Most Razzball readers are experienced fantasy football players. We multiple leagues, multiple formats, spend countless time researching players, following ADP trends, and plugged in to the NFL news room. Regardless of how many ‘expert’ OR industry leagues we are in, nothing compares to the level of competition in famous “Home Leagues.”

Home leagues are an avenue for buddies from college to stay in touch, your family and neighborhood league, or your girlfriend/boyfriends work league that your significant other hyped you as “really good at fantasy football player” and now here you are signed up for more leagues than you want to admit to your significant other. This is where we cut our teeth playing fantasy football, but now these are the leagues that help us sharpen our tools. Here are couple of do’s and dont’s that will help you dominate on draft day…

In the spirit of competition, share this article with your homes leagues. Help increase the level of competition. I know the easy money is enticing, but increasing the level of competition in your home league will mold you into a better fantasy football player. Iron sharpens iron…

Draft Kicker and Defense with your last two picks

A book can be written, probably has, on why you should wait to grab a K & D/ST. Time and time again, you’ll find Kickers and Defenses drafted with 4-5 rounds remaining in your draft. Have we not learned our lessons? Remember when the 2017 Jaguars D/ST was regarded as the best defenses in recent history? They were a middle round target for fantasy owners in 2018. After finishing 2017 as the #1 fantasy defense, the Jags DST finished 2018 as the 17th ranked fantasy defense. They scored 60 less point from the previous year and were not worthy of starting most weeks. It’s been 7 years since the last time a fantasy defense repeated as the top fantasy unit. For Kickers, the same three names haven’t finished in the top 3 for at least 10 years (I got tired of going back). Except for appearances by Gostkowski and Justin Tucker, but the variance in weekly kicking production is so volatile that it’s not worth drafting early. Kicker #3 was separated by less than 15 points from Kicker #10 in 2018. Kicker #10 was Cowboys’ Brett Maher, who was on waivers multiples times throughout the season. 

Drafting a kicker or defense early is not going to win your league. Similar to why quarterbacks are devalued in single-QB leagues, you can only start one kicker and one defense. You HAVE to start multiple RBs, and WRs. You win your league by drafting skill players late, that have high upside and turn into league winners. Think about your league-mates that took late round fliers on Patrick Mahomes, James Conner, Phillip Lindsay, George Kittle and Mike Williams last season. While your home-leagues are drafting kickers and defenses in those early ‘teen rounds, you need to round up all of the late round skill players available. Target guys that win your league, not Justin Tucker nor The Chicago Bears D/ST. You can easily stream both positions over the course of the whole season and have top 12 output at the position. 

Wait on Quarterbacks…

This will happen home leagues, Patrick Mahomes will be drafted in the first round. I understand the appeal, the guy threw 50 touchdowns. It’s been 15 years since the last time a quarterback repeated as the overall QB #1 in fantasy football..15 years (Shoutout Daunte Culpepper). Mahomes is likely to be in the top 5, but it is more likely that he will NOT finish as overall #1 fantasy QB. Fantasy football is about value, and finding value in as many spots as you can. The reason Mahomes was a league winner last season was because he was drafted later in drafts. The players that had Mahomes, ALSO had a stacked skill position group because they decided to wait on their quarterback. The quarterback position presents a lot of value every year in fantasy football. Rudy has Jared Goff projected to finish as the overall QB #3 in 2019 and his current ADP is 87th overall, early 7th round. Mitchel Trubisky is projected to finish as the QB10 and his current ADP is 151 OVR, middle of the 12th round. Similar to streaming K & D/ST, you can stream a quarterback off waivers based on weekly matchups the whole season and finish with top 10 output from that position. Granted, that’s a risky way to do it but it goes to show the depth at the position. 

Don’t get trapped by name recognition, draft upside…

All of the major fantasy platforms, ESPN/NFL/YAHOO/CBS, have expert rankings and ADP numbers loaded in their draft applications. For the most part, these list have increased in quality over the years leveling out competition in the early rounds of drafts. In laters rounds, your wife’s dad or girlfriends coworker will fall victim to targeting names they recognize. This will not hurt them early in drafts but they will pay for it later. Don’t be a sucker and grab Randall Cobb because you remember him from a couple of years ago in Green Bay. He’ll be fighting for 3rd/4th looks in a run first offense that will focus on Amari Cooper and Michael Gallup in the passing game. You might not recognize the name of younger players on the list, but you want to add upside players later in the draft. These are typically rookies, or 2nd-3rd year players that have a potential path for more opportunity as the season progresses. Older guys that have name recognition present a capped ceiling, we know what they are and we know their role. You can’t expect Mohammed Sanu to have a “break out” season at age 30 and heading in to his 7th season. Instead of grabbing Sanu at his current price of WR60, take a flier on potential 2nd year breakout WR Michael Gallup, currently going as WR55. Instead of grabbing Carlos Hyde at his current price, RB51, take a shot on potential Melvin Gordon replacement Justin Jackson (RB55) or preseason crush RB Justin Hill (RB55). If you hit on young upside guys, you increase your chances on winning your league.

