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The election is finally over.  As someone that doesn’t want to pay my cable company for DVR (they charge an additional $15!  I’ll just play on my phone for two minutes, thank you very much.), I couldn’t be happier that there are no more political ads.  They just don’t make sense to me.  You’re going to spend $300 million dollars?  Let’s get some production value!  Not just a slide show with a stark narrated voice.

Unfortunately, another facet of entertainment that gets overdone isn’t over, and I think is more annoying.  As I mentioned as my “down” call on the Razzball Fantasy Football Podcast, I am so ready for Sportscenter and all other media outlets to stop talking about how bad the Philadelphia Eagles are.  We get it.  They’re terrible.

Maybe if I were a Giants or Cowboys fan it would bring me some joy, but camon already!  I don’t remember media coverage ever being this heavy on a losing team.  Can you think of anything like this in recent years, Razzball Nation?

I must admit I might be a little biased too.  I was high on DeSeasn Jackson entering the year (which hasn’t been that bad a call), and have a 5-4 fantasy team with Vick, Jackson and Maclin every week starters.  Imagine that team if the Eagles were better.  Get on with it, sports media; let’s talk about something else (dammit, now I’m, perpetuating it)!

Looking at last week’s picks, it was one of my strongest weeks with Russell Wilson having his second career 3 TD game, Joique Bell got passes early and rushing work late (re-read what I wrote last week; it was eerily exactly what happened), Andre Roberts had yet another strong game in one of the most under-the-radar fantasy campaigns, and Jermaine Gresham has his first 100-yard game.  Only guy I was wrong on as a sleeper start was Louis Murphy, who I reached too far on for a sleeper call.

For my benchers, Eli Manning, Ahmad Bradshaw, Dez Bryant, and Jermichael Finley all had under 5 fantasy points in standard scoring.  Pretty solid week, huh?  I again was only off on one guy, with Torrey Smith scoring a TD and having a pretty nice game.

Here’s five guys not started in enough leagues and five guys started in too many leagues that should be benched, along with their % started in ESPN leagues and Yahoo leagues, respectively.  And remember, these picks are not always suggestions for direct 1-for-1 swaps if you own players in both sections, but merely picks for guys not started enough and started too often.

Possible Starters

Andy Dalton, QB, Cincinnati (18.5%, 19%) It’s been a surprisingly consistent year for Dalton, which kind of surprised me looking at his numbers.  He’s had a TD every week since week 1, and has only been under 220 yards once.  Yea he’s not a barnburner, but with Aaron Rodgers and RGIII on byes, give me someone like Dalton as a number one fill-in.  The Giants secondary has been somewhat better than many thought, but I think Dalton leads the Bengals to a much-needed win in this game at home.  I’m starting Dalton with confidence if I don’t have one of the top QB options.

Shane Vereen, RB, New England (10.3%, 2%) In week 4 we saw the Patriots absolutely gash the Bills run D for 243 yards and 3 TDs, and there’s no reason to expect the same won’t happen again this week.  Only difference is Brandon Bolden has been suspended, leaving the Pats backfield with only three options instead of four (whew!).  Woodhead will get his few touches to change things up, but I see Ridley and Vereen both going off.  As a sneaky flex play, I like Vereen for a 70-yard day with a probable score.

Malcolm Floyd, WR, San Diego (44.6%, 52%) Not exactly a sleeper with those high(er) percent start numbers than my normal calls, but I was shocked to see that Floyd is started in right around half of fantasy leagues.  He’s going to go off this week.  The Bucs pass D has been atrocious, and this game is going to be pass heavy.  The Chargers are going to have their hands full on D with Doug Martin leading the way, and I think San Diego’s efforts to stop the ground game will open up the pass for Freeman to Williams and Jackson.  The Chargers will need to throw as well, and I think this opens up into a shootout.  Give me Floyd for 80 and a touch.

Greg Olsen, TE, Carolina (20.8%, 24%) The Broncos D has been solid, but their Achilles heel has been against the TE, giving up the third most fantasy points to the opposing big guys.  Olsen has fallen off a bit, but the Panthers are going to have to have success in the run game to keep this close, opening up a few play action plays.  Also, Olsen lines up wide as much as any other TE.  I think he gets a lot of work today.

