But Sunday was fun, as we saw crack take down Razzball’s Week 10 DFS League and take home $60. I finally stopped the cold streak, as I placed 12th, the final position that won. I’ll take it. That’s what DFS is all about. Also, our very own Matt Hayes finished second, winning $45. Congrats Matt, spend wisely! I would definitely buy Jay a bourbon with the winnings, even though he doesn’t write DFS articles. So what? A bourbon is a bourbon, and you should buy it for him. Let’s review Week 10 and look at crack‘s lineup and other highly-owned plays and see how they did!
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Week 10 Review
crack wasn’t whack, employing a very good stacking with Washington QB Kirk Cousins and TE Jordan Reed, a stack that scored 45.36 pts for only $12,300 (a very cheap stack), which equals out to $271 per point, which could be the deciding factor of many GPP lineups. With two cheap players that scored at least one TD between the two of them, crack was able to pay up for other positions. Example A: Paid $9,200 for Todd Gurley.
Brandin Cooks, WR NO (25.4 pts, 8% Owned) – With every single QB putting up Madden numbers against the Saints defense, New Orleans has to respond with their own offense, and a lot of looks went Cooks’s way.
Demaryius Thomas, WR DEN (10.6 pts, 36% Owned) – Well, some of you may have taken my advice, some may have just liked him regardless of what I said about DT. Unfortunately, he disappointed, and now I would stay away from that offense, especially with Brock Osweiler in the picture.
Cairo Santos, K KC (21 pts, 4% Owned) – Many people have a valid claim that Fanduel should get rid of the Kicker position, because it’s days like this one that you may have lost in a tournament because your kicker didn’t put up Gronk numbers.
Martavis Bryant, WR PIT (24.8 pts, 8% owned) – Look at Jay Long knowin’ a thing or two about the new-fangled Daily Fantasy Football! Yes, our very own Jay Long used the fact that the Browns secondary ranks 22nd in the league against WR’s to land himself $15! I think this knowledge gives Jay this week’s Tip of the Cap. Great contrarian play.
Alright, enough already. I’m sick and tired of crack having all of the glory, and you are too, so let’s get to Week 11 of the NFL season and figure out how to take home first place.
Week 11 Preview
Derek Carr and Matthew Stafford, OAK & DET ($7,700 & $7,000) – Both QB’s are in play this week, as Vegas has this game tied for the highest game total at 48.5 total points (tied with CIN-ARI). Combine this with the Oakland and Detroit secondaries, ranking 25th and 30th in the league against QB’s. But who do I prefer? Derek Carr seems to have the more tasty matchup, so I prefer him in most (not all), although Matthew Stafford is from the town in which I currently reside (Tampa, FL). Decisions, decisions. Both are still great plays.
Cam Newton, CAR ($8,600) – Superman, er, SuperCAM. Newton has been on fire as of late, scoring 24.86 pts per game in the last 3 weeks. He is still relatively cheap for his volume, running and throwing the ball. The Panthers are huge home favorites this Sunday at home against Washington with a team total at 26.5 points to the ‘Skins’ 18.5 points. Washington’s secondary is pretty good against the pass (making Newton a contrarian option), ranking 14th in the NFL. However, if we are taking into account Newton’s running ability (if the game-plan calls for it), then we should note that Washington gives up an average of 18.7 pts per game to Running Backs.
Charcandrick West, KC ($7,100) – Matchups and volume are the key to selecting a great running back. Thankfully, West has both. The San Diego run defense is just plain awful, and would produce the same amount if we took Tehol, Jay, Kevin, RotoLance, and Smokey and told them to suit up. In terms of numbers, however, the Chargers rank dead last in the NFL against the run, giving up an average of 24.2 points per game. The volume is there for West as well, as the Chiefs are using him like Jamaal Charles 2.0. West has averaged 4.24 Yards/Carry, 15.5 Yards/Reception, and plenty of TD’s since taking over as the lead back.
