Fantasy Football Advice

Statistical Strategery, Week 9

November 05, 2009 By: Doc Category: 2009 Fantasy Football 35 Comments →

The top of the chart has the worst defenses and the bottom the best.  So as you can see in the first row of the passing defensive chart Tennessee and Detroit rank worst in our total.  And then you take a look at their opponents, Seattle and San Francisco (both at home by the way), and you can feel pretty good about playing Crabtree and Burleson and their bretheren.  So the teams on the far left column are the defenses and then just right of them are the offenses with your fantasy players hidden in there somewhere.

Take a look and if you have any questions be sure to ask!

Passing Defenses:

Week9PassDChart

Rushing Defenses:

Week9RushDChart

Target(s) Practice

October 27, 2009 By: Jones Category: 2009 Fantasy Football 21 Comments →

Mohamed Massaquoi: in addition to having the majority of all vowels in his name (except for that elusive “Y”) Massaquoi also gets the majority of targets.  This past week he was targeted 9 times (4 more than Robiskie, the next closest receiver) and had two targets inside the five yard line.  By now it’s clear that Massaquoi is the stud of the Brown’s offense though unfortunately that’s like being the toughest guy in France or having the best looking goiter in the nursing home.   Either way, Massaquoi’s production potential makes him a must snag off the waiver wire or you could try to sneak him in with a multi-player trade.  Through this point in the season, Massaquoi has accounted for 11% of his offensive targets, this despite being nearly invisible until his monster week 4 performance against Cincinnati.

Greg Jennings: for now Donald’s still in the driver’s seat with 5 more targets than Jennings to date.  However, despite having a fairly quiet game this past Sunday (5 catches for 52 yards) Jennings was actually targeted 9 times (six more than Driver) including a pass inside the five yard line.  Though Jennings continues to get looks, he is an increasingly problematic start considering the fact that the Packers have gone to a shorter passing game in an effort to keep Rodger’s on his feet.  This, coupled with the fact that it is going to get pretty damn cold in Green Bay, leads me to believe that short route Driver will continue to be the more logical start.   Though many experts will tell you to have patience with Jennings, it may not be a bad idea to trade him as he still commands 2nd to 3rd round value (but won’t for long). (more…)

Mr. Broken Fibula Goes To Washington!

October 25, 2009 By: Doc Category: 2009 Fantasy Football 24 Comments →

A broken fibula seems like it might not be that bad.  I mean fibula, it’s like a tiny lie or something, right?  Well, whatever it is, Leon Washington is done for the season.   I had high hopes for Washington and it’s sad to see him go, but life goes on so drop his ass for the guy that follows or the guy that follows that guy.

Shonn Greene: Greene went off for 144 yards and 2 touchdowns against the Raiders. He showed promise in preseason, but wasn’t used at all during the season in the crowded backfield with Leon Washington and Thomas Jones. Now that Washington has taken his leave Greene gets a shot to split time with Tom Jones. Jones will continue to be the lead act so don’t expect games like this to come along often, but he is a must add.

Beanie Wells: Beanie has slowly been getting more responsibilities and last night he earned his allowance by compiling 67 yards and a TD while getting ten more carries than Hightower. Hightower isn’t going to sail off into the sunset since he is still needed for blocking and pass catching, but expect Whisenhunt to go to the Wells more and more.  If he was dropped in your league pick him up and laugh at whoever dropped him (even if it is you). (more…)

The Cotch Rocket Is Out Of Fuel

October 23, 2009 By: Doc Category: 2009 Fantasy Football, Fantasy Football Daily Notes 17 Comments →

We are on the cusp of week 7. Before we know it the Colts will be 14-0 and we’ll be talking about if they should sit Manning or go for an undefeated season and blah friggin blah.  I don’t want to be there yet! I want to stay in the heart of the season forever! I know it won’t happen, but that idea of cutting down preseason and adding a couple games to regular season sounds ok with me.  Anyway, I’ll complain about the season being too short later as well, so be prepared!  Here are a few thoughts before this weekends matchups:

Jerricho Cotchery: The Cotch Rocket is still hurting and won’t play in Oakland.  I still feel like Cotchery can be a useful fantasy player and the fact that they are resting him instead of throwing him out there to reinjure his hamstring is good for his owners.

Michael Crabtree: Isaac Bruce and Josh Morgan will split time equally with Crabtree. There really is no need to start him this week. If you need a bye week filler think Mike Wallace or Morley Safer.

