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Tonight was supposed to be a coming out party of sorts for C.J. Spiller.  Many in the fantasy community were expecting 30 carries for 500 yards, 20 touchdowns, a signed autograph from Justin Bieber (why, fantasy community, why?) and for him to save burning orphans from space aliens…give or take.  Truthfully, I used to be a part of the Spiller fanclub and rooted for him harder than team Edward rooted for…crap, I’m not even going to pretend I know much about Twilight nor abuse google search for your pleasure to know what the ‘F’ I’m talking about in terms of Twi-Hardedness.  Instead, I’m gonna break it down for you simply and gently.  For as much as people rag on Fred Jackson and the Bills use of him, those two RBs serve a purpose to and for each other.  They are both good RBs in their own right and splitting the carries makes the Bills a more dynamic offense than just giving 30 touches to either or.  In many ways, having watched Spiller tonight, I was reminded of another running back: Jamaal Charles.  You know him well, he’s the little speedster from KC that was used as the change of pace back for a long while in KC and then finally flourished in 2010 only to get felled by injury in 2011 and have a rocky 2012 so far.  Why do I bring JC Superstar up when talking about CJ Superstar you ask?  Well, for one, they can both turn a 5 yard loss into a 5 yard gain.  They can also turn a 1 yard gain into a 5 yard loss.  It’s hard as a coach to put in the guy who wants to run it outside when you’re on the 5.  There’s not much room on the goal line people, it’s a common sense thing.  Small backs with amazing speed in open space?  Sure, sign me up.  But if I’m a coach and it’s on the 5, I have in the back of my mind ‘is Cj gonna turn a 5 yard loss into a 5 yard gain…or a 1 yard gain into a 5 yard loss’.  It makes you hesitate that close to the pylons and that’s the honest, no fantasy related truth of the matter.  Enjoy what you have in CJ but don’t get bogged down by his lack of goal line involvement as an owner and if you are, trade him to me for Andre Brown…you know, the guy who has nearly double the touchdowns as CJ on the year.  Granted, I’m no optometrist but I hope I improved your vision on CJ for the night.  In other fantasy football news.

Ryan Fitzpatrick/Ryan Tannehill - I’m conjoining these Ryans and you’ll see me do that a lot on this post because really, none of these guys performed up to snuff in terms of the defenses they had to face.  Fitz did a great job orchestrating game winning field goals.  He must’ve been worried about an early 7-0 lead because that’s all he orchestrated on the night.  Tannehill looked like a rookie, acted like a rookie and possibly smelled like a rookie but since I wasn’t out there and usually don’t taking to sniffing men I’m not familiar with, I can’t say either way on that.  What I can say is there were a lot of encroachment penalties on the Bills.  Personally think the Dolphins snap count got predictable because the Bills were always in the Miami backfield seemingly before the ball was in Tannehill’s hands.  Well, whatever, I ranked them 12th and 14th among QBs this week because of the matchups and they peed on it like the rug that tied the Dude’s room together.  I’ve now got to stop typing about these two or I’m going to suffer from unchecked aggression.

Reggie Bush/Daniel Thomas - I know a lot of people want to hate on Reggie.  Fair enough, he went early enough in the draft for you to expect something better than 35 yards on 12 total touches but let’s put it in this perspective: DT only had 33 yards on 12 touches.  Like I mentioned in the double Ryan blurb, there was something about the amount of encroachment penalties on the Bills tonight that makes me think they new the snap count of the Dolphins most of the night.  I don’t care if you’re Adrian Peterson or any Michigan Wolverine RB ever drafted, there’s not much you can do when you’re being handed the ball and a defender is already in your face.  Cold hard facts, Miami looked terrible tonight.  If you’re down on Reggie, you should be down on DT too.

Davone Bess - Congrats 27% yahoo and 18% ESPN owned Bess owners.  Hope you had him in your lineup tonight.  Oh you didn’t?  But how could you not?  Tonight was supposed to be a fantasy feast!   Had 6 receptions for 50 yards on 11 targets and the lone Dolphin touchdown not scored by special teams.  Welcome to your fantasy hero of the night.  Way to take out the Cobra Kai!  You’re the Bess, around…

Brian Hartline/Stevie Johnson - Decent but not great.  I think that about sums up what being the WR1 in a Dolphins or Bills offense is like.  Hartline drew some PI and ended the night with 49 yards on 4 receptions while Johnson had a good fantasy night with 6 recs for 79 yards.  Looking at these two just reminds me how much of a fantasy night was wasted.  Seriously, if tonight’s game were a story problem in math class you’d be asked ‘if the 2nd worst and the 11th worst defense in terms of total yards were to face off on a Thursday night football game, how many fantasy football points would you expect to see at the end of the night?’.  I’m not even going to give you the opportunity.  Chances are, you were wrong, the guy you tried to cheat off was wrong and so is your teacher but it wasn’t his fault, he looked the answer up in the back of the book.

