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Mike Honcho

Author: Mike Honcho

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Mike Honcho

By The Numbers, Week 12: Ryan’s Hope

November 25, 2016 | 2016 Buy/Sell, 2016 Fantasy Football | 18 Comments

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ORCHARD PARK, NY - SEPTEMBER 14: Ryan Tannehill #17 of the Miami Dolphins throws against the Buffalo Bills during the second half at Ralph Wilson Stadium on September 14, 2014 in Orchard Park, New York. (Photo by Vaughn Ridley/Getty Images)

Welcome back to another action packed, fun-filled edition of By The Numbers. Hopefully you’ve had your fill of everything Thanksgiving, because the list of top-tier rushing and passing match ups this week is a bit thin. The Turkey-Day games definitely took some oomph out of the normal Sunday slate, but I’ll do my best to harvest a few gems to satisfy your fantasy football fetish. I do have to admit though, the Holidays just wear me out. I mean, the pressure of making everyone think you’ve established yourself as a normal, productive adult is a tall task. But trust me when I tell you that I’m incredibly consistent in my ability to disappoint friends and family alike. So I guess you could say this years Thanksgiving was another success?! Anyway, one other item that’s been consistent this year is the atrocious defensive play of the San Francisco 49ers. We’ll pick apart their rushing defense down below, but for the time being I’d like to discuss their 30th ranked pass defense. Yep, you know where I’m going with this… It’s Ryan Tannehill time and we should all rejoice! The 49ers are so bad they’re on my stream-against list every week. They’re giving up 19.8 fantasy points per game, which is good for fifth most in the league and they’ve allowed at least 10 points a each week to opposing QBs since Week 2. Tannehill is set up for a productive afternoon as the 49ers are allowing 252 yards passing per contest and they’ve handed out 23 passing scores (2nd most) against just seven interceptions this year. So, if you’re a fan of the 49ers, this might be a great afternoon to do something fun, like go for a bike ride or get back-out drunk and embarrass your immediate family. Anything to avoid this disaster that’s about to take place in South Florida. Until then, here’s a look at some more of my favorite plays this week:

Please, blog, may I have some more?
Mike Honcho

By The Numbers, Week 11: C.J.’s In Charge, To Be Prosise

November 18, 2016 | 2016 Buy/Sell, 2016 Fantasy Football | 26 Comments

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If there was any question at all as to who was in command of the Seattle backfield until Thomas Rawls returns, C.J. Prosise answered with a swift and precise Dolemite style backhand. Last Sunday against the Patriots he not only dominated the carries (17 to just 5 for Christine Michael) he was a monster in the red zone, as he toted the rock six times inside the 20-yard line – including five times inside the 10. He’s clearly carved out a relevant role within Pete Carroll’s offense. Now, if you want to poke holes in this theory, be my guest – he averaged less than three yards per carry in the red zone. There, I teed it up for you. Regardless about how you feel about Prosise going forward just remember this: He caught all seven targets he saw in Week 10, totaling 87 yards. In my opinion, what we have here is at worst a PPR factor and at best someone who can propel you to the fantasy playoffs. I’ll take that one hundred percent of the time. This week he’ll square off against the Philadelphia defense and by no means is that an easy assignment. The Eagles rank 12th in the league in rushing yards allowed, giving up 100.6 per game. They’ve only surrendered 4 rushing touchdowns this season, but that’s okay as I’m not wavering from my Prosise recommendation this week. With the release of Christine Michael and Thomas Rawls’ effectiveness still in question, Prosise is in for what should amount to a sizeable workload. And as mentioned above, he should produce serious dividends in the passing game this week. Because as we all know, opportunity usually equals volume for feature backs.

