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In all walks of life, everyone is sometimes in need of a good rebound week.

Be it a hard week on the job, multiple drinks thrown in your face at the bar, or boldly recommending Toby Gerhart for a huge game in week 1, sometimes you need a big week to just forget about the past.

I actually went 3-1 across my leagues in week 1, but of course my only loss was by 4 points in a deep roster PPR league (198-194) where I started Toby Gerhart with BenJarvus Green-Ellis on my bench.  It’s my long-time dynasty league where my long-time friends and I have put the most of our wads into one kitty.  OK, that sounds terrible.  But at least I lived by my call and died by my call.

It was a pretty rough week with my week 1 start calls, with me getting “Gerharted” (a new term I’m using for getting screwed on a call the rest of the year), Russell Wilson not having the debut he wanted, Mario Manningham getting some looks but not enough to carry you and Devery Henderson getting hurt.  At least Donald Brown churned out a respectable line even though he got fewer than 10 touches.

For my benches, MJD and Marshawn Lynch both had meh games, so those were a wash, but Peyton Manning really impressed, and he won’t be a bench for me the rest of the year.  However, Trent Richardson and Vincent Jackson both really tanked, so there is a glimmer of hope my calls will improve in the rebound week.

Here’s five guys not started in enough leagues and five guys started in too many leagues that should be benched, along with their % started in ESPN leagues and Yahoo leagues, respectively.  And remember, these picks are not suggestions for direct 1-for-1 swaps if you own players in both sections, but merely picks for guys not started enough and started too often.

Possible Starters

Jonathan Dwyer, RB, Pittsburgh (10.6%, 7%): With so much turmoil going on in the NFL backfield ranks, I could see a lot of scenarios where you’d have to start Jonathan Dwyer, and I would feel really good about it.  I don’t think the Jets are as good as their whomping over the Bills would make people assume, and even so, C.J. Spiller absolutely gashed their run defense.  I know Dwyer isn’t Spiller, but he did look like the much better back over Isaac Redman in week 1, and I see the Steelers winning this game fairly easily and returning to their roots in the run game.  I know their O-Line looks like a block of Swiss cheese, but in a game where the offense should be ahead and you’re getting, I’m going to guess, 65% of the carries, I think Dwyer is a solid flex this week.  70 yards and a score is my prediction.

Donald Brown, RB, Indianapolis (18.7%, 33%): I usually don’t do this, picking the same guy in consecutive weeks, but when I saw how ridiculously low his %-started numbers were, I had to put him back on.  In a game that was a blowout virtually right away, Brown was still able to pound out 9 carries for 48 yards and a score, and against a Vikings D that allowed MJD who had been sitting out all preseason to have a solid output (given it is MJD, he’s a vet, and I’m sure he kept himself in great shape), I think the Colts keep this game close and give Brown 20+ touches.

Randy Moss, WR, San Francisco (14.1%, 23%): You know, this one pains me a little bit.  And I think if you’re starting Moss, you’re smart enough to feel that pain as well.  It’s Randy Moss and it’s 2012, not 2002.  But, in fantasy it’s all about the numbers and not the name on the back of the jersey.  Which is why I am sticking with Moss as a possible starter and see him having another solid game.  The Lions were flat (maybe sugar-coating it) against the Rams last week, and I see them really opening up their offense and trying to get a big lead early (easier said than done against the 49ers).  In that respect, I see the 49ers also opening up their offense, and Moss showed he can still be a serviceable fantasy asset with 4 for 47 and a touch last week.  In front of the home fans, against a tough NFC team, in a nationally televised game, I think Moss amps it up and is a solid WR 3 or flex.

Brent Celek, TE, Philadelphia (12.8%, 20%): As of this posting, both DeSean Jackson and Jeremy Maclin are questionable, but I have a feeling both will play.  Regardless, I see Brent Celek getting a lot of work this afternoon against the Ravens, with Vick needing his safety valve under a whirlwind of pressure.  Vick got straight harassed by the Browns (probably an inappropriate comment – but I find it ironic that Vick had one of his worst games at Cleveland that features a Dawg Pound) in week 1, and I see him having trouble again this week.  With Jackson and Maclin ailing, look for Celek to be the focal point.  I like him a lot as a low-end TE starter this week.

