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With Julio Jones likely out for the season, now might be a good time to take a gamble on Harry Douglas or make a trade for either Steven Jackson or Roddy White if you can get them.  When an offensive weapon like that goes down, the surrounding cast all has to step up to the plate.  They all come with question marks, but considering how disappointing Atlanta has been this year, there’s a chance you could get one of them for a relatively low price.  That all being said, Atlanta is on bye this week so be sure to factor that into your decisions.

Speaking of injuries, David Wilson is likely out for the Giants this week which makes Brandon Jacobs a surprisingly decent flex play.  Chicago isn’t the easiest matchup in the world and the Giants did resign Da’Rel Scott, but Jacobs will likely get the goal line carries if there are any which gives him a little extra upside.  If you need a quick pick up following the Julio news, Jacobs should do nicely at least for this week.

Another nice start in that game is Martellus Bennett.  Bennett has had a relatively quiet couple of weeks after his explosive start, but against the Giants, he’s a must start tight end.  Something around 6 catches for 60-70 yards and a score sounds about right for him this week.  Although I know a lot of people are anxious to start Rob Gronkowski this week if he plays, I rank Bennett slightly higher this week.

Other nice starts are Steve Smith against Minnesota, Vincent Jackson and Mike Williams against Philadelphia, and Pierre Thomas against New England.  There are obviously better plays than all of these guys, but if you’re on the fence between two players and one of them is listed above, give them a shot.

For QBs, Andrew Luck, Jay Cutler, and Alex Smith are all in great matchups this week and should be considered top 10 options.  Meanwhile, Matthew Stafford, Terrelle Pryor, Russell Wilson, and Philip Rivers are in difficult spots.  12-16 team leagues should still start these guys over less consistent options, but just be aware that their matchups are less than ideal based on what we’ve seen from opposing defenses so far.

Although Danny Woodhead has been outstanding for fantasy owners these past two weeks, the Colts have been pretty solid against the run this year.  With Ryan Mathews likely out this week after suffering a concussion, Woodhead should still be considered a decent flex play in most leagues, but don’t expect the kind of numbers he put up against Dallas or Oakland.

Chris Johnson is an even riskier play this week.  With Shonn Greene on his way back and a matchup against Seattle’s smothering defense, don’t expect more than 7-9 points from him this week.  Sure, he scored 14 points in standard leagues last week, but most of that came from a 49 yard touchdown reception.

Finally DeSean Jackson and Anquan Boldin are both in tough spots this week.  Both are playing top five defenses when it comes to defending the pass and with Nick Foles possibly starting at QB for Philadelphia who knows how well the Eagles’ offense will be moving down the field this week.  In PPR leagu8es, both are still decent options, but their chances of scoring this week are limited.

I hope the Jeremy Kerley helped a few of you secure a win on Monday.  This week, look for Brandon LaFell and Greg Little to put up solid flex numbers if you’re in a jam.

105 Responses

  1. Dave says:
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    Start Antonio Gates or Gronk if he’s active in a .5 PPR? Thanks.

    • Loudon

      Loudon says:
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      @Dave: Tough choice. The gambler in me wants to pick Gronkowski for his upside, but Gates is the safer play. If he starts, I think I’d pick Gronkowski and keep my fingers crossed.

  2. Pavel says:
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    2 questions:
    1- Do you drop Tavon Austin for Harry Douglas?
    2- Who do you start? pick 2:
    CjSpiller (vs. cin), Sproles (vs. NE), Alshon Jeffrey (vs. NYG), Marques Colston (vs. NE)

    • Loudon

      Loudon says:
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      @Pavel:
      1 – Yes, I would.
      2 – I think I’d start Sproles and Jeffery. Spiller has me nervous with his limp and matchup.

