The season is at the midway point and as we journey into the second part of our lonely trudge into fantasy fame in some leagues and fantasy infamy in others, it gets harder and harder to get in on someone and call them a buy low.  Too much work has been done at this point to point at a player and say ‘that guys underperforming’ or ‘that one’s clearly playing above his head’ or ‘he should’ve had a V8’.  We’ve seen too much and know too much to be fooled by a bad game or two…but it never stops us from trying.  And in the spirit of that, I’m here to talk to you about Marshawn Lynch.  I’ve been ragging on the ‘hawks coaching staff of late and their offensive game plan and I think it’s fairly warranted.  This is a team known for its run game, great defense and the heroics of RW3 when they’re needed.  Lemme be the first of many to tell you, the heroics of a game generally aren’t needed until the 4th quarter.  Heroics usually don’t watch their running back rush for nearly 50 yards on one drive in the first quarter only to turn the ball over on an interception and then go away from the run for another 2 and a half quarters to top it off.  What I’m saying is, after 8 carries for 23 yards against a team defense that gave up almost 200 rushing yards to the Titans a week later, Lynch should’ve been feasting on the Bucs but he didn’t really get the chance to.  Well I’m here to say I think the OC in Seattle has learned their lesson – ok, I’m hoping they have – and will go back to the style of ball that has put Seattle in the driver’s seat of the NFC West.  Lynch is still on track for a good season – Nearly 1,650 total yards and 12 touchdowns is his current pace – but it only takes a couple of weeks without a touchdown for owners to get anxious.  So go calm their fears and taste the rainbow while you’re at it.  In other buy/sell news for 2013 Fantasy Football…

BUY

Eddie LacyThis is the contrarian play where all the bad news surrounding Aaron Rodgers and his receivers will leak down onto Green Bay’s rushing attack.  I believe Lacy had about 20 yards of rushing before A-Rod left the game on Monday.  He finished with a career high 150 and a TD.  I’m gonna go out on a limb and say ‘Eddie will be fine’.  In fact, he might be better than fine as he’ll become the focal point of the offense until Rodgers is back.  Hint: this is also a small buy on Starks as there’ll be plenty of handoffs and dumpoffs to do around in GB for a while.

Nick FolesWanna see some crazy stats?  Foles has a 13:0 TD to INT ratio on the year, is averaging 8.7 yards per attempted pass – which would be good enough for 3rd in the NFL if he qualified – and if we tallied his stats on the year as 4 games (which is roughly what it is), he’d be on pace for nearly 4,000 yards passing, 4 rushing touchdowns and 52 passing TDs.  Ok, ok, ok, 7 TD passes in one game can do that to stats.  I get that.  What I’m saying, though, is I don’t think Foles and the Eagles are a fluke and if he was just a bye week filler for someone out there, see if you can pry him away before the stretch run.  I don’t know much about horses but this young Foles is starting to look like a fine Philly.

Shonn Greene – I can’t believe I’ve suggested this move not once but twice now.  AND I mentioned him in the podcast this week.  This is digustingly too much talk about a backup RB, let alone it being Shonn of all players.  He was someone’s bye week blues pickup and I think he’ll be more than that for the rest of the season.  Not a sexy flex by any means but if you want that RB3 on your team that is almost guaranteed 10-15 touches a game and all the goal line carries you could ever want, be good to the Earth and go Greene.

Victor CruzHe’s been silent but not deadly of late.  No, I’m not talking about his bye week.  Over the last 4 weeks total, Cruz has tallied 16/204/0.  Those are stats you could die of boredom from in some countries.  To put it in perspective, Marquise Goodwin, Greg Little, and Eddie Royal have outscored Cruz over the last 4 weeks.  That’s tough company to be in for a team’s #1 receiver.  I don’t think the Giants have magically figured things out but Cruz should see the ball much more down the stretch than he has of late.  Take a salsa dip.

Jay CutlerEven if he doesn’t return ahead of schedule as planned, his stats were strong prior to injury and the owner may need to clear some roster room for bye week needs.  Or maybe he already did it and threw him onto the FA pile.  Either way, Jay’s more than ok.

SELL

Aaron RodgersIt’s officially discount dooouuuuble check time with A-Rod.  Depending who you talk to, the info goes from ‘it’s a week to week thing’ to ‘it’s a 3 week thing’ to ‘it’s a three week minimum thing’.  Well I’m calling it a Tony Romo thing, specifically a 2010 Romo thing.  That’s the year he busted his left non-throwing collarbone and missed the rest of the season.  He broke it in game 6 of the year.  We’re in week 9 now.  For as much as I want to believe the hopeful guidelines, I think I’d rather sell on it and see if I can scrape some value out of what might be a lost season as a Rodgers owner.  Before you ask, yes this goes for GB passing components as well.  If I got a WR2 for Jordy right now, I’d take it.  I’d be surprised if you got much for Boykin or Jones at this point but I’d be willing to hear offers.

