Let’s remind ourselves of the formula:

Sleeper Rating = Amount of Talent (Individual + Team Support) + Opportunity

Let the bye weeks begin! This is where we start to separate the men/women from the boys/girls. Depth finally starts to pay off or punish depending on how savvy you’ve been.   Again all the players I’m going to talk about here I look at within a “buy low” framework.

Tier I

Calvin Johnson 19 (10+9) – Still hasn’t put up the big digits. It’s going to happen, people. In case you haven’t noticed the Lions offense is better than it was last season and while Stafford is no world-beater he’s a lot better than the chump-fest they were rocking at QB in ’08.

Steve Slaton 17 (9+8) – Leading off the same way I did last week. I’ll stop singing the same tune once these players start to deliver and then you won’t be able to get them any more. How can Slaton not produce this season? I’m not even sure if that’s a rhetorical question.

Roddy White 17 (9+8) – Come on Roddy this was supposed to be your huge breakout season! He hasn’t delivered the way anyone anticipated yet but the offense has looked really good so far in Atlanta. Expect him to start turning it on. Unless there’s something I don’t know. I hate secrets.

Wes Welker 16 (7+9) – Another guy I had last week. He didn’t play again so his value’s still got to be depressed. The injury concerns might be enough to scare his owner. In PPR he is going to be an absolute monster from here on out. I really believe that.

Brandon Marshall 16 (9+7) – Eddie Royal has been awful. Marshall is looking better and better. This might be the last week you have a chance to buy somewhat low on him.

Donovan McNabb 16 (8+8) – That Offense is explosive, Kevin Kolb proved that. After this bye week he’s got Tampa Bay then Oakland, two cupcakes. Then the schedule gets tougher. But right now I feel like you can get him cheap and he will put up solid numbers if he stays healthy.

Jericho Cotchery 16 (7+9) – I thought Stuckey would be vulturing more targets than he has been. It is still too early to tell but Cotchery may really be emerging as a 2nd Tier receiver.

Tier II

Eli Manning 16 (8+8) – I want to say something crazy, like that Eli Manning will have more fantasy points than Tom Brady this season. As an Eagles fan I hate to say it but I think he’s starting to come in to his own. He’s got the best O-Line in football, a great running game, and better receivers than we thought. He is a game manager so I don’t see his ceiling being as high as some other QB’s but I’m starting to respect Eli more and more.

Percy Harvin 15 (8+7) – You’re probably getting sick of Percy. I’m going to keep singing his praises until he gets too expensive.

Ahmad Bradshaw 15 (8+7) Another player I won’t shut up about. Jacobs looks like a young Jamal Lewis except Jacobs refuses to keep his feet moving. I don’t know where his explosiveness relative to size went but he just looks like he’s moving in slow-motion out there. Meanwhile Ahmad Bradshaw looks like a total stud and will be huge if/when he becomes the primary back.

Jerome Harrison 15 (8+7) – He played really well in his first start with Lewis out. He’ll be relegated to backup duty but with how washed up Jamal looks don’t be surprised to see Harrison there by the end of the season. James Davis has been everyone’s favorite Sleeper, so much so that I think he’s getting over-valued.

Glen Coffee 15 (7+8) – This Gore injury might turn out to be nagging. Obviously we all know that Coffee is the starter for the next few weeks but he might be worth “over-paying” for because there’s a chance he’ll be the #1 there long term.

Tashard Choice 14 (8+6) – A really difficult call here. Both the backs in Dallas he’s competing with have injury concerns and histories of not staying healthy. There is a chance that Choice could end up getting some games in as the #1 guy and as he showed last week he can be a playmaker.

Tier III

Donnie Avery 14 (7+7) – Laurent Robinson looked so studly. St. Louis is such a train wreck. Last year Avery was a relatively productive young player who looked like he could have potential. I don’t know what to think of him now, especially since Kyle Boller is the field general. But I guess every team has to have a #1 receiver even when it doesn’t look like they do.

Jamaal Charles 14 (8+6) – If LJ stays healthy all year I’ll be surprised. Charles was a little dinged up early in the season but he looks healthy and is playing some good football. He is another very popular stash of mine.

Bryant Johnson 13 (7+6) — He’s getting a lot of looks on the other side of Megatron.  The Lions’ D will get them in some deep holes and Stafford will have to try to throw them out of them.

Andre Caldwell 13 (7+6) — Palmer equated Caldwell’s role in the offense to what T.J. Houshmandzadeh’s used to be.  That is good news for Mr. Caldwell.

You can follow me on twitter: @Razzball_Drew

  1. Fresh says:

    Drop Holt for Caldwell or Johnson in a 1ppr?