Here’s a look at a few more of my favorite passing and rushing matchups for Week 11:

Please, blog, may I have some more?
Mike Honcho

By The Numbers, Week 10: The Cutler Did It

November 11, 2016 | 2016 Buy/Sell, 2016 Fantasy Football |

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12-13-2009---Chicago Bears host the Green Bay Packers---Bears quarterback Jay Cutler waits for a challange call regarding a possible Bears TD in the 2nd quarter--Sun-Times photo by Tom Cruze

I absolutely, positively do not want to start Week 10 this way. But, it has to be done. I’m going to suggest Jay Cutler and there’s nothing you can do about it. Sure, it may seem like I’m scraping the bottom of the barrel here, but trust me on this one. Mr. Cavallari has a sweet, sweet match up this week at Tampa Bay and we should all be excited to cash in on this opportunity. The Buccaneers are giving up 20.9 points fantasy points per game (5th most in the league) to opposing quarterbacks and Cutler put up a respectable 14.3 points in his Week 8 return against the Vikings. That’s pretty impressive, especially when you consider that Minnesota has faced four QBs inside the top-12 this season and they haven’t allowed a 20 point day to any of them. In fact they haven’t allowed 20 points to any of the eight QBs they faced this season. Meanwhile, the Buccaneers were torched by Derek Carr (35 points) and Matt Ryan (24.3) in back-to-back weeks. Now, I realize that Cutler isn’t on the Carr/Ryan level, but Tampa Bay is averaging 281 passing yards allowed per week and they’ve handed out 18 passing scores so far this season. Both those numbers rank 27th and 30th in the league respectively. There’s a “better than good” chance that Cutler will have to go to the air early and often to keep up with Jameis Winston and company. So taking a chance on the rocket-arm of the former Santa Claus, Indiana resident might be in your best interest this week.

Here’s a look at a few more of my favorite passing and rushing match ups for Week 10:

Please, blog, may I have some more?
Mike Honcho

By The Numbers, Week 9: Opportunity Kneels

November 4, 2016 | 2016 Buy/Sell, 2016 Fantasy Football |

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hi-res-88e

With a routine throw to first, Kris Bryant effectively ended the 2016 baseball season. By now you know the end result – the Cubs won the World Series. My Grandfather was a life-long fan. He wanted nothing more than to see his “Cubs” win a title. He’s no longer around, so I root them on each game a little harder than I used to. Mainly because I feel like I’m cheering for both of us. After Anthony Rizzo pulled the most baller move ever by slipping the game ball into his back pocket, I felt a sense of relief. Closure might be a better term, I guess.  I’m sure there are thousands of stories like this, but I felt like sharing mine. My Grandfather taught me baseball. He taught me to love the countless shades of green on the field, the ever-changing dimensions that each ball park would introduce and of course the pace of the game. He also taught me that there was “always next year.” This was especially important if you were a Cubs’ fan. Whenever we would tune into WGN for an afternoon game, he would wax poetic on Fergie Jenkins, Ron Santo, Billy Wiliams and Ernie Banks. In fact, it was during one of those afternoon games that he let me try my first sip of beer. I was 14. It was terrible. Later, I found out it was Budweiser. So that explains everything. He also took me to Wrigley Field for the very first time that year. Ironically, that was also our only trip there together. So, when I was able to get back to Wrigley and I was of legal age – I enjoyed an ice-cold Bud. And you know what? It wasn’t that bad…..Actually, it was still terrible. But I faked my way through the entire can and I’m sure my Grandfather approved. So this week I’m saluting a terrible player that actually might not be so terrible in the right spot. You follow? Good. I think Colin Kaepernick could be quite useful in Week 9 match ups. He’s facing the Saints who’ve given up at least 18 fantasy points to every QB this season not named Russell Wilson. Kaepernick’s rushing abilities should serve him well, as he’s ran for at least 66 yards in each of his two starts. Just for window dressing I’ll also add that he’s thrown for at least 14o yards and a score in both starts as well. Not too shabby. So if the Saints’ passing D continues to allow 286 yards per contest, which happens to rank 29th in the NFL, Kaepernick could very well be headed towards a productive Sunday.

