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With the large amount of rookie quarterback success in 2012, with names like Russell Wilson, Andrew Luck and Robert Griffin III, there are several young players in Miami that should not be overlooked, one of them is 2nd year quarterback Ryan Tannehill. I will admit that I didn’t know much about Ryan Tannehill until I watched an episode of “Hard Knocks” starting the Dolphins in mini-camp. Not sure if I’m more embarrassed about not knowing much about him at that point or that I was actually watching the HBO series. Anyway the show basically portrayed Tannehill as a talented but arrogant 1st round draft pick, who was fighting veteran David Garrard and Matt Moore for a job that was basically his. There was speculation after the draft that he might not even play due to a hold out on his contract…wait, a holdout for a rookie? Yes it was true and probably where he gets the arrogant and cocky label from, well that and a hot girlfriend. Don’t believe me? Google it…  Well now that I have distracted all the readers and are probably no longer reading we are going to take a look Tannehill’s 2012 season and how it compared to some of the other rookies with the hope that we can apply it to his 2013 and future potential as what we all hope will be the next Dolphin’s franchise quarterback.

Current Age Passing Attempts Completions Completion Percentage Passing Yards Passing TDs INTs Fantasy Passing Points
Andrew Luck 23 627 339 54% 4374 23 18 310
Robert Griffin III 23 393 258 67% 3200 20 5 270
Russell Wilson 24 393 252 64% 3118 26 10 292
Ryan Tannehill 24 484 282 58% 3294 12 12 211
Brandon Weeden 29 517 297 57% 3385 14 17 219

 

So what’s so impressive? When looking at the numbers Ryan Tannehill, as compared to other quarterbacks seems to be the epitome of mediocre, I mean even Brandon Weeden finished with more touchdowns. Although his numbers might not jump out I think based on the circumstances of last year his potential was limited, by a number of things; personnel, coaching, and lack of experience.  The Dolphins did not have a strong set of receivers and to add to it a tight end that was extremely unimpressive, when Brian “Flatline” leads the team in receptions you have a serious problem. The Dolphins addressed this in the off-season by signing former Steelers receiver Mike Wallace, former Rams receiver Brandon Gibson and former Jet Dustin Keller. With these additions I think that it gives the Dolphins the deep threat they were missing in Wallace, the athletic possession tight end in Keller and a very versatile and solid route running Brandon Gibson. The second thing to take note of is what seemed to be an extremely conservative play calling approach by Miami’s coaching staff. It could have to do with the lack of personnel or it being a new system but hopefully they expand the playbook and become more aggressive in 2013. The last important thing to look at is Tannehill’s lack of experience, before the NFL, at Texas A&M he only played two years as a starting quarterback attempting less than 800 passes. Compare that to Andrew Luck’s 1100 and you can see there is definitely a gap and a potentially bigger learning curve for Tannehill in the NFL. He has shown the ability to make all the throws and with these off season acquisitions and time to progress in the off season I feel the Dolphins are gearing up for what could be a very dangerous passing attack in 2013. It might just be the perfect storm and if Coach Philbin decides to let his 2nd year quarterback run the show he could be in for a breakout season which could continue on to be a very successful NFL career. Again be reminded that this is all speculation but signs point to him progressing significantly rather than regressing. In dynasty formats I would be thrilled to have him as my QB2 or QB3 but would be hesitant to give him the QB1 designation at this time in most formats.

  1. A Hill O' Beans says:
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    I’m planning to keep him as my QB2 in a league where you can start 2 QBs. The position goes fast and I’ve got him as a 12th round keeper, with Luck as my QB1.

    Here’s hoping you’re right and he’s ready to take that step forward this year!

  2. Wallpaper Paterson says:
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    I don’t play with Dolphins.

    I have a no-Yankees policy in baseball and no-Dolphins policy in football.

    For those who can use Dolphins, Tannehill is worth having as a backup in 2013.

  3. Wallpaper Paterson says:
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    I have the third pick in a dynasty PPR league. I am leaning towards a 3-player draft board of Peterson, Martin and Charles.

    Rice scares me because of the presence of Pierce. Lynch scares me because he is a violent runner. He might have another two good years and then be a backup and then be retired by age 31 or 32. I am not sure about Foster. Should I consider him for the top three?

    • Murph says:
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      @Wallpaper Paterson: In dynasty I personally like to lock up WR as the shelf life is usually longer so Calvin Johnson/AJ Green would be my target but if you want to go RB I would go Martin/Charles/Richardson/Spiller the wear and tear on the others Lynch/Foster/Rice worries me longterm

      • Wallpaper Paterson says:
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        @Murph: That is fair. This is a PPR league with 3 WR slots and a RB/WR/TE slot. Problem is my next pick is 22nd overall. What kind of RB is going to be available there? At least a dozen will be gone by then and I would like to be good this year.

        Last year in a dynasty league (league lasted one year lol) I took Gronkowski in the 1st, Fitzgerald in the 2nd and Luck in the 4th. I still managed to have success. My team went 8-6 and nabbed one of the four playoff spots. I took Doug Martin in round 3. My second RB slot (no flex) was a mess most of the season. This was also an IDP league and it was possible to be bad at RB and still be successful.

        This league that drafts tomorrow is offense-only. Not getting a RB till pick 22 is risky

        • Murph says:
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          @Wallpaper Paterson:
          That’s true the drop off is pretty steep you would be looking at options like McFadden/Ridley/Chris Johnson/Matt Forte/Alfred Morris. It you feel more comfortable taking an RB I don’t see any reason not to take one WR is incredibly deep this year for startups

          • Wallpaper Paterson says:
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            @Murph: I took Richardson at #3. I will go RB and then WR or vice versa in rounds 2 and 3.

            • Murph says:
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              @Wallpaper Paterson: I love it I think Richardson could become the top RB In the league if he stays healthy and the Browns progress the way I think they will over the next few years. Hope a great WR drops to you in the 2nd

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