The odds are in, and it is clear that Trevor Lawrence is the undoubted favorite to go number one overall. Lawrence sits at -10,000 to go first. However, the odds for second overall get a bit tighter with Zach Wilson leading the charge at -200 and Justin Fields sitting at +350. QBs are favored to go earlier in this draft, with -590 odds on the chance that over 4.5 QBs get taken in the first round. With such a stacked QB class, it makes coming up with Dynasty rankings in 2QB leagues that much harder.
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Rankings
1. Trevor Lawrence – QB
First overall on this list has to be the very best QB prospect since Andrew Luck. Trevor Lawrence has little to no flaws in his game and is simply expected to be great. Lawrence has dealt with that pressure since high school and has always delivered. This is as close as you will ever get to a “can’t miss prospect,” and in a 2QB league, it is hard to pass on the value of someone who is compared to Elway, Manning, and Luck in terms of draft hype.
2. Zach Wilson – QB
What if I told you, you could draft a rookie Russell Wilson? I think that would easily deserve 2nd overall, especially when you consider that Wilson’s been able to produce in one of the worst situations, stuck with Pete Caroll and the heavy run attack in Seattle. I see so much of Russell Wilson in Zach Wilson that it is ridiculous, and I fully believe he is deserving of #2 in both the NFL Draft and rookie 2QB dynasty drafts.
3. Najee Harris – RB
Najee Harris is a complete back and one of the most complete backs to come out of the draft in a while. No matter Harris’ landing spot, he is most likely going to earn the three-down role. In fantasy, it is all about opportunity and situation with running backs, and Harris will force tons of opportunity due to his talent and ability.
4. Travis Etienne – RB
Etienne is an interesting running back prospect; while I personally like Javonta Williams more, I believe that Etienne is much more likely to earn a role that produces fantasy points right away. Etienne demonstrates elite speed and pass-catching ability that is extremely coveted when looking for fantasy value out of your RB slot.
5. Javonte Williams – RB
Williams is more of a 4b than 5 in the rankings, as I do not think either he or Etienne really have an edge here. Williams is one of the smartest and most elusive runners that I have ever watched on film. Javonte Williams is not scared to get dirty in pass-pro and is a solid pass catcher and route runner. This means that he will not be coming out on passing downs and makes his fantasy value extremely enticing.
6. Devonta Smith – WR
My number one wide receiver in the class is Devonta Smith, and it is not very close for me. This is because Smith demonstrates route running and release ability similar to that of Justin Jefferson. After seeing what Jefferson did his rookie year, I am not passing up on Smith if I need a WR early in the draft.
7. Kyle Pitts – TE
I may not be as high on Pitts as many, but there is no doubt that TE value is sparse. If you can get yourself a potential playmaker and a key receiver for an offense in your TE slot, then that on its own is worth a top rookie pick. On top of this, Pitts is talented; there is no denying that. He will be highly sought after in both the NFL draft and your home drafts.
8. Jaylen Waddle – WR
Jaylen Waddle is extremely similar to Tyreek Hill and that kind of talent is very valuable in dynasty. As long as Waddle goes to an offense and QB that is able to take advantage of his elite speed, good route running, and great catching ability down the field, then you have yourself a top-24 WR locked in with Waddle.
9. Ja’Marr Chase – WR
Ja’Marr Chase is many fantasy players’ number one wide receiver; however, I have some major concerns about Chases’ separation ability at the next level. Chase does have a very good release but did not always get the separation that I wanted to see while watching the film. He is still a fantastic option, just not quite on the same level as the two Bama’ receivers in front of him.
10. Justin Fields – QB
My third QB in this class is quite a drop-off when it comes to how sure I am that he will produce right away. Fields’ rushing ability will give him a nice floor even in his rookie season. However, there are a few spots that Fields could land that would skyrocket him on my board. If Kyle Shanahan gets his hands on Fields, I believe that you will have a top-15 QB for a very long time.
11. Rashod Bateman – WR
Rashod Bateman is clearly the 4th best WR in this class and possesses some incredible talent that is clearly demonstrated from his college tape. He is the ideal size, has sure hands, a good release, and above-average top-end speed. There is not much more you can ask for from a WR prospect. Bateman will have value no matter where he goes.
12. Trey Sermon – RB
Trey Sermon is the next most complete back in this class, and that is why I think he is worthy of the #4 spot on the rankings when it comes to RBs. Again, what you want from a running back is the opportunity, and since Sermon is a complete back, he will be able to get that opportunity. If he can improve his routes and hands just a bit, he can easily be a 3-down back for most teams in need of RB help.
Second Round
13. Trey Lance – QB
14. Terrace Marshall Jr. – WR
15. Elijah Moore – WR
16. Khalil Herbert – RB
17. Kadarius Toney – WR
18. Kenneth Gainwell – RB
19. Mac Jones – QB
20. Dyami Brown – WR
21. Rondale Moore – WR
22. Brevin Jordan – TE
23. Amon-Ra St. Brown – WR
24. Chuba Hubbard – RB
