My weekly goal is not only to inform you on critical RB pickups and injuries but to help equip you to win your league with my weekly strategy soap box. We are nearing the half way point of the fantasy football regular season and I have another nugget for you. 

Stop gloating about your undefeated or one loss team, no one cares and it does not matter. Regular season win/loss records do not mean anything if you are chasing a championship. If your team is great now it does not gaurantee your team to be great come playoffs. Exhibit A: a league-mate of mine last season went 11-2 and did not win the championship. Mid-season, I suggested he should make a trade to help improve his team for the post season. He felt his team was too good and he did not need to make any changes. He exited the playoffs first round and we all got the last laugh. 

My little nugget this week is to focus on the future outlook of your roster. Build around your weak spots and leverage your strengths in trades now. You need to look to see what your bye week and playoff matchups look like. Who is your QB playing? What defenses have juicy matchups? and Are there any tough matchups for your RB/WRs? Every point matters and get ahead of your competition. Start building your waiver priorities and trade offers around future bye’s and end of season matchups. Yes, we are only nearing the half way point of the fantasy football regular season but if you are serious about seeking the glory of a championship this is what you need to think about. I won half of my leagues last season with this strategy.

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Now, on to the Bad Boyz of week 6…

Repeat Offenders

  • Corey Clement and Wendell Smallwood- The two hottest culprits on the wire this week. I have been writing about Jay Ajayi’s bum knee(s) and telling you since the beginning of time to roster Clement. We have intel to report on that is hot off the press after Thursday Night Football. After Ajayi getting placed on IR, my original priority was Smallwood, Clement, Josh Adams, then Darren Sproles. The later two are not worth owning at the moment. After last nights game, I’ll move Clement slightly ahead of Smallwood in PPR formats. Clement was more productive with 69 total yards (3 receptions) and 1TD on 14 total touches to Smallwoods 51 total yards (1 rec) and 0TDs on 19 total touches. Clement was getting goal line work even when Ajayi was active and it looks like he will continue this role, giving him more value. Smallwoods biggest play from scrimmage was 8 yards and Clements was 20 yards. Clement showed more pop and the ability to make plays after the catch. Clement was reported to be on a pitch count last night, I only see his stock rising. Most likely both are already owned in your leagues but keep an eye out for trades. I rather own Clement over Smallwood. If you own either, the savvy move is to leverage either in a trade to upgrade your roster. Yes, trade them now! Most of your competition watched the game and might overvalue both which you can use to your advantage. The Eagles are a pass heavy team and that does not look to change. Even with the lead in hand yesterday the Eagles continued to pass the ball. 
  • Ito Smith- Last week, Ito Smith vultured a goal line touchdown. This is worth monitoring if the Falcons decide to continue using him in the redzone. Both, Tevin Coleman and Ito, do not excite me but it is my duty to you to keep you informed on guys like this. Devonta Freeman is looking doubtful for Sunday with a bone bruise in his foot. He is likely to return at some point barring any set backs. Ito is a desperation add, a blind folded dart throw and for extremely deep leagues. If you are trying to put together a lot of high priced DFS plays then maybe you take a punt on Ito to give you more $$ to spend elsewhere hoping he falls in the end zone. 
  • Mike DavisSurprise! We are keeping Mike in the cuffs for now even after a strong performance from Chris Carson in week 5. I mentioned last week, Pete Carroll wants to fit Mike in the offense and the Seahawks are a run first team. Currently, there is room for both players to carry fantasy value. Carson is the lead dog and a great DFS play this week. Carsons hip injury is fine for now but we learned from last year that he is susceptible to injury. Mike Davis performed well in week 5 with 75 total yards and 1TD on 14 total touches. The big takeaway here is Mike Davis received the goal line touches. Keep Mike on your roster. 
  • Latavius MurrayIf there is ever a week for the Vikings to get the run game going this is it. Dalvin Cook was a full participant in practice this week and should be a go. If you have him you are probably forced to start him but watch out for those hamstring injuries and the Vikings run game. I need to see life from their run game. Latavius Murray is still worth the bench spot for Cook owners. Cook owners, after this week, it might be your opportunity to pick him up if Murray is dropped to waivers. 
  • Alfred Blue119 total yards on 28 total touches against the Cowboys. Lamar Miller is slated to be a full go this week but has been ineffective. Similar to Mike Davis, I imagine the Texans coaching staff to continue to utilize Blue in this offense. Unless desperate, I am not starting Blue this week until I see how the backfield shakes out. Blue should be owned in PPR leagues.
  • Quick Hits- Fire up TJ Yeldon this week. Javorius Allen is only a play in PPR formats for this week, keep an eye on Alex Collins’ performance. Marlon Mack is back from his hamstring injury but you know how I feel about hammys. I want to see how the Colts backfield shakes out after this weekend but Nyheim Hines holds value in PPR formats. Matt Breida is doubtful this week and Alfred Morris will take over lead duties. I understand if you are starting Alfred this week but I imagine the game script in this game to fade out of his favor. I have a new offender you will want read about below in regards to the 49ers backfield. 

