There’s something about slow starts that unnerves fantasy owners, especially when it comes from a fantasy asset with a bad year under their belt. Obviously we all want our players to get off to starts like Robert Griffin, III or Matt Ryan. You know, those guys you picked up late you just knew were going to be amazing for your team. Well, there are still some guys that will be amazing for you and you might even have them on your team right now One of their names is Philip Rivers. Philip is putting together a so-so year to date, on pace for just under 3600 passing yards, 24 TD passes and 16 INT. Under the hood, though, we can see he’s really only had 1 bad game and that was versus an underrated Atlanta Falcons team. Now that we’re out from under the hood, let’s look into the future and see who Rivers gets to face: @NO, DEN, @CLE, KC, and @TB. Three of those five teams are in the bottom ten in passing yards allowed and one of them, Kansas City, Rivers just went for 209 and two TDs against along with an INT. Looking even further down the road, his playoff slate – @PIT, CAR, @NYJ – isn’t looking overly intimidating either. When you put it all together, he should be well on his way to another 30+ TD season but is currently ranked behind Matt Cassel in terms of QB rankings. So go ask one of your league mates if they’ve been driven to tears by Philip. In other buy low, sell high fantasy football news for 2012…
Buy
Steve Smith - No, not the one in STL. Do we even need to discuss him anymore? Touchdowns are fickle. They also jade people into thinking such and such player is worthless while another one is a superstar. There’s no better example of this than little old Smith. Did you know he’s 8th in receiving yards this year? I know, it’s hard to care about that when he’s given you the goose egg in the 6 point category but he’s still present and still the with a capital T-H-E target for Cam Newton. Don’t let the TDs scare you away. If he repeats his 7 from 2011 in 12 games after not getting them in the first 4, just think how happy you are that you traded for him.
Ryan Mathews – This is a tentative buy. I originally had him in my top 10 but he was the start of the slippery slope tier. See how much I can contradict myself in one sentence? Mathews has the talent to be a top 5 back. He also must moonlight as an ‘Oil Applicant Specialist’ on adult film sets because he just can’t hang onto the ball. Couple that with a career laced with injury issues and a current one with his clavicle and I’m questioning why I even have him here. Oh wait, I know why. I’m sure the guy who drafted Ryan expected more than he’s gotten so far and he could go for cheaper than he should. Check in with them, ask how their mother is doing and tell them she has nice hair to start the conversation off right.
Darren McFadden - So he’s been healthy and yet has been outscored so far this season by Andre Brown. Yes the Andre Brown who hasn’t even played in 2 full games as the main back. Buy calls are made on players where we fear to tread like my Chris Johnson call. McFadden – health permitting – is a top 10 back. His health permit could be revoked at any time, though, so keep that in mind when Mackin on McFadden.
Tony Romo - Talked about him a bit yesterday. Bad game wasn’t all his fault. Lot of owners probably had this face after the game with regards to Tony. If you are in need of a solid QB and can deal with a bye week, you’re probably not getting Romo any cheaper than you can right now.
Sell
Willis McGehee - This isn’t about whether or not McGehee is good or not. He’s a decent, low-end RB2 option. However, he’s currently ranked in the top 20 and as the 11th best RB in yahoo leagues. I know Peyton Manning is a boon to his value but you have to question whether or not he keeps performing at a 300 touch, 1450 total yard pace, not to mention the 12 TDs. If you are a believer, I have the right to ask w’hatchoo talkin ’bout, Willis owners’? He is not a key enough part of his offense to keep those numbers up, in my opinion. As the Cheesy Skillets guy would say, strike while the iron is hot. Then forge it with liquid gooooooooooooooooooooold!
Matt Forte – Your Forte’s back and they’re gonna be in trouble. Hey now, hey now, your Forte’s back! He’s also not fully healthy and may not ever get that way this season. When you couple that with a lack of touchdowns likely to come his way, you could be sorry you held on. Try talking up his first game back with the other owner. He did pretty good with limited carries. See if the other owner thinks Matt learned the Nintendo code for unlimited carries from here on out. Bonus points for reading that and telling me in the comments what code that would be.