  1. jeff says:
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    Dilemna: 6-3 we play 2 running backs 3 receiver/te I have had Varden all year. Picked up Ridley have Mccoy n chris c johnson ml will need to drop 1 next week PPR league.

    HAve Aaron Rodgers with Pryor backing up will pick up a files or locker to back up terrell.
    .
    Lost cold n Finley but have Garçon, cjax, Josh gorden. Gronk. Terrel Williams
    .
    Question I will try n upgrade ? Qb R RECEIVER and who u dangle to trade on of my running backs has to go or be dropped we only carry 3. And what do i want kn return?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Who is CJax? Varden is Vereen? If you just picked up Ridley, it would make sense to me that would be the RB you drop. Because I don’t know who CJax is, I don’t know what to say about a WR upgrade. What QBs are in the FA pool? If it’s a 1QB league, I’d be surprised if you couldn’t find a good player out there you can just drop Ridley for to add.

      • jeff says:
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        @Sky: I desean jackson

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          @jeff: What QBs are in your FA pool.

          • jeff says:
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            @Sky: picked up foles

            • Sky

              Sky says:
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              There you go

  2. J-FOH says:
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    Glad I dropped boykin as my wr5 to stream wright this past Saturday. Jack full of dumb luck

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      No kidding. Boykin is gonna hurt a few of my teams for sure

      • J-FOH says:
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        @Sky: Have you seen how close our IDP standing have gotten? After his hot start Prezzi has dropped three in a row, you have won two in a row and I have won three in a row. All the top teams got knocked off last weekend. This one is going to come down to points

        • Prez says:
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          @J-FOH: ive had some good weeks too.. just went up against some monster weeks. Last week dude got like 100 points from his idps!

          • J-FOH says:
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            @Prez: my three highest scoring players on the season are LB’s

  3. Ryan says:
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    Hey Sky,

    Does this mean I may/should safely let go of Randall Cobb? I was going to wait until a definitive “out for rest of season,” concerning Rodgers, but Im going to need a kicker this week (I own Gostkowski and plan on using him ROS). My other options to drop are Reuben Randle & Kenny Stills.

    Thanks ahead of time,
    Ryan

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      I think unless you were playing in an extremely deep league, he should’ve been dropped the moment you knew he was out for as long as he was. Go for it.

  4. Wily Mo says:
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    Monte Ball or Greene ROS?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Greene

  5. Justin says:
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    Quick question in regards to the NE backfield. I have been seeing a lot of adds of Shane Vereen and as a Ridley owner I’m curious if Ridley is in danger of losing significant value. Ridley has been a beast of late. Should I be worried? IMO he does not deserve to lose playing time.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      He didn’t deserve to sit out the 1st quarter 2 weeks ago but it happened. It’s Bill, he does what he wants when he wants. I don’t trust Ridley for that reason. In theory, Vereen is going to take over Bolden’s 3rd down reps and get a carry here and there. But with the fumble issues of Ridley, it’s hard to gauge. I’m not gonna lie, though, I’m probably shopping Ridley if I own him.

  6. Bryan says:
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    My RBs are Lacy, Gore, Steven Jackson and Stacy. I’m trying to sell one for either another RB or a WR. Which one should I try to sell and what should I look for in return?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Hrm, why would you sell them for another RB? You don’t really have any sell highs in that group. Do you need a WR? That would be the only thing I could see. VJax? You’re not getting Marshall/Dez types, most likely, since the names don’t match even though the production should do it.

      • Bryan says:
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        @Sky: Just looking for ways tom improve. I already have Dez and Megatron (we start three, I rotate Hilton, Jeffrey and hopefully one day Harvin). Maybe I should be looking to improve at QB instead. I’ve started Russel Wilson every week this season (no backup) and he has a BYE in week 12. So I could package Wilson and a RB for someone awesome who’s already had their BYE. Also you don’t view Stacy as a sell high? Really appreciate you replying to my comment!

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          @Bryan: I’m not sure why you’d view him as a sell high. Two straight 100 yard rushing games, one against the Seahawks. Doesn’t sound like a sell high to me, the kid is legit. If you can start three RBs a week, I’d personally hold. SJax would be a flex for most teams and he’s your RB4 at this point. Enjoy your depth.

          • Bryan says:
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            @Sky: I can only start two RBs

            • Sky

              Sky says:
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              @Bryan: One QB league? I’d rather stream. You may only be able to start 2 but all it takes is two injuries and you are scrambling to replace depth you didn’t need to get rid of. Depth is king down the stretch.

