Period Accuracy Rank High Low Percentile
Week 6 62.6% 2 out of 21 65.2% 26.9% Top 10%
2015 58.5% 3 out of 20 60.4% 50.0% Top 15%

By all accounts this has been a weird year for Fantasy Football. On the offensive side of the ball, the combination of high profile injuries and disappointments, as well as the Devonta Freeman Experience, have pre-draft rankings looking like shots in the dark at best. In the IDP world, we had our share of surprises over the first five weeks as well. Some of the unexpected results so far will hold true through the season, but we finally saw some positive regression in Week 6, and that was most evident in Miami. I’ll cover the Ndamukong Suh situation at a different time, but Cameron Wake and Olivier Vernon were the stories of the week to me. Prior to playing Tennessee, these two preseason DL1s had put up a total of 5 tackles, with only one coming from Wake. In one game, they flipped the script and put up a whopping 8 tackles and 5 sacks between them. This is obviously great news for those who held on for that terrible first month, but if for some reason either of these guys were dropped, pick them up immediately.  The same goes for Cameron Jordan, who wasn’t nearly as disappointing as the Miami duo, but finally exploded with 6 tackles, 3 sacks, and a forced fumble that he recovered. I say it every year, but it bares repeating: Don’t panic if a highly drafted IDP isn’t producing in the first few weeks (especially a DL). You drafted them for a reason, and unless there is significant injury, your patience will likely pay off.


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Sheldon Richardson – In one of the more surprising situations of the week, the Jets gave Richardson essentially his normal workload in a return from suspension. His stat line was solid (3 tackles and a half sack), but his return changes the entire dynamic of the Jets’ line. Muhammad Wilkerson and Leonard Williams still played a full set of snaps as well, so it looks like Todd Bowles and Co. will find a way to keep all three of their studs on the field at the same time. In most leagues all three of these guys should be owned, however things will likely be very inconsistent on a weekly basis. I’d rank Wilkerson over Richardson and Williams, and between the last two Richardson has the higher ceiling, but also may face another suspension over the coming weeks thanks to his eventful offseason.

Eric Kendricks – Frequent commenter Tobias Funke something or other called Week 6 being the breakout for the highly touted rookie, and he nailed it. After trading away Gerald Hodges and getting a bye week to prepare, Kendricks made his first start and did not disappoint with 10 tackles and a sack. There are still a lot of mouths to feed on that defense, but the sky’s the limit for Kendricks at this point.

Dannell Ellerbe – The story in New Orleans so far this season has been the success of rookies Stephone Anthony and Hau’oli Kikaha, and rightfully so. But Ellerbe has been around the block, and despite his recent injury history, he’s been an IDP presence when healthy and starting. He put up 14 tackles along with a forced and recovered fumble, however he left with yet another injury and his status is uncertain for this week. I’m ranking him knowing that he might not play, but I’ll adjust the ranking as news comes out.

Cornerbacks – Typically the black sheep of the IDP Defensive Back position, this has been a banner year for CBs so far. True to form, the damage has mostly been done by rookies and other first-time starters. The logic typically goes that opposing QBs will target these inexperienced corners, and more targets leads to more opportunities to put up stats. There have been great veteran performances as well, led by Adam Jones and likely joined by Jason McCourty (who has an excellent matchup this week against Atlanta), but seeing names like Marcus PetersAntwon Blake, and Ronald Darby in the top 25 after six weeks is encouraging to those who always stream DBs. If you’re facing injury or bye week issues with your more highly drafted DBs, don’t hesitate to pick up a one of the many young corners out there. They may not contribute every week, but given the right matchup, they can put up huge numbers too.

 

 

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  1. Hella Waits says:
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    To follow your article…due to a bye week oversight I needed two DE’s off waivers last eve for my 16 team tackle heavy IDP league. Two teams dropped Wake and Vernon and I was able to pick them both up. Interestingly though someone dropped Jerry Hughes this AM. Would you start Hughes over either? Should I drop Vernon and grab Hughes to ensure some tackles at least in case the MIA duo goes back to goose eggs? Thanks

    • Kevin Kumpf

      Kevin Kumpf says:
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      @Hella Waits:

      I think it’s a coin flip between Hughes and Vernon, but I’d probably go for Hughes just to hedge against another Miami dud, like you mentioned.

      • NattyLite says:
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        @Kevin Kumpf:
        Why so low on Josh Norman? The way Bradford’s been throwing it feels like a good matchup. I feel like you know something I don’t. Thanks for doing the IDP thing by the way! Couldn’t handle my IDP picks without you!