  2. Ian says:

    Drop Coles for Caldwell?

    Is there any need to continue to hold Mike Bell? I have Pierre Thomas, but Harrison and Charles are available.

  3. Mark says:

    Do you like Caldwell or Bryant Johnson better this week?

    Also, would you trade Megatron with Fred Jackson and Marshawn Lynch for Steven Jackson? I have Randy Moss/Brandon Marshall/Manningham at WR and MB3/Ronnie Brown at RB. Standard league, start 2 WR and RB, 1 flex.

  4. Doc

    Doc says:

    @Fresh: Holt will still be the reliable possession receiver in Jax. I’d hold.

    @Ian: I don’t think it’ll hurt you. Bell’s a tough case, but I like Charles a lot so I would make that switch.

  5. Chris says:

    Do you like Matty Ice or McNabb going forward ?

  6. AP says:

    Was offered D-Mac for Michael Turner. Should I even consider that? Turner’s got a tough schedule this year and he hasn’t looked great, but I also am wary of adding any part of that Raider offense.

    Just a flat out “no”, or consider/exlore/expand on that offer?

    I’m leaning towards just no, FWIW.

  7. mgeoffriau

    mgeoffriau says:

    @AP: As a McFadden owner, I’d accept an offer for Turner in an instant. Reject it, you can do better if you are set on moving Turner.

  8. Vince says:

    Which Kicker would you pickup for week 4 :

    Vinatieri vs Sea
    Graham @ Cle
    Nedney vs StL
    Reed vs SD
    Janikowski @ Hou


  9. eldee says:

    1) Best bet this week/best bet going forward:
    Jamaal Charles (vs. NYG) or Jerrome Harrison (vs. CIN)? I currently own Charles but think Harrison’s available on waivers. I see Giants/Chiefs playing out like Eagles/Chiefs did: over by halfway through the 2nd, and I think Charles might get some nice garbage-time stats.

    2) Thinking out loud: Is LeSean McCoy too much to give up for Glen Coffee as a Gore owner? I’m thinking not, and I’m thinking I might get desperate and unsavory.

    3) TOL, part 2: Would a “Baby Braylon” (d.Bowe) for “Baby TO” (Brandon Marshall) swap make sense?

  10. eldee says:

    @Mark: I just dropped Bell for Charles. If you figure that he has about the same injury PT had, and it took him 4 weeks to get his act together, you’ve got another 2 weeks little red Ds and Os on your bench. IDK about your league, but mine is too shallow to keep an injured 3rd RB on the bench for a month.

  11. AP says:

    @mgeoffriau: Thanks, and I actually have already rejected it.
    Every year I draft well, and I end up talking myself into making trades, and they always blow up in my face. It’s just a battle to protect me from myself most years.
    Thanks again.

  12. Doc

    Doc says:

    @Chris: McNabb has more upside but more injury risk. I like Matty Ice for the long haul.

    @AP: Keep Turner.

    @eldee: I don’t love Charles’ matchup, but I like him going forward.

    If giving up McCoy for Coffee works for your team I would understand it. I’d rather own McCoy, but not by a ton.

    Seems like a fair deal, but not too much difference between the two.

    @Vince: Nedney

  13. Royo says:

    As fantasy baseballer, I’ve been weened on buy low. I have MJD and Slaton as my starters. I emptied my (razzball-inspired) bench to trade for Gore (Coffee, Addai, McCoy.) I won’t need Gore until MJD’s week 7 bye. Am I out-thinking myself? Do these types of trade tend to work out? 14 team league, PPR.

  14. stumanji says:

    With Jennings on bye in week 5, who’s the preemptive add to fill his slot (non-PPR)?
    Crayton (@ KC)
    Berrian (@ StL)
    Bryant Johnson (vs. Pit)
    Bess (vs. NYJ)
    Caldwell (@ Bal)

    Who to drop for said WR?
    Gage (my only healthy bench WR)
    Mike Bell (He’s kind of useless right now but still the insurance policy for my PT Cruiser)
    Mendenhall (could finally breakout with FWP’s hurt piggy versus a wizzeak SD rush defense?)
    Anthony Gonzo (reports have him back in week 7…kind of want to hold on to him)

  15. Plainview says:

    I could pick up Coffee but would have to drop Ahmad Bradshaw or Marshawn Lynch. I feel like they both have more upside long term than Coffee. Also have MJD, Rice and DeAngelo Williams at RB – planning to start MJD, Rice and Bradshaw this week. Am I undervaluing Coffee ?

