Amen.

I just noticed this, but even though he's really injured, Niles Paul seems like he's looking at my "Amen" right there in total agreement. Actually, probably not. I'm probably just drunk.

I just noticed this, but even though he’s really injured, Niles Paul seems like he’s looking at my “Amen” right there in total agreement. Actually, probably not. I’m probably just drunk.

Or if you’re an atheist like me, no men. Or maybe that’s being sexist. Honestly, who cares? With an offseason full of deflated balls and, well, actually, come to think of it, that’s all I can really remember. Okay, I guess it wasn’t as bad as the last offseason, where people were punched and seasons of some high profile players were already lost, you know, because of said punchings… I guess talking about your/my/Tom Brady’s balls isn’t the worst outcome in the history of man. We’ll just call it a close second. And so it was, six games of football were played last night. Sure, it’s just the first week of the preseason (with more games to come this Saturday!), but any football is good football. And while the notes you’re used to won’t go into regular season mode until the NFL does, I’m still here to overview what happened last night. So shall we dance our first dance? Don’t worry, it’s cool, I already established no men. (Did that land? Hmm, maybe I’m in preseason mode too…)

Niles Paul, TE WAS – And the first one bites the dust. As is always a risk during the preseason, Paul is considered to be out the entire season after fracturing his ankle last night against the Browns. And to think, you’d figure this type of start was right up the Browns alley. With Logan Paulsen already considered on the shelf for the season as well, things are looking bleak, especially when you factor in Jordan Reed’s season-ending injury that will occur around Week 2.

Alshon Jeffery, WR CHI – He’s considered day-to-day after injuring his calf. The team is only saying it’s a strain, which I guess seems fitting. The strain this injury may put on my draft plan is already having ill-effects.

Jeff Janis, WR GB – One of the official Razzball sleeper picks, Janis looked really good last night against the Patriots secondary. Then again, most of that secondary will return to bar-backing at the local Irish Pubs around Boston in about 10 days, so take that for what you will.

Philip Rivers, QB SD – Look, I get it. I love the guy, I understand why some might not. The same goes with his “laserface” too. I love it, I understand why some might not. But I’m telling you this right now… if you can’t enjoy this laserface at Jerry Jones, I have no idea what’s wrong with you…

Rivers.0.0

Greg Salas, WR DET – Vying for the slot reciever role, Salas looked good, netting five catches for 92 yards and a touchdown. Like with Janis’ blurb, I wouldn’t read too much into this… yet.

Jonas Gray, RB NE – Ran for 74 yards and a touchdown in just seven carries. Which means we won’t see him run again for at least two months.

Josh Hill, TE NO – Heralded as the second coming by all fantasy football experts and fans alike (I sorta thought he was a sleeper, until Hillmageddon occurred), but we should still keep in mind that the Saints are bringing him along slowly and he was working strictly with the second-team last night.

In other news…

  • Looks as if my wish was not granted. We will no longer have Fitzmagic starting in Week 1 as Geno Smith looks to make a full recovery after outlets tabbed him out for 6-10 weeks. Quite the range, and they were still god-awfully off. I’m terrible at math, but that seems almost as egregious as last year’s Jamaal Charles being out for the rest of the season turning into “starting next Sunday”. Then again, it is Geno Smith, so who really cares?
  • T.Y. Hilton and the Colts came to terms on a five year contract extension, provided six total years of control to which I say, good for you Indianapolis. He’s a pretty amazing wide receiver and I could see the Luck/Hilton combo end up like the Manning/Harrison combo. Probably better if there aren’t any shootings involved.

 

 

  1. Clint says:
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    Totally agree re Rivers. I really don’t understand sports fans with these things. Guys like Eli and Cutler constantly get panned for not being more passionate about the game as they have bad ones. Then, at the same time, guys like Rivers, Brady, and Romo are told to tone it down and stop being such jackasses by getting into it over every play. Which IS it? Can’t we all decide we like players that are passionate about the game & move along already to bigger problems like Rex Ryan’s jackass-ery for picking up the LB that dislocated Geno’s jaw?

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @Clint: Yeah, this is a great point. Also, Rex Ryan stated that he wanted to trade for Geno too… which makes me question his roster acumen. He already has a Geno, named EJ.

  2. Allan says:
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    Jay is Joique Bell still solid as my RB3/Flex or is it time to push the panic button? I’m shallow at RB in a 12 team standard. My 1/2 are Lacy/Ingram and my only other RB is Foster. I meant to pick up Abdullah to handcuff Bell but some joker took him the pick after I took Bell.

