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There are many fantasy nuggets you can get out of preseason football, but you have to be selective and even then you can’t be 100% sure what you see will translate into the regular season.  Take for instance Victor Cruz.  The man has shown he can compete in the NFL.  It’s been amazing to see him take his shot and run with it.  I am not here to tell you the guy can’t play in this league, but unless you are in a deep dynasty league, there is no reason to even think about drafting him right now.

Take a look at all the receivers in front of him.  He just won’t have the opportunities it takes to be fantasy relevant.  This is usually the problem that pops up.  Can the preseason star find playing time?  Another example of this is Stephen Williams of the Cardinals.  All indications out of training camp were that he was the real deal.  Then he gets into preseason games and just continues to shine.  He even does it with the first team because Larry Fitzgerald has been hurt.  I got to see the guy play live and I believe the hype, but will he play?

Williams outplayed Early Doucet who was poised to take a step this season.  He’s right up there, but we have to look at the bigger picture.  Larry Fitzgerald will be back for opening day.  Steve Breaston may not be the next Jerry Rice, but he is a talented player who is seasoned in the offense and trusted by the coaches.  And the same holds true for Doucet as well.  Add to that the questions surrounding Matt Leinart and Derek Anderson and you just don’t have a recipe for success at this point. Williams has the ability to make an impact this season if everything falls into place, but there is no need to draft him.

Then there are players that show their stuff in preseason and at the same time find their self with an opportunity to win the starting position.  Arian Foster fits that bill to a tee, but he may be a little obvious at this point.  Jabar Gaffney may be a better example of a player having a good preseason that looks like it could translate into regular season production.  Coming into this season the Broncos wide receiver situation has been extremely difficult to decipher.  It’s still pretty muddled, but Gaffney has been targeted by Orton the most out of all his receivers.  When playing time is up for grabs like it is in Denver these preseason numbers can be helpful.  Another Bronco receiver could easily shine and move ahead of Gaffney, but right now the #1 job is his to lose.

So when looking at preseason numbers always look at their context.  Did that player gain all those yards in the 4th quarter against 3rd stringers?  Was the starter out with an injury that they will be healed from by the start of the season?  Preseason is a great time to pick up dynasty league fliers.  If I am in a deep dynasty league I am all over Stephen Williams, Victor Cruz and company! But don’t wast fliers in normal sized redraft teams on guys that wont have much of a chance to break into the starting lineup.

From Around The Web

  1. Broadstreetbrawler says:
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    1 ppr 3 wr 2 rb league, would you rather have jamaal charles and andre johnson or mjd and greg jennings?

  2. Doc

    Doc says:
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    @Broadstreetbrawler: That’s hitting where it counts! I love AJ and JC so I’m leaning that way.

  3. Fletch says:
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    Trade question for you Doc…12 team dynasty league, PPR

    A. Rodgers, 2012 and 2013 2nd round picks

    FOR

    Flacco, 2011, 2012 and 2013 1st round picks…plus either James Jones or Kenny Britt thrown in

    Which side do you like and Jones or Britt? I like Jones because of the system and should step right in for Driver.

  4. Doc

    Doc says:
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    @Fletch: I do like Jones more, but I want to keep Rodgers!

  5. Fletch says:
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    Even with getting all those future round picks eh?

  6. Wilsonian says:
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    In response to your response in the last posting…What do you think about this:

    Dropping McFadden for Jones, waiting out the CLE RB shituation, and if Harrison somehow loses the job to Hardesty, picking McFadden back up or snagging Hardesty? I definitely recall Harrison going apeshizz at the end of last season, so I know the talent is there so I’m not sure I want to give up on him yet, but these damn 8 Team leagues leave so many available players. Plus I wouldn’t mind blocking someone else from getting Jones instead of watching him go off on their team.

  7. Doc

    Doc says:
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    @Fletch: Well, since it’s a dynasty aren’t you getting rookies? If you knew they would be top 3 I could see it, but if they are late 1st round you could really get the shaft.

    @Wilsonian: If I’m remembering correctly (which is a stretch) this is a ppr league right? DMac’s upside is pretty high in ppr even with Bush there. It’s really what he is good at and I think they might have finally figured it out. I would lean more toward dropping Harrison if you really want Jones.

  8. Fletch says:
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    @Doc: Great point Doc…I thought about that. That is the one reason why I wouldn’t want to do it. If I knew those would be top 3 picks it changes things. Thanks for the advice.

  9. Fletch says:
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    @Doc:
    Different league now…just had my draft yesterday. Non-ppr 12 team redraft. I had the 9th pick…16 rounds total. Manning, Rodgers and Brees went before my 9th pick. We start 1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, Def, K…that’s it.