Donald Jones - Special shout out to my main bye week man, D. Jones.  At first I thought ‘eh, he missed 1 touchdown chance in the 1st quarter but these defenses are terrible.  There’ll be plenty more opportunities’.  Two receptions and 11 yards later, there’s nothing more than a Rage Comic FUUUUUUUUUUUUUUU! than I can share.  Thanks for playing as bland as your name, D.J.

69 Responses

  1. griley says:
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    RE: your comments about C. J. Spiller and his goal line running ability-sir you are an idiot!!

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Never said anything about his actual ability but thanks for reading!

    • Murph says:
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      @griley,

      Hard to assess his goal line ability when Tashard was the coaches “choice” as soon as CJ carried the entire team on his back into scoring position. CJ played lights out against a strong dolphins run defense, blame the coaches for not implementing him in the redzone offense. I was pretty speechless watching and if I knew that was their game plan Lindell would have been my kicker in every league.

      • Sky

        Sky says:
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        Oh I wasn’t assessing ability, merely observing the thought process. Right or wrong, it’s the only thing that explains his lack of touches inside the 10.

        Tashard was used as F-Jax goal line role. Personally I thought it was completely Tashard’ed to do that but hey, that’s why I don’t have a coaching gig for the Bills!

      • Sky

        Sky says:
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        Ah and I see maybe you weren’t directing that at me.

        • Murph says:
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          @Sky,

          Not at you I completely agree the fact that the coaches turned to choice of all running backs in the redzone shows their lack of confidence is spiller from short yardage “see stats below”

          • Sky

            Sky says:
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            Man, nice research! Yeah, I wasn’t saying anything bad about him but having watched almost all 22 carries, I saw the trend. The few inside plays he was given he always tried to bounce it outside. For the most part, it worked but there were a few where he lost yardage when he could’ve gained a couple. Love the guy but for all the fandom he has, the reality is he still hasn’t made running between the tackles a huge part of his game. At least not enough to make the coaches trust him.

            • Murph says:
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              @Sky,

              Everyone looks at his early weeks and only sees the 20-30 point games. Without the analysis it looks great but hard to bet on a guy breaking 80 yard runs every week. even when he has the “starting roll” I tend to try to stay away from players like him and Charles for that reason can’t start with confidence every week. I would much rather have Lynch/AP/Foster/Rice but no problem with Charles or Spiller as a flex only problem is come draft day you pay RB1 or RB2 price.

              • Sky

                Sky says:
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                Exactly. Funny thing is people get excited watching those huge runs but don’t realize the previous carries were for 2 and -5 yards because they are always trying to hit homeruns rather than hitting the hole. But what do I know…I’m an idiot!

    • Murph says:
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      @griley,

      Side note CJ rushing stats 2012

      Rushing TDs inside 20 yards: 0 on 20 attempts

      Rushing TDs outside 20 yards 5 on 93 attempts (4 of 5 TDs 80 yards or greater)

      Sky is pretty spot on and I won’t stoop to name calling but you sir are uninformed….

  2. Rags says:
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    Standard scoring. Would you do Gore and Sproles for either Ray Rice or T-Rich? And of the two, which would you prefer? I have RB depth and I’m trying to upgrade for the playoffs. Thanks!

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      I’d want Rice there.

      • Rags says:
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        @Sky, Would you still do it if all you could get was T-Rich though? His schedule is better than Gore’s and I’m a little worried Gore poops out over the end of the season.

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          Yeah…you’re giving up a lot but if you have the depth, I don’t mind T-Rich there.

          • Rags says:
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            @Sky, Thanks man. Deadline’s today, and I’m a the kind of decision maker who likes to ruminate on things, so it helps to have a quick voice I trust weigh in.

            • Sky

              Sky says:
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              No prob glad I could help!

  3. Wilsonian says:
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    I was offered a pretty big trade in a league where I’m hanging onto third place, but barely, and playing the the 1st place team this week. It’s a 0.5 PPR and we have 3 point bonuses at 100 yards rushing and 85 yards receiving, 6 point bonuses at 150 yards rushing and 135 yards receiving.