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @Allan: I think so… Ameer Abdullah looked really good, Riddick has been taking first-team reps, I think his injury is a big factor right now. Hold for now, unless something better comes along, and let’s see how it develops.

  3. Jensen says:
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    1st overall pick in a 12-team Dynasty startup league. I know you’re going to say go RB, but I think its going to be Dez or Julio for me.

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @Jensen: If it’s a dynasty, I’d actually go OBJ.

      • Jensen says:
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        @Jay: Yeah? Could be fun. I’m hoping to get Mike Evans too, that would be a hell of a combo. You like OBJ just due to age? Obviously a big factor in dynasty but Julio is a young man still and playing for a paycheck.

        • Jay

          Jay says:
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          @Jensen: yeah, both age and talent. I love Julio this year, but if it’s a league you think will be around 3-5 years, I have no problem going OBJ there.

  4. KevinB says:
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    Hi Jay!

    Do you know when the 2015 Razzball Commentator League sign-ups will start?

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @KevinB: Next Tuesday!

  5. Wild Thing says:
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    Great post Jay! Football is back!!

    Have a Gronk question for you. How long should I sign him in my salary cap league.
     
    The league rules are: 
     
    –roster size of 1 QB, 2 RBs, 3 WRs, 1 TE and 1 FLEX (RB/WR/TE)
    –0.5 PPR
    –6 points for all TDs including QBs
    –The total cap is $200 and players cost their current salary plus $5 per year every additional year you want to sign them. For the first two years players are $2 for rookies or whatever salary you acquire them for in the auction.

    Gronk has a current salary of $5. Crazy cheap which is great.  I just need to balance locking him up long-term with making sure he doesn’t become too expensive.  For example, signing him for 2 years would be $15, 3 years would cost $20, 4 years $25, 5 years $30 per year. Every extra year costs more and means you lose some amount of near term advantage.

    The rest of my team.

    QB – Brady $18 for one year (could go two years at $28 but that seems high)
    RB – Gurley $2, Gordon $2, Crowell $1, Abdullah $2 (these guys are super cheap for the next 2 years at least)
    WR – Antonio Brown $3 (planning on signing to 3-4 year deal so $18-23), Sammy Watkins $2, Steve Smith $6, Nelson Agholor $2
    TE – Gronk $5 (? How long to sign)
    DST – Bills $1, Texans $1

    All the cheap rookies are essentially on two-year, $2 contracts and then must be signed after that.  Another consideration is that there is usually a scarcity in our auctions and the talented people usually go for way more than what would be fair value… Arian Foster went for $54 last season… Drew Brees $36… etc.  So if I let Gronk – producing at last year’s levels – back into the auction he would probably go for $40+.

    Thank you for your help! 

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @Wild Thing: I think 3-4 years is where the value is. I’d say based on your team, I’d probably go three on Gronk and four and Brown.

      • Wild Thing says:
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        @Jay: thanks!!

  6. Yellow 2-Y Banana says:
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    Great stuff as always, keep it up! The Alshon news isn’t fun for me since I have him in two keeper leagues (one in the 7th, one in the 8th) but barring any further setbacks I still plan on keeping him for a final year in both. The drafts are still a couple weeks out but if you had to pick the other keepers today in these leagues which would you choose? Both leagues are full PPR.

    Lamar Miller (rd 5, also has one more year at that price)
    or
    Andre Ellington (rd 12, last year to keep)

    Kelvin Benjamin (rd 10, next year goes to rd 8)
    or
    Joseph Randle (rd 11, next year to 9)

    I think Ellington offers way more value, but I think Miller will have a much better year. In the Benjamin/Randle league I’m considering keeping both instead of Alshon in the 7th.

    Thoughts?

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @Yellow 2-Y Banana: Yeah, should be nothing, but sometimes strains turn into something bigger. I’d go Ellington there for the value (though I agree Miller might have the better year), and then Benjamin.

  7. Mark says:
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    12 team keeper 0.5ppr. 2 keepers per team but I traded some draft picks and now have 4 keeper spots. Choose 4 please:

    Luck (3rd)
    Ingram (6th)
    Ellington (9th)
    Jordan Matthews (10th)
    Kelce (11th)
    Latavius (11th)

    I pick 11th so Luck would be the #35 pick overall. Plus a lot of guys who would normally go at the top of the draft are being kept as late-round picks (ODB, Hill, LeVeon, Anderson, Forsett).

    Thanks for the advice.

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @Mark: I’d go Luck, Matthews, Ingram, and Ellington. I hate to lose Latavius, but you might be able to grab him back.

