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It’s looking more and more likely that Matt Leinart get some more quality co-ed hot tub time now that he’s lost his grip on the #1 QB position.  Derek Anderson will start Saturday night for the Cardinals and unless he sacrifices small woodland creatures on the field, I think he’ll retain the job.  Leinart has looked like Trent Edward’s illiterate cousin and even though Anderson hasn’t looked much better, he does have some confidence in his ability and will at least try! Leinart always seems to be trying not to lose, which means you lose every time.  Anderson isn’t going to win them many games, but he’s probably better for the offense since he will open the field up.

Donnie Avery: All indications are that Avery has a long term knee injury.  He was the speedster/deep man for the Rams and this is just another reason to think somebody is out to get the Rams.  They’ll need to find someone else to stretch the field.  And protect Bradford.

Laurence Maroney: He has not played at all the last 2 preseason games.  It looks like he has yet again performed a Dookie Davenport in Bill Belichick’s soup bowl.  This makes absolutely no sense.  Every other Patriots RB is getting work, so even if Maroney is 4th on the depth chart he should be getting a carry or two.  Hopefully something will come out to give us some direction.  It seems like they might as well trade him to the Redskins.

Leon Washington: He is starting the third and usually the most important preseason game and has been working with the 1st team in practice.  I don’t think this means he has won the starting job, but it shows just how wide open and committee-ized the Seahawk backfield is.  My Forsett love is declining rapidly.  I think he has the ability to have a big year, but L Dub’s quick recovery and with Julius Jones still in the mix, I just can’t in good conscious target him anymore.

Laurent Robinson: He is now the #1 receiver in St. Louis, which makes him equivalent to the #3 or #4 in Indianapolis/New Orleans.  But he does have a higher ceiling if Bradford continues to play like he did against the Patriots.  There are a few options at WR in St. Louis, so quite a few players could step up, but if you are in a PPR league, pay attention to the next guy.

Danny Amendola: One of the many Wes Welker knock offs, Amendola has the slot position wrapped up.  He caught 5 passes for 50 yards and will be a major target for Bradford who will need to get rid of the ball quickly.  If you are also in a return yardage league you might as well crown this scraptastic scrapper.

Rob Gronkowski: Aaron Hernandez had been getting all the early work and has looked very good in doing so, but he sat out against the Rams and Gronkowski got 2 TDs.  Add to that Alge Crumpler made a great catch on the sidelines and you have a tight end three way I am going to stay away from.

Wes Welker: He got through another game and had some of those YAC we all so enjoy.  You have to be a little cautious since his surgery wasn’t that long ago, but as long as he doesn’t reinjure anything he’ll be playing week 1, productively.

Owen Daniels: He has finally been cleared to play some football.  He won’t be stepping in and dominating soon, but once he gets back going he has plenty of upside.  He’s still a little risky, but this is good news for those that own him.

Antonio Bryant: It looked like the Bengals were ready to release him, but now he might be going on IR.  Whatever happens it’s not good news for Bryant or anyone who owns him.  Drop him off your draft boards completely.

Michael Hoomanawanui: I mentioned him in my deep sleeper article and he goes out and scores 2 touchdowns.  You’re not getting too many of those games in the regular season, but he looks like he has won the starting job over Daniel Fells. His nickname is “Uh Oh” if you need to ask him for something and don’t want to butcher his name.

Joseph Addai: The guy looked great.  I’ve been rooting against him because I feel like Donald Brown is the future, but right now it doesn’t look like Joe wants to go. Addai was pass protecting extremely well and also making great runs.  I still think the Colts won’t want to pay him after the season, so will try to get Brown work, but they also want to win and Addai looks like the guy to help them do that right now.  He did leave the game with a concussion so we have to keep an eye on that, but I doubt it keeps him out of any of the regular season.

Sam Bradford: He was 15/22 for 189 yards with 2 touchdowns and was accurate and poised in the pocket.  He looked like the real deal tonight, but the Pats defense also looked like they really didn’t want to be there.  Whatever.  He’s going to have plenty of growing pains and will get sacked a bunch, but if he can keep from getting shell shocked David Carr style he’ll be good and hopefully help SJax a little.

