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As I sit here watching another episode of Fringe on Netflix – please don’t disappoint me like  you did with Lost, J.J. Abrams! – it comes to my attention that a lot happens around us that we don’t notice or analyze for what it is.  We go about our merry way, oblivious to the changes going on around us.  Well for that reason, you can shave my whole body and call me The Observer because I’m witnessing something that seems to be drifting under the radar of most fantasy footballers.  It’s happening in St Louis and hopefully it happens on your team for this season.  I speak of none other than Sam Bradford.  I know, much maligned and a ne’er do well on the lips of many who’ve drafted him in the past but I see a brighter future for the 2013 Fantasy Football season and beyond.  Follow the typed word into the next paragraph if you wish to know more or run in fear from the unknown of which I’m about to lay upon you…

Bradford’s career to date has been nothing special, to put it mildly.  A reasonable rookie year in 2010, a complete injury-filled disaster in 2011 and a solid yet unspectacular QB2 year in 2012.  Well, for the sake of analysis, I’m throwing 2011 out the window like a man and his chamber pot contents from ye ole Edinburgh.  Not only would it hurt my analysis – key reason of course – but it’s also not fair to look at someone through the lens of being broken.  Too many games played at 75% in there and the data can’t be trusted.  Good, now that we’ve established how I’m completely dancing around the data that doesn’t support my argument, let’s take a look at what does: 18/15 along with 5.95 vs 21/13 and a 6.72…I think I left something out in that.  Oh yes, those are his TD:INT splits from the two comparable years as well as his yards per pass attempt.  You’ll notice both improved over the course of that time and quite decently I might add.  What I think we see this year is that third step from useful to QB1 caliber and I see this for various reasons.  One, that offensive line for the Rams has improved this off-season, especially with the signing of Jake Long at LT.  When you combine that with a set of wide receivers like Tavon Austin, Brian Quick and Chris Givens along with another immense receiving talent at tight end in Jared Cook, Bradford is surrounded by more weapons than Neo was in the Matrix.  Of course, we haven’t even included the backfield which looks more and more like it’ll be a three-headed monster between Zac Stacy, Isaiah Pead and Daryl Richardson.  Keep in mind my love for Bradford only extends so far.  This 2013 season really is a put up or shut up year for him as I spoke of in the Razzball Football Podcast after the 2013 NFL Draft.  But it’s quite a year to put up for him in St. Louis and with his current consensus ranking of 21 amongst QBs, there’s a lot of value in drafting this former Sooner.  So open your eyes and free your mind.  This lowly ranked QB is on the fringe of 2013 fantasy football greatness.

Projections: 4200 passing yards, 25 touchdown passes, 12 interceptions, 90 rushing yards and 1 rushing TD

  1. the imp says:
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    I like this call a lot, Sky. If you look at ECR, the experts have ranked 21st in a tier with Palmer and Schaub and rank him a step behind Rivers and Cutler. His ADP is even lower (24) and I’d rather draft him for his upside over all the other QBs mentioned, excepting perhaps Cutler. Since he is almost not being drafted in 1 QB leagues, you could target him with a very late round pick and have the luxury to tackle more RBs or WRs before having to address QB2.

    I have a draft strategy question for you, if you don’t mind. In a PPR, 2RB start, no flex, 4RB maximum, 4 player bench, league, I am in a position to keep Foster in exchange for my #11 overall draft pick. Handcuffs like Tate almost never get picked (our league rosters 40-44 RBs). Knowing you are worried about Foster’s workload and even downer on Tate’s utility barring injury would you:

    1. Keep Foster with #11?
    2. Target Tate as your 4th RB in the last round OR spend a 10th or 11th round pick on a speculative timeshare back in the mold of Ryan WIlliams from last year?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Thanks Imp! Agree, Bradford is getting overlooked.

      Honestly, if you’re considering Williams you might as well consider Tate there. Since you’re rarely going to start Ryan anyways.

  2. Juancarlo Lleno de Odio says:
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    Lost went downhill when he left after season one to those two idiots that couldn’t write an ingredients list for bottled water

    Your name came up in therapy yesterday, the sharing a bag of salt analogy went over really well. My therapist seems the value in the honesty of the net…..you’re not setting me up to chop me into little pieces?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Though I’m strangely drawn to reading about serial killers, no I don’t have an entire shed set up at a remote location to dismember those who fall into my web of trust…damn honesty on the Internet!

      Fringe has been interesting so far. I’m amazed by how many shows there are that I actually like but I just can’t fathom setting a time to sit down and watch them at a particular time…God bless you, Netflix.

      Yeah, that analogy means a lot to me. It’s one you have to experience to truly appreciate its depth.

      • Juancarlo Lleno de Odio says:
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        @Sky: have you read this one, I bought back in ’97, was a good one http://www.amazon.com/Mind-Hunter-Inside-Elite-Serial/dp/0671528904

        Some of the serial killer things I have read make me wonder about people I have crossed paths with in life that could fall into that realm.

