Fantasy Football Videos

The horror…the horror…

Marlon Brando as Colonel Kurtz recites these words before his death in Apocalypse Now, which many historians consider to be one of the more accurate depictions of the Vietnam War. Football is a simulacrum of war, of the battlefield and of attrition. For every victory, there’s a loss. Healthy finishes are balanced by tough injuries. For every career started, there’s a career on the fritz. And it all plays out on our TV and is discussed on social media. Were you a bit embarrassed the last time you stubbed your toe, or slipped on some ice and fell, or biffed it at the gym? Now we’ve got the 8K 120 FPS hyper-zoom of injuries to the likes of Jerry Jeudy. We’ve got Aaron Rodgers crashing in real-time, his State Farm commercials reminding us of what could be if Rodgers went and hosted Jeopardy or did insurance commercials full time like Peyton Manning. It’s OK to lose the love of the game. It’s OK to admit your mortality. It’s not OK to look at Jordan Love and blame him for your downfall. For every commander that wins a battle, there’s another commander that loses. And what we’re left with is a story of the winners — but nobody’s perfect. 

Let’s get everybody caught up on the stats and slates that made the news for Week 1 of the fantasy football season. As we go through, I’m going to focus more on players that you might want to add — you don’t really need me to recap Patrick Mahomes, do you? (If you do, please tell me)

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Sunday morning has arrived and you spent all weekend on a drinking binge? Or worse (maybe better?), you’ve been up for 48 hours on six different types of drugs? Fear not, Razzball has all of your last-minute fantasy football needs covered. Over the past two days, Bobby has covered the best defensive matchups this week for both AFC and NFC fantasy wide receivers. Yesterday Skorish went through every fantasy-relevant injury to keep an eye on in his weekly Fantasy Football Injury Report. Down below I’ll give you some sneaky start options who might be available in your free agent pool if you’re in a bind, as well as my recently updated week 1 rankings for half PPR leagues. Feel free to ask me questions in the comments if you feel the rankings don’t address your specific circumstances. And please, please, please consider purchasing our 2021 fantasy football tools subscription. As intelligent and handsome as we all agree I am, my rankings are still packed full of bias and human error. Rudy’s computer model minimizes the human inputs and leans heavily on raw, untainted data inputs to provide a very valuable, differing viewpoint. Plus you receive all kinds of other benefits with your subscription including next-day snap count and target rate data. Anyway, here’s a few sneaky starts for week 1 of the 2021 fantasy football season:

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If you haven’t read the first article on the AFC Home Games Click Here. That article provides an overview on what we are doing for this article.

The below chart outlines all the teams that are featured in the NFC home games in week 1 and listed by how many total fantasy points they allowed to the wide receiver position last season.

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Well, my precious goblins and ghouls, the football season is finally upon us. And naturally, with that, I have the grave responsibility to inform you fine specimens of the injuries that can and will impact your Week 1 fantasy rosters. 

Such is life. 

Let’s jump in and see who might be available on your waiver or can receive a bump in production from the gaps left by these poor, hurt souls. 

Shall we? 

The first injury to look at is… *checks notes* Oh the entire Ravens backfield. That’s not good! In just a few days the Ravens have lost their breakout star J.K. Dobbins, Justice Hill, and the most recently Gus Edwards to terrible season-ending injuries. In response, the team has signed Latavius Murray along with Le’Veon Bell and Devonta Freeman to their practice squad presumably to try to keep Lamar from having to rush approximately 10,000,000 yards per game. As of now, it looks like the Ravens are going to start the last running back left standing before the leg injury bloodbath, Ty’Son Williams, who might just have an opportunity against an uncertain Raiders pass rush under new defensive coordinator Gus Bradley and a reshaped defense. Look for Latavius Murray and Ty’Son Williams as a possible pick-up in leagues you might have had one of the injured fellows in and if you are feeling very adventurous maybe take a look at Le’Veon Bell or Devonta Freeman for a possible bounce-back campaign. I’m still not betting on that though, sorry Blair

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In this article we will break down how many fantasy points a defense allows to wide receivers from the slot vs. out wide. The analysis will hopefully help us better identify which types of wide receivers to target each week based on where they see the most targets.

