Passing offense is up. That might be at the price of rushing production. There’s plenty of time for things to balance, but this seems like a trend more than a fluke. Running back is currently a wasteland. Pay for the top options, like Melvin Gordon, with guaranteed volume and safe floors. I’m leaning towards the “cram ’em in” approach going forward, where you pay for two top backs and find receiving value. That was everywhere last week with performances like Calvin Ridley, Mike Williams, and Tyler Boyd.

QB

  • Russell Wilson, $7500: Russ has 21 career TDs vs Arizona to only 4 INTs. He typically shreds them. It’d be better if Seattle was home, but this is a price you shouldn’t get accustomed to seeing him at.
  • Andy Dalton, $7400: The other side of the shootout coin in Atlanta. As he showed last week, Bad Andy can come out if the Bengals are forced to throw. Atlanta’s defense is reeling at the moment and their injuries are mounting. His price and ownership could make it worthwhile.

RB

  • Melvin Gordon, $8700: This makes two straight weeks my favorite RB has been the Optimizer’s top projection. Here’s hoping it plays out like Kamara did last week. Take security where you can find it. The Niners season imploded the second Jimmy GQ blew his knee out.
  • Tevin Coleman, $7200: The threat of Devonta Freeman returning has kept Coleman’s price low. I don’t expect Freeman to play, but even if he suits up Coleman should see the lions share of carries. The Bengal defense just got gashed by the Panthers rickety OL and debatable NFL rusher CMC. Atlanta has a plus OL and Coleman is a hard runner.

WR

  • Allen Robinson, $6500: ARob has been the preferred target of Mitch Trubinsky so far this season. The Bucs have the worst secondary in the league. I’m expecting some big gains on 50/50 balls throw Robinson’s way. I’m not scared off from last weeks struggle. The Cardinals defend WRs well.
  • Antonio Callaway, $4500: What a bargain this should be. I’m doing my best not to get swept up in Baker-Mania, but his decision making is so obviously better and faster than Tyrod that this should become a functional offense for a change. That bodes well for a guy with Callaway’s quickness. DBs that go to jam him are left with a handful of air. Come Sunday, we’re all going to realize when Cleveland felt like they could move on from Josh Gordon.

TE

  • Eric Ebron, $5500. One of my favorite DFS ploys is playing last weeks bum. Ebron was a letdown for his many owners last week. Having not played him, all I see is an athletic TE with a large target share and little competition. At home in Lucas Oil Stadium dome this game should feature some scoring.
  • Ben Watson, $5200: Tight end has also been a disaster of a position so far in 2018. We’re reduced to TD hunting outside of the top priced guys. The Giants are as good a bet as any for giving one up to the TE. Had Watson not been overthrown in the end zone by Brees two weeks ago this would be a much more popular play.

DEF

  • L.A. Chargers, $4400: This feels like a possible letdown spot for the Bolts, who have a reputation for doing that. Even still, San Francisco is starting check-down happy CJ Beathard and has minimal skill position talent. It’s a solid play for the ten point home favorites.
  • Detroit Lions, $3500: With all this offense and the new penalties picking a pay down defense has become downright dangerous. I’ll bank on Dallas and their snail-paced ways for a little security. Ezequiel Elliot could pose a problem for a shaky run defense, but the Lions know what’s coming. They should be able to contain Zeke.