Demaryius Thomas: He didn’t reinjure his stress fractured foot, but it’s worrisome that the same foot is hurting.  He’ll have to work hard to become fantasy relevant this season.  His name conjures up fantasy flier, but no more.  No more!

Devone Bess: With Greg Camarillo going to Minnesota this gives Bess a little more breathing room in fantasy circles.  With a new Marshall in town Bess won’t be able to do much more than last season, but he had a decent PPR year and could easily repeat those numbers.

From Around The Web

  1. Giacomo says:
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    Doc – Had my draft the other night and here is how my team ended up in my 10 team .5 pts per reception league. Its a keeper league (in which I kept my 2 starting RB and WR) so I picked some players who I thought might have keeper potential with a lot of my bench spots. I was hoping you might tell me any areas that you think I need to improve:

    QB – Jay Cutler
    RB – DeAngelo Willimas
    RB – LeSean McCoy
    WR – Calvin Johnson
    WR – Miles Austin
    WR / RB – Greg Jennings
    TE – Owen Daniels
    D – NY Giants
    K – Steven Gostkowski
    BN – Thomas Jones
    BN – Joseph Addai
    BN – Donald Brown
    BN – Joe Flacco
    BN – Tim Hightower
    BN – Leon Washington
    BN – Devin Hester
    BN – Lee Evans

  2. AdamH says:
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    Hey Doc,

    Almost spit my coffee all over my new computer (Dookie Davenport in Bill Belichick’s soup bowl.) Great.

    Anyway, got 0.5 PPR auction draft tomorrow. We have $100 to spend on our starting lineup, which consists of:
    QB
    WR
    WR
    WR
    RB
    RB
    TE
    W/R/T
    K
    D

    After everyone has filled out their “starters”, the rest of the draft will be done with a snake. Got any advice? Cheap players to buy? Expensive guys to go for?

    Thanks for all the help.

  3. AdamH says:
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    Sorry, its a 12 team draft.

  4. bart stargh! says:
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    Where would you put Danny Amendola in your tiers? (#2s If you Go RB/RB? Could be #3s?)

  5. Beau says:
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    Hey Doc, thanks for the help again this season, just one more draft to go and feeling good thanks to you guys’ help.

    For my 12 team PPR league Im drafting out of the 11th spot and looking for some help on draft planning. Im not as used to PPR so unsure if I need to change my plans much. I def want to take a WR or even 2 in the first turn if andre or moss fall to me. If I have to settle on one of the lesser upside RBs I might go QB instead. For 3/4 id like to get jennings/JC if I need another WR and then wait on cutler/flacco or even schaub if he falls. I plan on waiting for QB2/TE/K/D until last 4 rounds and filling the other rounds with upside WR/RB.

    Any thoughts for 11th spot in 12 team ppr draft?

  6. Ian says:
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    Doc,

    The most optimistic updated projections for Welker I’ve seen have him around 90 catches, 900 yards and 4-6 TDs. Are you ready to write him down for 110 catches, 1100 yards and 6 TDs?

  7. herschel says:
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    @Doc: hoping you will go over this in a 5-8 pick draft recap, but in a PPR league who do you like between sjax, turner and moss (or other post AJ wr)?

    thanks.

  8. nick m. says:
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    14-team PPR. Need a replacement for Donnie Avery as my #4: Amendola, Bess, James Jones, Edelman, Straughter, (the mess that is the Seahawks #2 – Branch, Butler, or Williams)? Thanks.

  9. Doc

    Doc says:
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    @Giacomo: I think you did well. You might want to back Daniels up. I’m a little worried about him at the start of the season. I could also see starting Addai over McCoy in good matchups.

    @AdamH: With three wide receivers you will need to be careful not to get the shaft on one of them. Since this isn’t your typical money allocation I would make sure you set up some kind of budget and hope the others over bid.

    As far as guys to target there are too many to name. I wouldn’t get too set on certain guys because with this set up you could really blow your roll quickly. Did you check out my auction strategy post?

    @bart stargh!: Amendola is pretty far down. I’ll move him up a little today, but his real value is in PPR leagues that reward return yardage points. Depending on how many return points I could see him being a top scorer.