Ryan Fitzpatrick - Yes, obvious sell is obvious. You drafted him as your backup QB. He’s now ranked 16th according to yahoo. That’s nuts with a side of Planters and Paydays. Some stats to note here: he’s on pace to set two career highs. One of them is his touchdown total of 24 from last year as he’s currently on pace for doubling that number. The second one is his interception high from last year of 23 as he’ll hit 28 by season’s end at this clip. I really think only one of those numbers is within reach. I’ll leave it up to you to guess which one. To put things full circle, let’s just say the Romo owner needs a QB for this week and you’re already set and ‘ole Fitzy was riding the pine anyway…well there ya go.
Trying to do a trade with the Romo owner in a 2 QB league:
I give:
1) Aaron Rogers
2) Demarco Murray
3) Willis Mcghee
4) Pierre Garcon
I get:
1) Tony Romo
2) Ray Rice
3) Ryan Matthews
4) Julio Jones
haha what do you think about this?
@Eric, Preferably Garcon but I might have to put in Colston instead
Trade should work well for you. Obviously prefer to keep Colston if possible.
Got offered Peyton Manning for Donald Brown. Seems like no brainer but I think im over thinking DBrowns upside. Take the deal to get Peyton?
Other rbs:
Adrian Peterson
Alfred Morris
Chris Johnson
Ryan Williams
Andre Brown
Start 2 with a flex .5 ppr
@Dirtyd, qbs are bigben and cutler
I could see doing that assuming it’s a one QB league and you’re dropping Cutler.
Need a RB…….looking to trade Harvin to get one…
Please rank Murray,forte,Richardson ROS?
Could I get one of these guys for Harvin?
Standard league
I’d look to keep harvin. The dude is a beast. Can’t you trade anyone else?
Richardson/Murray/Forte
It’s possible, would want only Richardson from the bunch.
Would u try to trade jimmy graham for a rb ?
I have witten for backup
Graham for Murray or Richardson or forte?
Is that too much
Desperate for rb
Have harvin Cruz maclin at wr
Rb is McFadden Martin
Ry Williams Andre brown
I wouldn’t call that being desperate for RB. Graham for Richardson isn’t too much, though.
I’ve been offered Vick and Mathews for Matt Ryan and Cobb.
16 team league, no ppr, start 2 QB, 20 return yards per point
My current roster:
QB Matt Ryan
QB Ryan Tannehill
WR Percy Harvin
WR Mike Wallace
WR Randall Cobb
RB Doug Martin
RB Cedric Benson
TE Fred Davis
W/R Greg Little
BEN Mikel LeShoure
BEN Jonathan Grimes
BEN Bilal Powell
Right now in our format, Cobb is the 13th highest scoring WR, which makes me lean towards not making the deal. Any input?
You’re taking on too much risk with that trade in a 16 team league. FA is thin in that way. Vick or Mathews go down, that trade is really going to hurt. I wouldn’t do it.
@Sky, what if it was leshoure instead of Cobb?
@Cheese, Doesn’t change the risk you’re taking on. Not seeing the upside to trading Matt Ryan – whom I feel finishes in the top 10 this year – away for that package.
I give cruz and cj2k i get run dmc and demaryius thomas, decline.
I prefer the Cruz side.
Ryan Williams at STL tonight, or CJ1K at MIN Sunday?
Grazie.
I’d lean CJ
i have been offered a trade of p rivers and miles austin for andrew luck, normally i would do this in a heart beat however this is a keeper league and i had aspirations of keeping luck long term, i currently have vick as my qb but i was thinking of running with luck as vick has struggled, miles austin would become my best wr, what do you think, is luck worth holding on to?
In a forever keeper, I’m not trading Andrew Luck.
I’ve been offered to give up Spiller and R. Bush for MJD. My only other back is Jamaal Charles. Thoughts? The only reason I consider it is if Spiller is a time share ROS
Not a bad trade, necessarily, but Bush and MJD are closer in value to eachother than most think. He should be giving a part back. Your fear regarding CJ is appropriate but I still think him and FJax will be of value to their owners, just more of a flex variety.
