It’s that time of year, rookie drafts are starting and the all important question, who do I draft? Who will be the next Doug Martin and who will be the next Mark Ingram, yuck… To be honest it really is impossible to tell who will be the next great rookie running back to break out will be and as seen by Redskins rookie Alfred Morris last year it really is as much about opportunity than as it is about talent, skill and potential. If you followed my rookie running back preview and pre-draft rankings you probably saw that I was a little higher than I should have been on my my Jonathan Franklin, what can I say, I’m no NFL scout, I’m just a guy that loves football and tried to call them like I see them. With recent news the Eddie Lacy isn’t looking great in training camp, although im not buying into it yet, it may open up the door for Franklin who I think is a perfect fit in Green Bay. Well enough about my Franklin obsession let’s take a look at my Top 20 dynasty running backs.
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2013 Fantasy Football
Harvin Can Wait
July 31, 2013 | 2013 Fantasy Football, Fantasy Football Daily Notes | 21 Commentsby: Sky
As I talked about last week, we didn’t truly know what was going to happen to Percy Harvin until Tuesday. Well, now we know and it’s not exactly the news we all wanted to hear heading into our drafts. Harvin will be out 3-4 months as he has hip surgery to repair a torn labrum. For those of you that drafted, that puts his estimated ‘worth keeping on your team’ time at week 9 if you’re lucky but I’d bank on him being back no earlier then week 13 and by then…well, here’s the scenario. The Seahawks – barring major in season injuries – are a playoff bound team and they were a strong team even without Harvin last year. By week 13, the team will be ready to welcome him but this isn’t a guy who knows his team and their schemes. It’s going to take time to gel, to get acclimated. If you’re holding Harvin for your playoff push, you might want to think about that as a factor in how to handle. If you’re gonna ask me what to do about it, it’s a tough call. If he were on my team as of now, I’d try and sell him in a 2 for 1 if someone is willing to wait because in redrafts, I’m not. I’ve updated Harvin in my 2013 Fantasy Football Rankings as well. Now in theory, he’s returning during a time when he could be useful but he’s nothing more then a pickup when that time comes. I wouldn’t be wasting a draft pick on him. Too many injuries and bye weeks before now and that time frame could happen. Keep abreast (tee-hee) of any news regarding Percy and see if he’s worth a pickup week 9 or 10 if it doesn’t affect your bench too much to do so would be my plan in most leagues. In other 2013 Fantasy Football news…zing! I’m like a broken record here. Since we don’t have 5000 leagues yet, I’m gonna keep badgering you every chance I get about our Razzball Commenter Leagues. Either go join one or create one. If you build it, they will come. It’s totally like Field of Dreams, y’all! Now back to your regularly scheduled post…
Please, blog, may I have some more? Auction Draft Strategy For 2013 Fantasy Football
July 31, 2013 | 2013 Fantasy Football, Draft Strategy | 46 Commentsby: Sky
So you’re gonna notice something if you’re a previous reader. Though I don’t like repeating myself, I’m going to repeat myself. There’s only so much new you can bring to a personal strategy each year. Most of what’s ‘new’ here is going to be the intro post. I like to make cultural references of the time so that I can look back in a year and say ‘what the heck was THAT all about?’ to myself. For that reason, I’m just going to say ‘Sharknado’ and move on with the knowledge I’ve completely mindf’ed my future self. But of course, you didn’t come here for my love of messing with future versions of me, you’re here to discuss auction draft strategy for 2013 fantasy football…
Please, blog, may I have some more?Like I mentioned to a few of the commenters, I just needed to sit down and hammer out these mother chuckers and I finally did it. Unfortunately, I couldn’t do any better then covering a 12 team, $200 auction set up cuz the task is daunting and I was thoroughly daunted, y’all. That said, I think it’s fair to say that if you want to get a feel for how I value these guys in, say, a 14 team league, take a price of a player from this auction set up. Let’s just pull a value out of the hat and go with Demaryius Thomas at $38. Take the total auction dollar amount available in the league for my auction values – which is $2400 – and divide DT’s $38 price tag by it to find a percentage. Now take that percentage and multiply it by the total amount available in your auction league. Let’s say it’s a 14 team one which would be $2800. That puts Demaryius at roughly a $44 price tag. Now this won’t be exact nor perfect but it’ll put you in range. Keep in mind my pricing comes with a standard auction draft strategy associated which I’ll cover tomorrow so don’t go off the rails on me saying how I wouldn’t get AP or Doug Martin at that price. These are things I already know and I’ll explain tomorrow. These are my values which come with a draft strategy associated and it would feel weird giving you a price I’d never personally pay. We clear? Good, the next point is I put guys in tiers. Would be a bit weird for me to price them apart from each other even if it were only 1 or 2 dollars. If I say I value guys the same, I really mean it. with that let’s take a look at the Auction Draft Values for a 12 team league, $200 budget for 2013 Fantasy Football…
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So imagine you’re in an exclusive night club, you’ve got shorties around you in all direction, and it’s about as good as living can get – rivaling how Nick will feel if David Wilson has a breakout season.
