Don't be shellfish...Tweet about this on TwitterShare on FacebookShare on Google+Share on Reddit

So at first I thought I could fill up an entire post on just one strategy for wide receivers.  Then I thought to myself ‘really, how much can you say about just one approach about wide receivers?  You’re no Charles Dickens, broseph’.  I have these casual chats with myself sometimes.  It eases the pain of feeling forever alone…but nonetheless, there’s more then one way to approach those 3 wideouts in your draft.  Most times, just like anything, it will depend who’s available to you and when.  If I have Calvin Johnson as my WR1, that’s going to make me reconsider who my WR2 should/could be vs if it’s, say, Randall Cobb.  Different strokes for different folks there, Willis, and we’re gonna try to account for them all as best we can.  So without further fluff, let’s take a look at draft strategy for wide receivers for the 2013 Fantasy Football season…oops, looks like I forgot something…what was it?  Oh yeah, if you’re not signed up in or commishing a Razzball Commenter League by now, you’re dead to me son!  So go find out how to get involved and maybe along the way you win the grand prize.  What prize is that, you ask?  Well ya gotta go click the link to find out, brochacho!  And now I’m done pandering/threatening so let’s get back on course…

Waiting On The WR3 – In this fun little game of ours, wide receiver is always the deepest position and outside of a few players, the one with what I’d say is the second highest week to week variance outside of the top players in terms of skill position (TE being first in this scenario).  So with that in mind, approach your draft like you’re only drafting two WRs.  Don’t be frightened, little one, you won’t be left in the dust.  To verify that, let’s take a look at guys who were either FAs or drafted and sat on the bench in most leagues to start 2012: Cecil Shorts, T.Y. Hilton, and James Jones to name a few.  I’ve already highlighted a good late rounder with my Chris Givens Sleeper post earlier this summer but those late rounds are full of talent.  This is the strategy I find myself deploying the most, especially with early season drafts where you don’t have to field a K/DEF just yet.  Sit on a package of guys like Vincent Brown, Alshon Jeffery, Ryan Broyles and maybe more depending on bench size and see what comes of it during the pre-season.

The early WR approach – Not even gonna pretend to suggest it as the way to go but let’s say you’re sitting there in the first round and you took Calvin Johnson.  Then let’s say you’re sitting there in the second and Brandon Marshall falls to you.  You now have last year’s top 2 receiving threats.  So you’re now out of the running on the top end RBs, don’t try and fight it, go with it.  Spend either your 3rd or 4th round pick on a solid WR3 and then attack those 3-7 round RBs with gusto.  In theory, you’re taking less risk due to the difference in physical nature of the positions involved.  Again, this is not an approach I’m really hip on but it can be viable if you know who your RB targets are later in the draft.  In the end, it’s the risk of missing out on starting RBs that makes it tough for me to get behind.  If I had to rate this approach, I’d give it 3 out of 5 Christopher Walkens.

To The 5th Round And Beyond – So this is a dangerous proposition in a different way then the one I propose above.  It really means you have to have the rest of your team lined up right but it also gives you the opportunity to buy in on Gronk or Graham early, which is a bonus.  With this strategy, you should enter the 5th round with 3 RBs and either a top end QB or Gronk/Graham (preferably the latter).  So this puts you in the running to go after a few of the remaining WR value plays that you have circled on your list to make them your WR1/2/3.  This route could give you Pierre Garcon as your 1, Cecil Shorts as your 2 and Danario Alexander as your 3.  You COULD wait until the late rounds for your WR3 with this strategy but I’m of the belief leaving yourself with that many WR2 types as this draft strategy proposes leaves you at risk for as much upside as it does downside.  Remember, it only takes one of these guys to fail to make it hurt.  Draft upside late to back it up, don’t rely on it.

Well, thanks for letting me dictate unto you how to play this little game of ours.  I hope you find it useful/applicable/delectible or any other ‘ble’ or ‘ful’ word you wanna use in this scenario.  Draft on, Razzballers, and I’ll catch you on the flip side.

  1. Nico

    John Stamos says:
    (link)

    Didn’t think I’d be the first to comment on here, but YOLO! That’s what the kids are saying these days, eh? eh? Is Nick Cappozzi writing this for me? Canadians.. Anywho, my league decided to vote for this grand idea of having 2 flex positions, so my RB/WR position breakdown looks like this:

    RB
    RB/WR
    RB/WR
    WR

    That said, I’m thinking I should be following that last draft strategy for WR’s, unless of course MegaTron is there for the taking in the first round. My assumption is that I will be picking around 7 of 12. Do you have any other suggestions for draft strategy that you might be writing in the near future? Or do you think I should lock down 3 RB’s a QB and TE by the 5th round? I’d like to look at “reaching” for Brees bc I don’t see him as a reach in the 4th (I think he’s going 4/5 round this year?). I guess that would follow the Prom strategy of taking your best girl on the board.