New Offenders

  • Bilal PowellIsaiah Crowell exploded for 219 yards and 1TD last week. Would you believe me if I told you that Bilal Powell still had more touches than Crowell? I could not believe it when I looked at the box score after the game. Powell had 20 touches to Crowell’s 16. Crowell missed practice everyday this week with a ankle injury but is spotted with a helmet on the field for Friday practice. Keep an eye out for the actice/inactive list on Sunday because Powell is a great PPR flex play this week, if Crowell does not go. Sneaky DFS play too. Even with Crowell active, I believe Powell is worth a bench stash. 
  • Kyle JuszczykYes, wipe your eyes, I am writing about a fullback. This is someone that you are going to wish you were ahead after Monday Night Football. You are reading this article for names like this. For now, Kyle is only a PPR play. C.J. Beathard might as well be given the nickname ‘Check-Down CJ.’ Kyle racked up 6 catches on 7 targets for 75 yards last week. I expect the game script for this game to get out of hand and the 49ers to be playing from behind against an Aaron Rodgers led team. Don’t make me say ‘I told you so’ after this week. 

Wanted List

These are deep cuts to keep an eye on and that we might find in handcuffs later in the season. 

  • Jamaal CharlesYes, he has risen. Once a 1st round fantasy talent, Charles was recently added to the Jaguars squad after losing Corey Grant for the season. Leonard Fournette is still sidelined with a hamstring injury and from reports might be out at least a couple of more weeks. Do not rush to add Charles now but I would keep an eye on this backfield. 
  • D’Onta ForemanForeman has been spotted back at Texans practice after an achilles injury that has left him sidelined all season. From everything I’ve read, Foreman is slated to return in November. Achilles injuries are difficult to return from but this is a sneaky play for the end of the season. 

 

 

 

 

 

  1. AP says:
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    Hey Nic
    I have an rb q regarding 2 of your highlighted players.
    Start 2 rb
    And would you start an rb at flex over Edelman.

    James white(No Brainer?)
    Coleman
    Latavius Murray
    D Lewis

    • Nic Romero

      Nic Romero says:
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      @AP: James White is a no brainer. Coleman is my choice between the other three. Don’t trust minnesotas backfield yet nor titans. coleman is the clear cut #1 in Atlanta this weekend against a tampa D.

  2. Dan says:
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    So I have Gordon who I am def starting. With my other spot I’d like to go Sony Michel but he injury situation scares me since it is Sunday night. My other option is Tevin Coleman. Would you go Michel and just hope he plays or go the safe route with Coleman? Thanks!

    • Nic Romero

      Nic Romero says:
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      @Dan: Dan, this is a tough one and I am dealing with a similar situation except i have sony in my flex so a couple of more options to sub if he doesn’t play. from everything i can find there isn’t a concern of him not suiting up. he practiced all week in limited fashion and the patriots are always a little sketchy with how they report injuries. obviously this is a huge risk because if he doesn’t play you are screwed. if he plays he has potential to win you your game but it is risky. some would say you have to risk it to get the biscuit. If you really would like to have a shot at playing him then see if someone like Juszcsyk is still on waivers for an emergency backup plan for monday nights game, if you are in a ppr league. thats one option. i feel good about michel playing but at least you leave yourself safety net. unless i missed it, i didn’t see anything about the patriots adding an RB to the squad this week which would be an indication from the pats that they were worried too. that being said Coleman is the safe play if you concerned about Michel and dont want to risk it. They are playing the bucs, he is the #1 option, i imagine a lot of points being scored in this one and coleman has ppr value too. i wrote about my issue with coleman above. he has put up relative “duds” the last two games and ito vultured goaline work…at least you know he is starting, no questions asked. at the end of the Coleman is not a bad play this week. depending on the strength of the rest of your roster maybe you are willing to take the risk with Michel but if you want to guarantee production from your RB2 spot then coleman is the play. luckily we have until tomorrow morning to decide to see if anything else comes out on Michel. I know i didn’t give you a hard answer but a lot of variables here. I just lay out my thoughts and let you make the decision with your team. hope it helps. maybe you have low end WR in your flex that you can switch with michel if you decide to go with coleman in the rb2 spot. good luck, Dan!

      • Dan says:
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        @Nic Romero: wow Nic, thanks for all the input! I think I’ll wait to see if we get any news in the morning and go from there

  3. miles proudfoot says:
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    Great advice. Looking towards ROS…

    1) Would you drop Cole and/or Cobb thinking ROS outlook for any of the following for the flex spot? Not in need of immediate help this week.

    Jamaal Williams, Kyle Jusz…, HOOper, McDonald, Goodwin, Moncrief, RON Jones, DeVante Parker

    2) Also, Ryan or Cam this week? I think I have to go Ryan against TB’s defense

    Thanks!

    • miles proudfoot says:
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      @miles proudfoot: also have Carson, Goodwin and Allison at the end of my bench.