Anquan Boldin: Boldin is a game-time decision, which isn’t good since his game time comes around later than most other game times. If you have Steve Breaston and Quan, and are sitting one of them, I wouldn’t worry about it, but otherwise get to worryin’ or get to losin’.

Anthony Gonzalez: The toast of Preseason Razzball Town should start to practice next week. I’ve held him because I am just that crazy. He will probably take Garcon’s place and Collie will still see work out of the slot. I would drop Garcon as soon as AGonz comes back, but hang onto Collie until he breaks his leash and heads off into the sunset.

Percy Harvin: He reinjured his shoulder during last week’s game and is questionable for this week’s.  With Sidney Rice getting a lot of special attention from Old Man Favre I don’t see Harvin doing much if he plays at all. If I owned Harvin I’d hope he would sit out this week and take the extra time to change his last name to Farvin.

Clinton Portis: He has yet to practice this week, but I’m not sure he has practiced at all this season.  The man has like 4 broken bones and the Bird Flu.  They will wheel him out and line him up and he’ll get your team some yards and may fall into the endzone, but don’t expect much.

Chad Ochocinco: Eight five does not need the ability to say shizz to the world at any moment it pops into his addled mind.  Unfortunately Twitter has give him this ability.  Each week there is a “story” about what eight five tweeted and I can’t repeat what it was this week since I didn’t pay enough attention, but I can assure you it was nothing important.  But no matter how irrelevant his voice is, his legs and hands are relevant on the football field. He is a solid #2.  And I mean that.

Miles Austin: With Roy Williams not 100% I think Austin will break the curse of one and done wide receivers we’ve seen this season.  Will he gain 250 yards again?  I know I’m going to shock you when I say this, but, no.  But that doesn’t mean he won’t get his targets and Atlanta’s pass D is hurting, especially with Williams out.

Jonathan Stewart: The Daily Show finally stopped showing crappy reruns and gave us a good episode. He has been gimpy this week, but his matchup is too favorable to sit him. The Panthers are going to run and run and then have someone in the stands draw up some more running plays when they run out so they can run some more.

Ahman Green: He signed with his old team and is already injured. He must have hurt his hand while signing. Or maybe when the owner slapped him on the back to congratulate him his shoulder dislocated.

Ryan Grant: It’s been reported that the Packers were trying hard to trade for a running back before the deadline since Ryan Grant looks like a slug on valium. But instead they got Green. This doesn’t bode well for Grant. He could have a decent game against the pitiful Browns’ run D and then you should stick him with a hook and toss him into the trade waters.

Fried Freddy Friday

October 08, 2009 By: Doc Category: 2009 Fantasy Football 29 Comments →

Fred Taylor’s ankle took a time machine back to when it was younger and attached to the aptly nicknamed Fragile Fred.  He was looking ok for the Patriots, but he could be out for the rest of the season and even if he isn’t he is still extremely droppable.

Ronnie Brown: My masculine infatuation with Ronnie has paid off so far, but this might be the biggest test to Super Badass Brown. SBB has a Jets D that is tough against the run, but is also getting Calvin Pace back from a 4 game suspension.  That’s a long time to be suspended.  I wonder if it was some kind of S&M thing.  Whatever it was, Pace is a stud and will make that defense even better.  I’d start Brown against the best of the ‘85 Bears and ‘75 Steelers combined, but don’t expect a huge game. Maybe just 275 total yards and 5 TD’s.

Cadillac Williams: The offensive coordinator Greg Olson wants to make him the main back, but he forgot to take into account Caddy’s bald tires.  The dude cannot be an every down back without breaking, rupturing or tearing something.  For now, if you are unfortunate enough to own him, you probably have to throw him out there as a flex play as long as he is the main guy.  And how many jobs does Greg Olson have?  Isn’t that a conflict of interest?

Miles Austin: According to google maps, it is exactly 1,175 miles to Austin from here.  Sounds like an odd first line to a country song.  There is a chance Roy Williams won’t go against KC, so Austin would be a nice pickup.  I’m hoping Williams sits because I see a very big game from Austin against the KC corners if he does.

Eli Manning: Will he or won’t he? the answer is certainly “yes!” if the question is, will Eli do any commercial offered him?  But, if the question is, will he play on Sunday?, the answer is, I dunno.  He’ll probably be a game time decision, but they do have a early game so you should be able to check the news Sunday morning (which you can do in the comments of Sunday’s post!) (more…)