Greeting and salutations! Tis I, Beddict, back from a Thanksgiving vacation full of oiled up women and turkey basters galore. I come to you rejuvenated and ready to finish the season strong. I missed my 2nd lock of the week two weeks ago with Minnesota back-dooring me at home against Green Bay, and I’m just now getting over the burning sensation in my soul that makes the savage sting from a Portuguese man o’ war seem like a nip from a 15-year-old, toothless Beagle.

I sort of made up for it with a 5-0 week during my vacation. Did that pay for my mortgage for a year or just erase my debt to the Russian Mob? I’ll never tell. The quest for the perfect week continues… I suppose I was perfect last week but that wasn’t my usual full slate of games. I’m not one to look for the easy way out… unless of course I’m locked in Sky’s basement again. In that case, I’ll always take the easy way out, for that was one of the most trying and terrifying moments of my life. Let’s get on with it before I have to blow another six figures on my therapist.

 

Picks in bold print.

Lock of the Week: Houston (-6) @ Jacksonville – That Ryan Fitzpatrick is so hot right now. Look for J.J. Watt and company to destroy the body and mind of Blaine Gabbert, errr, I mean Blake Bortles this week and win by two touchdowns.

Baltimore (+3) @ Miami – I don’t see how this isn’t a close game between two teams who are both as maddeningly inconsistent as Nicolas Cage’s career. If Tannehill was capable of throwing the ball downfield, I’d say the Dolphins take this game, but sadly we know that’s not the case.

Pittsburgh (+3.5) @ Cincinnati – Pittsburgh’s performance levels are more challenging to predict than when Ryan Leaf’s next jail stint will occur, but they always seem to rise to the occasion when you least expect it. This one should be close.

Indianapolis (-4) @ Cleveland – Can I be Frank and still be Tehol? I respect Cleveland head coach Mike Pettine and QB Brian Hoyer about as much as I do Rob Kardashian. The revenge of T-Rich? Nah, let’s not go THAT far, but Luck will dissect this overrated secondary with the precision of Martha Stewart knitting a sweater made out of polar bear fur.

rob-kardashian-to-fat-for-cake-kim-0526-3

New York (-1) @ Tennessee – If there’s one thing I know in this cold, cold world, it’s never to bet on the Tennessee Titans. They’re the most disgracefully pathetic team in the NFL right now, and if the Giants lose this one, I’m firing EVERYBODY!

Carolina @ New Orleans (-10) – I’m envisioning the Panthers continuing to lay down with their ankles behind their heads like a yacked out Lindsay Lohan after she, yet again, was rejected for an acting role.

Tampa Bay @ Detroit (-10)

Saint Louis (-3) @ Washington – Some like it hot and some like it moist. The Rams are both hot and moist.

New York Jets (+6) @ Minnesota – Why I continue to bet on the Jets, I have no clue. Still, they have the talent to either keep it close or beat the Vikings straight up.  I wouldn’t touch this game with what little money Christian Slater has left, let alone my own cash but hey, I gots to make the call.

Buffalo @ Denver (-10) – I love Buffalo’s D-line, but I don’t see how Orton scores enough points to keep this one within double digits.

Kansas City (+1) @ Arizona – The Cardinals free fall continues, as the Chiefs go the warpath and crush Arizona’s division title hopes. Anyone still feelin Drew Stanton?

San Francisco @ Oakland (+8) – Another game I wouldn’t touch, but the Niners have been so inept that I simply can’t lay more than a TD on the road. Yep, it’s gettin uglier than a Rosie O’Donnell nude photo shoot in San Fran and with a little luck, their season ends on Sunday.

Seattle (+1) @ Philadelphia – You expect me to bet against MY Seahawks… against MARK SANCHEZ??? Pete Carroll knows this guy like the bottom of his scrotum, and fully expect the legion of boom to be the difference in this one. LeSean McCoy will have to go for two bills for the Eagles to have a shot here. Moneyline.