Super Deep: Curtis Brinkley, RB, San Diego (0.0%, 0%): Started in literally no leagues, if you have some sort of desperation or hail-mary situation in a deep, deep league, I see Curtis Brinkley being a surprise running back this week.  As reiterated below with Chris Johnson, I don’t see the Titans making this much of a game this afternoon, giving the Chargers plenty of time to see what they have in Brinkley with Ryan Mathews probably out again this week (that’s the prevailing feeling at the time of this post).  Listen, we all know who Ronnie Brown is, so if the Chargers do indeed get a comfortable lead, I see Brinkley getting more work than people would expect, and he got twice as many carries as Ronnie Brown in week 1 (given they didn’t yield any results).  He also nabbed three catches out of the backfield against the Raiders.  I wouldn’t be surprised if he got 17-18 touches with maybe 60 total yards and a possible score.

Son of a Bench

Chris Johnson, RB, Tennessee (92.8%, 88%): I’m not exactly breaking ground here by exclaiming just how bad he looked in week 1 vs. New England, but I am going as drastic as saying I’d rather start Malcolm Floyd this week over Chris Johnson as I told Nick on the Razzball Fantasy Football podcast.  Jake Locker is banged up, Britt will be limited, and just the entire Titans team feels like a fantasy black hole right now.  The Chargers were able to contain Darren McFadden in the running game (he did still rack up the yards through the air, and while Johnson could as well, I don’t see him getting more than three catches) and I see them running up the score and keeping Johnson from too many touches.

Trent Richardson, RB, Cleveland (74.4%, 65%): Just like I did above with Donald Brown, I’m plagiarizing my picks from last week and sticking with one that worked with Trent Richardson.  I know he’s a great talent and the minor knee surgery he received about a month ago isn’t keeping him from his workload.  However, Brandon Weeden looked terrible in his first game as a pro, and with the Bengals getting embarrassed on Monday Night Football last week, I expect them to come back hungry against the young Browns offense.  I wouldn’t be surprised to see Richardson with another stat line similar to week 1:20 touches for 50ish yards and no scores.  You could do worse, but you could also go with a lot more upside on your bench.

Brandon Lloyd, WR, New England (86.8%, 78%): Lloyd got the most targets of any Patriots receiver in week 1, and with everyone overreacting to Welker’s slow debut, I can completely envision Lloyd has the slow week 2 and Welker has a huge day.  The Patriots will be on cruise control against the Cardinals in this game, and with the Cardinals’ familiarity with Lloyd from his days on the Rams, I have a feeling the targets go to Welker and the big boys (the Tight Ends).  Not to mention, he had a huge touchdown last week bounce off his fingertips when he started backpedalling rather than finish his route.  Just a little tidbit Brady might remember while he spreads it around.  I would be fine starting a backup.

Robert Griffin III, QB, Washington (52.0%, 49%): I wouldn’t be surprised if I got the most flack of my calls this week by saying RGIII is a bench. The only scenarios I would see starting RGIII right now is in a 2-QB league or if you somehow had so much faith in him that you picked him as your starting QB in your draft.  Otherwise, you probably have another top-10 QB option and picked RGIII as a backup, all of whom I would take over RGIII.  I think the comparisons to Cam Newton are a little unfounded, and while RGIII had the huge debut, the Rams defense, who I’m not totally believing in (but I was impressed), did limit Stafford somewhat in the passing game and I think will limit RGIII and the Redskins as well.  Another huge factor is Pierre Garcon is looking like he’ll be out.  I think this game stays a lot closer than people imagine and RGIII disappoints owners who roll the dice on him.

Jason Witten, TE, Dallas (63.7%, 50%): A surprise active in the NFL’s opener a week and a half ago after suffering a spleen injury, I think Witten is going to need at least one more outing of game action to really get back into his groove.  Only two catches in the opener for 10 yards, plus some uncharacteristic penalties, Witten just wasn’t himself against the Giants.  I know he’s got some extra practice time under his belt with the extended time between games, but there’s nothing like a full-on NFL game to get you back into your rhythm.  I think the Seahawks limit Witten, and if you’ve got him, you drafted a TE to start for you week 1.  I would use another replacement this week before trusting Witten again.