Now imagine everyone wants in this same nightclub, but are waiting outside. Sure you got a few shorties to spare, but they ain’t goin’ nowhere! Thanks random italicized rapper! Yeah – take that Grey – mine’s an artist. So you have two options of keeping these scrubs out that wanna take all your shorties (aka fun). First option is a bouncer who asks for a password. And hey, the password can get shared around, that’s fine, at least all your attention can be on the shorties. Or the second option is every single one trying to get in has to shoot you an e-mail. That kind of data is gonna keep me from all these pics I’m taking with the shorties! Trust me – this is going somewhere down the road…
Please, blog, may I have some more? I Pitta The Fool Who Drafted Dennis
July 29, 2013 | 2013 Fantasy Football, Fantasy Football Daily Notes | 44 Commentsby: Sky
By the way, that wasn’t meant as an insult to any of you readers. I have much better insults then that for you. It’s called my writing. No, I said that in the mirror in my best Mr. T impersonation to myself as I took Dennis Pitta in my 14 team auction league way back in early July for $10 bucks. Don’t ask me why I did it in that voice, I think I was just in shock and I do believe it’s one of the stages of grief. You know, the one that comes right before running naked down the street doused in gasoline asking people to light my cigarette. At the time, it seemed smart picking up the main guy who’d benefit from Boldin’s loss in terms of targets and production. Of course, that was before he suffered a dislocated hip in a scrimmage on Saturday at the hands of James Ihedigbo whom I’m currently and desperately trying to find the address for so I can call some special ‘friends’ to take care of some ‘business’. At first reports said he would at least miss the first game of the year. Yeah, thanks reporters I coulda done that if that’s what we call reporting nowadays. And in related news, Bill Belichick was decapitated today by his own hoodie. No word yet as to whether he’ll be ready for the home opener but the Pats front office is hopeful. So I’m writing through the tears to tell you that there’ll be no soft Pitta Patta of Dennis’ feet in the flat or the end zone for Joey-lite Flacco to throw to this year. In some ways, this will put more on Torrey Smith’s plate and could lead to a bigger year but as I’ve stated before, Torrey’s not the best route runner and he’s not versatile enough to go beast mode and stand up like that. Most likely, some uninspiring options will be tried at first and it wouldn’t at all surprise me if this is an impetus for the team to go out and get a good complementary wide out to run those Boldin/Pitta-like routes. In either case, I’ve updated our Fantasy Football Rankings to no longer include our dear, sweet Dennis for the year much to my chagrin. In other fantasy news that I’ve typed while singing ‘Everything’s Gonna Be Alright’ to myself while rocking back and forth…
Please, blog, may I have some more? Draft Strategy: The Prom Analogy
July 26, 2013 | 2013 Fantasy Football, Draft Strategy | 76 Commentsby: Sky
Yes, I went with that title. Don’t ask me why I thought that would bring in readership. I’m actually assuming it’ll scare most off but you’re gonna miss out on the meaning if you just freak out about how I said ‘prom’ in the title. We can’t all be Will Ferrell with our marketing strategies. Not everyone can come up with ‘Talladega Nights: The Ballad Of Ricky Bobby’…damn messed up genius that man is sometimes. Ahem, Semi-Pro? I did say sometimes, imaginary reader. However I didn’t just put that title out there hoping everyone would misread it as ‘porn’ to click on it. Though that would’ve been a better idea no doubt. No, I’m going to take you back to that time in your life when your priorities were messed up and you didn’t know what you wanted but you knew you wanted it now. So without further reveal, let’s take a look at a draft strategy for 2013 fantasy football that I’ve stupidly titled the prom analogy…
Please, blog, may I have some more? Percy’s Hip A Harvin-ger Of Doom
July 26, 2013 | 2013 Fantasy Football, Fantasy Football Daily Notes | 14 Commentsby: Sky
