Alex Lee

      Alex Lee says:
      (link)

      @Andrewm: Standard format I think Kelley is the easy choice. If it was PPR it would be a tougher decision. Aside from James White’s big game against them, I don’t see anything in the game log that looks extraordinary as far as a weakness vs pass-catching backs. Kelley will get more touches and the goal line work, I’ll go with the volume if I’m not being rewarded extra for the receptions.

      • Andrewm says:
        (link)

        @Alex Lee: right on thanks

  7. Gordy says:
    (link)

    It’s the freaking weekend I’m about to have me some fun!

    .5 ppr league

    My WRs Hopkins, Hilton, sanders, moncrief, fuller, Shepard, hogan, Corey Coleman & Watkins – we start 3

    My RBs David Johnson, Melvin Gordon, Jordan Howard, Jamaal Charles, andre Ellington, Derrick Henry

    Based on my team are you trading away my Hopkins to receive Booker? Or try sanders first & see what he says?

    Or hang tight with what I have? I just didn’t know if Hopkins is too steep of a price for Booker?

    • Alex Lee

      Alex Lee says:
      (link)

      @Gordy: I certainly wouldn’t lead with Hopkins. Between DJ and Melvin you’re pretty good at RB, so there’s no need to overpay. Worth exploring, maybe Sanders plus something else gets it done. Do you play a flex spot too?

      • Gordy says:
        (link)

        @Alex Lee:

        Thanks ! Yes we do have a flex slot too. Thoughts on Bibbs ROS? Could he be used like Ronnie hillman was ? Or have him & Booker both involved?

  8. Chicken Dinner says:
    (link)

    The Bears have to be saving Howard for next year. How else do you explain it. 4.8 y/c

    • Alex Lee

      Alex Lee says:
      (link)

      @Chicken Dinner: I don’t think they’re saving him, I think he just ripped off some big weeks against soft defenses (5.9 YPC vs Detroit and Indy) and then ran into brick walls against better defenses (2.5 YPC vs GB and Jax) while his teammate looked better. If he had run well in those games, Carey wouldn’t have seen more work. Worth pointing out that Howard was only a 5th-round pick. I’m not sure that the organization sees him as the workhorse running back of the future. He could’ve run away with the job as long as he kept producing, but they’ll ride the hot hand otherwise. Also, John Fox is halfway through his second disappointing season as head coach. He probably doesn’t have the job security to save anything for next year.

  9. Allan says:
    (link)

    Crowder or tyrell williams rest of season ppr?

    • Alex Lee

      Alex Lee says:
      (link)

      @Allan: I like me some Crowder, but I’d go Tyrell here.

      • Allan says:
        (link)

        @Alex Lee: Drop maclin for one of them?

        • Alex Lee

          Alex Lee says:
          (link)

          @Allan: Pains me to say it because I like Maclin as a player and also one time I hung out with him at a bar in Newark when he first came into the league (note: hanging out with him means I was at the same table where he was hitting on a girl). Where was I? Oh right, yeah I’d rather have Maclin slightly but couldn’t fault you for dropping him for Tyrell.

  10. Jeff says:
    (link)

    Hey Alex –

    Looking for your advice in two leagues:

    League I: PPR, 2RB, 2WR, 1 flex

    QB: Dalton
    RB: Ware and DJ
    WR: Montcrief and Montgomery
    FLEX: Melvin Gordon
    TE: Brate
    DEF: Jets
    Bench: Michael Thomas, Jordan Matthews, Tyrell Williams, Chris Thompson
    Gillislee is available.

    Would you put in any of these bench players for starters? Pick him up and Gillislee and play him over anyone?

    League 2: Non-PPR, 2 QB, 3WR, 2RB, 3 Flex, IDP

    QB: Carr, Palmer
    RB: L Miller, Ware (just lost CJ)
    WR: D Hopkins, A Cooper, K Benjamin
    TE: Eifert

    I have the following guys to fill the three flex spots:
    Jack Doyle, Cam Meredith, Robert Kelley, Dwayne Washington, Ty Monytgomery, Jamison Crowder
    Which 3 would you go with here?
    Also, here are some players available who seem to be generating some interest: Cordarelle Patterson, Adam Humphries, Adam Thielen,. Any of those worth a look / play over anyone I have?

    Thanks,
    Jeff

    • Alex Lee

      Alex Lee says:
      (link)

      @Jeff: First league, I don’t love Moncrief this week but Thomas and Tyrell have horrible matchups. I’d probably lean Matthews here, I’d like to see Moncrief do something on the field before trusting him in a lineup. Also, I don’t see room for Gillislee, I wouldn’t play him over your three RBs.

      Second league, I’d go Montgomery/Kelley/Crowder. And with Riddick coming back, I think you’re safe to drop Washington for Patterson or Thielen. Sounds like Patterson could play on Monday after all, I’d snag him if he plays.

      • Jeff says:
        (link)

        @Alex Lee: Makes sense. Thanks!

  11. Randy says:
    (link)

    In a 12-team standard, I have Miller, Jacquizz, Crowell, Gore, Dwayne Wash, and Jordan Howard at RB. Would you drop any of these for Gillislee or Alfred Blue? We start 2 RB and I’m not in need of a starter this week per se.

    Also in a 10-team standard, I have Ware, Jaquizz, Miller, Booker, and Howard at RB. Would you drop Howard for Dwayne Washington, Rob Kelley, or Alfred Blue? Again, this move would be more ROS than for this week.

    Lastly, in the same 10-team standard league, I have ARob, Cobb, Moncrief, Pryor, and Michael Thomas. Would you drop any for Corey Coleman, Maclin, Edleman, or Coates? We have roster limits, so I cant’ drop from another position; it’d have to be someone from this group.

    Thank you!

    • Alex Lee

      Alex Lee says:
      (link)

      @Randy: I’d grab Blue in both leagues where you have Miller. I doubt you’d start Gillislee/Washington/Kelley rest of the way assuming your top guys are healthy, so you may as well handcuff your best back. Blue ran well against the Broncos, he’d be a strong play if Miller gets hurt.

      For your receivers, it would depend on who you’re picking up, but I think Coleman would be first on that list to drop, then Coates. (Sorry by the way, I posted this last night but for some reason it didn’t go through, hope you get it in time to be helpful).

  12. Dan Solis says:
    (link)

    Who should I start at my flex? Tyrell Williams or Robert Kelley? Thanks

    • Dan Solis says:
      (link)

      or I can start Brandon LaFell

    • Dan Solis says:
      (link)

      I have the Texans D but was thinking about adding the Chargers D. What do you think?

      • Alex Lee

        Alex Lee says:
        (link)

        @Dan Solis: I’d go Kelley>Tyrell>LaFell, and the Chargers D. Don’t love Houston’s matchup this week against the Lions’ passing game, I’d rather bet against Siemian than Stafford. Sorry this didn’t post last night, hopefully it’s at least helpful for the defense question.

Comments are closed.