        • Kevin Kumpf

          Kevin Kumpf says:
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          @NattyLite:

          I’m still skeptical of Norman because he’s never shown signs of anything like this before, and with all the love he’s getting I wouldn’t be surprised if QBs tried to avoid throwing his way. Also Eagles have been bottom 10 in points allowed to CBs this season.

  2. Brown L says:
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    Yeah, great call on Cameron Jordan last week, after I had disparaged him in this space. This week, I am calling out Harrison Smith! What’re you going to do about it, Smitty?!

    • Kevin Kumpf

      Kevin Kumpf says:
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      @Brown L:

      I debated putting Smith at DB1 this week, but Jones has been lights out so I settled for 2. Looks like a huge week for him though.

  3. Scott says:
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    I love bye weeks! I picked up Barry Church in case Eric Weddle can’t go this weekend.

  4. Clint says:
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    So, you’re okay with Quinn this week even with his and Long’s injury concerns? I was debating him, Wake, or Jordan to swap Dunlap for this week in my 12 teamer & I endured Rob’s pains last year without Long around so the wounds are still somewhat fresh.

    • Kevin Kumpf

      Kevin Kumpf says:
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      @Clint:

      I’m concerned from an injury perspective, but if he goes, I’m starting him. I think the emergence of Aaron Donald mitigates Long’s absence, so I doubt we see a recurrence of last seasons situation.

  5. TobiasFunkeAnalRapist says:
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    Thanks for the shoutout, whaddya think of wilhoite from the 49ers? He’s been putting up big stats, wake is on the wire, but i have quinn. Drop quinn or wilhoite for wake.? Thanks and keep up the good work.

    • Kevin Kumpf

      Kevin Kumpf says:
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      @TobiasFunkeAnalRapist:

      In general, I like Quinn then Wake then Wilhoite. Quinn definitely has injury concerns, but he’s got the highest ceiling weekly. Wake is similar, though with worse injuries so far this year, and a lower ceiling.

      Wilhoite has been lights out for a few weeks (and continued that last night), but the Niners just traded for Gerald Hodges for a reason. He hasn’t seen the field much yet, but I think Wilhoite has a relatively short leash, which scares me, and Bowman will always impact his opportunities.

  6. Mike Hunt's Honorable Discharge says:
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    did Quinn play today? i can’t find news he didn’t, but no stats either.

    • Kevin Kumpf

      Kevin Kumpf says:
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      @Mike Hunt’s Honorable Discharge:

      He was definitely active, but I haven’t seen the snap count info yet. Joe Thomas is a tough matchup, so that combined with injury concerns likely limited him.

      • Mike Hunt's Honorable Discharge says:
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        @Kevin Kumpf: appeared to play 37% (or 27% i just read it but can’t remember) of the time.

        apparently barron’s 19 tackles was because he now plays LB, similar to those ARI guys. i just added him as bye week guy for Cyprien, but i also have Ihedigbo, and i see he’s fallen way down your rankings. If Barron sticks at LB but counts as a S am i best off with him and Cyprien over Ihedigbo or grab one of Pryor/Mccourty as my DB #2?

        • Mike Hunt's Honorable Discharge says:
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          @Mike Hunt’s Honorable Discharge: oh yeah, and great news for IR stashers, Ogletree is STASHABLE, RAMS apparently did pull a Mesoraco deal and just waited about a month on the paperwork.

        • Kevin Kumpf

          Kevin Kumpf says:
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          @Mike Hunt’s Honorable Discharge:

          Great news on Ogletree for you! And the Barron situation is crazy but I love it for IDP purposes. He’ll be a top 10 DB as long as he gets the LB snaps. I would definitely take him over Ihedigbo (who has moved down primarily due to injury concerns, but has a lower ceiling than Barron). Pryor is not a bad option either, but I’m all aboard the Barron train right now.

          • Mike Hunt's Honorable Discharge says:
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            @Kevin Kumpf: i read an article in STL newspaper about why Rams had been waiting to do this, are there a limited # of IR and temporary IR slots for NFL teams? That would be a legitimate reason to have waited this long on him.

            • Mike Hunt's Honorable Discharge says:
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              @Mike Hunt’s Honorable Discharge: in a shallow league (that or just the other owners aren’t that good)
              we start 2 DB and i have church/cyprien/r.jones (MIA) guessing i stick with all of those over Barron though?

              • Kevin Kumpf

                Kevin Kumpf says:
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                @Mike Hunt’s Honorable Discharge:

                I’m not sure about regular IR slots, but I believe that teams are only allowed one IR slot where the player can return in the same season. Surprisingly not a lot of information about this out there.

                As for your DBs, I would actually drop Church for Barron. Between Jones and Cyp you have two studs, and even though I have Church slightly above Barron this week, I think Barron’s ceiling is huge as long as the Rams don’t do something weird.

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