              • Bryan says:
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                @Sky: Thanks, Sky!

                • Sky

                  Sky says:
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                  No worries and good luck!

  7. Yager says:
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    Buy low on Rice? I ask because I just got Rice and Demaryius Thomas for Knowshon and VJax.

    • Bryan says:
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      @Yager: yikes

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      I wouldn’t have done that

      • Yager says:
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        @Sky:
        Well can’t win em all, but I will still have CJ Spiller, LeVeon Bell, Giovani Bernard and now Ray Rice. We only start two RB’s and two receivers and my two WR’s will be Hilton and Thomas going forward. I am middle of the pack right now, and with the talk of decreased work load for Knowshon, I wanted to take a chance to see if I could get lightning in a bottle with Rice or Spiller.

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          Understandable. Good luck!

  8. Wilsonian says:
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    Rank these RBs for me for the ROS:

    Sproles
    Ivory
    Vereen
    Tolbert
    Greene

    0.5 PPR, 3 points for 100 yards rushing, 6 points for 150 yards rushing

    I have Forte, Gio, CJnoK, Ridley, and Vereen on IR. Thanks buddy.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Vereen/Greene/Sproles/Tolbert/Ivory

      • Wilsonian says:
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        @Sky: Thank you, sir. Looks like I made the right move with dumping Sproles for Shorts for this week. Then I’ll have a free Vereen (picked up out of the FA pool to put in IR slot).

        Much appreciated, as usual.

        One more for the road… Would you bench Stafford for Rivers? I don’t think I will, but I have a shootout kind of feeling for Rivers which might bode well for a monster week. But not sure I want to bench tried and true Stafford.

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          Rivers is so up/down. I think you’re gonna have a hard time going wrong there but I’d probably stay Stafford. Bears defense has struggled all year to contain pretty much everyone…well, excluding Seneca Wallace.

          • Wilsonian says:
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            @Sky: Ha, yeah. I’m most likely going Stafford. He’s just been so damn consistent. I don’t trust Rivers nearly as much, but he was a GREAT bye week fill in. And I hate to have to cheer on my QB against my real team. Damn you fake football…damn you…

            • Sky

              Sky says:
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              Haha, yeah. Rivers finishing with a 400 yard game with 3 TDs wouldn’t surprise me but I trust Stafford to perform week in and week out at this point. Too hard to sit.

              • Wilsonian says:
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                @Sky: Thanks man, I’m in that same boat. Guess I’ll leave 40 points on my bench and hope for the best. HA!

                • Sky

                  Sky says:
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                  Ha, better than 40 points on another team!

  9. Jep says:
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    Tasted the rainbow and it taste good! Gotta give the Seattle OC more skittles!
    5-4 in 6th place!
    Make a move or ride or die? 3WRs, 2RB, 1Flex
    Current roster:
    RB: Lynch, Moreno, CJK, AndreBrown, Vereen
    WR: Garcon, TWill, Riley, Colston, Baldwin, Harvin

    Moreno a sell high with upcoming schedule and chance they start resting him for playoff push?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      I called him a sell last week so yes. You’re not gonna get full return value, though, so fair be warned. No one trusts the Moreno story. Upgrade your WRs with him

      • Jep says:
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        @Sky: Ok will try to shop him and TWill or Colston for Cruz. What’s your take on trying to trade with people above you in standings? Try to help each other or cawkblock them?

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          @Jep: I make trades based on my team and my team alone. I’m not worried about how it affects other teams so long as the trade is fair and helps me.

          • Jep says:
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            @Sky: About to make this trade, Knowshon and TWill for Demaryius. Your thoughts?

            • Sky

              Sky says:
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              Bit of an overpay. Should be a 2-2 but I’d take it if it was the best deal for Moreno

              • Jep says:
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                @Sky: Cruz owner doesn’t want to salsa dance with me! Plus Demaryius owner holds 2 kickers and 2 defs so I can’t pick up his drop. Maybe scoop up Turbin handcuff with the extra space.

                • Sky

                  Sky says:
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                  @Jep: Damn…sure, go for it.

                  • Jep says:
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                    @Sky: Nice chatting with you Sky! Keep up the good work!

                    • Sky

                      Sky says:
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                      Thanks Jep! See ya around, I’m sure.

  10. Shawn says:
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    Trade help: Start 3 WR’s, 2RB’s, Flex
    My WR: Bryant, Gordon, Wright, Blackmon
    RB: McCoy, Stacy, Murray, L. Miller, L. Bell, M. Ball

    Bye Weeks are hurting me at WR. Had to drop B. Tate to pick up Wright last week since Blackmon got suspended. Now Gordon and Bryant are coming up on bye. Question is…should I deal L. Bell for A. Jeffery? Both have looked pretty good this year and it is a dynasty league so looking for this year and long term also. Thanks.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      I’d take Alshon there; I’m not a big Bell fan.