    Here’s my team (as it is set up this week):

    QB: Ryan
    WR: Welker
    WR: Bryant
    WR: Cobb
    RB: Morris
    RB: F.Jones
    TE: Witten
    W/R: Heyward-Bey
    W/R/T: Graham
    BN: Palmer
    BN: Nicks
    BN: T.Young, Sr.
    BN: Forte
    BN: LeShoure
    BN: Andre Brown
    IR: Beanie

    I was offered this deal:

    Jordy
    Mendenhall
    A.Hernandez
    CJ2K

    for my

    Morris
    Graham
    Nicks

    It’s a 2 player keeper league (can’t keep two of the same position). Do you think this is a good deal, or not? It seems fair, but it hurts me this week with CJ being on BYE.

    I’d love to hear your thoughts on it. Thanks.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Don’t like Mendy or A-Hern..,too much risk in my opinion. Id hold

      • Wilsonian says:
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        @Sky, yeah, kind of my opinion, too. Thanks for your input. If I gave him Witten instead of Graham (which I doubt he will do because I think he’s looking at keeping Graham), would this make more sense?

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          Still like the collection of 3 you’d have vs the 2 he’s really offering and the 2 hurt guys he’s trying to move on from.

          • Wilsonian says:
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            @Sky, turned it down. He also has Ray Rice…would including him in anything change your mind at all?

            • Sky

              Sky says:
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              That would probably become a 1-1 swap and I’d want Rice but that’s a whole different scenario and I doubt the owner would be interested.

              • Wilsonian says:
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                @Sky, would you deal Jimmy for Rice straight up?

                • Sky

                  Sky says:
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                  Graham for Rice and you have Witten? Sure, sign me up.

  4. Murph says:
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    So I did the unthinkable and started D Thomas against the BearBills defense and am in a big hole going into Sunday and need a homerun I’m thinking Austin only if Joe Haden is inactive or Stewart who has decent numbers against Tampa in the past.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      I think you’ve got the right gameplan there. If Haden goes, sub in Stew.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Oh and BTW, I was totally with you on the DT call. Really do think the Bills new the snap count. Too many times the Bills were in the backfield seemingly before the ball had been snapped. Miami was showing it’s hand.

      • Murph says:
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        @Sky,

        Lesson learned weak offenses have trouble game planning on sort weeks thank you TNF….
        Thanks I feel only slightly better hearing that on a positive note he did out perform Bush so worth a hold just to see how it plays out. Did you catch Marshall Faulks post game comments on Bush? “Ran timid and looked like his only concern was not fumbling” interesting

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          Ugh, no kidding. Though the Jags WRs performed well vs the Colts.

          I didn’t hear those comments. I did miss the first quarter but honestly I didn’t see that from Bush, personally. I literally saw someone in the backfield nearly every time the Dolphins as a team tried to run the ball. Not saying Reggie played great but there are multiple factors as to why not to have faith in him and I wouldn’t say 50% or more of the problem falls on his shoulders.

          • Murph says:
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            @Sky,

            True but I don’t know if I can attribute a garbage time TD to shorts as good game planning or Robinson’s 100 2 yard receptions. I think I’m just going to be weary when I’m on the fence about two players with going with the Thursday night guy over the Sunday or Monday guy, this of course doesn’t apply to every week starters just flex and bye week fill in’s.

            • Sky

              Sky says:
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              To be fair, Cecil had a bad call on one of his catches negate huge yardage on him and Laurent had most of his fantasy value before the first half was over but I hear ya.

  5. The Fridge says:
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    Offered Brandon Marshall, LeShoure and Ryan Mathews for McCoy. Start 2 RBs and 3 WRs (No flex).

    Current roster looks like this:

    P Manning
    McCoy
    Sproles / Ivory
    Colston
    Wayne
    Shorts / Britt / Jennings / Danario
    Graham

    So the way I see it, does the downgrade from McCoy to Matthews / LeShoure worth B Marsh?

    • Murph says:
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      @The Fridge,

      McCoy could be a big producer with Vick out moving forward but hard to pass on 3 players you could really use the depth with having to start 3 WR looks like you up grade in two places RB2 and WR1 while downgrading RB1. Hard to let McCoy go but in my opinion I would do it.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      That’s a tough one. I can see Murph’s argument but I don’t know if I trust Mathews output going forward nor do I believe in Ivory/LeShoure’s roles on their teams enough to start them any week with confidence if you have no flex. For me it’s one of those ‘yeah, it’s fair but I wouldn’t do it’ trades.

