2014 In-Season Accuracy: 57.0% (3rd out of 20 Experts, 58.4% Highest, 48.1% Lowest).
If you’re still reading these posts, you either made your Championship game, play in an ill-advised 17-week league, or spend far too much time thinking about the intricacies of IDP fantasy football. Regardless of your motivations, I congratulate you for making it this far. In a season that has been marked by untimely injuries to highly drafted stars as well as surprising breakouts from previous no-names, it’s been easy to ignore the absolute domination of J.J. Watt. From an IDP perspective, he was the first man off the board in most drafts, so me talking about him every week would be like Jay telling you to start Peyton Manning or Jamaal Charles. But let’s not ignore the fact that Watt has now reeled off a ridiculous three straight seasons as the #1 DL, and he’s put up top 10 overall IDP numbers in that time. Most DLs will have a breakout season, followed by opposing offenses adjusting, performances regressing, etc. If anything, Watt has gotten better.
So as we head into the final week of the season for most leagues, try not to over-think things too much. Guys like Watt, Chandler Jones, Lavonte David and Morgan Burnett were highly rated in the preseason, and have been in my top 5 all year when healthy, so consider those roster spots handled. There is no worse feeling than getting too cute with your lineup only to see a guy like David (despite being listed as Questionable) putting up 12 tackles and a sack when you’re relying on a 100% healthy Von Miller. Remember what got you here.