    @Beau: Sounds sound. I often like going WR/WR in that position. The 3/4 is tough to judge. If JC/McCoy/Best are there I have a hard time passing on them.

    @Ian: I think we can optimistically talk 100 receptions again. TDs are always hard to judge for him, but if he’s healthy I don’t see why he can’t up last seasons TDs. Remember he was out for a few games last year and still racked up those numbers.

    @herschel: SJax is still my winner in that race. Moss and Turner are close for me.

  10. Doc

    Doc says:
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    @nick m.: It’s between Amendola and Bess for me. I’m taking the upside of Amendola in ppr right now.

  11. Wilsonian says:
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    Have Moreno, Harrison, Holmes, Wallace, Thomas as my bench W/R guys.

    Would you still drop Demaryius Thomas for Donald Brown in an 8 Team league for one of those bench W/R spots with Addai playing so well (minus the concussion, of course)?

  12. Doc

    Doc says:
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    @Wilsonian: I would. Brown has lost some luster, but DT has lost even more.

  13. Isles Guru says:
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    Hey Doc. Who has more upside this year: Bess or Mike Thomas?

  14. KCC26 says:
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    Man, drafting from the 4 slot in a 14 team draft tonight. i had been agonizing over whether to take the best available wide receiver or roll with jamaal charles there. and then i read your post on drafting from the 4 slot (albeit in a 12 team league). only made it more difficult, as I had started to lean toward grabbing JC. Anyway, I’d assume that you’ve seen the yahoo draft rankings. Seems like I’d be assured either in the 2nd round at my current draft slot (pick 25) and have an outside shot at each in the 3rd (pick 33).

    However, it also seems like, if i take Jennings in the 2nd and miss out on Charles waiting for my 3rd pick, the best backs on the board stand to be something like McCoy/Stewart/Ronnie Brown (could also pair him with a 2nd wideout like Colston or Steve Smith). But if i take Charles in the 2nd, I can prob grab Colston/S.Smith/Boldin in the 3rd. Which scenario do you prefer, given yahoo’s silly rankings?

  15. Doc

    Doc says:
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    @KCC26: With the draft spread out like that I like the second scenario.

  16. KCC26 says:
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    Thanks Doc. Here’s hoping that Haley frees Charles! Then I pray for Jennings to fall to me in the 3rd…

  17. AdamH says:
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    Yeah, I’ve absolutely read the auction strategy post.

    Trying to convert player auction values to my league’s settings, do you think its feasible to divide by 2 ($200 compared to $100), then multiply by 10/16 (because the $200 is for 16 players compared to the $100 being for 10)? I know it is kind of rudimentary but I’m not sure how else to do it.

    Or should I just be quiet and wing it.

  18. Doc

    Doc says:
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    @AdamH: No, I think that’s a good approach. Or just go with the percentages.

  19. AdamH says:
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    Actually, it would be be multiplied by 8/10 (for every $100 spent in normal draft, its 8 players, compared to 10 for this one).

    Either way, I think I’ll use the percentages too.

    Thanks! Here’s praying that everyone else uses a normal auction value sheet.

  20. Wilsonian says:
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    @Doc: instead of Brown would you like any of the following options:

    Backs: Fred Jackson, Slaton, Hightower, McFadden, McGahee, Lynch, Leon loves Leon, Huggins, LJ

    OR

    Wideouts: Britt, Breaston, Massaquoi, Bryant, Cotchery, Bess?

    Thanks man.

  21. Doc

    Doc says:
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    @AdamH: Math!

    @Wilsonian: just based on the team and the upside if he becomes the starting back i have to stick with Brown. Some of the others may get more points week to week, but you don’t get those points on your bench anyway.

  22. Wilsonian says:
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    @Doc: much obliged, kind sir!

  23. DonSlaughtOnslaught says:
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    Rumors around Pittsburgh are that Mendenhall has a broken arm, could miss 6-8 weeks.

  24. sal says:
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    @Doc: are you ready for the return of ryan torrain?

  25. Doc

    Doc says:
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    @Wilsonian: No problemo.

