Donkey Teeth

Dynasty Best Ball Draft Recap, Round 1: Jake Ciely’s Burner Account

May 10, 2021 | Fantasy Football Dynasty Leagues | Leave a comment

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I’ve spent the entire offseason rounding up the who’s who of the fantasy football industry. You see, I needed to boost 50 cars in 72 hours to keep my kid brother from getting murdered by a scary mobster. Wait, that was the plot from Gone in 60 Seconds. Sometimes I get my life confused with Nicolas Cage movies. One day I’ll have to tell you about the whole Face Off debacle; what a mess! Anyway, I felt a lot like Memphis Raines rounding up his car theft crew when I was recruiting this all star cast for the Razzball Dynasty Best Ball League: a 12-team, half PPR league featuring a 28-player roster and starting lineups consisting of 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE, 2 FLEX and no defense or kickers. If you’re unfamiliar with the glorious best ball format, it’s a league format designed for minimal in season management, where the computer will select your optimal starting lineup each week AFTER that week’s NFL games have been played. 

Here’s the full star studded list of industry participants and the league’s official draft order:

1. Michael Salfino | The Athletic

2. Dalton Del Don | Yahoo

3. Pat Fitzmaurice | The Football Guys & The Football Girl

4. Rudy Gamble | Razzball

5. Dave Richard | CBS

6. Donkey Teeth | Razzball

7. Jake Ciely | The Athletic

8. Heath Cummings | CBS

9. Nando Di Fino | The Athletic

10. Andy Behrens | Yahoo

11. Scott Pianowski | Yahoo

12. Brandon Myers | Razzball

We’re now about halfway through our 28-round draft, and today I’ll be recapping the first round which was full of wheeling and dealing—that’s right, we allow trades in our dynasty best ball league! 

Please, blog, may I have some more?

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B_Don

Fantasy Football Podcast – Top 10 Rookie RBs Pre-Draft

April 29, 2021 | Fantasy Football Podcast | 3 Comments

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AlfredJF aka Boof has come back for another Razzball Fantasy Football Podcast with B_Don and Donkey Teeth to go over his recent Pre-Draft Top 10 Rookie RBs article. B_Don and Boof go through their usual film vs numbers discussion to give you both points of view on the eve of the NFL draft. We start at the top with Najee Harris, Javonte Williams, and Travis Etienne, then the guys diverge in their rankings from there. Come listen and find out how the rest of the top 10 breaks out for the guys. 

Please, blog, may I have some more?

al_FF_red

Pre-Draft Top 10 Running Backs for 2021 Fantasy Football

April 28, 2021 | 2021 NFL Draft Preview | 3 Comments

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Hello all, it’s the most wonderful time of the year – NFL draft season. I have put together my top 10 running backs for you using a combination of production metrics and film.

Without getting too technical, my process heavily weighs volume for running backs. It has been shown that usage in college projects usage in the pros (with the occasional exception). Other college production metrics come into play, for example, efficiency AND volume is better than volume alone and of course projected draft capital has to be considered. Finally, the last step is to turn on the tape and see what traits jump out and how they convert their skills into the production that the stats show.

This list reflects who I would prefer in a vacuum on talent alone. Landing spot is a bigger consideration for me at the running back position than it is for quarterbacks or receivers. So, there will be a higher likelihood of shuffling post draft on this list compared to other positions. Still, I think we should pick players mostly on talent first and the other factors are more like tie-breakers rather than a major consideration. All metrics come from the campus2canton.com data app and athletic testing from mockdraftable.com.

Please, blog, may I have some more?

Bobby LaMarco

Current AFC Players With The Most To Gain In The Upcoming NFL Draft!

April 28, 2021 | 2021 NFL Draft Preview | Leave a comment

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In the last article we highlighted which NFC players have the most to gain if their current teams don’t draft a player at a similar position. In this article we will discuss which current AFC players have the most to gain in the upcoming NFL draft. What this means is if a team passes on a skill position player or quarterback in the first few round which players currently on those rosters today will have the most to gain.