Marshawn Lynch, SEA ($8,100) – SLEEPER OF THE WEEK. A contrarian’s delight. Previously stated, volume and matchups are the key when selecting running backs. Beast Mode has been injured all season long, playing in games and then missing them. However, it may look like he may be healthy now. Lynch hasn’t been the greatest running back on Fanuel this year, only averaging around 10 pts per game. However, the 49ers’ defense is horrible against QB’s, HB’s, WR’s, and TE’s, giving up an average of 21.7 pts per game, ranking 27th in the league. Plus, Beast Mode cooks against the 49ers. In 11 career games, he has averaged 4.54 Yards/Attempt, 7.95 Yards/Reception, 1,004 rushing yards, and 9 total TD’s. I would give Lynch a considerable thought into your lineups if he is healthy or not.
Devonta Freeman, ATL ($9,100) – Only finding the endzone once in his last 3 games, Freeman’s ownership percentages have declined, with the field choosing fancy new toys in DeAngelo, Jeremy Langford, and Charcandrick West. However, Freeman still has averaged 22.68 pts per game this year, and is considered the top option against a horrible Indy rush D. The Colts rank 21 in the NFL against the run, giving up an average of 20.1 pts per game.
Michael Crabtree, OAK ($6,500) – If we are going to select Derek Carr, might as well pencil in Crabtree as a QB-WR stack that we can employ, especially in a game that has the highest Vegas total for the week. Crabtree has been doing well for himself as of late, he has averaged 17.1 pts per game in the last three weeks, and now comes into Week 11 facing a secondary that ranks 23rd against WR’s in the NFL, giving up 25.0 pts per game to the position. Crabtree has also averages 13.75 Yards/Reception, and has caught a TD 4 times in the last 4 games.
Mike Evans, TB ($8,000) – Ah, this game is the ultimate #TBT. Back when the Bucs-Eagles rivalry was intense, John Gruden was everyone’s favorite coach, and Joe Buck said Mitchell 2,304 times in a single game. Evans has struggled this year, only putting up 11.30 points per game. The time could never be right as it is this week against the Eagles. Evans keeps on getting great Redzone looks, but has failed to convert, but as long as he get them, his upside is huge on the TD-dependent Fanduel website. The Eagles also rank 30th in the NFL against the WR position, so the matchup is there too.
Stevie Johnson, SD ($5,600) – With so many injuries to the WR corps of the Chargers, not to mention how good Philip Rivers is, these last couple of weeks have been great situations to take advantage of. Not only does he have one of the highest ceilings of any WR’s in the NFL, he also has one of the highest floors in the NFL as well, making Johnson a safe play. The Chiefs rank 31st in the NFL in points allowed to WR’s, giving up an average of 30.3 points per game. Vegas also has the SD-KC game at 45 total points, a good number.
Jimmy Graham, SEA ($5,800) – The Seahawks should dominate on all sides of the ball, and with being such big home favorites, this could be the week Graham and Russell Wilson finally click. 28% of plays in the Redzone end up with TD’s to TE’s for Seattle, higher than the NFL average, so Graham is getting the TD looks, just not converting. Even though the Niners do stack up well against TE’s, don’t be surpised when Graham has at least a multi-TD game or 100+ rec. yards.
Eric Ebron, DET ($5,800) – Not only a great stack with Matthew Stafford, Ebron is a good salary-relief option, not to mention a good contrarian option due to recency bias. In the last 3 weeks, Ebron has averaged 4.35 pts per game. That’s Eddie-Lacy type numbers. Due to this, his salary has slowly decreased and increased throughout the season. This week he has a great home matchup in the highest game total of the week, which always bodes well for TE’s. Also, Oakland ranks 31st in points allowed to TE’s.
Matt Prater, DET ($4,500) – Minimum salary? Yup. High Vegas Total? Yup. Indoors or in a good kicking environment? Yup.
Defenses & Special Teams
Seahawks ($5,400) – Should be the only defense you select this week. The 49ers ranks 29th in points allowed to defenses, and the 49ers are awful on all sides of the ball. Also, a good HB-DEF stack this week with Beast Mode.
Alright kids, that’s my time. Be sure to stick around for Matt Hayes’ article sometime later this week on who he prefers in the Fanduel contests.
My Week 10 Razzball.com DFS League Lineup
WR Stevie Johnson ($5,600) vs. Kansas City Chiefs
K Matt Prater ($4,500) vs. Oakland Raiders
Goodnight kids, go read a book.
You Can Follow Zach On Twitter @ohuhave12.