        Lost was like watching a train wreck in super super slow motion. Or was it more like Heroin where you are chasing the dragon of season one? I don’t know, but I watched till the end when they fed me that horseshit of an ending that made absolutely no sense to what they had given us up to that point, unless you have an IQ lower than 100. If I could draw comics, I would start a graphic novel that goes from season one to a completely different direction. *writes down idea in case I win the lottery*

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          I haven’t read that one. I was only half-joking when I say the mind of a psychopath is interesting to me. Loved Dexter for that perspective. i’m trying to think of the one I read – it’s been a while – but I was hooked. I’ll have to give that one a try.

          I tried it twice…TWICE and couldn’t get past season 3 or 4 (can’t remember at this point). I don’t mind twists and turns but yeah, season 1 was amazing and it was a slow slide down the poop shute from there. I don’t need EVERYTHING explained but I’d appreciate some continuity for cripe’s sake…Fringe I don’t have that issue. I see something that has a right to branch multiple directions – only on season 1 – with no need to make too many layers and a big ah-ha moment to tie it all together.

          • Juancarlo Lleno de Odio says:
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            @Sky: I just hated how they insulted my intelligence at the series finale

            • Sky

              Sky says:
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              I’m glad I didn’t get there to find out. Was it like St. Elsewhere? Were they all just someone else’s dream? I just assumed it was the memories of dead people who were now experimental tissue for scientists as they poked and prodded to see what kind of shared reality they could create among brains of people who didn’t realize they were dead…or something like that.

              • Juancarlo Lleno de Odio says:
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                @Sky: death and pergatory and part of it they were alive and then not, it was weak, i would of liked a more mystical approach,

                I actually thought in season one that the island was going to pass on some super human powers and they were going to fight evil, like heroes. Walt had some crazy powers they could of played with….you know fighting space nazi’s that flew away to space at the end of WWII only to return to take over the world.

                • Sky

                  Sky says:
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                  You’ve seen Iron Sky I take it? That was a fun movie, I recommend it. Think it’s still streaming on Netflix.

                  • Juancarlo Lleno de Odio says:
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                    @Sky: I haven’t but I know my audience here and have watched the Ancient Aliens episode with the Nazi’s

                    • Sky

                      Sky says:
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                      Ah, I haven’t watched Ancient Aliens yet. Actually kinda want to but I need to see Prometheus first.

                  • Juancarlo Lleno de Odio says:
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                    @Sky: Prometheus was decent, the end is really what ties it into other movies, I watch it because I get a kick out of it and the narrator puts me to sleep. It’s a good fall asleep and nap show. The best part for me is that they take real historical questions that I have asked my self through my studies and apply a blanket answer, I like that the questions are raised but the answers are really dumb. I like America Unearthed, because he uses real geology science to disprove really bad “facts” that the world of academia has crammed down our throats.

                    For example they will find a non stone tool next to the sphynx and go well then it’s as old as this tool, which is about as dumb as you can get, but that’s academia, or find human civilization existence in the same ground level as an era that says we didn’t yet and call the finders quacks. Funny stuff like that, I think something like 90% of what came before us has been lost through decomposition, but what we have is a stone cold truth….it’s hilarious. I’m saying that the real story of long humans have been civilized is about 100% wrong.

                    • Sky

                      Sky says:
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                      Oh sure, science is – no matter how much we want to believe – really just theoretical for the most part, especially in these areas. You start with a theory, you work through it and see if it is proven. Then we say it’s fact even if we find out it’s not true 50 to 100 years later. Worse than bible-thumpers sometimes.

                      I’m a big ‘Aliens’ movie fan so Prometheus seemed great in that it brought back in Ridley Scott. I’ve heard 2 is supposed to provide a bit more backdrop.

                  • Juancarlo Lleno de Odio says:
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                    @Sky: 2?

                    I also like the predators created the Aliens to hunt storyline too, but this one is better

                    There is this weird thing in the world of academia to protect what has been “proven”. And it goes far beyond the US to all other parts of the world, Strangely Mexico and Egypt are two of the worst. It’s like what do they not want us to know and why does the “taught truth” need so much protection. Just now you are seeing acceptance that Vikings also came to America….duh!

                    The most fascinating stuff I have read recently was about the islands all over the Pacific Coast of the US, Canada, and Alaska. Very interesting take on early inhabitants and how the isolation created some very unique groups that apparently did not come from where we think they would.

                    My other two new favorites is the Mayan style pyramid in the middle of Indonesia, it looks dead on like a Mayan pyramid and the Phonecian carvings all over Brazil that have been known for over 100 years and finally proven in the last 20. Science and history are some pretty funny tools of the powers that be.

                    • Sky

                      Sky says:
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                      Damn dude, I full on disappeared yesterday. Yeah, Scott’s talking about a second Prometheus. I hear a lot of bad reviews on the movie that it was too confusing unless you watch the unedited version but I think a second one would make those problems disappear or at least lessened. Of course I haven’t even seen it yet so what the hell do I know…

                      Damn Juancarlo, you are straight up studying this stuff. You actually a scientist and not just in the insurance biz?