    Sorry for the long winded post. I, like you, enjoy casual chats with myself. Things have been rough since Full House.

    Thanks in advance!

    • Nico

      John Stamos says:
      (link)

      *Capozzi

    • Moose Out Front says:
      (link)

      @John Stamos: So they made the shallowest position, RB, ever more valuable than the standard set-up. That’s tough

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      Ha! You should give Bob Saget a call, get the gang back together…

      Typically I want 2 RBs in the first 3 rounds and 3 after 6. That’s my goal. What you’re addin doesn’t change that for me. I think it still leaves you room to make strategy 2 viable but if I’m reading this right, you only start 1 WR and the 2 flexes just replace the other WR positions? If that’s the case, definitely the last one makes a lot of sense.

      BTW, I loved your stint on ER! If I watched ER that is…

      • Nico

        John Stamos says:
        (link)

        @Sky: That makes sense. This obviously hinges on draft spot, but I’m definitely going at 2 RB’s through 3 rounds. Last year we had RB, RB/WR, WR, WR, so one of those WR spots got changed to a flex. It’s going to be interesting…

        …If only I watched ER, I would have known I was on it. Those were hard times. Lately, I’ve just been eating crazy amounts of yogurt. It’s greek, so it’s cool. My lifestyle has inproved at least 0.5% because of it. Just been getting Jesus-lean from all the protein.

        Thanks again. I’m sure I will have PLENTY of questions this season and I appreciate all the help.

        • Sky

          Sky says:
          (link)

          It’s an honor to serve John Stamos do the pleasure is all mine!

          Agree about the draft approach. I always try and zig when others zag

  2. Mrs. Featherbottom says:
    (link)

    Yo Sky,

    Love the columns here, and really liking this write-up of potential strategies.
    I’m in a 10 team keeper league, where I am keeping Randall Cobb as a 10th round pick. Some of the other keepers are AP, Doug M, Morris, Lynch, Foster, AJ.
    I have the 6th pick in my draft, meaning that I should have the chance to get at least one of these 3, Charles, Richardson, or Megatron. I’m definitly leaning towards the first two, but I worry that they might be gone before my pick. This would leave me with the likes of Ray Rice and Slim Shady as the only viable 1st Rd RB picks, I don’t like either. I’m finding the tier 2 RBs pretty yawnstipating, with the exception of SJax and Ridley.
    I’ve been considering grabbing Megatron at pick 6, than either Julio, Marshall or Dez at round 2, then targeting Reggie Bush, Lamar Miller, McFadden, Lacy, CJ1K in the ensuing rounds. I’d have a dynamic WR core and would be able to grab value and depth at RB in rounds 3-6.
    Thoughts?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      It’s a tough strategy to employ simply if there’s a run on RBs but I’m not against it. Keeper leagues always make for odd strategy. It could work out well of players like that are still on the board, though.

      • Mrs. Featherbottom says:
        (link)

        @Sky: Yeah, that’s the risk. Thanks!

        • Sky

          Sky says:
          (link)

          No prob and good luck!

    • FrankGrimes says:
      (link)

      @Mrs. Featherbottom: Even with that shallow of a league you would be lucky to have one of those three fall to you. I think you should be stoked to get Rice or Shady. Either one of them is better than the keeper you currently have. I’m praying people are down on McCoy in my auction this year.

  3. Skyismyhero says:
    (link)

    Nice post man, I’m wondering what your strategy would be with the following roster positions and PPR (1 point) league?

    In my leagues where we use this set-up, it seems the winners go pretty heavy WR early and always use WR in the flex’s. I tried to counter their drafting strategy last year by going RB heavy and using your “to the 5th rnd and beyond” strategy and it failed miserably. Thanks

    RB
    RB
    WR
    WR
    TE
    RB/WR/TE
    RB/WR/TE

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      Thanks! Sucks to hear that about last year. I think the second strategy is still viable in your league, but maybe I’d target particular RBs such as Forte/Bush types vs a Lynch/Ivory type. With that, you could still get your early WR targets but still end up with RBs that catch well over 50 rec apiece.

  4. Craig says:
    (link)

    I am back, 12 team PPR league, 2 RB, 3 WR, Flex (Wr/rb) setup. The league is a two player keeper league. I am keeping Forte but my second option is dwindling fast! Harvin went down, now Jordy Nelson had surgery, thoughts on keeping Decker or Stafford due to these undesirable circumstances? Give me some good news!

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      I’d go Stafford there. The good news is the US economy is stabilizing.