  3. Paul says:
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    Thanks, this stuff is helpful a always.

    I’m in a bit of a shitty spot right now – 0-5 and things aren’t looking so hot. My current WRs are Nicks, Shorts, Jennings, Tate and K. Allen (got him on waivers for free!). RBs include: Forte, Lacy, MJD, and Richardson.

    Can you give a baseline target for me to upgrade WR in my .5PPR league? I figure I could try a 2-1 using Lacy or MJD. I’ve been aiming for an MJD – Amendola straight trade, but the owner is being unresponsive. Do you think Decker for Lacy is a fair balance. The guy I’m in talks with countered with TY Hilton + McGahee + Stevie for Lacy…

    • Loudon

      Loudon says:
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      @Paul: If you have the bench space to drop players, I like getting TY, McGahee, and Stevie for Lacy. I think Lacy is certainly valuable and on the rest of the season, he’s currently your #2 RB, but Hilton and Stevie should both be solid producers and McGahee seems like the go to guy right now. To get all of that for Lacy, who has already had some health concerns this year, seems like a good deal.

      • Paul says:
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        @Loudon: Ok thanks. On the bench I’ve got Kennan Allen and Daryl Richardson – I figure it’s ok to drop them over the above listed.

        • Loudon

          Loudon says:
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          @Paul: I would try to avoid dropping Richardson if you can because he still has a good amount of value, but Allen should be safe to drop.

  4. papajeansegura says:
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    Bolden, Joique bell, andre ellington, or reece for the flex spot this week? Also which one of those should I drop to get shonn greene or should i just hold?

    • Loudon

      Loudon says:
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      @papajeansegura: I’d go with Bolden this week and probably hold for the time being. Reece is probably the lowest of those guys, but he did ok last week and with Darren McFadden always dinged up, he could end up as the starter eventually. Greene still has plenty of competition when he’s back on the field.

      • forwhomthejoiquebelltolls says:
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        @Loudon: You always think what I think. Idk if that’s good or not… went with bell last week and the ellington play could have won me the week, but i blame that on not being able to tinker in the morning. but def gonna roll with bolden

        • Loudon

          Loudon says:
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          @forwhomthejoiquebelltolls: Fantasy Football is always a guessing game. You have to go with what gives you the best chance to succeed, but there will always be disappointments. Best of luck this week.

  5. Sniff Test says:
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    Why is Little recommended? He has bad hands and has a bad QB. I figured Lions DST would be a good streamer since Weeden holds on to the ball for an eternity and stares down receivers. He is going to get sacked and throw some picks. What are you seeing that is different?

    • Loudon

      Loudon says:
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      @Sniff Test: Just because I think Little has a solid chance this week doesn’t make the Lions DST a bad play. They’re a top 10-12 option this week. Still, when looking for a sleeper, I try to look for someone available in most leagues that could have a better than average week. Detroit has a beatable pass defense and they’ll be concentrating on the other side of the field most of the game. Little could have 4-5 catches with a score by the end of the day if he plays his cards right.

  6. Moscowitz says:
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    T Y Hilton or Keenan Allen ROS?

    • Loudon

      Loudon says:
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      @Moscowitz: I like Hilton more ROS.

  7. drew says:
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    kaep or pryor? Ppr b bolden or k allen…thanks!

    • Loudon

      Loudon says:
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      @drew: Not the best matchup for him, but I’d still go with Kaepernick. Because it’s PPR, I’d also choose with Allen.

  8. JOE says:
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    non ppr..start 2 Gordan,Fitz or James Jones…start 2….Spiller,Gio..P Thomas..Blount..Woodhead

    • Loudon

      Loudon says:
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      @JOE: Gordon and Fitz with Gio and Woodhead

  9. Tim says:
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    How do feel about Lacy/Gronk for V Davis/Gore/Decker? Thanks!

    • Loudon

      Loudon says:
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      @Tim: Gotta see the rest of the teams to know how it would benefit you, but on paper that seems like a fair trade.