Super Deep: Jerome Simpson, WR, Minnesota (0.8%, 1%) Very tough to have any trust in a Minnesota WR not named Percy Harvin, but with the aforementioned stud out today, I think Simpson has the best shot to get the work today against the Lions.  Simpson had his best game all year against the Lions, and while Christian Ponder has been brutal lately, I think the Lions can win this one pretty easily, giving Simpson and Ponder a good shot at some junk time work. If you’re desperate, Simpson has a whole lot of upside for a guy abandoned on almost all waiver-wires.

 

Son of a Bench

Jamaal Charles, RB, Kansas City (87.6%, 70%) You’ve got to give it to the Steelers D, who have resurgently returned to their Curtain status.  It’s to the point now that if you’ve got a guy you have any doubts about, you have to think about benching them.  I’m fairly surprised at how many owners are still sticking with Charles, who after three straight brutal games, is now going against even a tougher defense than any of those opponents in the last three.  I know it’s tough benching a playmaker of his caliber, but you definitely need to weigh your options.

Ahmad Bradshaw, RB, New York Giants (85.3%, 75%) I’m sticking with Bradshaw in back-to-back weeks here.  I’m not as worried about any last minute benching news, but more worried about effectiveness after two straight brutal games.  Eli and that passing attack have collapsed, leaving Bradshaw with virtually no room to get things going on the ground.  As mentioned above, I think the Bengals play hungry in this one desperately needing a win, and limit the Giants run game, winning the line of scrimmage.

Michael Vick, QB, Philadelphia (53.4%, 54%) Again perpetuating my pet peeve as I wrote in the open, unless you’re in a 2 QB league (which I am and have to stick with him), you have to bench Vick this week.  The Dallas D has 1 – playmakers in the pass rush and 2 – a much improved secondary from years past.  That’s a recipe for disaster.  I could see Vick getting sacked 8 more times with three or four turnovers.

DeSean Jackson, WR, Philadelphia (57.3%, 69%) The theme continues, with Jackson another bench for me.  Take out that one deep TD last week, and he was a non-factor last Monday Night.  Of course you can’t play revisionist history like that, but my point is I don’t think the Eagles get a deep TD in this one with that strong pass rush and solid secondary.  I’m leaving Jackson out where I can.

Vernon Davis, TE, San Francisco (79.3%, 72%) Here’s an interesting stat for you.  In per game numbers, Davis against non-NFC West teams in six games:

3.8 rec 56.7 yards 0.7 TDs

Per-game numbers against division rival NFC-West teams in two games:

1.0 rec 17.0 yards 0.0 TDs

Rams today.  Yeah.  Bench.

 

If you have any last second decisions, shoot some comments below or tweet me @jbgilpin.  Good luck to everyone today in week 10!

44 Responses

  1. Purewater says:
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    Would you go with Britt or Fred Jackson in the flex…standard league? Thanks!

    • JB Gilpin

      Jonathan Gilpin says:
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      @Purewater, Probably Britt… A little more upside. F Jax might be under 10 touches with NE probably blowing out.

      • Purewater says:
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        @Jonathan Gilpin, Ahhhh, that one hurt!

  2. TheMizer says:
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    What up JG, just read your scary disclaimer for Charles so I’m benching him and moving Spiller up to my 2 Rb spot. So who to flex out of this group E. Sanders, L, Moore,J Stewart, Kenny Britt or Darryl Richardson? Standard. Yes, I listened and scored Doug Martin gold!!

    • JB Gilpin

      Jonathan Gilpin says:
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      @TheMizer, Yo man! Sweet we helped ya out with Martin! I like Lance Moore. NO will need points and won’t be able to run like they did against the Eagles. Indoors, lots of passes, ATL to focus on Colston and Graham, I like Moore a lot.

  3. jared says:
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    Jonathon stewart or mendenhall ros especially looking at at playoff weeks?

    • JB Gilpin

      Jonathan Gilpin says:
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      @jared, Eww thats a stinker. Probably Stewart. Panthers have 2 RBs that have proved they can play, Pitt now has three. Plus Pitt looks like a playoff team, may want to rest Mendenhall, they’re vet, in final few weeks for postseason.