For week 1 we will review how the teams in the AFC home games faired vs. slot and outside wide receivers in 2020.  We will then look at what has potentially changed from last season and what information could repeat in 2021. The below chart outlines all the teams that are featured in the AFC home games in week 1 and listed by how many total fantasy points they allowed to the wide receiver position last season.

 

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There were some epic battles between Muhammad Ali and Joe Frazier back in the 1970s including the “Thrilla in Manilla” and “The Fight of the Century”. We had the Ali vs George Foreman “Rumble in the Jungle” and the Foreman vs Mike Tyson “Ear Biting” match. Iconic slugfests that will forever be remembered in boxing history. Well, football fans all over the world were treated to a different kind of heavyweight slugfest in last night’s kickoff to the 2021 NFL season.

The NFL schedule makers gave us all a treat by scheduling two of the most high-powered offenses in football in the Thursday Night Football season opener. The Super Bowl Champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers got to kick us off by playing host to the Dallas Cowboys in a game that brought us all the jabs, crosses and uppercuts that we remember from those iconic heavyweight boxing matches. Coming into the game, we had a superstar showdown of 44 year old Tom Brady facing off against Dak Prescott who was 11 months removed from being carted off the field with a sideways ankle. The star power was abundant on both sides, and neither side disappointed in a game that hit 60 points and made a lot of fantasy football managers happy.

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Projections are hard, especially when it comes to Fantasy North American Football. The list of caveats that come with evaluating a single player’s offensive performance any given week are many.

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All of us nerds in our basements writing out fantasy football stats on the back of comic books will never be satisfied, will we? It’s not enough that we have receiving yards, target share, snap counts, aDOT, RACR, and WOPR for wide receivers and tight ends. Now we have to dissect and analyze how far a football was thrown in the air no matter whether the ball was caught or not? Does that even really matter? 

Well, whenever you get a stat that is as predictive and actionable as air yards, you bet your nerdy ass it matters. What in the name of Dungeons and Dragons is air yards? Glad you asked. Let’s dig in.

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Expectations were low for McLaurin as a third-round selection out of Ohio State. He was the definition of an outlier—poor college resumé, underwhelming analytics profile, and returned for his senior year. Furthermore; he was a 24 year-old rookie, without a registered Break Out Age. Yikes.

Guys like that aren’t supposed to succeed, but he wasted no time proving everyone wrong, posting 125 receiving yards and a touchdown in his first-ever NFL game. He should’ve had 198 yards and two touchdowns, but Case Keenum badly overthrew McLaurin on a double move after torching the poor Eagles secondary. Go figure.

He posted one of the best rookie seasons ever by a WR drafted in round three or later. Compare his numbers to the leaders in yards among WRs with similar-or-worse draft capital:

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Before week 1 of the season, B_Don and Donkey Teeth bring in the big gun, Razzball co-founder, Rudy Gamble. We go over some news with the Le’Veon signing, Latavius Murray getting cut, and some last minute week 1 injuries. The guys weigh in on some of the primary waiver wire targets and how they would prioritize them (none of us agree btw). Then, we move on to ask Rudy about the Razzball football tools and his weekly in-season projections. The guys ask him about Baker Mayfield and his hatred for Jameis Winston. Last, we ask Rudy to explain his Raheem Mostert love. 

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AFC HOME GAMES
Team Slot PPG Wide PPG Total PPG % Slot
TEN 12.3 24.6 36.9 33%
SEA 13.1 21.3 34.4 38%
MIN 10.5 23.7 34.2 31%
HOU 13.2 19.7 32.9 40%
CLE 13.3 19.3 32.6 41%
MIA 11.3 20.8 32.1 35%
JAX 10.4 21.3 31.7 33%
LV 13.4 18.2 31.6 42%
IND 11.9 18.9 30.8 39%
CIN 9 21.1 30.1 30%
ARI 11.5 17.5 28.9 40%
PIT 11.4 17 28.4 40%
NE 10.6 17.6 28.2 38%
BUF 8.8 17.6 26.4 33%
BAL 9.9 16.3 26.2 38%
KC 8.9 16.8 25.7 35%