  10. Chris says:
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    Hello Loudon,

    Please advice who to start of the below:

    RB – Brandon Jacobs, Green-Ellis, Fred Jackson
    TE – Celek, Coby Fleener, Bradon Myers
    DEF – Panthers, Jets, Lions

    Many Thanks!

    • Loudon

      Loudon says:
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      @Chris: Fred Jackson (mostly because of Spiller’s health concerns), Fleener, and Jets.

  11. Zar says:
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    Would I be mad for starting Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffrey together? My other options are Stevie Johnson or Edelman and Colston. Alternatively, I could pick up Harry Douglas or Hilton for my 3rd WR. Non-PPR League.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Don’t see why you would be. Giants have been burned in the passing game all year.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Ooops! Thought this was my post. My bad Loudon!

      • Zar says:
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        @Sky: Cause I never tried playing two receivers on the same team before. Just worried if there was anything that might scare anyone off of it.

        :D

        • Loudon

          Loudon says:
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          @Zar: The only real concern about starting 2 WRs on the same team is that they can’t both score all of the TDs. Against the Giants, they both have a great shot of scoring and I agree they’re your best two options this week. Look at it this way, Jeffery has the same chance of scoring if he’s sitting on your bench so if you benched him for Colston, your next best option this week, and Jeffery scored, you’d be more angry at yourself for being afraid of two players on the same team.

  12. Hitts1 says:
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    Got to start 2 from this group: Shorts, Blackman, Hilton and Thompkins. I was leaning towards Blackmon & Hilton, but worried which Hilton would show up. I’m also worried about picking Blackmon and finding out Shorts gets all the targets. So I’m seriously contemplating starting BOTH Jag WR’s as I see Jacksonville having to throw a ton of passes to catch up to Denver. What are your thoughts?

    • Loudon

      Loudon says:
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      @Hitts1: I like the Shorts/Blackmon duo this week. As you said, Jacksonville is going to be throwing the ball…A LOT. Hilton is still a nice play, but with both Jacksonville receivers, your odds of at least one of them having a great day are excellent.

  13. Curt says:
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    Need 2 of these 4 in ppr league…..Woodhead, Gio, Leveon Bell orSproles???

    • Loudon

      Loudon says:
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      @Curt: In a PPR league, you have an excellent problem on your hands. Any of them are decent starts this week, but I’d take Gio and Woodhead personally.

  14. batman the horse says:
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    Demaryius Thomas or Doug Martin rest of season? 0.5 ppr, 10yds/point

    • Shawn M says:
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      @batman the horse: Dude…have you seen Denver play?? How about Tampa Bay?? Thomas all the way…

    • Loudon

      Loudon says:
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      @batman the horse: I’m actually going to say the opposite and take Martin. A, there are more quality WRs out there than there are RBs and Martin is still going to get guaranteed touches every week. B, Thomas is on a powerful offense with A LOT of weapons. Denver absolutely crushed Dallas and Thomas still ended up with 5 receptions for 57 yards. That being said, I wouldn’t hate having either of them on my team.

  15. kidbr9 says:
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    I drafted Vick and (for some reason) ahem, didn’t draft a back-up.

    Who do you like more ROS as a back-up:

    Pryor or Big Ben?

    • Loudon

      Loudon says:
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      @kidbr9: Is Foles not available? I like Pryor more ROS, but if you can plug Foles in for weeks Vick is unable to go, he still on a high-octane offense that will likely be playing from behind a lot.

  16. jeff g says:
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    Start 3: gronkn garcon cobb djax josh gorden ppr

    • jeff g says:
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      @jeff g: more info. Have aaron rodgers at qb chris johnson mccoy n bell at rb with vareen on IR. 5-0 but now with gronk back I have 5 great wide receivers/TE we don’t play a tight end. (And lastly we count total team score as well as head to head. Now which 3 do u start.

      I am leaning on Cobb, Gronk. Garcon. Think revis on djax and lack of throws for josh gorden is why? HELP?