Here’s a look at a few more of my favorite passing/running match ups for Week 9:

Please, blog, may I have some more?
Mike Honcho

By The Numbers, Week 8: Ware It

October 28, 2016 | 2016 Buy/Sell, 2016 Fantasy Football | 25 Comments

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Greetings, fantasy friends… It’s your reliable internet buddy Mike Honcho and I’m here to hook you up with the best passing and rushing match ups for Week 8. I’m typing this as I listen to the new Bon Iver album 22, A Million. Hopefully some of you are familiar with the Indie Folk band from Fall Creek, Wisconsin. If not, definitely check them out. Front man Justin Vernon is a musical genius, he crosses over into many different genres of music and rarely disappoints. But let me be perfectly clear here: I might be getting too old to enjoy hat others label as “Hip.” I mean, I really like that they’re branching out again on the new release, but it contains way too much “folktronica” for my liking. Unfortunately, that’s what the young kids like so it looks like it’s here to stay for a while. Give me “For Emma, Forever Ago” or the self titled “Bon Iver” any day of the week over their current release. Just my opinion. Sue me! So while we’re talking about things that are old, let’s discuss Jamaal Charles. It seems Father Time has paid the former workhorse an untimely visit for 2016 and his fantasy owners are none too pleased about it. You know how Jamaal feels, right guys? Any given Saturday you and your “bros” head to the mall with your Affliction shirts and you try to “mack on babes” outside of the Fashion Bug. Only to remember you’re 34 years-old and the Assistant Manager of a GNC. Life is brutal at times. Anyway, A new, young feature back has emerged. Spencer Ware has absolutely beasted in his opportunity as the lead back and he’s poised for another huge week. Kansas City will travel to Indianapolis Sunday in what should be a run heavy game script. The Colts are 25th in the league in rushing defense – allowing 118.6 yards per game on the ground. They allowed  28/124/1 and 28/158/1 the last two games to Tennessee and Houston respectively. To make matters worse, Indy has allowed 24.8 fantasy points per game to opposing RBs this year, which ranks 26th overall. That’s a lot of “suck” to process in terms of the Colts’ defense, so let’s take a break and look at my favorite plays this week:

Please, blog, may I have some more?
Mike Honcho

By The Numbers, Week 7: Quizz Show

October 21, 2016 | 2016 Buy/Sell, 2016 Fantasy Football | 14 Comments

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Sep 18, 2016; Glendale, AZ, USA; Tampa Bay Buccaneers running back Jacquizz Rodgers (32) in action during the game against the Arizona Cardinals at University of Phoenix Stadium. The Cardinals defeat the Buccaneers 40-7. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

Hey there, amigos. Welcome back to another fun-filled edition of By The Numbers. I’ll be your personal guide through this maze of numbers and fantasy goodness, so put on your reading glasses (pants) and join me in the quest for a title. Maybe some of you are like me – off to a not so spectacular start in your league. In the Writer’s RCL, I’m mired in a two game losing streak and stuck in 10th place. That’s not ideal, considering there’s only twelve teams. Sure, my team is 2-4, but it’s a good-looking 2-4, I can assure you. No worries, I’ll be okay. I kinda feel like Chuck Pagano each week, just making excuses for why my team sucks and pointing the finger at everyone but myself. Everything is fine, I tell myself…..EVERYTHING IS FINE. You have to have a certain level of resilience to be able to compete amidst adverse fantasy conditions. If you’re still reading this, well, welcome to the club. The first order of business is to get off the couch, put on our fanny packs and crocs and look into the mirror. Yes, we look ridiculous, but that’s besides the point. Stare right into that sucker and say “I will NOT lose my Week 7 match up.” There. Feel better? The truth is, well there is no magic pill we can take to ensure success each week. But we can take a look at the number and take advantage of the best matchup breakdowns we can find. This week I’m looking at a few gems that I think will help push me into the winner’s circle. One of my favorite plays this week is Jacquizz Rodgers and his tilt against the San Francisco 49ers rush defense. The 49ers defensive front was obliterated last week by Buffalo’s backfield, giving up a 44/312/4 line – just two week’s after yielding a 37/172/2 line to the Cardinals. They’re having a bad year, to say the least. I mean, like in a bus with Billy Bush bad. It’s ugly my friends. The 49ers are dead last in the league in rushing yards allowed (174.3) and they’ve given up 9 rushing scores so far this season. Over the past three week’s opposing RBs have averaged 34.7 points fantasy points per game, which happens to also rank last in the league. There’s a theme here if you’re paying attention. Basically, you want to be invested in the Tampa Bay rushing offense this week. If you act quick enough, he’s still available in 61% of ESPN leagues. As of Wednesday, Doug Martin was still not practicing, so there’s a good chance Rodgers will see a healthy workload Sunday.

