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Why Razzball? Why you ask. If I really need to answer that question then I think you are in the wrong place. Perhaps you meant to visit espn.com where you could fill up on shitty advice from some overpaid, over hyped ding dong. I’ve been trying to figure a way to work “ding dong” into a post all season. Check that one off the list. But while I have your divided attention, I’ll answer it anyway. Is “undivided” attention actually a thing anymore. Heck I’m barely paying attention as I write this post. So you’ll have to forgive my randomness.

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pinkdoug

It seems I can no longer avoid the pink elephant in the room. Doug Baldwin (63%). In the preseason I identified Doug as an ideal cheap buy in auction leagues. With an projection of about 167 points and a price tag of at most $2, his points per dollar (PPD) was through the roof. In snake drafts his ADP was about 120 (10th round). Through 12 games he currently has 180 points (1 point PPR). Over achieve much? In week 5 I ranked him as a top-20 receiver. And in weeks 11 and 12, I highlighted for his on field performances. The writing has been on the wall all season. And by wall, I mean my posts. How many of us missed it, or just plain ignored it. In the last four weeks specifically, Baldwin has been one of the top WR in the league. The stats don’t lie. During that span he has averaged 6 catches and 108 yards per game. He also has 6 touchdowns in those four games. Is it a coincidence that his performance has blossomed since Marshawn Lynch has been out of the lineup? I have no idea, but felt obligated to point it out. Can you hear me now?!!

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yoadrian
Well… we’re at that point in the season where we’ve separated the men from the boys. Sorry ladies. It’s just an expression. Those of you that have already clinched a playoff berth, congratulations. Those that are no longer setting their lineups, SHAME ON YOU. Please notice the CAPS. There is very little I despise more than when someone does not set their lineup. Leaving a player that is on a bye or out due to injury is UNACCEPTABLE at any time of the season. I get it, we all have lives and hiccups are going to happen along the way, but more than once is a season is enough for me to want you out of the league. Sorry, but if you can’t find the little bit of time it takes each week to make sure you at least have a lineup of active players, you don’t belong in my league. You’re affecting the outcome of the league when you do this and I won’t stand for it. I won’t sit for it either. In one of my leagues I have gotten my league mates to agree to a fine of $20 for every inactive player left in a lineup. I could go on, but I actually had a different agenda today.

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By now, some of you have got to be tired of my weekly rant about how I could have fielded a team using just the jabronies I could find on the waiver wire and still beat just about any other team currently rostered in your league. Frankly I’m getting tired of writing about it. Let’s be honest, who in their right mind was ever going to consider starting any of these guys? Unless you know something the rest of us do not, these players are going to continue riding the pine. And now that we are winding down on the fantasy season, and bye weeks are complete, there is very little incentive to take a risk on a player that has done very little nearly all season.

In the sake of tradition, here’s this week’s lineup:

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To be honest, I really don’t care much for Thanksgiving. After so many years it has become more of a chore than joy. Who gives a sh*t about the food? I can eat whatever I want, whenever I want anyway. Cramming twenty or so people into an average-sized house is not my definition of fun. Other people’s kids annoy me. Especially when they threaten to impede best part of the day. Football. Cries of I WANNA watch [insert bullsh*t kids show]” by a whiney brat annoy me about as much as when someone somewhat related to me that I could really care less about sits down next to me and tries to tell me about what’s gone on in his life since last year when he tried the same thing. But I digress.

Other than a last name that gave me a fitting title, Chris Givens has no business being mentioned in this post. But since he’s unknowingly done me a solid, I’ll give him his 30 seconds of “fame”. After three games with St. Louis where he had 1 reception for 7 yards, Givens was traded to the Ravens. Since moving to Baltimore he’s had 12 catches on 24 targets (50%) for 168 yards and a touchdown. I think Antonio Brown topped those number last week alone. Have no “misgivens” about it, if you own this guy, you’re bad at fantasy football.

This week I’m giving The Stats Machine a well deserved opportunity to rest its bits and bytes. It takes a lot of 1’s and 0’s to fuel its core and with the playoff push in the near horizon, I thought it was the right time to recharge its light cycles. So instead of analyzing last week’s performances, I am going to use this space to highlight some stats leaders…

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If the Seahawks-Niners game had been on Monday night, the title to this post might have been “Monday Night Rawl“. There was no way I was going to deny Thomas Rawls of his duly earned honors and bury the lede on this one. I had every intention of taking a page out of my own book and replaying what I said back in week 6 when I was fired up about Rawls. Unfortunately it seems that fellow writer Doug had the same idea when he titled his Through The Wire post. Allow myself to plagiarize myself. I guess it’s not really plagiarism if I am repurposing my own words. Here is what I said back in week 6. “The fact that he is only 47% owned is a little baffling. With Lynch out for the second straight week, Rawls should have been picked up everywhere. Especially by Lynch owners. Those that picked him up (like me) and started him (like me) were rewarded with 169 yards rushing and a score. He now has two 100+ yard rushing games. Lynch has none. Keep rawlin, rawlin, rawlin, rawlin…” And that’s me quoting me. I’m going to give Doug the benefit of the doubt and assume that he didn’t read that post. Besides, we’re one big happy family here at Razzball.