                  • Juancarlo Lleno de Odio says:
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                    @Sky: I use to read a lot….seriously check out America Unearthed.

                    Some things are small journal type reads, so 20 pages a pop with pictures….I love books with a few pictures

                    • Sky

                      Sky says:
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                      I’m gonna have to now, sounds extremely interesting. Thanks!

      • Juancarlo Lleno de Odio says:
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        @Sky: Also, I have thrown the salt analogy at a couple of people that are my “friends”, very surprised and not with some of the responses I get to that one. The one’s that have never ever had to have a taste of salt, couldn’t even really comprehend it, they tried, but failed like a 5 foot fat kid trying to dunk on a 10 foot rim.

        Interestingly, some that should know the salty taste, just completely smoked and drank any of it out of themselves and never have dealt with it

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          Totally. I allow for people’s lives to be ‘hard’ or ‘trying’ in their minds. Life/hardship is always relative and I’m not here to tell someone because they didn’t get a pony for their 10th birthday that they can’t have some frustration. But when it comes down to it, those experiences are what makes us and what makes it easier to correlate with others on different levels. I don’t understand someone who’s had life handed to them on a platter and still has frustrations. I don’t hate them, I just can’t relate. My best friend and I have had our share of salt together and we’re more like brothers now than friends.

          • Juancarlo Lleno de Odio says:
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            @Sky: The people I have shared salt with or at least gave me their salt, or is it we shared our salt, either way,you get the point, have all passed away, my brother and two very close friends. “Will work for Salty”

            I don’t fault the people who have no real human hardship, I just don’t like when they try to tell me about life or they throw their two cents in on something that is so far over their head it makes them look juvenile with their words. I’m like, “you live your life, and I’ll live mine, I won’t tell you about really misery and hardship and you don’t tell me what it’s like to live inside a unicorns ass”

            I’m assuming inside a unicorns ass is a magical place

            • Sky

              Sky says:
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              Unicorn farts are magic!

              I have very few conversations about my past, I find it’s not worth it. It creates awkwardness, ‘you’ve done so well’ conversations or silence. Not worth it.

              • Juancarlo Lleno de Odio says:
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                @Sky: I usually don’t try to, but I have a large portrait of my brother on my forearm so it comes up, I’m cool with it.

                • Sky

                  Sky says:
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                  Ah yeah, understandable.

                  • Juancarlo Lleno de Odio says:
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                    @Sky: chicks ask about it alot, it’s a well done piece, if I was single I would be getting so much sympathy ass….hey I can have a sense of humor about it sometimes

                    • Sky

                      Sky says:
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                      Ha, I’m sure your brother would think that’s awesome. Humor can be deflection but it can also show that you know where you’re at in life with it and have accepted it in some way, either great or small. Nothing wrong with it.

                  • Juancarlo Lleno de Odio says:
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                    @Sky: a little bit of both but way more the latter, it’s not like funny haha but funny crazy haha, like my life gets so f**ked sometimes the only thing I can do is laugh about it. You have to also remember the people that took me to those places and how they were and how they would laugh. It’s really one of those unexplainable things that you can only feel and you only know.

                    I really wish my parents had more kids so I wasn’t alone, now I only have my own mind and memories to have conversations with, makes me a little crazy, but also creates a dialog that has to infuse a little humor….ok I’m nucking futs

                    send in the juggling clowns and the seal that blows horns

                    • Sky

                      Sky says:
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                      We’re all a little nuts in our own way, of course. I’ve ordered the clowns/seals, they’re on their way. Haha, hoho.

                  • Juancarlo Lleno de Odio says:
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                    @Sky: I’m the most rational crazy I know

  3. 2 Cups 1 Braun says:
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    Hey Sky,
    Trying to plan my 6 keepers from last years team. I have labeled who I think I’ll roll with but wanted your thoughts. Its a 10 team PPR league

    *Michael Vick
    *Roddy White
    *Andre Johnson
    *Ahmad Bradshaw
    *Robert Griffin III
    *Darren McFadden

    Tony Gonzalez
    Bryce Brown
    Knowshon Moreno
    Michael Crabtree
    Jeremy Maclin
    Malcom Floyd
    Bernard Pierce

    • 2 Cups 1 Braun says:
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      @2 Cups 1 Braun:

      Or this

      *Michael Vick
      *Roddy White
      *Andre Johnson
      *Jeremy Maclin
      *Robert Griffin III
      *Darren McFadden

      • Wallpaper Paterson says:
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        @2 Cups 1 Braun: Bradshaw over Maclin

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      The 6 you’ve listed make seanse. I almost wanna say roll with T-Gonz over Vick but the potential is still there to have a big year for Vick and you could move him for something better. No qualms here, good set of keepers.

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