Here’s a look at a few more of my favorite passing and rushing match ups this week:

Please, blog, may I have some more?
Mike Honcho

By The Numbers, Week 6: Desert Trip

October 15, 2016 | 2016 Buy/Sell, 2016 Fantasy Football |

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What’s good amigos? Don’t be startled. The door was unlocked so I let myself in. Calm down. Let’s be friends. Here, let me loosen the zip ties and we’ll start with a proper introduction. I’m Honcho, the bearer of good tidings. I’m here to bless you with only the best passing and rushing match ups of the week. Obviously if you own Le’Veon Bell and Tom Brady you’re playing them. They won’t be mentioned below. Deal with it, bro. So anyway, bring your green hat because we’re going streaking! This is such a bittersweet time of the season. I mean, we’re nearly half way through the regular portion of the fantasy schedule and the air is starting to have a chill to it here in the Midwest. That means a variety of things, but most importantly – football season is in full swing. Is there anything better than throwing on your favorite jersey or sweatshirt and gathering around a roaring Galaxy Note 7 to roast some marshmallows with your closest friends? Yeah, that’s the best. Just you and your closest acquaintances debating who gets to dress up as Ken Bone for this years Halloween party. Sounds hot right? Thought so. You know what else is hot right now? Phoenix. They’re prepping for the return of their beloved quarterback and it will be a glorious reunion. You see, Carson Palmer cleared the concussion protocol earlier this week and he’s ready to wreak havoc on the Jets’ and their porous pass defense. As Donald Trump would so eloquently put it: “The Cardinals are going to win – they’re going to win so big on Monday night.” Most of you might be hesitant to believe this, due to the slow start Palmer has produced thus far. But fear not as the Jets have allowed 302.4 passing yards per game this season, that’s good for second worst in the league. The fact that Darrelle Revis is still very questionable for this contest should have you inflating your Bruce Arians blow-up dolls to the legal limit. New York has surrendered 12 passing scores through their first five games while generating just two interceptions. That’s not ideal. What’s worse, they’re allowing opposing QBs an average of 25.8 fantasy points per game since Week 3 along with 13.4 points given up to tight ends. Both rank as second worst in the NFL. Sounds like a date in the desert Monday night. I’ll pick you up at 8:37 PM EST.

Here’s a look at my favorite passing and rushing match ups for Week 6:

Please, blog, may I have some more?
Mike Honcho

By the Numbers, Week 5: Bennie and the Jets

October 7, 2016 | 2016 Buy/Sell, 2016 Fantasy Football | 22 Comments

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Whoa… It’s Week 5 already? How’d that happen? Time flies, right kids? Or as Bill Shakespeare would say “the swiftest hours, as they flew.” I love going all 1609 on you. You’re impressed, admit it. Plus the college girls just love it when I show up to the local watering hole and quote “Othello” all night until they acknowledge me. Ha! Just kidding. I’m too old for college girls. They all ignore me anyway. Plus, I’m way too busy on Saturday nights for any kind of commitment. So there! Here’s a typical Saturday night for me: Check all 158 fantasy lineups….for the fifth time. Check voicemail…..Empty….Iron my Ed Hardy shirts in case anyone calls….Update my “Dream Journal.” Update my “Fear Journal.” Look in the mirror….do six push ups…..Look in the mirror again. Log into Facebook…..get political information. Work on application for Trump University. See folks, Honcho’s time is at a premium. I need to be efficient in every aspect of my life. That’s why I put so much time into what’s important: Fantasy football stats. Really, to be honest, I do it all for you. Because we’re best friends. You’re just not aware of it yet. Invite me over sometime and I’ll prove it. So here’s the deal. This week contains a handful of nice passing match ups, but there’s one that really stands out. I’m going in big on Ben Roethlisberger this week as the Steelers host the Jets at Heinz Field. The Jets’ pass defense has struggled mightily this year, and they allowed 288 yards passing, three touchdowns and had zero interceptions vs Russell Wilson and the Seahawks last week. Through their first four games the Jets are allowing 285 yards passing per contest and they’ve yielded 8 passing TDs as well. They’re also giving up 23.9 fantasy points per game to opposing QBs (5th most) and 10.4 (8th most) fantasy points per game to TEs. The Steelers are absolutely loaded at wide receiver so you can expect Ben to continue his air assault this week against a Jets group ranked in the bottom half of the league in points allowed to WRs.