Morning Sky
What is your opinion on trading Hartline. Is he an ultra sell high? Or A legit WR3 with maybe a sprinkle of WR2 potential sprinkled in?
I ask because If I traded him I could pull off
Larry FItz/Donald Brown/Kyle Rudolph/Brian Hartline for Gronk/Wallace.
I would obviously get the best players in the deal but Hartline is my 3rd WR and I would have to start either Hankerson or Roberts every week.
Your thoughts would be appreciated good sir.
Morning!
He’s a WR3. Like him don’t love him given his team; they’re a ground team. That said, I’d still make that trade.
Drew Brees/Julio/Demarco
for
RG3/McCoy/Antonio Brown
Which side would you rather have?
RGIII
i was probably one of the few people who started chris johnson last week and expected him to have a good game (too much hate)…and now i want to trade him, which of these trades would you do? All of them?
1. chris johnson, britt, shaun hill to the guy who has stafford for jamaal charles hillis shaun draughn (basically it’s johnson/britt for charles)
2. johnson britt tate to the guy who has foster for welker mike turner fleener
3. johnson britt for julio jones doug martin
thanks
@exactly,
1) No
2) No
3) Could see it, but I don’t really like it either.
Phillip Rivers hit waivers can I drop Rothlesiberger for him? Also who do you like better for week 5? and who will be better ROS? Thanks Sky and great writing as usual (annoying as ever)
Big Benvs Philly
Vick vs Pitt
Rivers vs NO
@Sky,
A couple more interesting players hit the waivers, due to the scare amount of RBs this year what do you think about Ben Tate and Johnathan Stewart ROS?
My team is
Eli
Doug Martin, Frank Gore, Donald Brown, Mendenhall, Daryl Richardson
Megatron, Austin, Britt, DHB, James Jones, Hartline, Hawkins (and Vincent Brown on my IR)
Tony Gonzalez
We start 1QB, 2RB, 3WR, 1TE, and a RB/WR/TE flex.
Would you trade away everyone but Megatron? Seriously, I hate my team (despite being 3-1).
I don’t like any of my RBs, but I’m not sure how to go about upgrading, I don’t feel particularly strong anywhere else. :(
@Rags, Gore is a sell high candidate but any others you’re selling too low on. You don’t really have an RB1. If you could get an RB1 for him, I’d take it.
I understand your unease. Other than Megatron, it’s hard to tell who you drafted in the first 4 rounds. Hopefully Mendy & Britt come through for you.
@Sky, Would you do Britt and Gore for Ryan Mathews and AJ Green? The guy also has White and Marshall, so he could take a risk at WR. Should I ask for Marshall instead?
I’d take the Green side of that. Personally if I had Mathews and any of those three WR, I wouldn’t accept that deal. Feels like a steal for you no matter what WR you get.
Had a trade offer sitting around for the past ten days in a ten-team PPR league:
I give: Jimmy Graham and Andre Brown
I get: Harvin and Dennis Pitta
My team:
WR – Roddy White, Reggie Wayne, Amendola, Hartline, Andre Roberts and Kenny Britt
TE – Graham and Pettigrew
RB – MJD, Michael Turner, Fred Jackson, Alfred Morris, Mendenhall and Andre Brown
Slots are 2 WR, 2 RB, W/T, W/RB and W/T/RB, so I can probably swallow the loss of Graham and Brown… but…. I’ve been thinking I want to stand pat.
Thoughts?
Hrm, if you only need to start 2 WR, I don’t think I’d want to lose Graham even though you are getting the better end of the deal. I’d hold, personally.
ROS: S. Hill or A. Hawkins?
@Prospects Anonymous, actually let’s go ahead and make it S. Hill, A. Hawkins, Bess, Stokely, T.J. Graham?
Bess/Hill/Hawkins/Stokely/Graham
With Holmes likely out for the season, I’d lean Hill.
Hey Sky. What are your thoughts on Jeremy Maclin for the ROS? Is he still going to be a legit WR2? I know he was probably still hurting a bit last weekend, but he was on the field for all but a few snaps, so I am a bit concerned going forward. I’ve got FJax sliding a bit too, so my WR2/RB2 combo is looking a bit iffy. Thanks.