New England @ San Diego (+4) – The Chargers season ends with a loss at home this week, so I feel like they’ll be going all out against the infamous hoodie. Tom Brady owns Phillip Rivers’ soul and we best not forget it… but still, I like the Chargers to keep this one within reach and possibly win.

Atlanta (+13) @ Green Bay – With Sam Shields likely missing this game, I like Atlanta to either keep it fairly close in a shootout, or come up with the traditional backdoor cover.

 

Thanks for joining me for another edition of “Betting With Beddict,” a place where we can put our brains to the test regarding both NFL spreads and fantasy football production. Feel free to challenge my picks and make your own below in the comment section or holler at me on Twitter at @Tehol143. It’s fantasy playoff time and I wish you all the best of luck. May the Elder Gods be with you.

 

  1. Mike says:
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    Offered 2 trades in my dynasty league which one would you accept if any? Round values attached to each player. 1/2 ppr league.

    Deandre Hopkins (5) for Giovani Bernard (5)
    Or
    Odell Beckham (25) for Jamaal Charles (5)

    • Mike says:
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      @Mike: I’d be getting Hopkins or Odell

      • LT Murray IV

        Tehol Beddict says:
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        @Mike: neither probably. not feeling those unless u absolutely stacked at running back and want to trade charles with a few prime years left

      • goodfold2 says:
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        @Mike: now that you say that i’d probably do the first for sure. the charles one maybe, would have to do with your roster.

        • LT Murray IV

          Tehol Beddict says:
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          @goodfold2: Yea, i don’t know why I’m not totally sold on Hopkins yet. the man has been incredible. Maybe I’ll come around. just tough for me to trade these ppr monster running backs. are u lacking at wr? i need the roster please

  2. Nick says:
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    Hey Tehol, with R Jennings & Williams looking like a 50/50 split, should i plug Ryan Mathews in at flex or M Bryant, Sanu, L Murray, J Reed are also options…non-ppr league…thanks!

    • LT Murray IV

      Tehol Beddict says:
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      @Nick: oh yea. i like Matthews this week . good thinking, Saint Nick!

  3. G says:
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    have the horrible decision to play Eli or Fitzpatrick in my first round playoffs. Guy in playing has Hopkins so thinking it may be a good plan to go with Fitz in case Hopkins blows up again. Thoughts?

    • LT Murray IV

      Tehol Beddict says:
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      @G: thats a solid strategy and one that I can’t help but use at times. I actually like both QB’s this week but yes Fitzy is way to go here, G

  4. Dom B says:
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    Which to start at TE Jordan Reed or Delanie Walker at RB Johnathan Stewart or Fred jax and at DEF BAL or Buffalo

    • LT Murray IV

      Tehol Beddict says:
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      @Dom B: Has to be baltimore Defense. Jordan Reed is scoring this week. probably Fred Jackson at running back

  5. Bugeater says:
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    Another enjoyable read and I hope you’re wrong about the Cards game. Since you think both Atlanta and San Diego will be keeping it close, which QB would you start between Ryan and Rivers (I have no WRs from either team)?
    Thanks

    • LT Murray IV

      Tehol Beddict says:
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      @Bugeater: BUG!!! thank you for the compliment. I prefer ryan with shields out an new england has great secondary

      • Bugeater says:
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        Road game in cold weather doesn’t bother you? Non-football question, what’s the proper way to pronounce [email protected]Tehol Beddict:

        • LT Murray IV

          Tehol Beddict says:
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          @Bugeater: Not terribly. they both should have good games. I read something recently that may have talked me into Rivers in this must win game. I may leaning against my original opinion which makes me look foolish but you’ve talked me into it. I honestly think you’ll be fine either way but Rivers may have more upside with Roddy and Douglas banged

          It’s actually pronounced “Tay-whole” but I’ve come accustomed to being referred to as “Tee-whole” I don’t mind either way

  6. goodfold2 says:
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    now 67-53-2
    IND -4 (LOCK, this spread should be higher)
    STL -3
    NE -4
    BAL +3
    PIT +3.5 (me likely that extra half pt, it might prove winning)
    HOU -6 (probably wouldn’t agree with this except for last week)
    NYG -1
    KC +1
    DET -10 (the way stafford’s been, even since megatron is back, this game would make me nervous for money, even with DET’s top 3 D)
    NYJ +6 (i’m not sure either offense is good enough to win by 6, esp with mckinnon out)
    DEN -10 (DEN’s D is top 4, and BUF’s offense isn’t good)
    CAR +10 (NO has really looked underachieving at home in last 3 or 4 home games, and this is division game, but CAR is really awful too)
    OAK +8
    SEA -1
    ATL +13
    we only disagree on a few this week.