Here’s a look at some of my favorite passing and rushing matchups for Week 5:

Please, blog, may I have some more?
Mike Honcho

By The Numbers, Week 4: That’s So Raven

September 30, 2016 | 2016 Buy/Sell, 2016 Fantasy Football | 22 Comments

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Eliteflaccow415

What’s good amigos? Honcho’s back for some Week 4 action, so buckle up and let’s do this. Before we get started, I wanted to treat you all to some of my magnificent poetry. I bet you weren’t aware that Honcho was the official Poet Laureate of Razzball. Were you? It’s true. I just have a way with words. You can check out some of my best work over at Christian Mingle. The ladies just love my renderings on that site. Anyway, I wanted to start this week’s By The Numbers off with something I’ve prepared especially for this occasion. Here it is: Roses are red. Harambe is dead. The Oakland Raiders defense Flacco shall shred. So… How was it? Inspiring? Beautiful? Both? I’ll take it! Okay, enough of that. Let’s get down to some numbers. Obviously I’ve placed Joe Flacco in the introduction for a reason. He has an absolutely delicious matchup this week. I mean, what’s not to like about the worst pass defense in the NFL traveling East for a 1:00 PM EDT start? The Raiders have been brutal against the pass in their first three games. How bad? Well, they’re averaging 340 passing yards allowed per game and they’ve yielded seven scores through the air against just three interceptions and three sacks. Oakland is allowing opposing QBs to score an average of 26.5 (3oth) fantasy points per contest this year and they’re giving up 32.5 (32nd) fantasy points to WRs. That’s bad. No, actually that’s awful. The forecast is calling for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-70’s so sit back and watch Flacco air-raid the Raiders.

Here’s a look at a few of my favorite passing and rushing matchups for Week 4:

Please, blog, may I have some more?
Mike Honcho

By the Numbers, Week 2: Easy Breesy

September 23, 2016 | 2016 Buy/Sell, 2016 Fantasy Football | 6 Comments

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Atlanta Falcons v New Orleans Saints

Welcome back to the Week 3 edition of By The Numbers. I’m writing this from one of my favorite cities on the entire world – New Orleans. In fact, I’m in a bit of a haze as I pen this. Maybe it was all the huffing, or quite possibly the hookers, who knows? Either way, The French Quarter never disappoints. After I’d had my fill of the “Vieux Carre” I was deep in thought as I traveled back to my humble Midwest estate. It came to my attention that the Saints were playing host to the Atlanta Falcons this week. If you’ve followed the numbers at all the past few years then you’re well aware that it doesn’t get much better than Drew Brees at home. Maybe he adds an extra dose of NyQuil into his lean on Saturday nights or Sean Payton really knows how to whip up some magic jambalaya. Whatever the case, he’s absolutely nails in the Mercedes-Benz Superdome. Over the past two seasons Brees has averaged 324 yards and 2.87 touchdowns per home game, while producing 292 yards and 1.87 touchdowns on the road. That extra production has helped New Orleans win 68.9% of their home games since 2010, while winning just 52.2% of road contests during that same period. This week he’ll feast on a weak Atlanta pass defense which allowed 299 yards through the air and three touchdowns to Derek Carr in Week 2. Two weeks ago this was the same group that yielded four touchdowns and 281 passing yards to Jameis Winston, while generating zero sacks. With just two weeks worth of data to sift through, Atlanta has already given up seven passing scores against zero interceptions. The Falcons are allowing the third most fantasy points (28.7) in the league to opposing QBs, 12th most fantasy points to WRs (24.9) and they’re ranked second-worst in the league in points allowed to opposing TEs (15.7). In other words…..They’re way below average. Whether you’re playing the daily game or season long fantasy (or both) you obviously want a piece of the Saints’ passing attack in you lineups if possible. Don’t let last weeks low scoring affair scare you away from Brees’ and his tiny hands. He was still able to complete 65 percent of his passes against the Giants and he dropped back 46 times in that contest. This is perhaps the most pass happy attack in the league – averaging 343 yards and 2.5 scores through the first two weeks this year. This game currently holds the highest O/U of the week at 53.5. Hopefully that excites you like it excites me. I currently have a Drew Brees rager you could hang a hat on. Anyway, remember to check out Jay’s rankings and Rudy’s “Pigskinator” to help you dominate your league. They’re without a doubt two of the best in the industry. Without further delay, here’s a look at some stats and facts that might help you win your matchups this week:

