Hey everyone! I’ve joined the pristine group of Razzball Fantasy contributors to shine a light on the Fantasy Football season in hopes that you heed my words of wisdom and win your leagues.

In terms of specific players and projections, I will leave that to the other writers who are doing a magnificent job. My focus today will be on the draft itself and why it is so very important for you to do adequate homework before you head into your draft lobby. Nobody likes sitting there in a draft when you’re on the clock and you are completely clueless as to who you should draft, forcing you to panic-pick someone overrated that will end up on the waiver wire after Week 2.

In the words of wisdom from a great fantasy football player:

“You can’t win your league in the first three rounds of a draft, but you can lose your league in those rounds.” – Myself, obviously.

So what do I mean when I refer to “homework”? ┬áThis post is going to focus on topics you need to be privy to before draft day…

Scoring

This is kind of obvious. If you’re in a PPR or 1/2PPR league, then the value of certain players will obviously be higher. Make sure at least a week before your draft you understand how the scoring works. An underrated scoring bonus for RB’s is runs of 10+ yards. If you’re in a league like this, you should try and focus on RB’s who get those types of gallops. For reference, LeSean McCoy (BUF) and Ezekiel Elliott (DAL) were tied for the most of such runs (Although McCoy had roughly 80 fewer carries). Those would be players, if your league scores in this way, that should be moving UP your draft board.

Draft Position & Format

Another pretty straightforward concept that relates to the previous topic. Where are you picking in your draft? How many starters do you have? What is the situation regarding your flex position? Are you limited to a certain amount of waiver wire transactions you can make? These are questions you need thorough answers for instead of mere one-word responses. Someone picking 10th in a 10-man league will have a much different approach than someone picking in the top-3.

Gameplan & Strategy

If at any point I come off as bragging and smug, it’s because I am. All the rave three years ago was to load up on RB’s with your first several picks because they were the most reliable. I was picking 10th in that draft in a 10-man league non-PPR. I didn’t like any of the RB’s available to me and the draft lined up. Antonio Brown and Julio Jones were both on the board. So I drafted both with picks 10 and 11. I caught a lot of shit during the draft for that. As you can imagine, I ran train on the rest of the league and got by with scrappy 3rd down RB’s who didn’t lose me weeks and allowed my stacked WR corps (Also had DeAndre Hopkins and Sammy Watkins) carry the team to a title. Then everyone and their mother started to realize that the Zero-RB approach (load up on WR/TE/QB early and wait on RB’s) was actually very strong from a strategic perspective. So last year, if you look at draft results and ADP (Average Draft Position), you’ll find a high priority on WR in the early rounds. Last year was a great year to actually go RB heavy early on. These Zero-whatever approaches are only effective if you’re countering the flow of the draft you are in.

So how does this apply to your draft in the upcoming month? Well I hate to be the bringer of bad news, but the Zero-whatever strategy this season will be quite difficult to pull off. The first two rounds are very much 50/50 in terms of RB/WR value. A position-based approach is more likely to succeed if you’re picking later in the round and notice a trend. This is why you need to do your homework before the draft. Have a gameplan for your early picks. Researching where you can get value for your entire roster in instrumental in having a contending team come Thanksgiving weekend.

The Competition

If you play in a league with your friends, then you should know how they will likely act in a given situation. Is there a player in your league that loves a player you have your eye on? If so, then you need to anticipate that and determine how high you’re willing to draft that player to ensure that you get him. Is there a drafter who loves taking a QB in the first two rounds? If so, then account for that when projecting what other players might fall to your draft slot. Simple things like this can go a long way in winning your draft.

Thanks for reading everyone. I’ll answer any questions you may have in the comments section below. My next article will focus on the trades and suspension news from last Friday and how they should impact those players’ ADP…

 

 

You can follow Reid on Twitter @reidkash17!

  1. slimbo says:
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    hey

    currently have a pick in my dyno and i wanna take zay jones, however i have Fiedorowicz at te and Bennett is available

    what is the smart play?

    thanks

    • Reid

      Reid says:
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      @slimbo:

      Hey Slimbo!

      So I think you have a false choice proposed here. I don’t like Bennett this year and it has nothing to do with him. Over the past few seasons, GB just doesn’t target the TE as much. Even when they have every reason to do so. All of their outside weapons are back and healthy, so look for lower usage of the TE out of the Packers.

      I think the biggest beneficiary of the Sammy Watkins trade was actually Zay Jones. He now will be starting and should see a healthy amount of targets. He was a catching machine in college and rookie WR’s with good hands are hard to find nowadays.

      And because he was mentioned, Fiedorowicz should see plenty of touches as well, especially if Watson ends up taking over the starting gig. He loved going to his big TE whenever he needed a first down, and that happens quite a bit in the NFL. He should be a lower-end TE1 this year.

  2. Dom says:
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    Which team is better for week 1 and which is better for season long?

    Team 1:

    QB Aaron Rodgers
    RB Mark Ingram
    RB Frank Gore
    WR Jordy Nelson
    WR Dez Bryant
    TE Austin Hooper
    Flex Terrelle Pryor

    Bench
    QB Eli Manning
    RB Danny Woodhead
    RB Robert Turbin
    RB Jamaal Williams
    RB Eddie Lacy
    WR Martavis Bryant

    K Adam Vinateri
    Def Bengals

    Team 2:

    QB Tom Brady
    RB Lesean McCoy
    RB Jordan Howard
    WR Eric Decker
    WR Keenan Allen
    TE Zach Ertz
    Flex Ty Montgomery

    Bench:

    RB Duke Johnson
    RB Dion Lewis
    RB Darren Sproles
    WR Anquan Bolden
    WR Chris Hogan
    Def Bills

    K Dan Bailey

    Def Panthers

    • Jbona3 says:
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      @Dom: I like Team 1, but I’m a Zero RB kinda guy. The risk there is the combo of Rogers/Nelson could lead to more week-to-week variance. It also depends on scoring, if this is PPR, I like the RB stable on team 2 with Duke, Dion, and Darren – but even if it is PPR, I’m still leaning toward team 1.

    • Reid

      Reid says:
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      @Dom:

      Hey Dom,

      From my first glance, I love your Team 2 and would think that is the better season-long unit to roll with. I’ll lay out some justifications for that assessment though. Brady is Brady, and in my eyes the only true reliable fantasy player on a week-to-week basis for the Pats. McCoy and Howard will both be workhorses this year and McCoy will see an ungodly amount of passes out of the backfield. Decker is a lower-end WR2 but I LOVE Keenan Allen this year. I don’t believe he’ll have a massive injury three seasons in a row. Allen should be a force this year and a really low ADP WR that likely finishes in the top-10 at the position by the end of the season. Ty Montgomery can be the ultimate wildcard back for you. I would consider, if possible, picking up someone like Jamaal Williams from GB as a handcuff to Montgomery. Just a hunch on my part.

      For week 1 I like this lineup for three reasons: 1) Bills D/ST will be going up a historically bad offense in the Jets. 2) Allen and Ertz will have tons of targets since both will be healthy. 3) Did I mention just how bad the Jets are going to be?

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