Is there still such a thing as an ACL injury after effect?  Adrian Peterson famously rushed for over 2000 yards the year following a December ACL tear.  Jeremy Maclin turned out to be a 2014 draft day bargain after suffering an ACL tear in the 2013 preseason.  Rob Gronkowski also went undervalued in 2014 drafts after coming off an ACL injury.  Now Todd Gurley is meeting or exceeding his expectations.  The fact is that risk is always built into the value of post ACL tear players, but they have a pretty good recent track record.  I literally can’t think of a single player that failed to come back from an ACL tear in the last few years.  Recently the upside has outweighed the draft cost of buying a player coming off an ACL injury.

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So obviously the big news from this past weekend is the loss of Jamaal Charles for the rest of the season. The Chiefs running back suffered a torn ACL in his knee and is done for the season. But now, the presumed handcuff before the beginning of the season, Knile Davis, only saw two carries after Charles went down. It had been reported weeks ago that Charcandrick West had passed him on the depth chart, and it appeared so as he received 12 carries after Charles’ departure. West appears to be the new starting running back in Kansas City and needs to be immediately owned in all leagues. Knile Davis will also get touches, but not nearly as much as West. Davis should be owned in all 12 team leagues and above as anything could happen and both could be in a time share or if one underperformed, the other could excel. Also keep an eye on a running back signing from the Chiefs in the next day or so. They tried out both Ben Tate and Pierre Thomas on Monday and Thomas could be an interesting prospect as his pass catching ability could get him a decent role.

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There’s a gonna be some prospecting come waiver wire day this week. The allure of gold drove many in the 1800’s to pack up their wagons and head west for the chance to strike it rich. The 2015 fantasy season has uncovered a fresh mine due to the Jamaal Charles injury. Once highly thought of handcuff, Kniles Davis, has been usurped on the depth chart and relegated to the fantasy scrap heap in most leagues. The astute among us (not me), that noticed that Charcandrick West became the backup to Charles in Week 4 need to be commended. Bravo. Hurrah. Kudos. You are probably all Charles owners, but if you are not, then you are my hero. Hopefully you picked him up because there’s a gonna be some serious bidding for his services.

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Well, I guess someone forgot to remind us that Jamaal Charles bi-annual end-of-season injury was due. Looking to go up 24-3 in the third quarter against the Bears, the Chiefs drove into the red zone, and on a seemingly normal (and patented Andy Reid run-up-the-middle with one of the best outside-the-number runners in football) play, Charles twisted his knee moving left to right (as shown above). And that’s the moment the Chiefs season ended. Based off of initial tests, it appears that Charles has suffered a torn RCL in his right knee. And if that wasn’t enough, the Bears were able to mount a comeback and win the game 18-17. If I didn’t know any better, I would say this was probably the Chiefs at their most Chiefiest moment. While many would look to Knile Davis to try and fill in for what was essentially 90% of Kansas City’s offense, Charcandrick (his stripper name, I’m sure) West will look to be Alex Smith’s new check-down artist. Yes, starting 1-4 is pretty bad. And losing your star player who handles the bulk of your offense is devastating. But hey, it could be worse… you could be the Detroit Lions…

Here’s what else I saw this past Sunday in Week 5:

New to Daily Fantasy Football? Try out this new free FanDuel’s contest, where half the league is guaranteed to win. (Played on FanDuel before? You can build a team for $5 for a chance of $100,000, part of a one million dollar prize pool!)

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FINALLY!!! The defense has come to The Stats Machine! For the past many weeks I have been promising an updated algorithm in which opposing the defense is accounted for. Today I deliver on that promise. The premise is simple. All offensive performances will be weighted based on the ranking of the defense against which they posted said performance. Defenses have been ranked by the following four categories. Passing yards allowed vs QB. Rushing yards allowed vs RB. Receiving yards allowed vs WR. And receiving yards allowed vs TE. If one team allowed jus a few yards less than the next, but has given up several more touchdowns to a give position, I have swapped them in the rankings. With that preamble out of the way, let’s get to it.

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Just one more week until the defense makes an impact on The Stats Machine. With four weeks in the books, I believe that will be enough statistics to make sense of the defensive landscape. In the mean time, let’s power up the old version of The Stats Machine one last time as see what that soon to be deprecated software has got to say about last week. Will it recognize Aaron Rodgers’ five touchdown effort? How about Devonta Freeman’s huge game against the Cowboys? Who does TSM think had a better week, A.J. Green or Julio Jones? Those of you that have noticed that the title was not “Jones Means Go” are one step ahead of the game. And sometimes that’s all that matters. One step.