Each section we will highlight the team, how many picks each team has overall, how many picks they have rounds 1-3 and the players who have the most to gain. This article isn’t a mock or predicting any picks. Most likely at least half of these players we talk about today will be impacted by draft picks, but just in case they aren’t here is why we think they can improve in 2021.

Baltimore Ravens
Total picks: 7
Round 1: No. 27 overall
Round 2: No. 58
Round 3: No. 104

Impacted Player: Marquise Brown

Marquise Brown turned it on in the second half of 2020 increasing his production in nearly every metric. This spike in production coincides with Mark Andrews missing time due to COVID. However, even after Andrews returned Brown was still producing at a high level. Below are his stats side by side before Andrews went out with Covid and after he returned. The 13.2 points per game (PPG) in those final 6 weeks (including playoffs) would have made Brown the wide receiver 15 in 2020. Brown’s current Best ball average draft position (ADP) is wide receiver 36.

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Bobby LaMarco

Current NFC Players With The Most To Gain In The Upcoming NFL Draft!

April 21, 2021 | Fantasy Football Strategy | 1 Comment

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Current NFC players with the most to gain in the upcoming NFL draft!

In this article we are going to discuss which current NFC players have the most to gain in the upcoming NFL draft. What this means is if a team passes on a skill position player or quarterback in the first few round which players currently on those rosters today will have the most to gain.

Each section we will highlight the team, how many picks each team has overall, how many picks they have rounds 1-3 and the players who have the most to gain. This article isn’t a mock or predicting any picks. Most likely at least half of these players we talk about today will be impacted by draft picks, but just in case they aren’t here is why we think they can improve in 2021.

Arizona Cardinals

Total picks: 6

Round 1: No. 16 overall

Round 2: No. 49

Round 3: N/A

Impacted Player: Chase Edmonds

Edmonds has 9 career games where he received 10 touches. In those games he averaged 13.4 PPG with a .89 fantasy points per touch. Edmonds only saw 10 touches in a game 6 times in 2020 so if he can be the 1A in 2021, he should improve on his RB28 finish from last season.

Impacted Player: Christian Kirk

The signing of A.J. Green offers provides an opportunity for Christian Kirk to kick inside. This is a much better suited position for Kirk who has a .18 higher YPRR when playing inside including a career high 1.9 YPRR in 2018. If Fitzgerald isn’t re-signed, he is vacating 62 slot targets that could go Kirk’s way in 2021.

 

Please, blog, may I have some more?

B_Don

Fantasy Football Podcast: Top 10 Rookie Wide Receivers With Boof

April 20, 2021 | Fantasy Football Podcast | 1 Comment

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B_Don and Donkey Teeth welcome back the artist formerly known as Boof, @AlfredJF. Boof joins us to go over his recent top 10 rookie WR article. There are always some disagreements when B_Don and Boof are on the pod, as we each use our own methods for draft prep and rankings. Both are here to provide you with the best information to make your rookie decisions for your leagues. 

We go through the top 10 from Boof’s list and talk about consensus #1 WR, Ja’Marr Chase. The rankings disparity begins after that as Boof and B_Don both have different 2 and 3 WRs. Boof bucks the normal ADP and comes in hot with a surprise at 3 with Elijah Moore. Meanwhile, B_Don is still in love with DeVonta Smith. The guys run through evaluations on Rondale Moore, Rashod Bateman, Dyami Brown, Terrace Marshall Jr., and a few others. If you’re looking for a podcast to hear both the numbers and film side of the rookie wideouts, look no further. 

Please, blog, may I have some more?

Sam Shefrin

Super Flex Dynasty Rookie Rankings & Draft Odds

April 17, 2021 | Fantasy Football Dynasty Leagues |

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The odds are in, and it is clear that Trevor Lawrence is the undoubted favorite to go number one overall. Lawrence sits at -10,000 to go first. However, the odds for second overall get a bit tighter with Zach Wilson leading the charge at -200 and Justin Fields sitting at +350. QBs are favored to go earlier in this draft, with -590 odds on the chance that over 4.5 QBs get taken in the first round. With such a stacked QB class, it makes coming up with Dynasty rankings in 2QB leagues that much harder.