If you have any last second decisions, shoot me some comments, or tweet me @jbgilpin. Good luck to everyone today in the rebound week!

From Around The Web

  1. Chillmodious says:
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    With Garçon likely out and not wanting to chance it on the late start, I could go with any of my meh bench guys, Titus Young/Ryan Williams/Quizz Rodgers/Robert Turbin. However, names like Braylon Edwards and Austin Collie are on the FA wire and I’m contemplating a drop of (likely) Robert Turbin to pick one up and play him. I’d love your thoughts on this scenario and advice on which way to go. Thanks!

    • JB Gilpin

      Jonathan Gilpin says:
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      @Chillmodious, Ah, found your comment, it got buried or something… I do think Turbin is droppable, however I wouldn’t for those guys. I would go with Titus Young even though I know he layed a huge dud in week 1. I think the 49ers are going to use as much of their resources as they can doubling and tripling Calvin Johnson, which will force Stafford to look Young’s way. I’d also be tempted to go with Jaquizz Rodgers, in a shoot our he should be in on numerous passing sets. So Young for me, if you are scared with him, Jaquizz.

  2. Dozattackaz says:
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    Hi, I’m unsure who to start between my WR’s and TE’s.

    J. Maclin or Lance Moore?

    Witten or Greg Olsen?

    Thanks in advance!

    • Dozattackaz says:
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      whoops, I forgot to add my other dilemma.

      Seattle or Cincinnati defense?

      Thanks!

      • JB Gilpin

        Jonathan Gilpin says:
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        @Dozattackaz, I like Maclin, Witten and Cincy D. Not sold Moore can be a starter you feel good about and Maclin will be playing. As above, scared about Witten. Olsen will be involved. Cincy vs. such a bad Browns offense is a gold mine.

  3. Iceman says:
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    Defense to start today:

    Jets w/out Revis at PIT, or Cowboys at SEA?

    Thanks–

    • JB Gilpin

      Jonathan Gilpin says:
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      @Iceman, Gimme the Boys. While Big Ben is sack prone, Russell Wilson showed he still has some big strides to make to be successful. Plus he’s just as susceptible to sacks anyway.

  4. dirtydee says:
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    Two questions different teams

    Need one Flex: Nicks. Loyd. R Bush
    1ppr. Leaning Nicks for upside but that foot is really worrying me. Bush not so bad in PPR. Loyd in offense with many mouths to feed.

    and

    Is it crazy to play Donald Brown over Chris Johnson in .5 PPR?

    • JB Gilpin

      Jonathan Gilpin says:
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      @dirtydee, I’d go with Bush. Won’t get as many catches but has assured workload. Nicks’ foot a little worrisome, and I’m down on Lloyd this week as written above.

      Not crazy at all starting Brown, I literally made that exact move in a league where CJ fell to early 2nd round and I had to take him.

  5. mike says:
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    Please help mjd vs hou or mike wallace vs jets without reevis

    • JB Gilpin

      Jonathan Gilpin says:
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      @mike, MJD. I like the guys who will get the touches, and even without working with the team all preseason, was effective week 1.

      • mike says:
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        @Jonathan Gilpin,
        Im afraid jags go down quick and abandon run all together

        • JB Gilpin

          Jonathan Gilpin says:
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          @mike, I think they will go down, but they won’t completely abandon run, plus MJD has good hands on check downs in pass mode.

  6. Curt says:
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    Welker or Wallace today, ppr league…..

    • JB Gilpin

      Jonathan Gilpin says:
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      @Curt, Like them both a lot, leaning towards Welker.

  7. Joe says:
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    PPR league – Richardson or Malcom Floyd?

    • JB Gilpin

      Jonathan Gilpin says:
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      @Joe, Since PPR, Floyd, even though I know Richardson will get some dump offs.