  16. stumanji says:

    @Royo: If you already have MJD and Slaton, I think your trade for Gore was worth it. If he comes back strong your RBs could make your team unstoppable. That’s not to say it couldn’t come back to bite you (if Gore never gets back 100% and McCoy takes over for a gimpy Westbrook. Addai is useless).

    Using a baseball analogy, I gave up a solid, overachieving SP (Jered Weaver) to get Webb back in like March. Weaver ended up with a very solid year while Webb never toed the rubber for my team.

    So there’s that.

  17. stumanji says:

    @Plainview: Sounds like you’re in a small league. One of my leagues is a 10-team, 1 RB, 1 WR/RB. I passed on Coffee because all the rest of my RBs were sure thing #1 starters. I could see losing Bradshaw for him. I’m too curious to see what Lynch does to let him go yet.

  18. Doc

    Doc says:

    @stumanji: I still like Berrian and would drop Bell for him.

    @Plainview: I like Bradshaw a lot, but I would start Coffee over Rice right now. It could be short term. It kind of depends on where you stand in your league. If you need wins badly I would do it.

  19. mgeoffriau

    mgeoffriau says:

    Thinking of making an offer for Slaton….the owner is getting killed by injuries and I think a combo deal might appeal to him. Is either of these offers fair/worth sending?

    Rice + Braylon for Slaton
    McFadden + Braylon for Slaton

    Can dump Braylon, my WR’s are Andre Johnson, Brandon Marshall, and Devin Hester as a backup.

  20. Plainview says:

    @stumanji: It’s a 12 team league but most don’t make moves until the w/end so I make mine on Thurs. I am wary of Coffee for two reasons – he will only start until Gore is healthy (I know – he might never be 100%) and he’s a rookie. Also, I hate to question everyone’s assessment of Coffee but he didn’t exactly impress last week. I know Min has a good run D but Kevin Smith did better with comparable attempts. I can’t help but think Bradshaw is a better bet over the whole season.

  21. eldee says:

    My waiver wire just got interesting.

    Focusing on this week, drop Charles for MoMo, DWard (yes, I know he’s dinged) or *holds nose* Jamal Lewis?

  22. Mark says:

    I think you forgot me earlier…..

    Do you like Caldwell or Bryant Johnson better this week?

    Also, would you trade Megatron with Fred Jackson and Marshawn Lynch for Steven Jackson? I have Randy Moss/Brandon Marshall/Manningham at WR and MB3/Ronnie Brown at RB. Standard league, start 2 WR and RB, 1 flex.

  23. Plainview says:

    @Doc: Would you drop Rice to pick up Coffee? Alternatively, what type of WR do you think would be reasonable for Rice in a trade?

  24. Doc

    Doc says:

    @Mark: I’d go with Caldwell this week.

    Only 1RB and a flex? I like Megatron a ton. Could you get Jackson for Moss straight up?

  25. mgeoffriau

    mgeoffriau says:

    @mgeoffriau: Anybody got an opinion on Rice + Edwards for Slaton, or McFadden + Braylon for Slaton? Hoping to send an offer today.

  26. stumanji says:

    @mgeoffriau: I would do either to get Slaton. Would prob prefer to send Rice over DMcF.

  27. Doc

    Doc says:

    @mgeoffriau: I agree with Stumanji

  28. Byron says:

    Team A gets Braylon Edwards
    Team B gets Greg Olsen/Brent Celek and Mccoy

    Which side do u like?

  29. Drew

    Drew says:

    @Byron: I am biased, I really don’t like Braylon Edwards. I wouldn’t own him because I think he’s going to be a huge bust.

  30. Byron says:

    @ Drew- im not a big fan either but u have to figure Anderson will at least take some chances down the field- i countered back with Celek for Braylon but i think thats prob not enough

  31. Drew

    Drew says:

    @Byron: I can see where you’re coming from. Anderson didn’t play well but Mangini said in the press conference that he did some “positive things.” What Anderson did and will do that Brady Quinn didn’t is push the ball down the field. Edwards had a good season with Anderson, maybe there’s a chance of a repeat.

  32. Byron says:

    @Drew- Thanks for all the help- Love the new site- Keep up the good work guys!!

  33. Randy says:

    I’m struggling with this one.
    Pittsburgh DEF VS San Diego or Washington DEF VS Tampa Bay
    Which DEF should I start? Leaning towards Washington.
    Also I have Carlson and Finley. Carlson is great with Hasselbeck. Not so much with Wallace. Fasano, Scaife, Lewis, Fells are available. Which TE should I start?

  34. Doc

    Doc says:

    @Randy: I like Washington against Josh Johnson. Stick with Carlson. He is still getting targets and I don’t like any of those others.

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