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This is not going to be a column where I talk about how wonderful Brett Favre is. In fact I really have nothing positive to say about him nor do I want him or the Vikings to be successful this season. The past five years have been the sad unveiling of a narcissistic sociopath. From a Fantasy standpoint, however, I have been secretly cheering the entire time that he would play.

Last season, coming off a poor finish in New York, Favre fell down the draft boards. He was exceptional value for his owners, posting over 4,200 yards and 33 touchdowns to 7 interceptions. Let’s put this in context a little bit. Favre threw for more yards in a season than he had since 1998. His 33 TD passes were the most in a season since 1997 and the TD to INT ratio was the lowest of his career. The only thing even close was in 1996 when he had 39 TD’s to 13 INT’s. His QB rating of 107.2 dwarfs every other season; the closest was 1995 when he posted a 99.5 rating.

The magnitude of what Favre did during the regular season in 2009 can’t possibly be overstated; think Barry Bonds or Rogers Clemens accomplishments without the steroids. The dream season of 2009 has created the optimum culture for cagey Fantasy Footballers. There is no way that Favre will be able to duplicate what he did last year. It’s literally impossible.

How do we turn this situation to our advantage? Step one: don’t drink the Kool-Aid! Most everyone believes that Favre will have a season similar to what he had last year. Aside from the fact that he won’t be able to repeat the same numbers healthy, the ankle is a real reason for concern. I’m not bold enough to predict an injury but you can bet every team the Vikings face will come after him with his limited mobility.

Jones and I have been doing mock drafts for about a month and a half on a regular basis in an attempt to formulate an inexact science. One of the issues we have discussed and experimented with most is what to do about Quarterback in 2010. Initially we were grabbing Matt Ryan, Kevin Kolb, Jay Cutler, etc. When it was announced that Favre WOULD NOT come back this season grabbing these QB’s became more difficult because people who would normally take Favre were taking “our guys.” We started drafting teams where we would grab an elite QB (Brees, Rodgers, Manning) early on if the volume was right. The teams we were ending up with just weren’t strong enough at RB or WR for our liking. This is when I started to cheer for Favre to come back again.

Now that the old man is back, comfortably in the top 10 for QB’s, the world is back to normal. If it gets toward the middle/end of the 2nd round there’s definitely some merit to grabbing an elite QB. Outside of that, however, we’d prefer to wait on our QB targets in the middle rounds. With that in mind, here are the QB’s beyond Favre’s ADP (50) we like, along with their Yahoo ADP’s:

Kevin Kolb (72)

Jay Cutler (73)

Joe Flacco (83)

Matthew Stafford (93)

Matt Ryan (94)

Carson Palmer (102)

Ben Roethlisberger (130)

I like the idea of getting a 2nd Tier Quarterback more than ending up with the guys on this list. At the same time if I end up with one of these dudes at QB, must be I’m stacked at RB and WR. In addition to that, I’d rather have ANY of these dudes than Favre; especially when you consider the ADP of 50. I guess what I’m trying to say overall is that if you take Favre this is how each day will be.

  1. JTin says:
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    How far would you let Favre drop before you grabbed him?
    12-team league, I grabbed Kolb at the end of the 7th (84th overall). 2 rounds later (108/109 overall), Favre was still there. I picked him, thinking I’ll now be able to rotate starters based on matchups. You like that strategy?

  2. Drew

    Drew says:
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    @JTin: yeah i like that value. I can’t believe Favre fell THAT far.

  3. DSimms says:
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    I’m grabbing a qb at the top of the 7th usually and kolb, cutler and flacco are usually all still there. I like Kolb the most so I usually grab him but do you think I should wait if all 3 are still around and pick the last one to go? League is 1 pt. per 25 passing yds, 6 pt td, -2 pts int.

  4. Principal Blackman says:
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    Does anybody know of a good place to look at overall rankings for leagues that use both offensive and defensive players?

  5. Kevin says:
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    Go Brett Favre!!!! Finally getting some attention

  6. G.O.B. says:
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    Hey Drew, I was wondering if I could get your impressions on this team I just drafted. Let me first say that I love reading this site. I started with the regular razz baseball column, and I have been reading this blog since the beginning.