  8. Go Eagles! says:
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    Last second flex decision:

    DeSean Jackson, Kenny Britt or Jonathan Dwyer? Thanks

    Love the site and especially the podcast this year guys, keep it up!

    • JB Gilpin

      Jonathan Gilpin says:
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      @Go Eagles!, Thanks man! We really appreciate you reading and listening. I am still a sucker for D Jax… But if it’s standard no PPR, I’d go with Dwyer, I think biggest chance to score. Stickin with D Jax in PPR.

  9. Chillmodious says:
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    Not to be annoying, but could you check out Comment #1? I’m stressing! Thanks a lot.

    • Chillmodious says:
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      @Chillmodious, Apparently my comment(s) is(are) awaiting moderation. That’s a Razz-first for me. Never had that with baseball or hoops.

      • JB Gilpin

        Jonathan Gilpin says:
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        @Chillmodious, Yea you have to have a comment approved I think, or something wonky like that, I dunno, but you should be good to go now! Ask anything you need from here on out it shouldn’t do that again to ya. Sorry about that!

        • Chillmodious says:
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          @Jonathan Gilpin, No worries, but thanks for the clarification (and answering my initial question — I’m rolling with Titus, but I really do think Braylon will have a good day).

  10. EK says:
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    McGahee or Torrey Smith at flex? non-ppr

    • JB Gilpin

      Jonathan Gilpin says:
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      @EK, Man I love Torrey Smith, but he wasn’t too involved last week. At least not as much as I had thought. I’d go with McGahee since no PPR boost.

  11. Zandercage says:
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    Hey –

    Big Ben or Ryan Fitzpatrick?

    AND

    Pick 2 – Sidney Rice, Mike Williams (TB) and Stephen Hill?

    Thanks!

    • JB Gilpin

      Jonathan Gilpin says:
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      @Zandercage, Big Ben, and I’d leave out Stephen Hill. Think it was a fluke-ish week 1, don’t see him doing much this week.

  12. Mr2Bits says:
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    Seeing the article above need help on 2 choices.

    Vick or RG3

    Maclin or Crabtree

    Thanks

    • JB Gilpin

      Jonathan Gilpin says:
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      @Mr2Bits, Sticking with the Eagles and would go with both Vick and Maclin. Vick just a shade over RG3, Maclin a good bit over Crabtree.

    • Mr2Bits says:
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      One last one…do I run the Phili D out there today or grab someone like Oakland, Cinci, NYG or Dallas?

  13. Citizen5 says:
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    Would you start RGIII over Vick?

    • JB Gilpin

      Jonathan Gilpin says:
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      @Citizen5, Nah, I’d stick with Vick. Not too huge on either, but like Vick a shade more.

  14. mike says:
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    Mjd or mike wallace non ppr

    • JB Gilpin

      Jonathan Gilpin says:
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      @mike, MJD. I want the guys with the for sure workload.

  15. AL KOHOLIC says:
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    stephen hill or britt,thanks

    • JB Gilpin

      Jonathan Gilpin says:
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      @AL KOHOLIC, Don’t like either, but I’d roll the dice on Hill. Britt’s limited snap count has me worried plus Locker is a little banged up.

      • AL KOHOLIC says:
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        @Jonathan Gilpin, my thoughts also,thank you

  16. Herschel says:
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    PPR flex help. Al Morris or Decker? Thanks.

    • JB Gilpin

      Jonathan Gilpin says:
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      @Herschel, I like Decker. Going to be a shoot out in Atlanta. Weather controlled in the dome. Love all passing weapons in Denver, esp. Decker.

  17. Tim says:
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    TE Help non PPR: H Miller or Gresham

    • JB Gilpin

      Jonathan Gilpin says:
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      @Tim, Gimme Heath. Liked what I saw week 1, think he’ll still be involved in a game that should stay closer than Cincy rocking the Browns

  18. BroncoFeld says:
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    Standard Non-PPR league….

    DeMarco Murray vs SEA or Reggie Bush vs OAK

    • BroncoFeld says:
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      @BroncoFeld,

      Also forgot to ask

      Kyle Rudolph vs. IND or Germain Gresham vs. CLE?

      Thanks.