      • Nic Romero

        Nic Romero says:
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        @miles proudfoot: @miles proudfoot: a lot to unpack here. I think you keep Cobb for now until more develops about his injury. Cole has value but is def expendable. I like allison. i say no on jamaal williams, he has not shown much this season with starting opportunity. i believe aaron jones will continue to work his way in and its a headache of a rbbc for now, stock down on JW. keep carson. Ive see goodwin pop on waivers in a number of my leagues too. if thought about trying to get him on my roster for potential upside but CJ Beathard is at QB and i dont trust this offense being able to posses the ball. it’ll be interesting to see how Juszczyk role develops without Breida AND even when he comes back. more of a now play versus end of season unless Breida fails to stay healthy. if you are shallow at TE i think Hooper is a good add, getting a lot of targets and i am interested in seeing his role develop as the season progresses. can he consistently provide us fantasy value. im out on mcdonald, I believe Ro Jo has the most potential upside out of everyone. Bucs are desperate for production out of the backfield. Jax offense is a see saw- Moncrief one week, cole another week and Dede the next. No and no on devante parker. i would not drop cole for anyone except Ro Jo (most potential end of season upside), Hooper, Kyle J, and then maybe Goodwin. hope this helps.

        I dont think you can go wrong with either Cam or Ryan. potential shootout against Bucs but I LOVE what Cam gets you in the running game. if you like Ryan then go with him. Could make equally strong case for both this week.

        • miles proudfoot says:
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          @Nic Romero: wow yes, very helpful. thank you!

  4. The Harrow says:
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    on the “we all got the last laugh” part of your story there, did you actually check on whatever “improvements” he might’ve made and would those have actually made him win in the playoff week he went out? there’s FAR too much luck in this stuff (h2h leagues in general) to usually know things that far in advance. don’t get me wrong, if your friend could’ve made improvements easily that everybody would agree WERE improvements and didn’t simply from lack of effort, yes that is stupid. i’ve had teams that were HUNDREDS of points better than 2nd place before and gone out in playoffs week 1, certainly that isn’t my fault (my team seriously was that good in this example), it’s h2h luck when a bunch of guys far better than your opp’s players all year suddenly have their worst week of the season all at the same time (i think i scored about 70 points less that week than my season average)

    • The Harrow says:
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      @The Harrow: for reference the scoring in that league is larger than standard PPR’s, so i think my average was somewhere in the 180 per week range (the 2nd best team that year had a 150 or so), the week it went out 110ish. and it being week 1 playoffs the team i faced had worse than 150 per week average.

      • Nic Romero

        Nic Romero says:
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        @The Harrow: i agree, a lot of variables go in to the outcome of a fantasy game but i believe that is my point. just because a team can be regular season points leader and avg points scored is X amount higher than the rest of the league does not mean the team will yield this in the playoffs. this league mate i was referring to was weak at WR and loaded at RB. his RB carries him during the regular season wins but in my opinion he should have leveraged this strength to improve his weak spot. if he was relying on his RBs to continue to produce and carry him to wins eventually there will be games that they are unable to carry him to a W. he would need his other roster spots to come through and produce. he made minor waiver adds here and there but his overall roster build was the same he drafted and he rode it until he could not ride it any more. not saying this was a bad strategy because it led him to 11-2 but his playoff matchups were not favorable against the run and if he had better fore-sight he should of used his depth at RB to improve at WR. not guaranteeing that he would not hav the same result in the playoffs but just was using this story to drive the narrative of my post. thanks for the comment!

        • The Harrow says:
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          @Nic Romero: yeah with those details your friend does deserve to be laughed at, should’ve leveraged his RB strength to trade for WR (or whatever else his needs might’ve been). in my example i was weak nowhere, just got very unlucky that like 5 of my starters at same time all have their worst week of the year.

          • The Harrow says:
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            @The Harrow: i have been trying to start a “h2h every team plays every other team each week” for football (already do a baseball), so it ends up being like 13 roto seasons mashed together, then playoffs whatever amount make the playoffs, then you lose half per week till it’s 1 on 1 in week 16 (or do a 2 week final, whichever).

            gets rid of this kind of garbage. best team wins, none of that “i was the 2nd worst team but won by scheduling luck” or “was 2nd best team but lost from scheduling luck”.

            • Nic Romero

              Nic Romero says:
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              @The Harrow: totally understand. this is what im suggesting to get ahead of at the beginning of my article. we all know what our players playoff matchups will be. obviously it is hard to sit any stud player you have regardless of matchup and there are players that are matchup proof. but a lot of times by the end of the season we have flex players that might be in our RB2/WR2 slots. these are the matchups you want to see if you can make acquisitions around to better position yourself for playoff matchups versus leaving it up to “luck”

  5. The Harrow says:
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    juscyzk is a great add for this week, if breida is out (which is looking likely). but that’s some crazy crazy gambling if breida does play and you get a near zero or zero.

    • Nic Romero

      Nic Romero says:
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      @The Harrow: Great add- risky play if Breida suits up. Breida has racked up a nice injury list and we could find him out again. juscyck makes a great handcuff candidate but we will need to see how the backfield plays out.

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