Mike Honcho

By the Numbers, Week 2: Mile High Madness

September 16, 2016 | 2016 Buy/Sell, 2016 Fantasy Football | 30 Comments

by:

cjanderson

Oh hey, didn’t hear you come in. Sorry about the mess, I haven’t moved since last Sunday afternoon. I’ve been here crying in the fetal position and clutching my cold, empty Keenan Allen jersey. I’ll get by, no worries. But nonetheless, like the No.1 rated fantasy football player in the universe Barry Manilow once said “Looks Like We Made It.” Yes we did, Barry. Yes we did. Anyway, we’re into Week 2 of the fantasy season and I’m back to run you through some numbers that will identify some of the top passing and rushing matchups of the week. First let’s get the obvious play out of the way. C.J. Anderson will run roughshod over the Colts baby soft run defense. Being a Colts fan, that was difficult to type. But facts are facts and the gory number here is 122. That represents then number of rushing yards Indianapolis allowed per game last season. That was good enough to rank 25th in the league and they also handed out 14 rushing TDs over 16 games in 2015. Last week Detroit put up 116 yards on 24 carries and found the painted grass twice on the ground. Basically, we’ve seen this movie before and it never ends well for Fighting Pagano’s. Remember, the purpose of this article is just to touch on some of the better matchups of the week. Obviously if you own Cam or Aaron Rodgers – you’re starting them regardless of what is written here. This is not intended to be a rankings piece. Jay does a tremendous job each week with the site rankings, which you should obviously check out if you care about winning. Also, check out Rudy’s “Pigskinonator” for the best projections in the free world. That said, let’s jump into some numbers:

Please, blog, may I have some more?
Mike Honcho

By the Numbers, Week 1: Love Your Cousins

September 8, 2016 | 2016 Fantasy Football, 2016 Roster Strategy | 20 Comments

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Week 1 is upon us internet friends and that means real, live American Football! Let us rejoice. With that, it’s time to crush our opponents and begin the systematic take down of our fantasy leagues. The focus of this article each week is to bring you the best passing and rushing matchups along with a few interesting notes and stats pertaining to QBs, WRs, RBs & TEs. After you’ve processed the information you’ll be ready to make the right lineup decisions to help you win . As the season progresses, we’ll have a bigger sample of data to draw on. But for this week we’ll stick to some historical trends and numbers that will help us better identify the top plays of the week. So what I’m basically saying is…..This article will definitely dig deeper and be more complete as the season moves along. So without further hesitation, let’s dig into some numbers that might help you win your match up this week. But……before we dive in I should probably offer up some sort of lede which ties into the catchy title. Right? Okay, well Kirk “You Like That” Cousins has a delicious match up with the visiting Pittsburgh Steelers. Pittsburgh ranked 22nd in TDs allowed last season and 30th in passing yards allowed. That’s not optimal for a defense. In fact, that’s pretty close to orange cone level. Add those numbers to the fact that he’s at home this week (which we’ll talk about below) and you have yourself a QBILF!? Anyway, here’s a look at some other numbers to guide you through Week 1:

Please, blog, may I have some more?
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