I have been tiptoeing around writing about Allen Robinson as a fantasy target. I really like Allen Robinson, which I will get to, but I have been writing a lot about players in the 25-40 ADP range as targets and I would love to focus on all parts of the draft board. But this year, more than ever, it is important to be diverse on the draft board. Especially if you play in more than one league. Every year you should have backup plans and tier your rankings because it’s assumed that you are going to get sniped at some point in every draft. But also, we need to assume that players that we draft will test positive for Covid-19 at some point in the season, so diversifying and not putting all of your eggs in one basket in every league is ideal. After all, if you play in a lot of leagues, it’s about return on investment. If you miss badly in one league, you can still have fighting chances in others. 

Allen Robinson had a WR1 season in 2019 despite despicable quarterback play from Mitchell Trubisky. Robinson was still able to average 15.9 fantasy points per game which ranked 9th on a per game basis. Robinson is a beneficiary of the fantasy football mantra that volume is king. Robinson played 97% of snaps in 2019 and ranked 4th in targets with 153 balls thrown his way. That was good for 27% of the target share in Chicago.

Robinson is long healed from his ACL injury a few years ago and is right in the middle of the prime of his career. The Bears haven’t done a whole lot to add talent to their receiving pool. Jimmy Graham is washed up to put it nicely and the addition of Cole Kmet will be a work in progress. On a normal basis, it takes tight ends a year of two to get their feet underneath them. I actually have a lot of hope that this could be a break out season for Anthony Miller. In November and early December, Miller went on a nice little run in the offense putting together a couple of 9 catch performances and finding the end zone a couple of times. Miller is full of potential and entering that magical year 3 for a wide receiver. 

I think Robinson is the perfect WR1 target if you decide to go RB-RB. There is so much depth at wide receiver going into 2020. If Matt Nagy doesn’t wake the offense up from last season, there could be frustrating parts of the season, but for the most part, Robinson is one of the most consistent producers. In Bestball10’s, Robinson has spiked up to the 31st pick off of the board and I think that is a fair price. But if you look at another source, his FFPC price currently has him coming off of the board a whole round later at the 42nd spot. This doesn’t seem too far off base considering that I was able to snag Robinson in the 4th round of a dynasty start up earlier in the year. Getting Robinson at the 3rd/4th round turn seems like a smart play if you find yourself in that position.  

 

  1. Dase says:
    (link)

    This guy was a beast down the stretch of the regular season and in the fantasy playoffs! From week 11 through 16 (six games), he averaged 11.3 targets, 6.8 catches, 85.6 yards and .5 touchdowns per game.

    When it comes to one of my favorite value plays, it’s a running back from the Chicago Bears. It has nothing to do with him rushing with the football, it’s all about the volume he gets in the passing game. This player is Tarik Cohen, His two years with Matt Nagy at coach has seen him get at least 91 targets (104 last year) in both seasons. He has also added eight touchdowns (five and three). Like you said they added, no serious threats to his strangle hold as the number two option for whoever is the quarterback. He has finished no lower then 29th in PPR formats among all running backs in those two seasons. His current ADP is the 40th RB off the board in best ball drafts. I understand nothing exciting or sexy about picking him but he is a rock solid RB3, if you go RB-RB and load up on WR with your next three to four picks.

    • MB

      MB says:
      (link)

      Agree, I’ve learned over the past couple years great picks don’t have to be sexy

Comments are closed.