      • JB Gilpin

        Jonathan Gilpin says:
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        @BroncoFeld, Love Murray for sure, probably go with Rudolph for your TE. Think that game stays closer, Cincy to shut down a little after big lead.

  19. AL KOHOLIC says:
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    steven jackson or dez,got jax in there now

    • JB Gilpin

      Jonathan Gilpin says:
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      @AL KOHOLIC, Yea I’d stick with Jackson, like the workload. Not sold Dez can be a consistent option over the better RBs like S Jax

  20. DP says:
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    Ridley or Doug martin? Also Demaryius Thomas or Antonio Brown? .25 PPR. Thanks.

    • JB Gilpin

      Jonathan Gilpin says:
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      @DP, I lovvvvvvve Stevan Ridley. Like Martin a lot too, that’s a great pair to choose from, but I like Ridley to carry another big load vs. Arizona. I’d go with Antonio Brown, I do think it’s a shoot out Monday Night, but I like Brown more.

  21. Murph says:
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    Need a Flex starter Jonathan (Non PPR)

    Donald Brown
    Micheal Turner
    Miles Austin

    • JB Gilpin

      Jonathan Gilpin says:
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      @Murph, Definitely between Brown and Austin for me, would go with Brown. Think he gets a lot of work and at least one Cowboys receiver is gonna disappear.

      • Murph says:
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        @Jonathan Gilpin,

        no possibility that turner gets work to slow down manning? I agree on austin I think he is still limited and last week was just a case of him being in the right place at the right time for the TD (only 4 targets that game!!!)

        Im just a little nervous on brown already had marshall go on thursday for 2 points so im down big I dont know if brown has the big play ability to score 16-20 points but might be the only play

        • JB Gilpin

          Jonathan Gilpin says:
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          @Murph, I think Brown does, it just won’t be on one big play. I think Turner will get work, but none in the passing game and isn’t a great YPC guy at all. I’d stick with Brown.

          • Murph says:
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            @Jonathan Gilpin,

            Yup!!! have a good weekend of football, thanks again

            • JB Gilpin

              Jonathan Gilpin says:
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              @Murph, You too man, good luck today!

              • Murph says:
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                @Jonathan Gilpin,

                So the Donald Brown plan didn’t go so well, he did get the carries but that O Line is awful…I might try him again next week against a terrible Jags defense.

  22. brian says:
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    Stewart vs Hillis in .5 PPR.. who ya got!

    • JB Gilpin

      Jonathan Gilpin says:
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      @brian, Ewww, can I pass? Haha. Stewart, a little more upside based on PPR and the fact he should be involved after how bad the Panthers run game looked week 1

      • brian says:
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        @Jonathan Gilpin, Thanks boss. This is for flex over the likes of Meachem or Burleson

        • JB Gilpin

          Jonathan Gilpin says:
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          @brian, Kinda like Meachem, but would stick with Stewart. No problem man!

  23. dsimon says:
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    No PPR: Need 2 – Reggie Bush, Alfred Morris, Desean Jackson

    Different league with 0.5 PPR – Need 2 – Britt, Mathews, D Martin, Ridley.

    • JB Gilpin

      Jonathan Gilpin says:
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      @dsimon, In the no PPR, I like your RBs. Like their workloads, o.5 PPR like Martin and Ridley miles above the other guys, Mathews out, Britt limited.

      • dsimon says:
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        @Jonathan Gilpin, I looked at it wrong. I need to go with Bush OR Morris (no ppr).

        Leaning Morris because of how bad the rest of Miami is. Then again, Raiders were on MNF this week, early game, etc. Oakland D could struggle.

  24. Jack Full of Hate says:
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    PPR league, 1 point per, I can’t decide between Amendola or Stephen Hill. My brain sats Amen and my gut says Hill. The injuries to Pitts D make me think the Jets might be able to pas on them and Hill is ready to go. Any thoughts

    • Andrew Nordmeier

      Andrew Nordmeier says:
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      @Jack Full of Hate, Please tell me you went with your brain…lol

  25. nick m. says:
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    With Gates out, play McMichael, Rosario, Zach Miller (Sea), or Scheffler?

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