    QB -Romo (3), Kolb (6) Orton (14)
    RB – Turner (1), Foster (4), Jacobs (8), Hightower (11), D. Brown (12), Snelling (15)
    WR – A. Johnson (2), Smith-NYG (5), Floyd (7) Gaffney (9)
    TE – Z. Miller (10)
    Green Bay Def (9)
    K – Graham (16)

    A. Johnson fell to me in the 2nd! You think this team can compete for a title? Anyone you would dump Gaffney for?

  10. Doc

    Doc says:
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    @Fletch: Wow, AJ in the second is a great drop. I would hold onto Gaffney. i don’t think you need 3 QBs as long as you are only starting 1. And I think I would rather have Snelling as Turner’s handcuff.

    My only upgrade would be to S Smith. In non ppr he scares me. Floyd could outplay him.

    As long as Foster keeps on doing his thing and Floyd and Smith can combine for a strong 2 you should be good.

  11. Wilsonian says:
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    @Doc: yep, it’s a 0.5 PPR, so you did remember correctly. Well done, sir! I like that idea, maybe Harrison is the way to go…and then play the wait and see game with him to see if he ends up the starter and figures out how to smuggle super glue onto his gloves.

  12. Wilsonian says:
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    And I would just like to showcase the ridiculous roster I acquired in an 8 Team H2H League (my final draft of the year):

    QB: Rodgers
    WR: Marshall
    WR: Boldin
    WR: Welker
    RB: CJ
    RB: Best
    TE: Miller
    K: Akers
    D: Cincy
    IDP: Beason
    IDP: Lofton
    BN: Maclin
    BN: Wallace
    BN: Foster
    BN: McCoy
    BN: Beanie
    BN: Big Ben

    I know I can’t play all of those backs, but good lord it’s nice to have a collection. I’m pretty stoked for this team, too bad there’s no money involved.

  13. Seth says:
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    Doc, I enjoyed your analysis on fantasypros.com about “Preseason Studs” a lot and I am sure the Fantasy Gods did as well!

    BTW, What are the chances Ryan Torain ends up starting for Washington this year? I feel like they are decent since Parker will be cut, LJ doesn’t seem to be doing well (could he be cut too?), and Portis is hurt and will be hurt again (it’s inevitable).

    & I am also extremely high on Jahvid Best, but would you start him week 1 over Knowshon (recovering)?
    (Week 1-Moreno @ Jags; Best @ Bears)

  14. Chris says:
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    @Doc:

    So I’m in the middle of a new keeper draft and we start 1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR and I currently have Rice, Mendenhall, Austin, DeSean Jackson. The top 7 QBs are gone, so I’m debating btw taking another RB (Best, Foster, or Moreno), taking another WR (Steve Smith-Carolina), or snagging the last elite TE (Finley). It’s non-PPR and we can keep 3 guys each year for one round more. Thoughts?

  15. Doc

    Doc says:
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    @Wilsonian: Jeez, that is stacked. Your bench has a lot of starter worthy players on it!

    @Seth: Yeah, I wish a guy would have really shined as the #2. It looked like LJ was on the bubble, but I’m hearing that was overblown and then he had decent game with 42 yards on nine carries and a 15-yard TD reception. It’s tenuous, but I’m back in the LJ camp for now.

    @Chris: Wow, I hate to pass up those three RBs for a TE even if they are going to be on the bench, but with Rice and Mendy I think you have to go with Finley. Sadly, your bench won’t score you any points.

  16. EmporersMonkey says:
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    Do you know of a place where I can find updated projections? Seems like every site uses projections made back in June.

  17. Chris says:
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    @Doc:

    I’m just curious, do you think there’s enough value in keeping Best or Foster next year for a 4th rounder to justify a drop-off from Finley to Witten or Gonzalez

  18. Wilsonian says:
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    @Doc: I know, and thank you. I’m assuming some of those guys might be trade bait later on. I really took advantage of the auto-drafters who started taking defenses and kickers in the middle rounds, so I just feasted on the studs. Again, I reiterate…no damn money. (sad emoticon)

  19. Doc

    Doc says:
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    @Chris: I could see that because I wouldn’t want to keep Finley for a 4th (probably). Best has more potential to be a stud next season as well (Tate could take carries away from Foster next season). I would really take any excuse to grab Best there cuz I love his upside.

  20. genghis chone says:
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    Just drafted, 10 team PPR IDP 2 QB league with a point for every 25 punt/kick return yards.

