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Although this is my first rodeo with Razzball, it’s not my first rodeo when it comes to writing about the NFL. One thing that I have learned about fantasy guy is that fantasy guy loves stats… And fantasy guy loves rankings. He wants to look at a chart and have the chart tell him who the best player is…

Fantasy guy also wants to see what other people think about a player… kind of. If you have a different opinion, fantasy guy loves to bombard you with stats to affirm the man crush they carry for a particular player. Looking for affirmation of his love for his third string tight end will often cause huge emotional swings for fantasy guy.

Here is my message for fantasy guy, as I am about to give you a couple more players I think will be over-rated in 2014: It’s not personal. Don’t go tearing up your 2014 mock draft based on my feelings. I put my pants on just like you do and there is a chance I might be wrong. It’s going to be okay.

In typical Daniel Snyder fashion, the Washington Football Team has won the NFL off-season championship once again. With the addition of DeSean Jackson to the line up, many are expecting great things from Robert Griffin III. Griffin had a difficult year last year and I don’t see it improving a lot this year. He is not the most accurate of passers, and inaccurate passers need to run for a lot of yards in order to be valuable. And I’m afraid his rushing days are over. DeSean Jackson is going to have to bust a lot of long ones to get RG III’s numbers up to where they were two years ago. I’m always leery of a quarterback that has to rely on a receiver’s break away ability to have success. Be smart where you draft Griffin. Don’t spend too much or take him too early.

The carousel that is the Cleveland Browns’ offensive back field continues to go round-and-round. Brian Hoyer is a possibility at QB, but most of the experts expect Cleveland to take a quarterback in the first or second round. I certainly don’t need to tell you to stay away from whomever winds up under center for the Browns. However, Ben Tate will usher in the new era of running backs for the Browns, and I know some out there that are going to jump on his band wagon and grab him early. Don’t do it. Tate had a good year for the Texans a few years ago, and the Browns think that he can be a feature back, but it’s fools gold. Running backs at Houston are system backs. Just like the Broncos used to put any scrub in the back field and get a thousand yard rusher, Houston does the same thing. We just haven’t had a chance to really see it. It’s always been Arian Foster and Tate. When Foster gets hurt this year again, and he will… His back up will light it up. It’s the system. Stay away from Tate, unless he’s available late. The Browns are the place running backs go to ride off into the sunset.

 

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  1. Fantasy with Dase or Days

    Fantasy with Dase or Days says:
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    Hey, man! Good morning, I hope your morning is going great. It’s suppose to be another sunny and warm day here.

    Let’s talk a little more about RGIII and this past year. If you look at his rushing from weeks 6-14, he had 88 rushes (9.8 per game). In the first four games, he only had 18 rushes (4.5 per game). On top of the more then double of attempts, he had five games were he had at least 44 rushing yards. That’s at least one additional passing touchdown in four of these five games (fumbled in one game). If he had kept that pace over a full season, he would have had five more rushes then the previous year. The biggest thorn was the goose egg for rushing touchdowns. In his rookie season, he was able to score eight of them.

    Overall, if you would have taken his 13 games and expanded them over a full season, he would have finished as the 7th best QB with 272 fantasy point in standard (ESPN) scoring. That would have placed him in the same spot as his rookie season in 2012.

    Right now over at MFL, he is the 11th QB off the board with pick 98.92 (9th round). That is definitely a spot in the draft I would feel good about selecting him as my QB1. It will be interesting to see what happens to that ADP in the coming months with the addition of D-Jax. With not only the depth but the quality of that depth for QBs in fantasy drafts. I would never reccomending reaching for a QB and rather just wait for the value to fall like an RGIII at the moment. Plus, we can not forget that the Redskins will have a new head coach in 2014.

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @Fantasy with Dase or Days: Just to throw my two cents, I actually agree with walt here. As we get closer to the season, I think RGIII’s value will put him inside the top ten, and I think he’s a bit over-rated there. Lot of depth at QB this year…

      • walt

        Walt says:
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        @Jay: Does that mean you haven’t agreed with any of the other over rated picks?

        • Jay

          Jay says:
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          @Walt: Maybe. I’m mysterious like that.

      • Fantasy with Dase or Days

        Fantasy with Dase or Days says:
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        @Jay: I have been tracking the Draftmasters hosted by MFL and ran by @Fantasytaz. In a draft that is going right now, the 7th QB (Nick Foles) did not get drafted till the 9th round with pick 98. If you include that pick a quarterback was drafted with four of the seven next picks. One them was RGIII as the 10th QB with pick 104.

        • Montezuma's Revenge... right now says:
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          @Fantasy with Dase or Days: I was just telling people I know that we might get lucky enough to get foles that late. i’m all over that shizz.

  2. walt

    walt says:
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    Going to snow here tomorrow…

    • Fantasy with Dase or Days

      Fantasy with Dase or Days says:
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      @walt: Oh, wow! I could not imagine seeing snow in April. Is that normal for your area?

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