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[caption id="attachment_37609" align="aligncenter" width="480"]HISTORY IN THE MAKING PEOPLE HISTORY IN THE MAKING PEOPLE[/caption]

In what was an oft-rainy night an Lambeau Field (IF ONLY IT WERE SNOW, WE’D ALL EXPLODE), our long national nightmare finally ended. No, Alex Smith did not retire. Instead, he finally threw a touchdown to a receiver (shown above), something that hadn’t happened in the Chiefs last 17 games. Or, in calendar terms, not since December 8th, 2013. Folks, Andy Reid’s long con has finally paid off. That being said, it’s so very Chiefs that the record-breaking extravaganza for a useless stat occurred in a game in which they basically got blown out. The garbage time was strong with this one (even almost bringing the game within one possession with 1:25 to play before botching the two-point conversion), but it’s abundantly clear that the Chiefs may not be that good at the footballs. In a striking follow-up point, the Packers have shown that they might be pretty good at the footballs. If someone made a movie based on my time here at Razzball, it would be called: An Analytical Life. Or quite possibly WHERE ARE MY DATES? I WAS PROMISED DATES. But enough about myself and my movies, let’s make fun of Alex Smith more…

New to Daily Fantasy Football? Try out this new free FanDuel’s contest, where half the league is guaranteed to win. (Played on FanDuel before? You can build a team for $5 for a chance of $100,000, part of a one million dollar prize pool!)

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lXRDURi

After giving away a win to Peyton Manning and the Broncos last week, the Chiefs look to move to 2-1 against the Packers who are from the bay that is green. I believe that’s also the name of a Dr. Seuss poem. Or maybe I’m just a poetic person. OR MAYBE WHO CARES. Much like how I feel about this game. Sure, on paper the match-up is interesting, only because the principle cast involves guys like Jamaal Charles, Randall Cobb, Aaron Rodgers, Eddie Lacy… okay, I’m seeing a theme here. The principle cast is essentially from Milwaukee. But don’t let that dissuade you from not being entertained, we actually get another chance in our lives to see if Andy Reid will find some way to psychically eat his timeouts. I’m assuming he’s done so with the challenge flags, thinking they were ribs with ketchup on them. The game will essentially come down to how healthy Eddie Lacy and Davante Adams are, both suffering from ankle injuries this week. Both have practiced this week and are probable for tonight’s game, but if we’ve learned anything from semi-injured players miraculously being able to be suit up for their games this year, it’s that they’ll break your hearts and then punch them in the crotch. A heart-crotch punch, if you will. (See Anderson, C.J..) I’d say we’re in for an interesting game, but since it’s Monday Night Football, I’ll just say we’re in for a game. A football game, hopefully.

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Smith lol
If you had judged this game by the first three quarters and half of the fourth, you might have thought that Monday Night Football had given way to Thursday’s Prime Time to tenaciously make us feel like a nap is a better use of the time. True, it could have been a combination of Peyton Manning’s multiple incompletions where the ball traveled roughly an inch a second, Alex Smith’s continued ability to only throw five-yard slants, Andy Reid’s ability to literally eat all of this timeouts, and Phil Simms just stringing together random nouns. OR maybe it was that every other play there was a penalty flag. There hadn’t been that much yellow flying around since that incident at R. Kelly’s house years back. But just like last week, Denver’s defense found a way to lock in another win, forcing a fumble on Jamaal Charles with 30 seconds to play, allowing as much Monday morning quarterbacking as possible on Reid’s decision to not take a knee into overtime. I’m personally neutral on the decision, I think most coaches consider a draw there to be a low-risk “let’s see if we can get any yardage” type of play, but, I would admit that the correct move at the point would have been just to take the knee. It wouldn’t have mattered because Andy Reid would have been blamed for any decision he made, but since he could probably eat me plus a Sizzler, I’ll end on that note.

New to Daily Fantasy Football? Try out this new free FanDuel’s contest, where half the league is guaranteed to win. (Played on FanDuel before? You can build a team for $5 for a chance of $100,000, part of a one million dollar prize pool!)

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As promised, I have completed my homework for this year’s upcoming auctions and am back to share the results. In part 3 of my “Points Per Dollar” series (Part 1, Part 2), I have put together my 2015 projections, converted them to fantasy points and compared each player against his current going auction value. For this data I have gathered the results of thousands of completed 2015 auctions. It’s important to note that in determining a player’s PPD you must use their going market value. Many sites, Razzball included, publish a cheatsheet of each player’s auction values. This is helpful as a guideline, but that’s all they are. Guidelines. It’s one thing for an expert to say Aaron Rodgers is worth $36, but what I really care about is the fact that he is actually going for $44 in real auctions. That’s a more indicative value as to what Rodgers will actually cost me on auction day.

Take me on in the Razzball Commenter Leagues here!

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