      • Loudon

        Loudon says:
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        @jeff g: An argument could be made for Gordon over Gronk just because we don’t know how quickly Gronk will return to form on the field, but I think you’re starting the right 3 people. There really are no wrong decisions in your situation. Package Chris Johnson and one of your receivers for an upgrade at RB if you can.

  17. Matt P says:
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    I can’t choose between Le’Veon Bell and Gio Bernard, or I could bench Amendola and play both… Thanks!

    • Shawn M says:
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      @Matt P: I’d go Bell. Gio is nice but as long as BJGE is around he will always be a risk of having a low scoring week (like last week).

    • Loudon

      Loudon says:
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      @Matt P: I agree with Shawn M. Bell has a better chance of scoring at the goal line and will likely get more touches than Gio. With BJGE still in the mix, I think Bell’s your best bet.

  18. john says:
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    standard league i need 3 wrs out of jordy nelson, colston, amendola and t.y. hilton

    • Loudon

      Loudon says:
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      @john: Nelson, Amendola, Hilton. They’re all solid starts this week, but those would be my 3.

  19. Mike says:
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    Terrence Williams or Keenan Allen ROS?
    Thx

    • Loudon

      Loudon says:
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      @Mike: Williams, but it’s close.

  20. paulzone says:
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    I was offered Gronk for Garcon. Would you accept this or counter with Gordon for Gronk?

    Current WRs: Demaryius, Cobb, Garcon, Gordon, Hilton, Edelman
    Current TE: Cook

    Thoughts?

    • miguel Dominguez says:
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      @paulzone: TAKE IT!

    • Loudon

      Loudon says:
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      @paulzone: If you can counter with Gordon I’d like the deal more for you, but considering your fleet of WRs, I think either trade would end up benefiting you.

  21. Harris says:
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    Drop Ball or R.Jennings. I have McFadden who did practice today.

    • Loudon

      Loudon says:
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      @Harris: I’d drop Ball, but only because I’m a Hillman believer.

    • Loudon

      Loudon says:
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      @Harris: @Harris: I’d drop Ball, but only because I’m a Hillman believer.

      • Loudon

        Loudon says:
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        @Loudon: Woops

  22. Chicken Dinner says:
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    Deep league. We play 3 RBs, 3WRs, 2W/R 2 TEs

    PPR

    I have:
    Murray, Benard, Miller, Tate, Ellington, Stacy, Helu, Vereen (IR spot)
    AJGreen, Calvin, Gordon, Blackmon, T. Williams
    Cameron, H.Miller, Kendricks

    Would you trade
    Blackmon, Stacy, and Lamar and Heath Miller
    for
    DeShaun, Gates

    • Chicken Dinner says:
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      @Chicken Dinner: I also have Joique.

      • Chicken Dinner says:
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        @Chicken Dinner: And Le’Veon. Sorry. I looked at that and was wondering why I would even entertain it. Those two added makes more sense.

        • Shawn M says:
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          @Chicken Dinner: Assuming DeShaun is DeSean Jackson then yes I’d do this deal. You’re losing some depth but guys on your bench don’t count towards the score. So with this deal i think you definitely improve your starters which is what it’s all about. You’re also getting the two best players in the deal so you can’t go wrong when you do that.

        • Loudon

          Loudon says:
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          @Chicken Dinner: Honestly, I don’t really see anything as a substantial upgrade for you. Yes, Gates is nice, but you already have Cameron and Miller is a solid backup. Yes, DeSean looks good, but so does Blackmon honestly and with Green, CJ, and Gordon, you’re fine. Your biggest weakness is your RB crew, which isn’t bad already, so personally I’d use some of your depth to upgrade your RBs.

          • Loudon

            Loudon says:
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            @Loudon: I should mention that I realize you’re starting a lot of these guys so you want as many quality starters as possible, but Miller for Gates and Blackmon for Jackson are both only slight upgrades. Trading Lamar for those upgrades is a huge price tag.