    I deviated from my normal draft strategy, which has yielded me zero championships ever, and I tried to go heavy on WR, especially early. I was drafting from the #9 spot, so I was very happy with my first two picks. It’s a 12 team PPR league, receptions are worth a ridiculous 3 points. Everything else is reativey standard, 10 pts for TD, 10 rec yds per point, etc. Here is my team, the Killer Tomatoes:

    QB: Joe Flacco (round 7)
    RB: LeSean McCoy (4)
    RB: Arian Foster (5)
    WR: Andre Johnson (1)
    WR: Reggie Wayne (2)
    TE: Tony GOnzalez (6)
    WR/RB: Ahmad Bradshaw (8)
    WR/TE: DeSean Jackson (3)

    BN: CJ Spiller (9)
    BN: Clinton Portis (10)
    BN: Visanthe Shiancoe (11)
    BN: Justin Forsett (12)
    BN: Devin Hester (13)
    BN: Darren McFadden (14)
    BN: Sidney Rice (15)
    BN: JaMarcus Russell (20)

    K: none
    DST: Cincinnatti (16)
    DL: Justin Tuck (17)
    DB: Tyvon Branch (18)
    D: David Hawthorne (19)

    So I drafted Russell as a joke and I can repace hime with a kicker. The IDP guys are what they are, they don’t score a whoe ot of points. Do you think the rest of the team is strong?

  7. G.O.B. says:
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    Sorry if things got a little illegible there, my L button is having some problems. I feel a hate spiral coming on.

  8. Drew

    Drew says:
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    @DSimms: No man, I like grabbing Cutler or Kolb in the 7th for value. I’d take them there all day if I could.

    @G.O.B.: I really like this team a lot. IDP isn’t my specialty but in my experience you can make adjustments during the season to be competitive there. The important thing, which you’ve done, is to stack yourself at the skill positions (WR and RB in particular). I wouldn’t go around making trades with this team; hold steady and you should definitely be in the mix to win the championship this season.

  9. xaj says:
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    i ended up with this team in a 14 team auction. prices were crazy (over $50 for andre johnson and aaron rodgers). strong…weak?

    qb: roethlisberger/campbell
    rb: moreno, beanie wells, arian foster, mcfadden, leon washington, marshawn lynch
    wr: jennings, colston, owens, breaston, massquoi, edelman
    te: carlson

    no kicker or defense.

    i’m a little worried about this team. i feel like i didn’t overspend with everyone else and got stuck with too much mediocracy. i missed out on flacco and zach miller by a dollar or 2, and this is what i was able to salvage.

    do i try to trade some of this upside?

  10. Drew

    Drew says:
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    @xaj: Auction leagues can be tough man; it’s hard to spend a ton of money on any one player. At the same time no one ever likes their team when they end up with an entire roster of decent players but no great ones. That’s pretty much what’s happened to you. It’s not like you’re going to get blown out of the water but I doubt you’ll be able to compete with the elite teams in your league either. I wouldn’t make any trades right now; I’d hold tight and wait for the first few weeks of the season to happen.

  11. G.O.B. says:
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    Thanks Drew, I appreciate your advice. Making trades is almost impossible with the clowns in my league, so I’m gad I have a pretty solid team out of the gates.

  12. JoeC says:
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    Why are Cutler and Kolb rated higher than Flacco? I know it’s not by much, but Cutler has interceptionitis (as he once again proved last night) and Kolb is only entering his first full season as the starter this year. Seems like Flacco should be rated a bit higher than these two guys.

  13. Fletch says:
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    @Drew:
    Trade question for you Drew…12 team dynasty league, PPR

    A. Rodgers, 2012 and 2013 2nd round picks

    FOR

    Flacco, 2011, 2012 and 2013 1st round picks…plus either James Jones or Kenny Britt thrown in

    Which side do you like and Jones or Britt? I like Jones because of the system and should step right in for Driver.

  14. Drew

    Drew says:
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    @Fletch: I’d be loathe to give up Rodgers but long term it’s hard to argue with what you’re getting. I would rather have James Jones too.

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