If you are interested in betting on where your favorite fantasy rookie pick will go in the draft you can visit WynnBet. The sportsbooks has recently launched its online platform and just went live with WynnBet Michigan. There are a ton of NFL futures including the draft. Then, during the NFL season, there are loads of prop-bets that are perfect for fantasy players who wish to bet on their favorite players to perform.

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Bobby LaMarco

The Impact of NFL Coaching Changes – Atlanta Falcons

April 14, 2021 | Fantasy Football Strategy |

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Team: Atlanta Falcons

New Play-Caller: Arthur Smith

Scheme: West Coast

 

Historical Overview

The change from former Falcons Offensive Coordinator Dirk Koetter’s pass first Air Coryell attack to Arthur Smith’s run first play action pass offense is going to be drastic. However, Matt Ryan has a lot of familiarity with this offense Smith is bringing over. Back in 2015 and 2016 former Titans Offensive Coordinator Matt Lafleur was the Quarterbacks coach in Atlanta for two seasons.  In those seasons the Falcons ran a similar scheme to what Arthur Smith ran in Tennessee after taking over for Matt Lafleur in 2019. Matt Ryan enjoyed his lone MVP season in 2016 running this system amassing 4,944 pass yards and 38 TDs. That season the Falcons produced a Top 3 quarterback, Top 6 running back and a Top 6 wide receiver.

In this article we will breakdown by position the impact of this coaching change, and how we believe the fantasy relevant players will perform in the new offense.

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Sam Shefrin

Fantasy Football Winners of NFL 2021 Free Agency

April 13, 2021 | 2021 Fantasy Football |

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With free agency starting to calm down, you can already quantify the impacts that players have made on teams with the odds being presented by bookmakers. While the Chiefs stay at the top spot at +500 to win the Super Bowl, there are some great odds that may be moving quickly. One team that is getting a lot of love for the newfound fantasy value that it has acquired is the Washington Football Team, who sit at +6,000 odds to win the Super Bowl. Not only has Washinton turned into a favorable fantasy destination with the addition of Ryan Fitzpatrick, but the wager for them to win it all has gotten much more enticing.

If you wish to bet on sports, then one of the top bookmakers is William Hill. The sportsbook just launched in Virginia, and you can bet on the local Washington Football Team right now, with William Hill Virginia. Currently, William Hill has Super Bowl, conference, and divisional odds available. Washington sits at +6,000, +2,800, and +300 to win the Super Bowl, NFC, and NFC East, on William Hill Virginia.

The 2021 free-agent class was filled with massive names in fantasy football. However, after Allen Robinson and Chris Godwin both received franchise tags, it seemed that the class was going to be a letdown. Looking now, it seemed very few, if any, free agents really increased their value.

When looking a bit deeper, there are some winners, but the biggest winners were not free agents at all. Some of the biggest winners were players that had a value increase due to other weapons leaving the team. This leads to these winners being given more opportunities to score even more points for their fantasy rosters. However, we will touch on a couple of winners from the free-agent class, as well.

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al_FF_red

Pre-Draft Top 10 Rookie Wide Receivers

April 9, 2021 | 2021 NFL Draft Preview, Fantasy Football Dynasty League Rankings | 2 Comments

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Hello all, it’s the most wonderful time of the year when hot takes are all the rage and us nerds get to wax poetic about what those silly NFL GMs should do at the end of April. I have put together my top 15 wide receivers for you using a combination of production metrics and film. Without getting too technical, my process is to group players into tiers based on breakout age and other college production metrics which and project draft capital and expected upside then refine those rankings within a tier by watching them play.

This list reflects who I would prefer in a vacuum on talent alone. Of course NFL draft capital and landing spot will come into play, but I think we should pick players on talent first and the other factors are more like tie-breakers rather than a major consideration. All metrics come from the campus2canton.com data app.

Please, blog, may I have some more?