  4. Tim says:
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    Been flipping between the two all week: Reece or Jones, which fill in is going to help me more in a non-PPR.

    And who do you think will be the more valuable D/ST? Tampa or Minnesota? On the playoff cusp and every point counts

    • JB Gilpin

      Jonathan Gilpin says:
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      @Tim, I like Jones, a better chance at a big play, esp. in a non-PPR because Reece has his value there. I like Tampa’s D more, Minnesota has been horrific lately.

  5. PPR league- Reece or Jaquizz? Thoughts?

    • JB Gilpin

      Jonathan Gilpin says:
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      @zacabieli, Def Jacquizz. Atlanta will need to throw, I think NO wins this game or at least has a lead a good amount of this game, forcing ATL to focus on the pass, obviously to Turner’s detriment. Wouldn’t be surprised if Jacquizz gets 5-6 receptions, don’t think Reece will do that, even though he’ll be in on more passing plays than Jones in OAK.

  6. Thanks! That’s how I was leaning too. On a side note unrelated, watch out for Rod Streater. Super sleeper WR for the rest of the season.

    • JB Gilpin

      Jonathan Gilpin says:
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      @zacabieli, Yea I could see that, I think he’ll have maybe 2 big games then be ho-hum or ignored the rest of the time though. Denarious Moore is too good, then mix in Heyward-Bey and Myers and there’s a lot of love to be spread around.

  7. Gotta love an undrafted who by week 9 is on the field for 45 plays and 10 targets. Unlike Moore and Bey, Streater and Meyers play like they own the field and the ball is theirs.

    • JB Gilpin

      Jonathan Gilpin says:
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      @zacabieli, I hear ya, but Palmer isn’t gonna have 60+ attempts every week either.

  8. Robert says:
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    Full PPR – who should I start in flex – Jacquizz Rodgers at New Orleans or Detroit’s Ryan Broyles at Minny?

    Leaning Broyles, but could see Quizz getting a decent number of receptions…

    • JB Gilpin

      Jonathan Gilpin says:
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      @Robert, I’d go with Rodgers. I think they’ll work them in, could see Atlanta down for stretches and want to go no-huddle with Rodgers on routes, and I think the Lions have a comfortable win today, leaving the 3rd WR out.

  9. Murph says:
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    Jstew, Nate Washington, or Titus young? NON PPR

    • JB Gilpin

      Jonathan Gilpin says:
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      @Murph, Young. While I’m down on Broyles, I think Young gets the early work.

      • Murph says:
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        does Washington have higher upside with Locker back and the great matchup in miami? what happened to Titus last week?

        • JB Gilpin

          Jonathan Gilpin says:
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          @Murph, Playing Jax is what happened to Titus last week. No need to throw to anyone but CJ then run it in. I don’t think Washington has more upside, TEN WRs a Russian Roulette.

  10. Velocity_X says:
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    Hernandez is out and Daniels doesn’t look like he’ll start. Need to pick a TE on a 14 team PPR waiver. Best options look like Marcedes Lewis, Dallas Clark or Zach Miller.

    Also need help at Flex. Nicks, Daniel Thomas or Felix Jones?

    • JB Gilpin

      Jonathan Gilpin says:
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      @Velocity_X, 2nd one is easier, I try to ride out Nicks. Don’t trust those other backs at all, not like I trust Nicks, but if you said one of those three puts up 20, I’d say Nicks. For 1st one, don’t like any of those TE, would go with Clark. Maybe a play action TD with so much focus on Dougie.

      • Velocity_X says:
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        @Jonathan Gilpin, Out of the two backs, which one as an RB2? I have been using Felix for a couple weeks and he has had PPR value, but I like the matchup for D. Thomas.

        Thanks a lot!

        • JB Gilpin

          Jonathan Gilpin says:
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          @Velocity_X, I’d probably stick with Jones as well. I know the matchup is there for Thomas, but we saw the Eagles have trouble against the run vs. NO who haven’t been able to run all year. I’m not big on him, but I like Felix more.

        • JB Gilpin

          Jonathan Gilpin says:
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          @Velocity_X, You see what I wrote ya about Clark? How about that play action TD this early!

