An unbelievable Week 3 came to an end with the most puzzling final play I have ever seen. The final play in Seattle shows the replacement refs need to go. Legendary broadcaster Al Michaels railed against the referees. Even Drew Brees had a venomous opinion about them as well. They even managed to make a key mistake in the Tennessee-Detroit game in overtime.

Hopefully your team didn’t get screwed in Week 3 like the Packers did. But if it did and you need to make some moves, here’s a list of guys to pick up and a couple to avoid. FAAB numbers are based off of a $100 budget. Availability is based on ESPN.com leagues.

Quarterbacks

Shaun Hill – Detroit ($3, 99.7%) would be a smooth pickup this week. Matthew Stafford left the game in the fourth quarter with a leg injury and a 14-point deficit. All Hill did was throw two touchdown passes including a buzzer-beating Hail Mary that Titus Young found and walked into the end zone. Detroit is also off Week 5 so it’s not far-fetched to have Hill start Week 4 against Vikings to allow Stafford more time to heal up.

Running Backs

Mikel Leshoure – Detroit. ($8, 64%) Leshoure had a great game against a rubbery Titans’ defense. Leshoure was the running back that Detroit was high on going into this season before Leshoure got a two-game suspension for eating marijuana.  I’m not joking.

He’s a big ,barrellling running back and if Hill gets the start a I mentioned above, Leshoure would be a great add for the game against the Vikings.  Keep in mind that, though I did list $8 as the FAAB it’s merely out of concern that backfield could get murky.  I’m sure someone out there is going to believe he gets 30 touches a game and will bet the farm on him.  If you’re in need at RB, you just might have to pony up and take a big swing.

Ryan Williams – Arizona ($3, 22%) Beanie Wells is potentially out with a turf toe injury. Williams brings a pulse to an otherwise limp Cardinals’ rushing attack. He will have a low ceiling this week against the tough Miami defense but think long-term. Arizona may have stability now at the quarterback position with Kevin Kolb but they will need to have a running game to supplement their elite defense. Williams is hungry as well since he missed 2011 after rupturing his patella tendon in the preseason against Green Bay.

Wide Receivers

Kendall Wright – Tennessee ($1, 87.8%) Wright could be a decent add this week. Kenny Britt suffered a minor ankle injury but isn’t expected to miss playing time. We’ve seen Nate Washington put up some monster numbers but they’ve been one home-run caliber play and then nothing else. With tight end Jared Cook possibly missing time (shoulder), Wright could get an uptick in targets.

Tight Ends

Heath Miller – Pittsburgh ($1, 72.4%) Miller had a great game against Oakland with 10 targets that led to 8 catches, 60 yards and two touchdowns. Miller’s 10 targets were one below Mike Wallace and Antonio Brown. Pittsburgh has a week 4 bye so swipe Miller while no one is thinking about the Steelers.

Martellus Bennett – NY Giants ($3, 33.9%) Bennett had a stellar game against Carolina with 6 catches for 73 yards and 1 touchdown. With opponents focusing on Hakeem Nicks and Victor Cruz, Bennett will benefit and make a nice addition to your team.

Kyle Rudolph – Minnesota ($3, 86.1%) The Vikings’ tight end had a two-touchdown game against the 49ers and now has three scores in three weeks. It’s becoming crystal clear that Christian Ponder is looking to him in the red zone and Minnesota is actually moving the ball.

DST Units

Arizona Cardinals – ($3, 81.6%) The Cardinals are 3-0. The Cardinals lead the league with just 40 points allowed in three games.The Cardinals hit Michael Vick 13 times. The Cardinals host Miami and Reggie Bush might not play. Deal yourself some Cards and enjoy the ride.

Sucker Bets

And now for the guys you know someone will add but you really shouldn’t.

Tashard ChoiceBUF RB (99.6%). Tashard would be as bad of a Choice as milk was to Ron Burgundy. Fred Jackson is practicing this week and is about 75% likely to play New England. Choice would be just another platoon back and smart owners don’t go for that. Also, Spiller is only expected to miss a week or two with his shoulder injury.

Daniel Thomas/Lamar MillerMIA RB (41.1%/97.1%) are both to be avoided. Arizona has shut down RBs this season; they held LeSean McCoy to 70 yards rushing this past week. If Shady got seventy, how many do you think these guys will get? If Bush is a no-go, neither of them is a clear-cut RB2 on the depth chart in fantasy.