And this is why you don’t draft too early, kids. In a surprise rivaling The Sixth Sense ending, Percy Harvin was placed on the PUP list yesterday after suffering a hip injury last week during workouts. The reports out right now are possible slight tear of the labrum in his hip and that he’ll get a second opinion next week about what will need to happen from here on out. Best case scenario for fantasy owners would be the follow up news says he can play this year, though as an owner I’d be leery and worried if that were the situation. In redraft leagues, this is a pretty scary place to be if you’ve already drafted considering his current ADP in yahoo leagues places him 29th overall. Until there’s more news to go off of I’m not yet ready to move him down my fantasy football rankings, but I wasn’t too hip – pun point! – on drafting him this year anyways. If it is indeed surgery required, I think he should start getting the Hakeem Nicks draft treatment from here on out. To date, Percy has only played one full season and that was in 2011. Outside of that it’s been 15, 14 and 9 and then whatever he plays this year. As I’ve mentioned before, I don’t take too kindly to injured wide receivers ’round here. It’s a physical position for sure but just like Shakira, Percy’s hip don’t lie. He’s starting to look like someone who’s caught the chronic injury bug and I don’t want it infecting my fantasy teams. In other 2013 fantasy football news…
Please, blog, may I have some more? Wes Welker, 2013 Fantasy Flatliner
July 25, 2013 | 2013 Fantasy Football, Fantasy Flatliners | 45 Commentsby: Sky
You ever get the feeling that things are too good to be true? Like that one time that hot girl from chem class Candice invited you over because she just couldn’t figure out how she was gonna survive that Algebra test and you thought to yourself ‘she has an ‘A’ in that class, no way she’s asking me over for a study session’. So you dress up in your best Mossimo t-shirt, your cool bandana, your shell necklace, threw your jansport bag on your back and trudged over for a little ‘studying’. Then you got there and all of her friends were there, books out on the table. She had her hair in a messy bun while wearing her reading glasses and a gym shirt while everyone was arguing over what a polynomial was. There was no reason for you to think the situation was any more then what it looked like except for the fantasies racing around in your head telling you different. Well I’m here to tell you something very similar is going on with our freshly coifed friend Wes Welker and his fantasy outlook this year. So follow me as I move on from my Candice fantasies and move onto why Welker will let you down for 2013 Fantasy Football…
Please, blog, may I have some more?For a fourth straight season, Razzball will be interviewing local NFL beat writers for some actual in-depth football knowledge to shed some additional light on our fantasy football knowledge. Keep your eye out for an interview for every NFL team through the summer. This installment comes courteous of Alex Mann from leading Arizona Cardinals blog Revenge of the Birds:
Please, blog, may I have some more?Last week I was listening to a sports talk radio show that was making an argument against playing dynasty fantasy football. I know right?! Well the argument was that due to the high turnover rate of players, mostly running backs that it was too difficult to try to predict and control your team long-term. I personally think this is what makes dynasty so fun an challenging and because of the volatility we see so many different philosophies and strategies. Surprisingly I received an email the very same day from Nick Capozzi of the Razzball podcast, asking if we would like to do a write up about his new team he just drafted at MyFantasyLeague.com. If you’ve played dynasty you know all that play like to share their drafts due to the varying opinions of those that play, the same team that looks amazing to me could be regarded as unbalanced or too old by another dynasty enthusiast. So with this email I took a look at what was a very interesting draft by Nick and shot him a few questions where the “non writer” really made some great responses, land Sky was surprised by this as he says ‘Nick believes himself a bit of a celebrity and because keyboards are what he views as ‘the tool of we ignorant writing grunts who can’t croon the panties off the ladies’ Well Sky, Nick likes dynasty fantasy football so he’s ok in my book, let’s take a look at his draft and his answers to my questions.
Please, blog, may I have some more? Another Nail In Wilson’s Fantasy Coughlin
July 23, 2013 | 2013 Fantasy Football, Fantasy Football Daily Notes | 65 Commentsby: Sky
First let me sum up for David Wilson owners how this feels in jpeg format. According to ESPN – who are known for their hard hitting analysis so we should trust them with our sports news forever and always [/sarcasm font] – Coughlin intends to split carries between Wilson and Andre Brown this year and […]
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