      • Murph says:
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        @Sky,

        I guess I just haven’t given up on Matthews and think Leshoure is more useful than Sproles although Bell is seriously limiting his upside. If Brandon Marshall can produce McCoy (who is struggling in the redzone) numbers ROS it would make sense but its a big if with Cutlers concussion and his upcoming matchups.

        @TheFridge
        If your trade deadline isn’t up this week maybe observe how McCoy’s involvement is affected by Foles at QB and then make the decision.

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          Oh like I said, I can definitely see the argument. In fact, LeSean straight up for Marshall actually isn’t bad. But based on his team (Sproles/Ivory), I prefer the consistency of LeSean as my RB1 over trying to rotate thru Mathews/LeShoure/Sproles/Ivory every week. Plus if Jennings is back week 13 or 14, his WRs look much different than they do now. Again, I totally get your stance, just not a trade I would do.

          • Murph says:
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            @Sky,

            Didn’t catch Old Spice Greg on the bench for some reason I was thinking rashad Jennings. Yes a true coin flip and as you stated before running backs are far more valuable than the up and down position of WR so I agree with your opinion too keeping McCoy is the safest play. I would rather play weekly WR by matchups rather than roll with the dreaded RBBC

            • Sky

              Sky says:
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              Yeah…seriously, what a weird year of Greg Jennings. We’ve seen him more in commercials than we have on the field and he’s been awesome in said commercials!

              • Murph says:
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                @Sky,

                Must have been the push-ups with the jet ski on his back that caused the abdominal injuries Haha

                Is it just me or are NFL commercials at an all time high? Stafford/Jennings/Rogers/Brees and of course analysist Jon Clayton

                • Sky

                  Sky says:
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                  Ha!

                  Yeah, now that I think about it, I don’t think I’ve seen this many before…which in and of itself is kinda weird. The Brees ones are hilarious and yet…seriously, boy bands? When will they go away?

                  • The Fridge says:
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                    @Sky, Unfortunately, the trade deadline is today…I’m in agreement that the current offer just isn’t enough to deal with the RB headache.

                    I have countered with Megatron + Mathews + LeShoure for McCoy + Britt + D Alexander.

                    Do you think getting Megatron puts this deal over the top or still a bad one for me?? And if it matters, I’m sitting at 5-5 so I really can’t wait for Old Spice Greg to return. Must win now!

                    • Sky

                      Sky says:
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                      It’s a reasonable trade. I wouldn’t be happy starting Mathews/Sproles on a weekly basis as my RB1/2 but it’s not a bad value play. In the end, it comes down to how you view skill players. I think you can survive without having a true WR1 but not having an RB1 can be more detrimental. Don’t think upgrading your WR1 and downgrading your RB1 makes you a better team, personally.

  6. velveeta fog says:
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    I was let down by donald jones as well.

    I am looking at my last flex spot and it’s a real enigma-puzzle-riddle club sandwhich wrap:

    lafell (against the worst pass def!)
    starks (he’s a starting rb…for gb)
    danario (against denver)
    santana moss (safest pick…?)

    should i just flip a four-sided coin?

    thoughts?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      That really is quite the sandwich…when in doubt, I always roll with the guy who should get at least 12-15 touches. I’d lean Starks there.

  7. Adam says:
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    Sounds crazy but would u drop McFadden and pick up beanie wells??
    Who knows if he is ever healthy..
    No competition for wells?
    Just thinking

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      ‘Who knows if he is ever healthy’…you could say the same thing about Beanie. I’d rather keep the upside of DMC on my bench than a healthy Beanie gaining 20 yards on 10 carries.

  8. Adam says:
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    One more
    I have bears defense but was thinking of playing cowboys at home vs browns
    Thoughts?
    Thanks

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Don’t really see a good reason to play the Browns defense over the Bears.

  9. Adam #2 says:
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    +1 PPR, +3 bonus at 100 yds…

    If Daniels is active, who’s your pick this week: Daniels vs JAX, or Olsen vs TB?

    And in the same league, who’s your pick at FLEX: L Moore @ OAK, Alf Morris vs PHI, or Stephens-Howling @ ATL? I’ve been playing Morris a lot, but his 75 rushing yd/0 catch/0 td games lately have been underwhelming.

    +.5 PPR, +5 bonus at 100 yds…

    Pick 1: M Floyd @ DEN (& Champ), L Moore @ OAK, T Young vs GB, or C Shorts @ HOU?

    +.5 PPR, no bonuses

    Pick 1: Pettigrew vs GB or Paulsen vs WAS?

    Thanks!

