Hey Razzballers,

Reid here to give a final edition of divisional hot takes. I’m well-rested after a long vacation at the Outer Banks and bringing some heat back with me. This week we’re going to round out this part of the series with the AFC South and a hot take with each team.

Jacksonville Jaguars: Keelan Cole will finish the season as a top-20 WR this season.

This may be taking advantage of the current depth chart in Sacksonville. But with Marquis Lee out for the season with a tragic knee injury, I think the best wideout in Jacksonville will show himself in Cole. I expect him to be featured and effective in a division where the secondaries are… not overly difficult to navigate through. The reason I think this is a hot take is because Blake Bortles is somehow still starting for this team and throwing the football for the Jags.

Tennessee Titans: My boy Taywan Taylor will end the season as an elite Flex position.

Who?

That’s right. Taylor is going to be electric this year. All reports from the local media are that Taylor is going to play a large role in the big play portion of this offense. I also am encouraged that the “exotic smashmouth” was thrown into the garbage disposal (rightfully so). This is also predicated on Marcus Mariota taking a leap forward in the passing game, which I believe he will.

Houston TexansDeshaun Watson does not finish in the top-7 for QB’s this season.

Hear me out on this one. Watson was electric in throwing 19 TD’s last season and rushing for 2 more. That was all in 6.5 games. But let’s look closer at the teams he lit up last season (was not great against Cincy) and tell me which team had a formidable defense for him to go against: New England, Tennessee, Kansas City, Cleveland, Seattle. I don’t think anyone can sit here with a straight face and say, “those defenses and secondaries are really talented.” I’m also a massive believer in the sophomore-mirror enigma. For those who don’t know what that means, it’s pretty simple. Normally, rookies that are exceptional suffer from a sophomore slump, where rookies that struggle in their first year normally perform better than the year before. I don’t trust the O-line in Houston just yet and I think teams will have enough on tape by Week 4 of this year to give Watson some trouble. I love Watson long-term, but this year has me fading his current ADP (QB2).

Indianapolis ColtsAndrew Luck will finish as QB5 and throw for more than 4200 yards and 38 TD’s.

Oh you better god damn believe it. I absolutely love me some Luck this year. You’ll be able to grab him probably in the 9th round in most of your leagues (Later in 10-team leagues). Let me just spell out the things he has going for him: He has a stable of RB’s that can both catch the ball out of the backfield and run the ball with some efficiency, TY Hilton can still get open on the outside and nobody should be sleeping on Ryan Grant this year. But there are two more important things. The first is that this is the most talented offensive line that he has had in his entire career in Indy. The second is Frank Reich will be scheming up a storm to keep Luck on his feet. Count your luck with Luck this year.

That’s it for the divisional fantasy hot takes this year. Keep a lookout for my post later in the week.

Thanks for reading!

  1. The Scrant Dog

    potentskittles says:
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    Spicy

  2. Allan says:
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    Hey Reid got kind of a strategy question. My RBs are Johnson Cook Ingram Drake and Cohen. Would you rather have Cohen and his potential to slide into the lineup when necessary or trade him for Latavius Murray to handcuff Cook? Thanks.

    • Phil B.

      Phil B. says:
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      @Allan: for me, it’s Cohen. He has value outside of backing up Howard, Bears talking of using him like Tyreek Hill. And what did Murray do last year filling in? Not a whole lot.

    • Reid

      Reid says:
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      @Allan: For me I actually think you’d want Murray and here’s why: Johnson and Cook are going to be playing every week (sans bye week) for you. If Cook goes down, you’ll still have all of the RB touches in Minnesota. Keeping Cohen, for what your RB depth currently shows, is only really going to scratch your starting lineup if Howard goes down. Betting on injuries (except for Sam Bradford) is not a reliable fantasy strategy.

  3. Phil B.

    Phil B. says:
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    Do you see Taylor as a Tyreek Hill type player this year?

    • Reid

      Reid says:
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      @Phil B.: A poor man’s Tyreek Hill yes.

  4. Connor Sullivan says:
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    Hi Reid,
    I would love to get your thoughts on my 12 team 3 wr with a flex ppr league. Thank you for everything
    QB- Mahomes
    RB- Jay Ajayi
    RB- Royce Freeman
    WR- Deandre Hopkins
    WR- Keenan Allen
    WR- Doug Baldwin
    FLEX- Golden Tate
    D/ST- NO Saints
    K- Jake Elliot
    Bench
    Tevin Coleman, Rex Burkhead, Kerryon Johnson, Marlon Mack
    DJ Moore, Anthony Miller, Christian Kirk

    • Allan says:
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      @Connor Sullivan: Good Lord those wide receivers. Nice

    • Reid

      Reid says:
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      @Connor Sullivan: You hit a homerun with your WR’s. I think you did just fine with the RB depth considering you went heavy into the WR position to start. I will say that I would temper expectations with Mahomes this year, at least at the beginning.

  5. Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo says:
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    12 team half PPR 2 QB dynasty. slow draft, missed cole by ONE pick (and i have m.lee so it REALLY hurts)
    QB: rodgers, mahomes, tyrod, rosen, foles
    RB: (2): burkhead, michel, ingram, kamara, perine
    WR (3): edleman, k.allen, jordy, d-jax, thielen
    TE (1): ertz
    2 flex (R/W/T)
    DL m.lee
    so i need WR (and perine losing value too, but these WR left are better now than the RB’s left)

    after checking with tons of sources, these are all (in different spots) the highest ranked guys left: t.williams (LAC, but having k.allen might complicate this), grant (#2 at IND), allison (dynasty guys say him here), j.brown (this almost can’t be the answer), ross, a.wilson (he got that glowing post earlier, but is the #3 at MIA), enunwa.

    most sources say t.will

    • Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo says:
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      @Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo: or would you grab a RB #5 here in one of : kelley, ekeler, wilkins, ware, blount, clement. i don’t need to drop anybody for this pick either.

        • Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo says:
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          @Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo: or t.smith NO, sounding like it’s possible he’s the #2 WR at NO, which would be huge.

    • Reid

      Reid says:
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      @Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo: Because it’s a dynasty, I think Ross here would be fine. It’s more of a hailmary type pick for you at this point. I also think Ross has potential for Comeback Player of the Year honors.

  6. johnnyhobbes says:
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    hi there, was curious if you had to with Cooper Kupp or Keelan Cole where would you go?

  7. Eli Man Penguin Boy says:
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    joined the latest drafting RCL (MB’s on the night of the 5th). he’s drafting 1.1 is that on purpose in just his case, random or do all razzball writers just get 1.1 since it’s their league? or maybe it’s randomized later closer to draft time and the currently shown order isn’t the real one anyway.

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