DeSean is the primary target there. If that O-Line can’t find a way for Vick to look at his secondary options, Maclin might have a hard time being a WR2. On paper he is but that offense is doing him no favors. I’d treat him as a high end WR3 at this time.
@Sky, That’s what I was afraid of. Generally speaking, would you start any of these WR3-ish guys ahead of him at this point?
D. Moore, A. Boldin, N.Washington? Hopefully ha hasn’t slipped that far yet. 12 team, standard scoring. Thanks.
Depending on matchups, Moore & Boldin are viable WR3 options. Moore should see more looks while DHB is out. Washington will depend on Britt’s health all season.
Wouldn’t say Maclin has slipped down there but I had him closer to the 25th WR off the board than most did coming into the season. Moore’s probably the closest, though.
@Sky, Thanks for the help. I’m going to have to hope one of those guys overachieves a bit.
Not a problem. Good luck!
I know this is hard to predict but do you see as the least valuable backup stash? L. Miller or R. Hillman?
Not really much value there, honestly. Hillman.
I think it’s a little too early to sell on Forte. He’s got a pretty easy five weeks coming up, and he’s the only guy on the team Cutler has shown consistent chemistry with over the years (huge in PPR). It’s easy to look at the numbers and be mislead (the injury and the abnormally brutal game at GB), but Forte always seems to end up getting his, even with TD vultures present.
Could be, I just don’t know if I see him as the RB1 people drafted him as ROS. Wouldn’t sell him for peanuts, just if someone sees him as a viable RB1 going forward and traded for that price, I’d be a seller right now.
giving lloyd getting bradshaw?
0-4 team in a .5 ppr keeper league (keep 3 players at drafted round). Lloyd is 14th rd, bradshaw 2nd rd. have ‘depth’ at wr (fitz, floyd(sd), simpson, rice, roberts), but not at rb (foster, bag of peanuts)
In a weird situation Sky and your help would be much appreciated. I am in a 10 Team Non PPR leauge where I can get Matt Ryan from an RGIII owner for an DUI Turner which would leave me only with Lynch, Rice and Brown but I also have Vick and another Owner has shown interest and he has Murray, Forte, DMAC, Ridley and Matthews. What should I do here?
Just to clarify: You’d get Matt Ryan for Michael Turner & possibly 5 other useful RBs for Vick? I’d do that hands down.
@Sky,
Yes I agree 100% Turner for Ryan is a steal, Turner is so overrated but it worries me that if the other deal doesnt go through im left with only 3 RBs and 3 QBs. Im thinking about targeting Murray or Matthews in the Vick trade any thoughts? I think I can get it done becasue his current QB is Romo and he is desperate with the Forte DMAC Murray and Matthews issues.
Ah, from your wording I thought the other guy had indicated a big enough interest you’d know who you could reasonably get. I’d rank them DMC/Mathews/Murray/Forte/Ridley at this point. My interests of those guys would be DMC/Mathews. Obviously both being health risks.
@Sky,
Yeah sorry for the poor wording. I could push for DMC or Forte or Matthews but I think Murray is more realistic. Do you think that this is an awful deal? The way I see it Ryan is an upgrade for Vick and Murray and Turner “ROS” are about even so its win win for me. Lets just hope that the falcons dont stop throwing it and go back to featuring Turner the Burner show…..
Murray as an upgrade over Turner, and Ryan as an upgrade over Vick. Trade still makes sense to me. Trust me, with the level of success the Falcons have had, the running game will stay a decoy. Too many good hands in that line up for it not to stay successful, barring injury.
Who out of Kendall Hunter, Daniel Thomas, and Robert Meachem should I drop for Andre Roberts? 12 team ppr.
Thanks!
Can drop Daniel Thomas
My league is a 12 team standard scoring league
Starting lineup is QB 2rb 2wr 1flex te def k
My team
QB Brady Ponder Locker
RB Foster Matthews McFadden Powell
WR Garçon Jennings Bowe R.Moss Gordon Baldwin
TE Tony Gonzalez
DEF Arizona
K Hanson
Been offered Cruz and TRich for DMC and Jennings
Pull the trigger?
I’d want the T-Rich side.
