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2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Updated: | Maintained by

Click column headers to sort results. Use text boxes to filter results (* is a wildcard, | is an or so *beckham*|*fuller* would display Odell Beckham Jr. and Will Fuller).

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Note: Filters and sorting in the table below apply to the output

# Name Pos Team STD PTS 1/2PPR PTS PPR PTS Cmp Att Pass Yds Pass TD Int Rush Rush Yds Run TD Tgt Rec Rec Yds Rec TD
Brock Purdy QB SF 18.3 18.3 18.3 22 32 282 1.5 0.7 4 17 0.1 0 0 0 0.0
Patrick Mahomes QB KC 18.2 18.2 18.2 26 36 302 1.6 0.8 3 14 0.1 0 0 0 0.0
Christian McCaffrey RB SF 18.9 21.2 23.4 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 19 93 0.6 6 5 40 0.3
Isiah Pacheco RB KC 15.9 17.7 19.4 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 19 80 0.7 5 3 29 0.2
Clyde Edwards-Helaire RB KC 2.5 3.0 3.6 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 2 8 0.0 2 1 11 0.1
Kyle Juszczyk RB SF 2.4 3.2 4.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 1 4 0.1 2 2 13 0.1
Elijah Mitchell RB SF 1.5 1.6 1.7 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 2 7 0.1 0 0 2 0.0
Rashee Rice WR KC 10.8 13.6 16.3 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0.0 8 6 82 0.4
Deebo Samuel WR SF 10.3 12.4 14.5 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 2 14 0.1 6 4 59 0.4
Brandon Aiyuk WR SF 9.3 11.6 14.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0.0 7 5 76 0.3
Justin Watson WR KC 3.9 4.9 5.9 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0.0 3 2 31 0.1
Marquez Valdes-Scantling WR KC 3.8 4.9 5.9 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0.0 3 2 32 0.1
Skyy Moore WR KC 3.5 4.7 5.8 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0.0 4 2 26 0.1
Jauan Jennings WR SF 3.0 3.9 4.8 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0.0 3 2 24 0.1
Chris Conley WR SF 0.7 0.9 1.1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0.0 1 0 5 0.0
Kadarius Toney WR KC 0.6 0.8 1.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0.0 1 0 4 0.0
Mecole Hardman Jr. WR KC 0.4 0.6 0.7 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0.0 0 0 3 0.0
Ray-Ray McCloud WR SF 0.4 0.5 0.7 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0.0 0 0 3 0.0
Richie James Jr. WR KC 0.3 0.4 0.4 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0.0 0 0 2 0.0
George Kittle TE SF 7.6 9.8 12.0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0.0 6 4 56 0.3
Travis Kelce TE KC 7.1 9.8 12.5 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0.0 6 5 53 0.3
Noah Gray TE KC 3.0 4.2 5.4 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0.0 3 2 23 0.1
Blake Bell TE KC 0.8 1.1 1.5 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0.0 1 1 6 0.0
Charlie Woerner TE SF 0.3 0.4 0.6 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0.0 0 0 2 0.0
Brayden Willis TE SF 0.2 0.2 0.3 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0.0 0 0 1 0.0
Jake Moody K SF 8.1 8.1 8.1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0
Harrison Butker K KC 7.7 7.7 7.7 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0
SF Defense DEF SF 5.7 5.7 5.7 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0
KC Defense DEF KC 5.2 5.2 5.2 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0

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  1. Oliver says:
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    Awesome! Thanks!

    May be a silly question, but in your projections, are you counting 0.1 pt per yard or is it actually 1 for every 10? So if a player rushes for 99 yards, do they get 9.9 or 9 points?

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      No probe! And it would be 9.9.

      • Aubrey Plaza's Pillow says:
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        @Jay: good, none of that rounding b.s.

          • Aubrey Plaza's Pillow says:
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            @Jay: and you get accuracy thrown in for free, how nice.

  2. Matt says:
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    Question:

    I’m in a 2 QBkeeper league and already have my 2 QB’s, my RB, 2 WR, TE and an additional WR. I have the 1st pick and my current RB is Lacy. We play with defensive players as well. Should I take Hill (best available player) as a backup RB or should I draft for need and take a defensive player which isn’t as flashy but would fill my defensive needs?

    Wagner (LB), Jones (DL) & Posluszny (LB) are available

    Thanks

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @Matt: This might be a better q for Kevin, but I’d go Hill.

  3. Charles says:
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    Any way to put a comment somewhere to tell us when the projections were last updated?

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      They are updated every Sunday, and should be updated tomorrow for the next batch. But yeah, on the next iteration, I’ll add those dates in, good catch there.

  4. Mattyo says:
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    Hey Jay – thanks so much for doing this. You guys are great. You have the team in the POS column – any chance you can get that fixed so downloaded Excel file is sortable by POS?

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      Yeah, we’ve had the same issue with the auction tables too. I’m working with Rudy to get those fixed. Thanks for the heads up!

  5. Jeebers says:
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    Super solid ranks, ESPN is driving me nuts. Keeper question: do you go for the higher ceiling of K Benjamin, or the higher floor of Cobb? Gotta pick one.

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @Jeebers: I think in keeper leagues, if you can roll with it, Benjamin seems like a good bet. But if you need Cobb to go for the championship, I would go that direction.

  6. Deuce says:
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    You really think Mark Sanchez will get the majority of reps in Denver?

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @Deuce: Probably wishful thinking, I always want to watch Nacho start for maximum entertainment value, but this is one of those things that will probably be updated next week.

  7. Tony says:
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    Does creating your projections affect your rankings? Like you have Luck projected higher than Newton, but you’d still take Newton first because he has a higher floor? Do you find yourself going over your rankings after an exercise like this?

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @Tony: Rankings are more feeling than scientific, based on draft value, hype, trends, etc. Not to say I just shoot from the hip, but the projections are much more scientific. I take the last three years numbers, form a median, calculate the fluctuations, and then find how the player trended. I then take their games played, and try to add the missing projections from that. And then once I have all the numbers in front of me, I do my own edits compared to just last years stats. It’s not an exact science, but I try to be not just conservative with the numbers, but very meticulous with the parts that I personally touch without any methodology.

      That’s kind of a long answer to say that I keep both separate because one is how you should draft, and other is a “close range” of what you should expect if everything turned out perfect. Or not perfect, but predicted.

  8. Rate my team
    Luck
    DEZ
    M.Evans
    B.Cooks
    D.Freeman
    R.Matthews
    J.Graham
    E.Ebron
    T.Coleman
    M.Thomas
    D.Washington
    J.Doctson
    C.Ivory
    I Crowell
    D.Adams

  9. Nick says:
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    Hey Jay! Hope all is well with you, this is going to be quite an interesting year! I have my draft on Sunday & noticed the rankings look quite different this year from the prior 3 or 4 years…normally you have links for each contributors rankings, by position as well as overall. This year, it seems there is just one link, for 2020 rankings, created by Rudy? Do you have a link to your own updated ranking list by position as well as an overall list?

    Thanks as always!

  10. Matt R says:
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    2021 projections “All” link seems to be off – unless Greg Zuerlein really is the #3 projected pts/game player

    • It’s not showing the projections table. That table you are seeing is the ‘currently injured table’. Been working on a fix this afternoon to no avail. For now, please download the various position projections.

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