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Olsen

      Morris

      Titus

      Pettigrew

  10. Prezii says:
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    Heyy my favorite Sir Idiot! ;) i have this problem and it itches and burns really bad when i p…. Oh wrong problem… i have this problem where i can only play 3 out of miles, steve smith, megatron or felix. miles vs cleveland is a must play, imo.. megatron is megatron.. steve smith is going up against a defense i could burn for 100 yards… And well for some reason i want to flex felix instead of smith… Would that be a wise decision? I hate rollin with a wideout as my flex but its so hard to sit those wrs…. I tried all year to trade, but nothing.. not ONE trade was made in this league… Maybe i could sit austin for felix? But haden will be on bryant so its miles of points for austin, i assume… Help me out here! Non ppr as always.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Ha! Was going to suggest a whole bottle of Nyquil and a bottle of vodka. No wonder I failed medical school!

      Tough call. I think you’re making the right choice but it is indeed close. I hate not starting an RB at flex too but you have a good set up with those three.

    • Murph says:
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      @Prezii,

      Yo Prezo, monitor Joe Haden’s status as I beleive he will cover Austin while Bryant draws the double team from the safety dur to Dez being a bigger deep threat than Austin.

      If Haden plays Felix could be your best bet

  11. iMP says:
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    In PPR, I am thinking to offer VDavis and DMoore for Gronk.

    The remaining WR core would be Amendola, Nicks, Bowe and DMoore for 3WR starters. His WRs are MWilliams, Crabtree, Avery, and SMoss, and he is trying to shop his other TE (Gresham) to get WR help.

    If it makes any difference, I will have a must-win tilt against his team next week.

    What do you think? Is this offer way to low to even have a chance…or too risky to not be worth it? Thanks.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      VDavis has been on a downward spiral the last few weeks. It never hurts to try but you’re not gonna get Gronk with that offer.

      • iMP says:
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        @Sky, Of course that is right…rose colored glasses.

        Some talk of the Bears not defending TEs gives me a hope he’ll break out enough to make an offer for a clearly better TE have more hope. Thanks for the time.

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          Ah, I thought today might’ve been your trade cutoff point. I’ll keep my fingers crossed for ya!

  12. Wilsonian says:
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    DHB looks to be out. Who would you play over him (0.5 PPR, 3 point bonus at 85 yards receiving and 100 yards rushing; 6 point bonus at 135 yards receiving and 150 yards rushing):

    Forte
    LeShoure
    Titus
    Starks
    Garçon

    I know it seems like the obvious choice is Forte, but I HATE his matchup and Cutler being out. I could drop DHB for Starks or Garcon and I have LeShoure and Titus on my bench.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Out of all those guys, I’d still have to say Forte. Catches and runs the ball, will get the most touches. Quantity will be there and lead to more opportunities than th eother guys in my mind.

      • Wilsonian says:
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        @Sky, yeah, I think he’s gotta be the one. But I’m not happy about it. Plus I’m a Bears fan, so obviously I don’t trust my team.

      • Wilsonian says:
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        @Sky, one last question. I’m now reading that the Dallas O-Line is playing a bunch of random guys they picked off the streets. I like the matchup with Mo’ Town Philly, but I’m not sure how much I trust Felix. He’s been servicable, but he’s really hit or miss. Do I play both Forte and Titus and sit Felix? Or roll with the Felix and Forte show?

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          I could see Titus but Felix should still get more touches. Think he’s still a safer bet.

    • Murph says:
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      @Wilsonian,

      Its between leshoure and forte but Forte is the best choice because he doesn’t play until Monday so if you are set on DHB you will be able to know the game time decision and plug forte in if DHB is a no go.

      and watch garçon, if he can’t play through the pain this week he is going on for season ending surgery to fix his nagging toe injury. Not sure what your free agent pool looks like for WR just plan for the worst.

      • Wilsonian says:
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        @Murph, yeah. I can’t trust LeShoure right now. Definitely wish I could. But he’s definitely not drop worthy. I think I’m probably going to leave Forte in. DHB sat out the last few practices, and even though he is up against NO, I’d be afraid I’d leave him in if he’s starting and tweak something again and get me the goose egg. And I don’t have Garçon, he’s actually an FA. I’ll probably keep an eye on him and see how he does in case he blows up this weekend and stays healthy. He could be a stretch run gold mine. But that’s a big “IF.”

        • Murph says:
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          @Wilsonian,

          100% agree good luck this week.

  13. Ritardo M says:
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    Who would you start at TE?

    Finley, celek or Allen (colts)?

    Thanks

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Allen

      • Ritardo M says:
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        @Sky, thanks brah, good luck

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          @Ritardo M, No prob, back at ya!

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