Ronnie Hillman/Knowshon Moreno/Lance BallDEN RB (99.6%/93.5%/99.7%) All three of them are to be avoided with Willis McGahee suffering from an apparent rib injury. I don’t think Broncos head coach John Fox can figure out who the RB2 is on his team and if he can’t, you shouldn’t waste your time either.

Golden Tate – SEA WR (98.8%) should be avoided. The line from Monday’s game will read 3 catches for 68 yards and 2 touchdowns; In reality it should be 2-44-1. Tate’s two scores (even though one of them was of the phantom variety) will raise some eyebrows but yours shouldn’t be. He doesn’t have consistency and has a rookie quarterback throwing to him who actually plays like a rookie.

  1. Rocky says:
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    Trying to trade Andre Brown at his peak value. Thinking Mikel LeShoure. Any other suggestions?

    • Murph says:
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      @Rocky,

      Ahmad Bradshaw has already gone public to guarentee he will play against the Eagles week 4. I would trade immediately I feel 100% that Andre Brown was a 1 hit wonder against and awful Panthers defense and playing in the state (north carolina) where he played Highschool and college football. Brown will have little fantasy impact unless Bradshaw is permentately sidelined. Tom Coughlin gives carries to running backs he trusts to hold on to the ballno matter how much upside or talent the others have (Jacobs in 2011 and Wilson in 2012). Brown was waived by 7 teams prior to the Giants and there is a reason for that at best you are looking at a 50/50 share and that’s just doesnt equal fantasy production. Leshoure has a higher upside as he has locked in the starting role for a Lions team that is struggling to pass the ball compared to 2011.

      • hughjass says:
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        @Murph, I think LeShoure is a good player but his schedule has me worried. I think he’d end up spending more time on my bench than as a rb2/ flex. I’m passing on him and going w/ Brown if you have Bradshaw on current roster.

    • Andrew Nordmeier

      Andrew Nordmeier says:
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      @Rocky, If you can get him, do it. And Murph covered any other point I could have made.

      • Murph says:
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        @Andrew Nordmeier,

        Sorry to crash your post, I just think people are over valuing Andre Brown off one performance. Same could be said about Leshoure but if I had to pick I would say Bradshaw has a much more likely chance of staying ahead of Brown than Kevin Smith has to stay ahead of Leshoure. Time to sell Andre Brown

        • Andrew Nordmeier

          Andrew Nordmeier says:
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          @Murph, No worries about the crash. And I agree that Brown is GROSSLY overvalued. It’s not like Bradshaw is out for the season; he could be back this week. If so, Brown goes back to a change of pace back and will see his value drop just as fast as it went up.

  2. E says:
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    If you own Nicks, how much if any to spend on Barden ($100 budget)?

    Pick one (non ppr):
    Celek vs NYG or Fred Davis @ TB

    Pls rank these DEF match-ups:
    ATL vs CAR
    NYG @ PHI
    MIA @ ARI
    CIN @ JAC

    Thx

    • Andrew Nordmeier

      Andrew Nordmeier says:
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      @E, I would spend 2 maybe 3 at most on a shot at Barden. He looked great for this one game against Carolina. Ask yourself how many snaps he got on the field for when Nicks and Cruz were healthy. Also keep in mind the rise of Martellus Bennett and he might be the fourth option.

      As for the tight ends, I lean towards Davis because of the matchup. Keep in mind both teams have mobile quarterbacks that have been getting beaten up a lot this season. The Giants’ front four was able to contain Cam Newton last week and Vick should be bottled up as well.

      RGIII is going up against a Tampa team that allowed 800 passing yards in its first two games. I think Tampa will have a tough time defending RGIII.

    • Andrew Nordmeier

      Andrew Nordmeier says:
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      \@E, As for your defense question…

      Cincinnati, Miami, NY Giants and Atlanta.

      CIN faces MJD and an inept Blaine Gabbert. When they played Indy last week, the Jags only had three field goals and MJD’s big run to show for it until that 80-yard bomb.

      Miami faces an Arizona offense that doesn’t score over 24 points.

      The Giants’ front four will give Vick trouble but their secondary makes me nervous.

      Atlanta is without CB Brent Grimes for the season (Achilles) and could give up garbage points to Cam Newton. I expect the Panthers to be down big early.