    @DonSlaughtOnslaught: Right now they are be refuted as rumors. I think they are.

    @sal: Yes. Anyone besides Portis!

  26. DonSlaughtOnslaught says:
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    Yeah, I just saw that a Steelers PR guy shot it down. That is an odd rumor to start.

  27. Topps87 says:
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    Doc,
    Are you still as high on JCharles? Haley has me worried. I’ve mocked a 12team PPR, picking 8th, 2RB-2WR-Flex and often end up with

    1st: Moss
    2nd: White or Austin

    and in the 3rd I occasionally have a choice between Charles, SSmith NYG, and Welker. Picking a PPR stud WR to flex every week is sooo tempting but Charles never makes it back to me. Thoughts? Thanks.

  28. Doc

    Doc says:
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    @Topps87: If you can get him in the third I think you have to so it. Jones has shown nothing in preseason and JC has a nice ypc. He’ll have more touches than Jones easily.

  29. Topps87 says:
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    I’m convinced. He looks good tonight also.

    Thanks

  30. sal says:
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    how bad is jchar hurt???

  31. Doc

    Doc says:
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    @sal: He was on the sidelines in uniform with nothing on his elbow. Must be doing ok.

  32. Indy says:
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    Kyle Orton put up underrated numbers last year, and even though he loses a great receiver in Marshall, last year was his first in that offense. What do you see him doing this year? I feel he’s a solid backup with the potential for a few spot starts.

  33. Doc

    Doc says:
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    @Indy: I can’t say i wasn’t impressed by his last outing. He should be a solid backup, but his upside isn’t great.

  34. Big Nate says:
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    @Doc: I kinda feel like I’m cheating on Grey, but I’m getting into fantasy football mode. I love you Grey and thanks to your help during baseball season. Your’re my Justin Bieber. Thanks to you I’m in 3rd and 5th in the final month battling for money positions, respectively.

    I had my fantasy football action draft last night and I’m feeling strong about my fantasy starters:

    Kolb – $6
    CJ – $67
    Ricky Williams – $14
    Marshall – $35
    Giant Smith – $23
    Hines Ward – $14
    Witten – $15 (My co-owner went wild…I’m ashamed at this price)
    K
    DEF

    So – I got an offer today to trade Marshall for Randy Moss straight up….That’s a slam dunk, right? The league is a .5 point PPR, but still.

    Thoughts?

  35. Doc

    Doc says:
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    @Big Nate: yeah, you gotta do that trade.

    Who are your backups? Not a fan of Ricky starting. Wish it was a full point PPR for Smith and Ward, but .5 is better than nada.

    Welcome to the dark side! Grey never needs to know….

  36. Big Nate says:
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    @Doc:

    We aren’t a big fan of starting Ricky either, but it was important for us to get three strong WR’s that we start every single week. Have any thoughts on an RB we might be able to steal on the cheap?

    3 Chris Johnson, Ten RB $67
    40 Jets D/ST, NYJ D/ST $3
    42 Brandon Marshall, Mia WR $35
    49 Hines Ward, Pit WR $14
    52 Steve Smith, NYG WR $23
    73 Jay Cutler, Chi QB $6
    80 Ricky Williams, Mia RB $8
    81 Thomas Jones, KC RB $6
    92 LaDainian Tomlinson, NYJ RB $5
    97 Kevin Kolb, Phi QB $6
    104 Mason Crosby, GB K $2
    110 Jason Witten, Dal TE $15
    133 Javon Ringer, Ten RB $3
    161 Laurent Robinson, StL WR $2
    163 Julian Edelman, NE WR $3
    178 Jerricho Cotchery, NYJ WR $1
    193 Bengals D/ST, Cin D/ST $1

  37. Topps87 says:
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    Am I reading too much into the preseason to Downgrade Celek? Last two games = 2trgt, 1 rec, 14yrd and 1, 1, 19. I was high on him but it looks like he is being held back to help block.

  38. Doc

    Doc says:
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    @Big Nate: With M. Bush breaking his finger I could see trying to buy low on him.

    @Topps87: I could see downgrading a bit, but I think the Eagles can turn things around.

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