    • LT Murray IV

      Tehol Beddict says:
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      @goodfold2: Great minds think alike!!! good luck to the both of us then!

      • goodfold2 says:
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        @Tehol Beddict: i should just stop with those locks, i’m no good at them. i’m probably like 3-8 or around there with those. even with that, i go 10-3-1 on sunday. should’ve been betting today for sure, i’d be up 6.7 bets if they all were the same size.

  7. Nick says:
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    Hey Tehol, someone stupidly dropped Detroit defense for AP. Should I grab Detroit in a 10-team for the playoffs next week & after (v. Minn & @ Chi) ? I have St Louis now, & I can drop Andre Williams as my handcuff to Jennings (as I wont even use Andre, I have R Mathews, L Murray on bench with D Murray, Ingram & R Jennings as my starters…

    Or I can hold A Williams in case something bad happens to Jennings this week & drop Sanu (I have Cobb/Beckham/K Allen as my starters & M Bryant on bench)

    • Tehol Beddict says:
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      @Nick: great thinking, Nick. Drop Williams and think nothing of it

      • Nick says:
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        @Tehol Beddict: Hey Tehol, Charles Johnson (Has detroit & miami) or allen hurns (baltimore & tenn) are also available. should I drop andre williams for either? I could also drop St Louis defense for Detroit, opening up another roster spot..

        • Nick says:
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          @Nick: never mind, Charles is taken. Hurns, Decker or J Cook (dropping reed with Witten as my starter) worth a look?

          • Nick says:
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            @Nick: I think holding onto Williams is advised in case R Jennings misses time, he might be my plug n play if Mathews on bench were to go down…

  8. Nick says:
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    Hi Malamoney, I have another question regarding my defense. I think playing ST Louis next week vs. Arizona is a good play with Stanton at QB & no RBs (ellington out). Then week 16 (fantasy championship), St Louis has the NYG ..so I can try and grab Detroit from waivers (playing @Chi) or other options which might be better for week 16 are;

    GB @ TB
    NE @ NYJ
    Cle @ Carolina
    SD @ SF

    would you drop Sanu (want to keep A Williams in case Jennings is not 100% in my playoffs) or J Reed for any of the defenses above to hold for week 16 if I make it to fantasy championship, here is my roster;

    QB- Rodgers
    WR- Cobb, Beckham, K Allen
    RB- D Murray, R Jennings
    flex- Ingram
    TE-Witten
    Bench- A Williams, M Bryant, R Mathews, L Murray, Sanu, J Reed

    • Nick says:
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      @Nick: sorry, meant Tehol!

      • Cheese Eating Surrender Monkey says:
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        @Nick: gotta edit with those copy/pastes! ha

        • Nick says:
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          @Cheese Eating Surrender Monkey: Yessir…I hate no waivers league…requires you to be locked to your laptop/smartphone throughout Sunday

          • Cheese Eating Surrender Monkey says:
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            @Nick: i meant cause you called this writer malamoney, but yes i’m in one of those too, they suck.

  9. Nick says:
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    Hey Tehol, week 15, standard league. I need a WR3 & a flex, options include;

    1) R Jennings vs Washington
    2) A Williams vs Washington
    3) L Murray @ KC
    4) R Mathews v Denver
    5) M Bryant @ ATL
    6) K Allen v. Denver

    TE options;
    1) Witten @ Philly
    2) Reed @ NYG

    Let me know if the choices are close (or include the NYG injured backfield) therefore checking back after injury reports is advised

Comments are closed.