      • Mark says:
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        @Jay:

        Thanks for the advice. Am I crazy for wanting to keep Kelce? I was thinking Luck, Matthews, Latavius, Kelce. With Ellington on the bubble. I don’t have a 5th or 7th round pick this year, so I’d essentially not have a 3rd (Luck), 5th, 6th (Ingram), or 7th if I keep Ingram. Not the worst thing in the world since I’d have a nice core to build around plus picks 11 and 14 overall, but I think the value with Latavius or Kelce outweigh the certainty of Ingram. I’m not disagreeing with you, just want to know your thoughts. Thanks for the advice!

        • Jay

          Jay says:
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          @Mark: I like Kelce, but I think he’s easily replaceable. But to be honest, in terms of Ingram, I don’t think it’s crazy at all to open up that round and keep Latavius as a high risk/reward play there. Depends on your own risk management, but I’m fine with that move.

  8. I love You Wong Time says:
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    Morning Jay,
    Need to lock in 6 of these studs for my keeper league…wonder which way you’d lean:

    C.J. Anderson Den – RB
    Andre Johnson Ind – WR
    Carlos Hyde SF – RB
    Greg Olsen Car – TE
    Tony Romo Dal – QB
    Golden Tate Det – WR
    Keenan Allen SD – WR
    Roddy White Atl – WR
    Ryan Tannehill Mia – QB
    Shane Vereen NYG – RBl
    Fred Jackson Buf – RB
    Matt Asiata Min – RB
    Ronnie Hillman Den – RB
    Josh Gordon Cle – WR
    Harry Douglas Ten – WR

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @I love You Wong Time: Anderson, Johnson, Allen, and Hyde. Tough one on Tate though… I wouldn’t argue if you went him over Allen.

      • I love You Wong Time says:
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        @Jay: Thankfully I get 6 so no decision there!

  9. Impending doom says:
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    Very helpful resource Jay. Want to fine tune things for my 20 team draft. Because options run out so early I want an example of what category of player you would pick for your first 3 picks like say(RB first WR second QB third) if you drafted 3rd, 10th and 17th. I’m relatively new in drafting and I need a solid first three picks. (H2H non keeper 1QB 2WR 1RB 1TE 1K 1D 1WRTERB 6BN).
    Obviously I’ll read every article of yours in regards to quality late round choices and I’ve committed to using your rankings. Any help will be sooo appreciated. Thanks!

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @Impending doom: I’d probably go RB, RB, WR. I know that leaves you thin at WR and QB, but in a deep league like this, I think you can go with with a lower tier option (like a Rivers or Stafford) and try for top end talent elsewhere.

  10. WalleyWorld says:
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    Thanks for the write up Jay, good stuff. I’m new to the football side of things around here and had a dynasty question for ya. Just had our draft a couple days ago and I’m pretty happy with my team overall, but ended up without a viable qb. Currently have Mallet and Gorrapollo lol. I’m a big texans fan and would love to see Mallet win the job and play well, but I know the odds of that coming to fruition are long. I have an offer on the table to acquire Winston and I’m seriously considering it. This is a dynasty IIDP league. Was offered Winston, Tre Mason, and Matt Jones for my Abdullah and Vontez Burfect. My RB’s are Randle, Gurley, Abdullah, Sims and West. It would be nice to get Mason as Gurley’s backup, but I do really like Abdullah. I’m also a bit thin at LB. If I trade Burfect I’ll be counting on guys like Bud Dupree and Randy Gregory. Thinking of countering to try and get Tevin Coleman in the deal instead of Matt Jones. Any thoughts or advice is much appreciated. Thanks again.

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @WalleyWorld: I think it’s close, but I’m fine with the trade. I do like Coleman over Jones at the moment.

  11. Miles says:
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    I’m in a 12 team keeper league and we get to keep up to 1 player for free and up to 3 other players. If you keep a player, you lose that round’s draft pick. I have Brees, A. Foster, Lacy, A.Brown, and Cobb. I was planning on definitely keeping AB, Lacy, and Cobb. I have a trade offer of Brees and my 4th and 5th draft picks for Adrian Peterson.

    This would require me to wait to get a QB and any back-up running backs until Round 6.

    Would you make this trade or hang on to Brees and scoop up depth at RB/WR in rounds 4/5?

    Thanks for the help.

  12. todd dunn says:
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    would you trade randall cobb & devonta freeman for jonathan stewart-amari cooper-mike wallace

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      Ugh, tough one. Depends on who Wallace takes over for.

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