  5. Craig says:
    (link)

    Thanks, appreciate your thoughts, I am not sold on the economy just yet

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      Ha neither am I…I tried though!

  6. Ron says:
    (link)

    In a 12-team .5 PPR 2 keeper league here is what I have in front of me.

    RB Keepers: Martin, RIchardson, Rice, Peterson, McCoy, Morris, MJD, Foster, CJ2K, Charles, Spiller, Lynch, Bradshaw

    QB Keepers: Rodgers, Luck, Brady

    WR Keepers: Welker, Julio, C. Johnson, A. Johnson, Fitz, White

    An now the fun begins…..
    My two Keepers are Forte and S.Jax.
    In the first 3 rounds I have 5 picks! My overall picks are 2, 6, 19, 23, 26. I am confident Brees goes with the overall first pick.

    1) Should I go Marshall/Dez and then Graham with the first two picks?
    2) With 15 RB’s already off the board does it make more sense with picks 2 and 6 to go Graham/RB? WR/RB? RB/WR? RB/Graham?
    3) Is Gore, Bush, Ivory, Sproles, Ridley, Miller, Mcfadden worth drafing over WR studs Marshall, Dez, Green, Demyrius or Cobb?

    Basically i am just looking for any practical advice you can give about how best to navigate through this draft and contsruct this roster without mecompletely blowing the early picks I have.

    Thanks for your help!

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      I like the the WR/TE plan there. Then take what falls to you from that group for your 3rd RB. I’d have you look at rankings to see how I grade those guys for this year

      • Ron says:
        (link)

        @Sky: You have them in that order right now -Gore, Bush, Ivory, Sproles, Ridley, Wilson, Miller, Mcfadden .

        In PPR do Bush and Sproles jump ahead of Gore and Ivory? If you had the choice you going with Bush or Sproles?

        • Sky

          Sky says:
          (link)

          My rankings were PPR unless you were looking at standard overall rankings. I had Gore over Bush Sheerly out of stability. I won’t are someone if they take Bush over him. I’d still go Bush over Sproles though

    • FrankGrimes says:
      (link)

      @Ron: I would take those five picks and get 2 RBs and 3 WRs. Your league looks similar to one of mine. I have these type of decisions every year. While your keepers are decent I would try to upgrade and take a few early risks with those extra picks. (like grabbing Au Shizz early for ball this year). Obviously their is no TRich this year but instead of say grabbing gore take a chance on Bernard. I’d also put McFadden at the top of your non keeper RBs. Out of that list he is the one that could completely out perform the pack and even keepers.

      • Sky

        Sky says:
        (link)

        Grimey!

        • FrankGrimes says:
          (link)

          @Sky: what up brother. I forgot to mention that he should back up SJax with Quizz haha that is if his bench is that deep enough in his league.

          • Sky

            Sky says:
            (link)

            Haha of course you’d say that!

            • FrankGrimes says:
              (link)

              @Sky: I can’t believe football is already here. 2 1/2 weeks away from auction day! On sad note seems like pro football weekly is no longer in print. My long standing tradition of using their draft board to create my final tiers will be missed.

              • Sky

                Sky says:
                (link)

                I’ve never used them before. Seems like everything will be out of print before long. Nowadays most magazines that used to be well respected are now no better then the tabloids to grab your eyes

  7. weeklyheadache says:
    (link)

    Hey Sky,

    draft keeper question for ya, 14 team 2wr 2 rb league, can keep one (no idea on draft position):

    Martin 1st round
    Amendola 8th
    Decker 10th

    Only one year keepers allowed – does it make more sense to go with martin, top 3 pick sometime in the 1st round, or to go with one of the WR’s later for the value?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      I’d go Martin there. Great value in the other guys but can’t pass up that production.

      • Ryan says:
        (link)

        @Sky: Please take a look at my entry below.

  8. weeklyheadache says:
    (link)

    Yeah, im normally a “value” guy, but if I can get in the last half of the draft, that seems more than enough value for me, and locks me into one of the best. Thanks for confirming my hunch!

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      No prob and good luck this year!

  9. Ryan says:
    (link)

    Opinions please Razzballahs, These are my Auction Draft results. Please let me know how I did and where I need work…Starters are QB,QB, WR, WR, RB, RB, TE, K, DEF, FLex(WR,RB,TE)

    Tony Romo ($27)
    Jay Cutler ($2)
    Matt Forte ($38)
    Maurice Jones-Drew ($38)
    Jordy Nelson ($29)
    Reggie Wayne ($16)
    Jimmy Graham ($45)
    Frank Gore ($25)
    D/ST Texans (1)
    Matt Prater ($1)
    Anquan Boldin ($9)
    Darren McFadden ($13)
    Mike Williams ($4)
    Sam Bradford ($1)
    Kenny Britt ($1)
    Danario Alexander $(1)
    Fred Jackson ($1)

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      Looks good. Bad news on DX though. Hopefully Jordy bounces back quickly. All around solid

      • Ryan says:
        (link)

        @Sky: Yeah, I wasn’t banking on DX for anything more than a back-up, with great upside. This was my 1st auction draft, they’re really quite interesting. I have another one coming up soon, so I’m still trying to figure out what to do and when to do it. I kind of sat back and let people go crazy for the top 10 players, I just wasn’t willing to spend $55-80 on a single player. Hopefully my depth will pan out and expose some of the other owners who went all in on 2-4 guys.