Forcing a position…

This is a common mistake for amateur fantasy players. “I need to draft a RB here, or I have to grab a QB/TE here because I haven’t filled out my starting roster yet” is a mindset that plays right into the hands of skilled draftee’s. Just because you have two WRs already rostered and one RB, it does not mean you HAVE to draft a RB next. If the wide receivers atop the draft board are in a tier or two above the next RB, then take the receiver. Do not force a position, it’s okay to leave the draft with a position of strength. This provides trade value later in the season, or helps protect from injuries to a position group on your roster. Keep in mind, if you see a position group “drying up”  and the next options that would make it around are multiple tiers lower, then it’s okay to lock up that position. Throughout the draft you will see guys “fall” relative to their ADP for multiple reason…most likely an early QB or TE run. Don’t succumb to the pier pressure and grab a QB or TE early because you feel like you have to. This is when you find great value in drafts, when a player should have gone a round or two earlier but is still sitting their atop the draft board. Take advantage of your league-mates and stack those players up.

 

Good luck this week and let me know how you do in your drafts. I’ll see some of you in my RazzBall Commenter Leagues this and next week. Leave your comments and feedback below. 

 

As always you can find me on twitter, @NicRomeroFF

 

 

  1. packers2018 says:
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    What’s your thought on Kelce with his ADP? My two thoughts. Considering you could draft a WR1 or RB2 for your team.

    1. In H-H if you don’t own him you only play against that opponent once, so you lose the TE position for a week. Other than the top 3 TE’s it”s mostly a tossup.

    2. If you own Kelce you win the TE position most weeks, but have a bye week, and other TE’s going off for week.

    • Nic Romero

      Nic Romero says:
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      Honestly, I love Kelce. HE’s been so consistent the past 3 years, and shocked he isn’t getting the same love Gronk did when he use to go in the middle of the 1st round. I have my fair share of Kelce in the 2nd round. can view him as your WR1, creates such an edge at the position. Rudy has Kelce finishing 11th overall in full point PPR scoring amongst the skill positions, not a bad buy in the 2nd. if you pass on Kelce then wait on grabbing TE and go with the middle round guys like Engram, Cook, McDonald etc. or wait late, grab vet guy like D.Walker and pair with an upside guy like Hockensen/Andrews/Herndon, etc. good luck and thanks for the comment.

      • Nic Romero

        Nic Romero says:
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        also, you’d be surprised at the RBs that make it back to you in the 2nd round. can end up with a top flight WR and then still have a shot at possibly getting Bell, Conner, Chubb, Cook, etc. if you are dead set on getting RB. i still like going WR-WR/Kelce. you can get a shot at Aaron Jones, Kerryon, Fournette, Josh Jacobs, Montgomery, etc. in the 3th-4th depending on the flow of your draft.

  2. slimbo says:
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    hey boss

    mrk ingram or dede westbrook in a dynasty?

    • Nic Romero

      Nic Romero says:
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      Whats up Slim, I’m going westbrook especially if its PPR.

  3. Clokwerc says:
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    Who Should i keep? I have D.Adams and i lose my 1st round pick or M.Thomas and i lose my 9th round pick. I have the 9th pick in a 12 payer league so i may not get Adams that low.

    • Nic Romero

      Nic Romero says:
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      Michael Thomas, is in Michael Thomas from the New Orleans Saints?….in the 9th round. Are you just trying to brad? lol. I love Devante Adams too but i’ve been able to get him with my 9th pick AND even 10th pick in drafts with everyone being RB desperate this year. You have to go with the value of Michael Thomas in the 9th round. no brainier here.

      • Nic Romero

        Nic Romero says:
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        as in***.. trying to brag***. dang autocorrect!

  4. Gio says:
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    REDRAFT .5PPR 10 TEAMS, DRAFTING 7TH….

    Not a fan of this slot would rather be 9 or 10 but am I crazy to target Conner or Bell over top WR’s? If Zeke or D. Johnson fall I will take them over Conner or Bell.