  11. malamoney

    malamoney says:
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    Do you think Keenum will be the QB in Texas week 12? Need a week 12 bye week replacement and want to be ahead of the game. Texans will have the Jags that week. Other option is Cutler who should be back by then and will face the Rams.

    Thoughts?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Cutler was the guy I told you to add yesterday so I think that’s still the action you should be taking.

  12. Jagan says:
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    Sky,

    10 team Std league:

    I could not get Nick Foles or Jay Cutler from waiver wire and I am in need of QB with Rodgers injury. I am planning to target Romo from the team who has Brees as main QB and can definitely use RB help with Foster Injured.
    Below is my team and need your suggestion on who I should give to target Romo.
    Aaron Rodgers,Jordy nelson,Josh Gordon,Danny Amendola,Matt Forte,Jamaal Charles,Charles Clay
    Bench: Zac Stacy,Gio Bernard,Andre Ellington,Cecil Shorts,Percy Harvin,Hakeem Nicks,Tim Wright

    Your thoughts on what I should offer?

    I am planning to give Gio+Shorts or Gio+Andre.Is it too much? what are your thoughts

    Jagan

    • Jagan says:
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      Or do you want me to live with Keenum /Campbell/Mccown(this week if JaY C do not return) /Palmer.By the way is 7-2 and in second place

      • Sky

        Sky says:
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        Yeah, not really sure why you feel you need to make trades when a player who threw for 350 and 3 TDs is available in your FA pool. Pick up Keenum and watch if Cutler is starting or not. I’d start McCown over Keenum at this point based on matchup.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Who is available in the FA pool? Are you telling me Cutler and Foles were the only ones available?

      • Jagan says:
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        Cutler and Foles are not available in FA pool.

        Thanks I will play either Keenum /Mccown until Rodgers comes back hopefully.

  13. Jagan says:
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    Sky,

    I already have Martellus Bennett/Tim Wright.

    I was offered Jordan Reed for Decker or Jordan Reed+Terrance Williams for Pierre Garcon.

    My WRs are Garcon/keenan Allen/T.Y/Decker/Harvin and I play 3 every week

    I am leaning towards rejecting this trade as I feel Bennett is not bad.Your view pls.

    Jagan

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Hold

  14. Jagan says:
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    Sky,

    This week am I stupid to play Leveion Bell and Zac Stacy and keey Spiller /Steven Jackson /Andre Brown on bench.10 team std league.

    Jagan

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      I haven’t reviewed rankings nor matchups so I don’t know. Probably not.

  15. Ralph Lifshitz

    Dad Boner says:
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    Sky,
    I need some help from the God. I’m struggling with who to play at 2 of my 3 WR spots in a Razzball league. I have Boykin, Durham, Vincent Brown, Beasley, and Jerome Simpson. I need two. I was thinking Durham for sure but the other spot is a total crapshoot….thoughts?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Haven’t reviewed matchups nor rankings yet so this is off the cuff: Beasley and Durham

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Dad Boner says:
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        @Sky: Well on face value you I 100% agree, The Boykin situation has me depressed, poor bastard.

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          I’ve already dropped Boykin in some standard 12 team leagues. Wallace is a value killer.

  16. anthony says:
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    @Sky :
    RB2 Sproles or Pierre Thomas vs DAL
    FLEX
    Sproles
    Pierre Thomas
    Denarius Moore @ NYG
    Steve Smith @ SF
    Boldin vs CAR
    Andre Brown vs OAK ( brown is going to be great for giants and will be the leadback )

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      PT

      You can try Brown but I’m not as high on him as you are.

      • anthony says:
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        @Sky: IF not brown who would you put at flex ?

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          Moore. Even without concussion issues, Sproles has not been effective of late.

  17. Bill Lumbergh says:
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    @Sky: Like to pick up Greene, but would have to lose either Ivory, S. Jax, or D. Martin due to roster restrictions. Stay put or make a move? Thanks!

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      I like Greene over Ivory. I don’t trust him week to week to be involved like I do Shonn. But clearly it’s a question of upside there. Ivory has much more.

      • Bill Lumbergh says:
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        @Sky: Thanks Sky! I just rec’d a trade offer of his Larry Fitzgerald for my T-Rich. That would allow me to add Greene and still keep Ivory. Starting RBs are Stacy, GioB, with T-Rich at flex. WRs are Megaton and Keenan Allen. Bench has no WRs… Thx!