            • Chicken Dinner says:
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              @Loudon: Thanks. You read my mind once I started thinking straight. After looking at again I made him a similar offer with for Morris instead of Jackson.

              • Chicken Dinner says:
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                @Chicken Dinner: Instead of Blackmon I offered Le’Veon and I instead on DeSean I want Morris.

                Better?

  23. ty says:
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    Balsy or dumb?
    I’m pretty weak at the QB position Ive been streaming big Ben and Bradford. I’m thinking about dropping Bradford for Henne and hoping he racks up points in garbage time. should I hold and start Ben or gamble with the Henne move?

    • Loudon

      Loudon says:
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      @ty: I like Henne this week. I don’t love him, but I do like him more than your other 2 options this week. Henne may not be on a good team, but he’ll put up fantasy stats.

  24. JoeMorgan'sMustache says:
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    14 team league…would you flex Bilal Powell or Kennan Allen? Thanks.

  25. miguel Dominguez says:
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    Whats up man! .5 ppr league 10 team

    Who would you start at the flex? Arian foster, anquan boldin, or martellus bennet.

    Also who would you start at defense? Cincinnati Bengals or Dallas cowboys.

    • miguel Dominguez says:
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      @miguel Dominguez: p.s. I have murray, demaryious, torrey smith, and Julius thomas starting; Peyton @qb

      • Shawn M says:
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        @miguel Dominguez: Foster is looking more like his usual self so I go Foster here, plus Schaub isn’t getting the job done so I think they lean even more on the run.

        As for your Defense, not sure why you’re asking. Cincinnati D against Buffalo’s practice squad QB should be a no brainer…

    • Loudon

      Loudon says:
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      @miguel Dominguez: I would start Foster over Murray so Foster would DEFINITELY be my flex option. For defense, Cincinnati.

      • miguel Dominguez says:
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        @Loudon: the one time I decided to start foster he only got me 6-8 points. That was also when murray had a monster game on my bench. So for now murray is a must start for me, foster is looking like his old self.

        I had foster at the flex and Cincinnati D starting, I just wanted some insight from others. Thanks guys!!!

  26. scorequick says:
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    been offered Cam Newton for Gronk.

    my QBs are Kaepernick and Eli.

    do i do the deal?

    • miguel Dominguez says:
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      @scorequick: I wouldnt because cam hasnt been good this year imo, kaepernick should start to bounce back and gronk will start to produce.

    • Loudon

      Loudon says:
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      @scorequick: I’m with miguel on this one, not enough of an upgrade for you to be worth it.

      • scorequick says:
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        @Loudon:

        thanks much

  27. jeff g says:
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    Start 3: gronkn garcon cobb djax josh gorden ppr

    Reply
    jeff g says:
    October 9, 2013 at 5:44 pm (link)
    @jeff g: more info. Have aaron rodgers at qb chris johnson mccoy n bell at rb with vareen on IR. 5-0 but now with gronk back I have 5 great wide receivers/TE we don’t play a tight end. (And lastly we count total team score as well as head to head. Now which 3 do u start.

    I am leaning on Cobb, Gronk. Garcon. Think revis on djax and lack of throws for josh gorden is why? HELP?

    • Loudon

      Loudon says:
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      @jeff g: See my previous reply to this question. Trust your gut.

  28. Ian says:
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    Which side would you prefer in a trade of Cam + Martin for Stafford + Moreno? How do you rate the relative ROS value for each portion of that swap (Cam vs. Stafford, Martin vs. Moreno)?

    • Loudon

      Loudon says:
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      @Ian: I think the Cam/Martin side is giving up substantially more and that’s mainly because Moreno is much more at risk of losing his starting job by the end of the season. I’d take Cam over Stafford and Martin over Moreno so you’re losing in both parts in my opinion.

