Welcome back for another week of cashing in here at Razzball. I am here with your weekly DFS-focused article laying out my favorite options to target at each position for the Sunday DFS main slate. This DFS Flash article goes position by position, giving you my favorite pay-up option and my favorite pay-down or dart-throw option at each position to help you build out a winning DFS lineup.
I use DraftKings pricing as a point of reference to seek out some values, and the goal is to help you “double up” in a 50/50 cash game with solid plays. Of course, you can use the dart throws to try to win the GPP tournaments, but at the end of the article, I give you my “double up” lineup using players discussed in this article. Let’s get right into it, let’s build this lineup and let’s make some money.
QB:
Pay up – Justin Herbert – $7,200 – Los Angeles is trying to stay in the playoff hunt, and this home game against Tennessee is a big one for them. It is also a good matchup for opposing quarterbacks as the Titans rank second to last in the league against opposing quarterbacks. Justin Herbert is heating up and has thrown for over 300 yards in back-to-back games. He has gone over 20 fantasy points in four straight weeks and has thrown the ball at least 47 times per game in the last three weeks. The volume is there, the matchup is there, and his weapons are there. I’m firing up Herbert this week as my quarterback.
Pay Down – Mac Jones – $5,000 – This is a week I will be paying up at quarterback since I don’t really love any discount options. If you feel the need to pay down at the position, the only one who I somewhat like is Mac Jones. With the injuries to the running backs in New England, it could force Jones to throw more than usual, and he faces a good defense to throw on. Las Vegas gives up over 254 passing yards per game, so I expect Mac to throw 35-40 times, and if he can throw a touchdown or two, he can pay off at this low salary.
RB:
Pay Up –Derrick Henry – $8,000 – Henry is the only one of the top few options with a really favorable matchup this week. I think Mixon will also be good, but Henry is my top dog this week. Henry is coming off a 25.5 fantasy point performance last week and gets to run against a Chargers defense that allows 147 rushing yards per game and ranks 28th against opposing running backs. Tennessee will be looking to get back on track after a bad loss last week, and Henry will be the key to them doing that.
*Bonus Mid-Tier – Alvin Kamara – 6,800 – Coming out of the bye week and recharged, this is the type of game we could see that 3-TD Alvin Kamara who has won people big money before. The NFC South is a dumpster fire, and New Orleans is still alive to win the division. If they want to get there, they need to feed Kamara on the ground and through the air. With the extra week to prep and put that plan in motion, I see a big week in store for AK41 this week.
Pay Down – Isiah Pacheco – $5,900 – Pacheco has taken over as the early down back in Kansas City. Despite what we saw out of Jerick McKinnon last week, Pacheco is the lead back. McKinnon scored the touchdowns and the fantasy points being the receiving back in a game that was more competitive than most expected it to be. This week, I believe things go more traditional in a matchup against a Houston defense that gets gashed on the ground. We just watched both Cowboys running backs have successful games against this defense, and this week, I can see Pacheco getting over the 20-point mark for us to pay off over a 3x return on investment at this price.
WR:
Pay Up – Ja’Marr Chase – $8,300 – The wide receiver room in Cincinnati is banged up with Tee Higgins dealing with a hamstring issue and Tyler Boyd dislocating his finger last week. Both are considered game-time decisions, and whether they miss the game or not, I still like Chase a lot here. If they miss the game, I just like him even more! Tampa Bay is banged up in the secondary and doesn’t have an answer for a talent like Chase. Both safeties are hurt, two corners are hurt, and Chase has a big advantage over Carlton Davis and Jamel Dean, who he would see on the outside. With Cincinnati playing well, the Burrow to Chase combination will continue their dominance this week.
*Bonus Mid-Tier – Keenan Allen – $6,800 – I am absolutely going to be pairing up Allen with Herbert in any lineup I use Herbert in. In fact, I will likely start my cash game build lineup with a game stack of Herbert and Allen and come back with Henry and build from there. I talked about how bad the Tennessee defense is against the pass, and the rapport that Allen and Herbert have is one of the best connections in the league. Allen has 14 targets in back-to-back games, and he will continue to operate as a high-volume play as his quarterback’s favorite weapon.
Pay Down – Elijah Moore – $3,600 – Moore came back to life since Mike White became the starting quarterback and is coming off a game where he had his highest catch total of the season. In fact, with his six catches last week, it was the first game since Week 4 that he had more than two catches. What I loved even more, was that he was targeted 10 times and is really becoming a piece of this offense. This game should be high scoring with the Detroit offense putting up points to the Jets will have to keep their foot on the gas all game, and that means continued volume for Moore. At this price, we only need 10.8 points for a 3x return on investment, and Moore has gone over that number easily in two of his last three games.
TE:
Pay Up – Travis Kelce- $7,800– Ho hum, Travis Kelce, yawn. He is the only pay-up option on the slate, and it’s why he’s priced up like a high-end wide receiver. Simply put, if you have extra money, then he’s the guy; if you don’t, see below.
Pay Down – Greg Dulcich – $3,600 – Dulcich struggled a bit last week, but he continued to show he is a big part of the Denver offensive game plan. He saw eight targets for the second week in a row, and even in a down game where he only caught three passes, he still got over 2x return on investment as a pay-down tight end. That said, we look for volume at the tight end position and hope for touchdowns, and when you’re seeing eight targets each game, you have the opportunity. Dulcich is at this price for a reason, but if he keeps seeing the targets and is able to score a touchdown this week, he will pay off handsomely at this price.
Defense:
Pay Up – Chiefs – $4,000 – They just saw Dallas struggle against this bad Houston team because their defense took the day off. You better believe Andy Reid won’t let that happen, and this defense should be able to take advantage of this cake matchup.
Pay Down – Broncos – $2,700– After trading away a few key pieces on this defense, they struggled for a few weeks, but they’re getting back on track now. They have put up 19 fantasy points over the past two weeks and get to face a backup quarterback this week.
JB’s Example “Double Up” Lineup:
QB – Justin Herbert
RB – Derrick Henry
RB – Isiah Pacheco
WR – Keenan Allen
WR – Elijah Moore
WR – DJ Moore
TE – Greg Dulcich
Flex – Alvin Kamara
DST – Broncos
That will do it for your Week 15 DFS Flash. Thanks for checking in, and I look forward to seeing you here every week to build out a winning DFS lineup. Make sure you check out all the fantastic new tools on Razzball.com and sign up for a FREE TRIAL of the Razzball tools subscription as you get ready to set the rest of your Week 15 fantasy lineups. You are always invited to follow me on Twitter @FantasyCoachJB and ask me any questions you may have. Good luck in your upcoming matchups, and I’ll see you in the winner’s circle!
With the news of Zach Wilson starting for the jets would you advise playing ANY NYJ offense I’ve players?
Id still play Wilson and Knight. I am also throwing a dart on Carter in DFS tournament as a salary saver. I am off Elijah Moore though – I pivoted my Moore shares to Nelson Agholor