        • Sky

          Sky says:
          (link)

          It should/could. You should take a look at my auction draft strategy. Gives a feel for how I usually go.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      Ha interesting. Nope we’re two separate people, but clearly great minds think alike.

  10. Hercules says:
    (link)

    Hey there. I have always done auction but in a snake also this year. 10 team PPR. Unfortunately I have the 9 th pick. If Calvin falls there, would you take him and then go RB next pick? I guess it depends which RB are left but hard to pass up Calvin assuming all top PPR backs are gone. Or I could go Richardson and Stephen Jackson possibly and target wide receiver next 2 picks but likely wont get elite receiver. Tough spot to pick!
    Thanks!

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      Not a bad spot in a ten team. I wouldn’t pass up Megatron if he fell to me. Contingency of either RB you mentioned I’d be fine with.

  11. EDUB says:
    (link)

    I play in a 12 team- 2QB PPR keeper league where your keepers selction will cost you a draft pick 1 round higher than where you drafted them in the previous year. You have a choice to keep your 1st or 2nd round pick at the cost of a 1st. Which roster would you rather have?
    The # next to the player is the current round in my upcoming draft that i would be forfeiting, so next year that number will increase a round if I decide to keep fror 2014.

    Team A:
    Qb Luck- 6
    Qb
    WR Bryant- 3
    WR Julio Jones- 4
    WR C Shorts – 12
    RB Foster 1
    RB
    TE
    Flex
    Flex
    My first round pick would be whoever is left of Matt Ryan or Matt Stafford to fill my qb slot.

    Team B
    Qb Luck 6
    Qb RGIII 5
    WR Bryant 3
    WR Shorts 12
    WR
    RB Foster 1
    TE
    Flex
    Flex
    My 1st round pick would be B Marshall

    Basically it comes down to whether the choice of RGIII for multiple years in a 2b league or Julio Jones for multiple league where the WR pool is deep in drafts is the better value. I worry over the injury risks of RGIII and there are high end WR options available to draft early this year (but would cost me 1st pick in 2014) but Julio Jones is one of the better keepers at the price in my league. Pretty torn over this.

    The other option is for me to go with team B, and keep Palmer (9) over Shorts and still draft Marshall with my 1st pick, giving me a WR corp of Braynt, Jones, and Marshall.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      Jones has shown himself to not deal well with nicks and dings either. I’d rather take the QB there, especially wih it being RG3.

      • Edub says:
        (link)

        @Sky:
        Rather take the qb meaning draft one of Stafford or Ryan? ……or keep RG3?

        • Sky

          Sky says:
          (link)

          ‘especially with it being RG3′. I’d want RG3 there.

  12. Jay says:
    (link)

    With the third pick in a 12 man league, if I have the options of Julio jones jimmy graham Maurice jones drew, which two of the three would you take if my first pick was Doug or charles? Also, in case all three are gone, I have the options of Marshall, Cobb, gore,Bush, Murray. Which two of those would you consider? Thanks in advance!

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      MJD/Marshall

      • Jay says:
        (link)

        @Sky:

        You think guys like milleror bush are worth the third round pick if all the stable rb’s are taken?

        • Sky

          Sky says:
          (link)

          I like those guys. Not expecting RB1 numbers but solid nonetheless.

  13. Kyle says:
    (link)

    Hey Sky great article. I was just wondering in general, not talking sleepers ,which couple players are you liking alot to have big years/ players you would be targeting in all your drafts?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      Big year players for me: Ivory (sleeper/big year candidate for me), SJax, Cobb, Demaryius, to name a few I really like this year. Trent too

  14. Scott says:
    (link)

    I can start 2 of Ray Rice, Lynch, and SJax, so I’m looking to trade one of them to improve at WR. What do you like better – Rice for Dez or SJax for D. Thomas?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      In a keeper I’ll lose SJax for DT

      • Scott says:
        (link)

        @Sky: Would you do the same for a non keeper league?

        • Sky

          Sky says:
          (link)

          I’d be a bit torn there. They’re fairly close in rankings. Rerank I’d be less inclined. Think a huge years coming for SJax.

Comments are closed.