  3. Murph says:
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    Can I drop Donald Brown for any of the follwing? (Non PPR)
    Current RBs are:
    Ray Rice
    Marshawn Lynch
    Micheal Turner
    Donald Brown

    Prospective Replacements for Brown:
    Ryan Williams
    Daniel Thomas
    Pierre Thomas
    Tashard Choice

    • Andrew Nordmeier

      Andrew Nordmeier says:
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      @Murph, Yes for Ryan Williams. Daniel Thomas could be in a split backfield with Lamar Miller. If Bush misses any time, it’s not likely to be much.

      Choice has the same problem where he might be a one-week play at best given the Bill’s injury situation.

      Pierre Thomas is still part of a crowded offense in New Orleans which has shown no consistency from a fantasy standpoint. Think about how Sproles had 0 rushes and 13 receptions in week one then flipped around to 6 carries and 0 receptions in week 3.

      Williams looked like a guy who wants to play and given Beanie Wells’ injury history he is the keeper out of the four.

      • Murph says:
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        @Andrew Nordmeier,

        I agree and thank you for the insight. I am currently a Larry Fitz owner. Does that change anything?

        • Andrew Nordmeier

          Andrew Nordmeier says:
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          @Murph, It just means that the success of your team will be tied to the Cardinals’ offense as it will most likely either go through Fitz or Williams.

          Hopefully Fitz has a good week against the Fins; they are the 30th best at pass defense.

          • Murph says:
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            @Andrew Nordmeier,

            Finally dumping Donald Brown, I was hoping he could have a breakout year with an outstanding preseason and Luck easing into the offense but its not looking like thats going to happen anytime soon. I like Ryan Williams upside on a Cardinals team that is finally winning and is playing inspired football. Good luck to you this week and thanks for the advice it is always helpful. (Started Big Ben over Vick week 3 after you convinced me and the result was a 25 point difference in my final weekly score)

  4. stoopid says:
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    I have the #1 WW pick. Ryan Williams is out there.

    My RB’s are: Lynch, McCoy, Mathews, Ingram, & Turbin.

    Drop Ingram or Turbin for Williams??

    • Andrew Nordmeier

      Andrew Nordmeier says:
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      @stoopid, Dump Turbin and get Williams. With Beanie Wells’ injury history, Williams has potential to be the starter for more than this week.

      Lynch has taken the lion’s share of the carries and it drops Turbin down considerably.

  5. nick m. says:
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    Romo is my starting QB in a 12 team H2H league. I have been holding the #1 waiver priority which does not reset each week…Dalton was dropped last week, is he worth my top waiver priority? Outside of Barden there are no other “hot picks” this week and the backup RBs are mostly only people’s rosters so it is looking more and more like it will be slim pickens all year.

    • Andrew Nordmeier

      Andrew Nordmeier says:
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      @nick m., Normally I’d say no, but in a 12-team with Romo off to a gimpy start it would be a good move to make.

      I agree it’s a good idea to save a #1 waiver priority and use it on a QB. I did that in a league I am in with guys I work with and my patience paid off. Someone dropped PEYTON MANNING to waivers and I got him. That same guy is who I play this week and Denver should maul Oakland.

      It’s going to be fun to beat him with his old quarterback. :)

  6. Bronco-Feld says:
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    12-Team Non-PPR League

    Do I drop NYJ D for ARI or drop Titus Young or Stephen Hill for ARI Instead?

    Thanks.

    • Andrew Nordmeier

      Andrew Nordmeier says:
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      @Bronco-Feld, Dump Stephen Hill even more so since it’s non-PPR and he was a flash in the pan.

  7. Velocity_X says:
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    I am in a 14 team league where decent RBs are scarce and I am thin at that position.

    Is Daniel Thomas worth picking up this week and to potentially keep on my bench, and if so, who should I drop out of:

    -Peyton Hillis
    -Dexter McCluster
    -Robert Meachem
    -Nate Burleson

    My current RBs are Michael Bush, Foster and Hillis.

    • Andrew Nordmeier

      Andrew Nordmeier says:
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      @Velocity_X, I would keep an eye on Reggie Bush’s status as we go through the week. If he’s out, rush to the wire and get Thomas.

      I would drop Hillis since McCluster has more value. Burleson plays in Detroit and had 73 catches last season in their high-octane offense. Meachem has been a mystery but I’d still keep him since he’s a potential target for Rivers.

  8. Steve Stevenson says:
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    Picked up Hill in a couple leagues to cover Roethlisberger’s bye. If it turns out Stafford’s playing this week, who has the highest floor among these FA: Cassel v SD, Kolb v MIA, or (gulp) Gabbert v CIN?

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