Sorry if this reposts not seeing my comment up.
*In a weird situation Sky and your help would be much appreciated. I am in a 10 Team Non PPR leauge where I can get Matt Ryan from an RGIII owner for an DUI Turner which would leave me only with Lynch, Rice and Brown but I also have Vick and another Owner has shown interest and he has Murray, Forte, DMAC, Ridley and Matthews. What should I do here?
No problem, your original post didn’t automatically go through. Sorry about that.
Need to start a RB on bench during bye week
Would u start D williams(car)
Bolden(ne)
Mendenhall Pitt)
Standard league
A mess
That’s tough. Bolden probably has the highest TD opportunity of that bunch, IMHO, but I’d rank them DeAngelo/Mendy/Bolden.
Speaking of fast starts like Ryan and RG3, one owner that has both QBs is looking for a WR and wants to move a QB. I have Romo and Dalton, along with Mike Wallace, Larry Fitzgerald, Dez Bryant, Danny Amendola, and Michael Crabtree (start 3 WR and 1 flex).
Would you trade Romo and Wallace or Fitz for Ryan or RG3? He already turned down Dez and Romo for Ryan and countered with Wallace and Romo for RG3.
@Nico, He offered Ryan for Fitz and Romo. Too much?
Maybe, but your team can afford it. I really like Ryan – think he stays top 10 this year – so I’d pull the trigger.
Give up Reggie Bush and Crabtree for Demaryius Thomas and A. Bolden?
QBs – Brady/Schaub
WRs – Harvin, Crabtree, A Hawkins
RBs – Bush, Lynch, MJD, Ridley, Alfred Morris, McGahee, LeShoure, Andre Brown
TEs – Chandler, Miller, Hernandez
Was able to acquire good RBs so I think Reggie Bush can be used to get some WR depth.
Can start QB, 2 x RBs, TE, 2 x WR, 2 x W/R, W/T and a W/R/T in a PPR league.
Even though you’re improving your WR2, I don’t think that improves your depth by moving Crabtree. Prefer Bush this season over D.T. anyway. I think you should look for a 1 for 1 with one of your RBs to make Crabtree your WR3.
@Sky, Who do you think is the most expendable at this point among my RBs? Would like to keep a good core but still offer something attractive for a WR2.
In order of guys I’d be willing to move: Morris/LeShoure/McGehee/Ridley. The Ridley is just me not trusting Crazy Hoodie Bill. Honestly, moving any of those guys wouldn’t hurt your core. You’re not getting anything for Andre Brown unless the Ahmad owner wants a handcuff.
I feel like I may be overvaluing my players (haha I guess everyone is bias towards their team) and I was wondering what round and/or pick value these players are to you personally?
1) Adrian Peterson
2) Torrey Smith
3) Pierre Garcon
4) Reggie Bush
I just can’t seem to grasp the solid/fair value point for these 4? Thanks!
AP & Bush are currently low end RB1s. Makes them 2nd round/3rd round guys in my book.
Torrey is a solid WR2 at this stage. Think 4th or 5th round.
Pierre has been too injured to evaluate. His value is probably in the 8th round or 9th round.
Can’t really give you pick value, that would require a lot more research but the rounds should give you a good idea.
Sky
Need advice on a trade. I’m 4-0 to start the season but looking to improve…
My backs are Rice,Gore, T-Rich, and Tate.
My receivers are D-Jax, V-Jax, Lance Moore, Cobb.
Have a Gore & V-Jax for Roddy White & Pierre Thomas trade on the table. Do I take it?!?
@Scott, 2 RB 2 WR, and flex (WR/RB/TE) .5 ppr league
I always want more from my RB than my WR. I’d hold, but Roddy is tempting.
@Sky, thanks. I’m very tempted. He also has Alfred Morris, Ridley, and Mendy. Do I try to get one him to add them instead of Thomas? Or push for Gore-White straight up. And use v-Jax in another trade down the road?
Gore for Roddy would be ideal. Ridley in the mix would be nice. Mendy might be the most reasonable.
Non PPR ROS
Trade Turner receive Murray?
Currently a Miles Austin owner. Thanks
Yeah, I’d do that.