    QB Tom Brady
    QB Eli Manning
    RB Jamaal Charles
    RB Matt Forte
    RB/WR Hakeem Nicks
    WR Andre Johnson
    WR Percy Harvin
    TE Zach Miller
    LB DeMeco Ryans
    LB Jonathan Vilma
    DB Danieal Manning
    DL Aaron Kampman
    DP Stephen Tulloch
    K Neil Rackers
    BENCH
    WRs: Johnny Knox, Kenny Britt, Jabar Gaffney, Dexter McCluster
    RBs: Jahvid Best, Leon Washington, Tashard Choice
    QB: Ben Roethlisberger

    What do you think?

  21. Doc

    Doc says:
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    @genghis chone: Love the Manning pick in the return yardage league! I would probably go with Best over Nicks in the flex spot. Maybe Nicks over Harvin, but that might be a matchup thing. Strong team throughout.

  22. barker says:
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    have the 2nd pick in a 12 ppr league

    peterson MJD or rice
    assuming CJ 2000 drops who does doc go with??

  23. barker says:
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    doesn’t drop

  24. Doc

    Doc says:
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    @barker: if it’s 1 point per reception I’m going with Rice. .5 AP

    It is very close and I love both of them like they were my adopted uncles, but I think Rice has slightly more upside in 1 pt ppr

  25. barker says:
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    thank u for the quick response im drafting in 15 minutes and im probaly going with rice unless CJ is there cause i picked first in my other two leagues

    i dont think CJ will be there at all but im hopin on it
    do u go QB or WR 2nd pick?

  26. barker says:
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    and yes 1 ppr

  27. Doc

    Doc says:
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    @barker: I usually go WR, especially in ppr.

  28. Brian says:
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    So my first PPR draft ever is complete, and I’m wondering what you think of it. 12 teams, 8th Pick:

    1. Frank Gore RB
    2. Reggie Wayne WR
    3. Jamaal Charles RB
    4. Tony Romo QB
    5. Dwayne Bowe WR
    6. Arian Foster RB
    7. Hakeem Nicks WR
    8. Ahmad Bradshaw RB
    9. Darren McFadden RB
    10. Robert Meachem WR
    11. Zach Miller TE
    12. Devin Hester WR
    13. Jabar Gaffney WR
    14. Broncos D/ST
    15. Lawrence Tynes K

    Any position I might be thin on? Thanks in advance!

  29. NukeLaDouche says:
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    Hey Doc, Just drafted in a 12 teamer. What do you think? I’m a little nervous about my RB situation.

    Frank Gore RB
    Calvin Johnson WR
    Greg Jennings WR
    Jahvid Best RB
    Pierre Garcon WR
    Joe Flacco QB
    Felix Jones RB
    Donald Brown RB
    Jabar Gaffney WR
    Owen Daniels TE
    Marshawn Lynch RB
    Devin Hester WR
    Heath Miller TE
    David Garrard QB
    Rob Bironas K
    Patriots D/ST

  30. Brian says:
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    @Brian: Doesn’t matter much since it’s a kicker, but after noting Feely’s Cardinals were playing the Rams, I dropped Tynes and added Feely into my kicker slot. So there ya go.

  31. BAM says:
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    Hey Doc,

    Had my draft yesterday and I’m hoping you can tell me where you think I may be deficient.

    QB – Tony Romo
    RB – Chris Johnson
    RB – Joseph Addai
    RB – Justin Forsett
    RB – Correll Buckhalter
    RB – Fred Taylor
    RB – Javon Ringer
    WR – Randy Moss
    WR – Hakeem Nicks
    WR – Jabar Gaffney
    WR – Mike Thomas
    WR – Harry Douglas
    TE – Brent Celek
    TE – Heath Miller
    DEF – Chicago
    PK – Nate Kaeding

    Thanks

  32. Nick says:
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    As of now, would you start Hightower week 1 vs. StL over Greene, McCoy or R. Brown (at flex) ? He’s projected 11.8pts in Yahoo which I think is really high compared to Greene/Mccoy at 8/9pts but thats probably just b/c of the good matchup

  33. BAM says:
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    Sorry for the lack of detail in my last email…12-Team, .5 PPR, return yardage league…

  34. barker says:
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    12 team ppr 2nd pick
    qb wr wr rb rb te wr/rb/te wr/rb/te qb/wr/rb/te k def/st d d d d d
    5 bench slots
    qbs went really fast here
    whats your take on the seattle RB situation should i make room for Julius jones or stay pat
    1 rice
    2 roddy white
    3 fitzgerald
    4 matt ryan
    5 J charles
    6 k orton
    7 maclin
    8 shiancoe
    9 forsett
    10 donald brown
    11 garrard
    12 z miller
    13 baltimore
    14 berrian
    15 demeco ryans
    16 cushing
    17 woodley
    18 d’quell jackson
    19 leon washington
    20 mayo
    21 tynes

  35. eyyyooo says:
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    Hey Doc can’t wait too take your money this season. Boom sucka!

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