    • Nic Romero

      Nic Romero says:
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      i’ve drafted from the 6 hole so many times. decided i hate it, but am all in on going WR in this spot now. can go RB on the way back, a lot of good names still available, or even get another top tier WR and hit RB rd 3 & 4. create an edge for yourself at the WR position. WR less likely to get injured. I’ve even started WR-TE(kelce). in my Scott Fish bowl, i reached for Conner at the 6th spot but that was when i was against employing a zero-rb-lite strategy. Bell is not a bad take either but starting RBs are more likely to get injured than stud WRs. just need to decided if you are okay with waiting on grabbing a RB. ive liked my builds so far with going WR in the first two rounds. im out on D.Johnson.

      • Gio says:
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        If possible, would you trade back to 9 and take 9 then 12 in the second?

        • Nic Romero

          Nic Romero says:
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          accidentally put my additional reply earlier under a different comment.

          ***you’d be surprised at the RBs that make it back to you in the 2nd round. can end up with a top flight WR and then still have a shot at possibly getting Bell, Conner, Chubb, Cook, etc. if you are dead set on getting RB. i still like going WR-WR/Kelce. you can get a shot at Aaron Jones, Kerryon, Fournette, Josh Jacobs, Montgomery, etc. in the 3th-4th depending on the flow of your draft.***

          in response to trading back. I like 9, what you have to decide between is having a longer way to go on the comeback for round three. at 7, you are practically in the middle so it allows you to get ahead of runs or catch them before they roll and avoid getting caught at the end of one. at 9, the risk is loosing out on a tier if a run happens before it gets back to you. you are waiting 16 picks before you can go versus 12. doesn’t seem like a lot but 4 picks can make a difference. having 7 allows you to choose who you want in the first round, picking at 9 your are allowing 2 additional players to choose ahead of you. you know your league mates and how they draft so its up to you here if you feel like you can still get who you want at 9.

  5. Jason says:
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    I’m in a full ppr and need an RB flier.

    PLEASE RANK D THOMPSON, JUSTIN JACKSON, AND JUSTICE HILL. WHIR

    • Nic Romero

      Nic Romero says:
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      this ranking could change by the kick off on thursday.

      If Hyde gets cut, which is rumored to happen. We’ll know by 4:00pm EST saturday. Then I put Darwin on top. If hyde doesn’t, there is a chance he still gets traded. Damien Williams has never received more than 50 carries in a season. it’s more likely by the end of the season Darwin could be needed more if Damien begins to break down.

      depends on how you want to look at the other two. if you want to come out of the gates hot, Jackson has the most value the first few weeks of the season. IF Gordon continues his holdout, i believe Gordon has to report at the latest by like week 10. so you’ll get at best 6 or so weeks out of Jackson, albeit splitting time with Ekeler. Jackson does hold trade value if you think you can leverage Jackson against the Gordon owner in your league, IF Jackson starts out hot.

      Hill is the end of season flier, but i think you havre to be wiling to hold on to him over the course of the season. It might be heavy Mark Ingram to start the season but as the season wears on, Ingram has a history of get banged up and missing a couple of game, I think Hill gets more incorporated as the season progresses.

      gun to my head:

      Darwin
      Hill
      Jackson

      might even throw Mattison in there too. below hill and depending on how you feel about Gordon then Mattison ahead of Jackson.

    • Nic Romero

      Nic Romero says:
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      **update.

      Im about to write about the RB mix up, but with McCoy moving to KC it def moves Darwin down your list. depending on how deep your leagues bench is, I think he still holds value. You have a backfield with an aging 31 yr old running back, and a running back in Damien Williams that has never recorded over 50 touches in a season. Depending on how diff Andys verbiage of his offense, it could take McCoy 1-2 weeks to get acclimated in KC. giving Damien and Darwin some initial value but once McCoy is fully submerged its just going to be a huge headache until and if McCoy gets injured later in the season.

      The chargers are allowing Gordon to seek a trade which usually means the Chargers are at the point where they are not going to budge on their offer and are letting Gordon see if he can get the money he wants elsewhere. Houston was near the top in available cap space but now with the bevy of moves they just made they are not in play. the Colts have a lot of cap room but i dont think they are making this type of move. Tampa is the only team i can see taking a stab at it but i doubt Gordon gets the money he is looking for.. Does this mean Gordon returns to LAC with his tail between his legs? Or does he sit out the majority of the season.

      I put Darwin at the bottom of the three names you listed… and its between Hill/Jackson pending Melvin Gordon.

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