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Last week I conducted an experiment with The Stats Machine in an attempt to project fantasy points. While I haven’t had a chance to do a thorough examination of the results, at first glance it didn’t appear to be a total failure. Once I dive deeper, I will take what I learn, tweak the machine and come back to you with round two. This week, however, we are back to our regularly scheduled programming as we find out which players aroused TSM last week. Strong fantasy football performances are a natural aphrodisiac in the world of The Stats Machine.

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Who are these guys? I’ll tell you exactly who they are. These guys are the players that no one else wants. The players that just sit on your waiver wire week after week, ignored for the hot play of the week. I bet more people picked up Thomas Rawls, James White and Dorial Green-Beckham last week than any of the following undesirable players. But that begs the question, what is your definition of “desirable”? Do you find 189.16 points desirable? If you don’t, I think you might need a new TI-84 and dose of reality. I currently sit in first place in the Razzball Writers league with a record of 9-1. Over those ten games I have averaged 133 points with a margin of victory of 26.8 points. 189.16 points is a little more than 56 points more than my weekly average. These half ass lineups that most of us wouldn’t consider starting even if we were told included players that were going to have a good week, are practically unbeatable.

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ogre

This week I’ve flipped the switch on The Stats Machine. Instead of look back, we’re going to look forward. Rather than crying over spilled milk, I’m going to try and figure out when the glass is about to be knocked over and keep it from happening. For some time I have toyed with the idea of trying to enhance the algorithms that drive TSM to be able to project fantasy points. While I am still a long way off, today I present to you my first attempt. What you are about to experience is software that I wouldn’t even classify as beta. More like a beta to a beta of a beta. Pre-alpha kinda shit. Speaking of Alpha Beta, gotta love Ogre! Or as the Nerds referred to, Frederick Palowakski. When asked what he thought about The Stats Machine, he had this to say: Ogre’s response.

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jeremylangford
At home. Drawing pictures. Of mountain tops. With him on top. Lemon yellow sun. Arms raised in a V… Every Forte owner that handcuffed him with Jeremy Langford didn’t miss a beat this past weekend. And the owners that were able to snag him from the waiver wire were just as happy. With Matt Forte out with an MCL injury, Langford was given the start and as Eddie has said thousands of times over the years, “Jeremy spoke in class today”. He did so with 142 all purpose yards. He carried the ball 18 times for 72 yards and touchdown and caught 3 receptions for another 70. The touchdown was his third of the season. Forte has only two. On the season Forte is averaging 78 yards rushing and 27.3 yards receiving per game. His 548 yards on the ground on 136 carries comes to 4.03 yards per carry. Langford averaged 4 yards per carry on Monday night. Like I said, Matt Fore who? Ok, now maybe that’s a bit harsh. After all, coming into this game the Chargers defense was giving up 116 rushing yards per game. Only Cleveland had given up more. San Diego’s defense was also near the bottom with respect to receiving yards yielded to opposing running backs. Needless to say this is somewhat of an unfair sample. Nonetheless, it might make for an interesting situation in Chicago when Forte is ready to return.

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Welcome to Reservations For Six where everyday the specials are touchdowns. Party of five, no problem. Come in, sit down and let’s talk about six point plays. And don’t forget to tip your server. Touchdowns are the cherry on top of your Sunday fun day. The icing on the cake. And sometimes a touchdown is the only thing that can salvage a shitty stat line. When your receiver only has two receptions for 20 yards with only a few minutes to go and he reels in a 12-yard touchdown you are able to breathe a little easier. Instead of just 4 points in your PPR league, you now have 12.2 and are that much closer to a win or further from a loss if you’re the glass half empty kind. But touchdowns just don’t grow on trees. If they did, I have at least one in my backyard right next to my row of money trees. Unfortunately I have neither. Receiving touchdowns begin with targets. If the ball’s not thrown to you, then you can’t catch it. And if you can’t catch it, you can’t score a touchdown. At least not without a comedy of errors and a handful of luck. Let’s take a look what’s going on inside the red zone when the ball is thrown. Who’s being targeted? How do those targets translate to touchdowns? Who’s making the most of their red zone targets? How about the least?

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lynyrdskynyrdpromopic

When most people think of Lynyrd Skynyrd they immediately think of Freebird. Perhaps a few know of Sweet Home Alabama, but it wouldn’t surprise me if many knew the song, but not who sang it. These people I mention are not real Lynyrd Skynyrd fans. Between 1997 and about 2010, I attended eight Lynyrd Skynyrd concerts. Most were on the lawn at the Garden State Arts Center, but a few times I got myself some good seats up front to enjoy the show. Skynyrd concerts are just an all around good time. Good people and great music. Perhaps I’m just a Simple Man, but once Tuesday’s Gone, I’m ready for a Saturday Night Special. So Gimme Three Steps and let’s see what The Stats Machine has to say about Week 8.

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