  11. drew says:
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    would you start Joique Bell over Charles in ppr?

    • JB Gilpin

      Jonathan Gilpin says:
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      @drew, Naw I couldn’t go that far. I def like Bell and def low on Charles, but that’s too much a reach for me.

  12. Phil says:
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    Dez or Floyd ?

    • JB Gilpin

      Jonathan Gilpin says:
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      @Phil, Floyd. Love the matchup, Bryant faltering.

  13. Barker says:
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    1/2 ppr
    Who to start at flex leshore v Davis f jax Hayward bey sanders boldin

    Who to start at wr pick two dez desean Jackson Hayward bey sanders bold in bess

    Who for Ros Hayward bey bold in sanders

    • JB Gilpin

      Jonathan Gilpin says:
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      @Barker, Sticking with Leshoure. Minnesota run D gave up huge day to Martin few weeks back, also gave Larod Stephens- Howling a 100-yard game. Still sticking with studs at WR in Dez and Jackson. ROS – Heyward-Bey still. RBs all hurt, Oak to throw.

      • Barker says:
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        @Jonathan Gilpin, Greg Jennings is there is he worth an add over heyward bey at this point I would be dropping roethlisberger I have Brady at qb

        Thanks dude your awesome

        • JB Gilpin

          Jonathan Gilpin says:
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          @Barker, Thanks man! Yea I think I might make that move. I would first check the opposition tho, if a team in the top 5 or 6 has a terrible QB situation, I might not, don’t want to hand them Roethlisberger for free. I do think Jennings could be a nice upside add, maybe give you one big week in the playoffs.

  14. AbNormal says:
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    Who to flex this week in 0.5-PPR league: Chris Johnson @ MIA, Emmanuel Sanders vs. KC, Felix Jones @PHI. Thanks.

    • JB Gilpin

      Jonathan Gilpin says:
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      @AbNormal, Pretty clear cut to me. CJ1K. If you listen to the pod, I’ve been trusting him again for a while, big game last week even if a garbage TD, all count tho. He’ll be fine.

  15. Bill_Buckner says:
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    Hey JB, would you start Lafell or Amendola in a .75 ppr league? Am concerned that Amendola will be limited coming off the injury. Thanks in advance

    • JB Gilpin

      Jonathan Gilpin says:
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      @Bill_Buckner, Hey man, I gotta go with the upside of Amendola. LaFell was out last week due to concussion syndromes, has same injury risk if hit hard. Plus I don’t think LaFell is very good, Amendola is.

  16. ELaw77 says:
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    Yo JB,

    Got a few questions.

    TE this week: Rudolph, Keller, or Z. Miller?
    I heard MIN talking about getting Rudolph more involved, but Keller and Miller have decent matchups.

    Pick 3: JC, Reece, LeShore, and Maclin.
    I cant get myself to bench JC and I feel like Leshore will give me a max of 5 pts this week.

    QB: Cutler or Palmer.

    Thanks!

    • elaw77 says:
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      @ELaw77,

      I dont know why I called you JB lol

      • JB Gilpin

        Jonathan Gilpin says:
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        @elaw77, Huh? JB is my name! It’s for Jonathan Brock, and when I started here at Razzball it made my name Jonathan… I need to have Sky fix that! Haha, anyway, 1 – give me Keller. Been pretty good since returning, don’t trust Rudolph obviously after disappearing. 2 – Yea you’re not dropping JC in that mix. I’m definitely leaving out Reece. I know he’s kinda flavor of the week, but I don’t buy it. 3 – Palmer. So many passes to be thrown… no running game there with my thoughts on Reece helping that. Thanks for reading!

        • elaw77 says:
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          @Jonathan Gilpin,

          I thought it was JB, but then I saw another poster had used JG and thought I have been using the wrong name all along lol.

          So since Yahoo wanted mess with us today…I couldnt even change the lineups.

          Thanks anyways though JB(G)!

  17. Mr2Bits says:
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    Leave it to Yahoo to crash on gameday and have none of their fantasy stuff work…ughhhhh

    • JB Gilpin

      Jonathan Gilpin says:
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      @Mr2Bits, Haha yup, can’t see any of my scores either….

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