  29. Glendalien says:
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    Trade mendy and Marlon brown for sjax? 14tm non ppr. Thx

    • Loudon

      Loudon says:
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      @Glendalien: I’m with Shawn on this one. I would, yes.

  30. TobiasFunkeAnalRapist says:
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    10 team ppr league, just lost Julio and now all this David Wilson stuff is starting. Is he safe to drop? I’m thinking about just dropping him and using my IR spot on a Michael Crabtree stash. What do you think of that? I also have McGahee, MJD, Run DMC, Lamar Miller and Alfred Morris as my RBS so not exactly hurting at depth just talent. Thanks.

    • Loudon

      Loudon says:
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      @TobiasFunkeAnalRapist: Is Andre Brown available? I like him as an IR stash if you have the spot available.

  31. Mdaddy says:
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    Rough week for me with McFadden on the mend and Powell splitting with Ivory and Goodson.

    Do you think I should bench Powell, bump Woodhead from the FLEX into the RB2 spot and put ellington in the FLEX?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      I’d still start Powell over Ellington. He still had the most touches out of Jets backs

    • Loudon

      Loudon says:
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      @Mdaddy: I’m with Sky on this one.

  32. Curt says:
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    Pick 2 of the following in ppr league…….Gio, Woodhead, Sproles or Le’veon Bell??

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Please use the weekly rankings above.

    • Loudon

      Loudon says:
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      @Curt: Sky thinks he’s on his own article again. I’d go with Woodhead and Bell personally.

  33. Paz says:
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    trade frank gore for romo? two QB league, I’m deep at rb

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      If what you say is true, go for it.

      • Paz says:
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        @Sky: well I suppose it is debatable. my RBs are Gore, T rich, Morris, Ridley and Bernard. qbs are dalton Bradford and just recently acquired foles. my team isn’t doing very well, as you may be able to infer.

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          It’s ok depth. It’s a good trade for a 2QB league. Go for it.

    • Loudon

      Loudon says:
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      @Paz: I’m with Sky, this deal is a good one in a 2 QB league in your situation.

  34. Jiggy Nits says:
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    Which side: Knowshon vs Gore

    • Loudon

      Loudon says:
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      @Jiggy Nits: This week, Moreno. ROS, Gore.

  35. Shawn M says:
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    Your last sentence is hitting home with me. Lafell or Little?

    20 tm league, I have Julio. Picked up Douglas already and I have Harvin on my bench also so really just wanting to know which one of Lafell or Little to play this week? Douglas can start until Harvin is ready to go.

    I have Lafell in now but could pick up Little if better option.

    Thanks!

    • Loudon

      Loudon says:
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      @Shawn M: I like LaFell over Little this week so stick with your team and best of luck.

  36. JMander says:
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    16 Team PPR League.
    Play Two: MORENO WOODHEAD (my QB is Rivers. Wise to start 2 players from same offense?), T.RICHARDSON V.DAVIS (going against AZ who gives up most pts. to TEs) ?

    Receivers are Torre Smith and Victor Cruz (if that makes a difference)

  37. bluety says:
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    would to start need 3 L. Fitz, H. Nicks, S. Smith and J. Blackmom
    you get 1 point per rec after the 4th. thanks

  38. JohnRamboJr says:
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    I’ve got 10 minutes til game time. I’ve got a sinking suspicion that the broncos will not rely to heavily on Welker this Sunday. So, do I play A Jeffery’s tonight over him or Deshean Jackson on Revis island scare you more?

    • Chicken Dinner says:
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      @JohnRamboJr: Hope you played Welker.

  39. Velocity_X says:
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    I’m a little thin at RB with Gio, CJ2K and Spiller. Thinking ahead to my bye weeks, I was looking to pick up Stacy. I can either drop Hopkins this week to get Stacy, or hope no one snatches him and wait until next week when I can drop my backup QB for Matt Ryan.

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