Week 1 rankings are tough. You are predicting outcomes against defenses that you haven’t seen yet. It all seems to be based on last year’s performance and off season moves. We don’t have a good gauge of what is going on in the locker room yet and how the new players will mesh with the old. Was the coach of the team A showing his hand in the preseason with RB snaps? Who knows. Beat writers are hit or miss. A running back can be named a starter but might not see a second series until the second quarter. We’ve seen it all before. All we can do is try. That doesn’t stop me from trying to read into every little thing to predict the closest outcome that I possibly can. Here are some players that I like and don’t like before you view my rankings in full.

*Rankings will be updated periodically throughout the rest of the week.

  • I like Cam Newton as my #2 overall quarterback this week. He is healthy, he has all of his weapons (aside from Curtis Samuel), and the match up against the Cowboys shouldn’t provide hell to pay for him. That is, unless Randy Gregory comes right out of the gate looking like a world beater.
  • James Conner is worth a start this week if Le’veon Bell doesn’t suit up. He has a nice match up against a team that is coached by Hue Jackson. Pittsburgh should get ahead early leading to plenty of touches.
  • Legarrette Blount is flex-worthy against the Jets. It’s hard to imagine a situation where he doesn’t fall into the end zone at least once.
  • Royce Freeman should be in your line up. The kid is very talented and I’m not so sure that Seattle is anymore on the defensive side of the ball.
  • Michael Thomas should see plenty of targets and he will probably torch Tampa Bay’s weak secondary. He easily fits into the #2 wide receiver spot this week.
  • I love Chris Hogan against Houston. Plenty of targets in what should be a game with some points scored.
  • I think Mike Evans will get maintained for the majority of this game. Remember that there is some bad blood here between the Saint’s secondary and himself. Things do not fall in his favor with Ryan Fitzpatrick under center.
  • Brandin Cooks starts outside of the top 30 where he may end up for much of the season. The match up is nice but nobody has a clue what to do with the usage. I think I have Goff a few spots higher than he usually will be.

  1. water boy says:
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    Hey man & happy week 1!

    .5 ppr league just looking at insights with my week 1 opponent

    My team:

    QB Stafford vs jets

    RB1 DJ vs skins
    RB2 Melvin Gordon vs Chiefs

    WR1 TY Hilton vs bengals
    WR2 amari Cooper vs Rams
    WR3 Emmanuel sanders vs Seahawks

    Flex Royce Freeman vs Seahawks

    TE Njoku vs steelers

    Lions D vs jets

    Prater vs jets

    * my bench: kerryon Johnson, Jamaal Williams, kupp, sterling Shepard, gallup, matt brieda, DJ Moore , Austin ekeler & kalen ballage.

    ——–

    My opponent

    His QB Aaron Rodgers vs bears

    His RB1 burkhead vs Texans
    His RB2 Blount vs jets

    His WR1 Juju @ Cleveland
    His WR2 hogan vs Texans
    His WR3 Corey Davis @ Miami

    Flex James white vs Texans

    TE Kelce @ chargers

    Pats D vs Texans

    Greg zuerlein at Oakland

    His bench incase a last min swap : Vernon Davis , rishard matthews, Theo riddick , drew brees, Vikings D, Austin sefarian jenkins , moncrief, then he also has Edelman & mark Ingram who are suspended.

    Thanks man!!

    • MB

      MB says:
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      @water boy: theoretically you look like you’re in a position to win. The only real advantages that he has over you matchup wise are QB and TE

  2. Fungazi 2.0 says:
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    Chris Carson #75?? Was this printed before he was listed as the starting RB?

    Which Chris for flex – Carson or Thompson?

    • MB

      MB says:
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      Whoops, not sure how that happened, My bad. I have him at 28 and Thompson at 29. I’d say Thompson for PPR and Carson for standard

  3. Fizz says:
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    How come no one is talking about John Kelly? I think he can really be this years Alvin kamara.

    • MB

      MB says:
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      @Fizz: because something would have to happen to Gurley. I hear you though.

    • Cheese Eating Surrender Monkey says:
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      @Fizz: the dynasty guys have. or anybody that owns gurley.

  4. Fizz says:
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    I need WR depth. Looking to trade away Chris Thompson for Agholar or Corey Davis. Who has more upside? Or should both be a good bet.

    • MB

      MB says:
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      Corey Davis has the most upside in a new offense. He supposedly looked awesome in camp too

  5. SunnyB says:
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    Why so high on Alex Smith? Is Arizona’s pass D that mediocre?

    • MB

      MB says:
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      It’s okay. Pat Peterson is still a stud. I’m a big Alex Smith fan this year. I think that he’ll regularly perform as a QB1 especially without much of a run game

  6. Justin says:
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    Which two should i start in half PPR? Chris Thompson, james White, lynch, Dion Lewis.

    • MB

      MB says:
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      I’d say Thompson and Lynch this week

  7. Gurley Man says:
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    No Alfred Morris?

    • MB

      MB says:
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      That was weird. Him and Jeremy Hill didn’t save. Morris later 30s.

  8. Ron Pridgen says:
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    12 team .5PPR Keeper league: I have 2 open bench spots and there are 5 players available. Who are the top 2 from below?

    A. Morris, M . Williams, J. Ross, J. Brown, C. Godwin

    Thanks!

    • Ron Pridgen says:
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      @Ron Pridgen: Forgot to include A. Miller too, so it 6 possible guys for 2 spots

      • MB

        MB says:
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        I like A. Morris and Chris Godwin. Highest upside is John Ross

  9. Brian says:
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    I have Cook and Kittle at TE, not loving my options. Hope Kittle can morph into a Rudolph/Ertz/Kelce type guy this season.

    • MB

      MB says:
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      That’s lofty, but I think Kittle will outperform his draft day value

  10. Portbigcity says:
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    12 team H2H. We have a weird league where you have a very limited bench. Basically you have to carry 2 QB’s (start only1), have to carry 3 RB’s (no more than 3 and only start 2) and have to carry 4 WR’s (start 3). We did add an extra reserve spot this year for any player so I can pick up another RB this week.

    My RB’s are L Bell, Mixon and Rashad Penny. My question is this
    who should I pick up for week 1 at RB to go along with Mixon? Carson in Seatle or Conner in Pitt? Hoping as all of us who drafted bell that he is back in week2 but need someone until he is back.

    thanks for the help, oh also, we are standard scoring non PPR. 1 pt per 10 yards and 6 for TD’s

    • MB

      MB says:
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      Definitely Conner this week

  11. Big league choo says:
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    10 team standard bonus for 100 rush yds/rec yds

    (2 rb, 2wr, 1 flex)

    Trade my mixon/ajayi for bell/Conner

    Qb Wilson
    Rb Barkley, mixon, ajayi, lynch
    Wr Baldwin, Hogan, Gordon, Corey Davis
    TE Gronk, Burton

    • MB

      MB says:
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      Yes I would do that

  12. 976 says:
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    Already starting Tate at WR. PPR. Double up with Marvin Jones at flex or run Ajayi there?

    • MB

      MB says:
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      I hate doubling up, but this would be a good week to do it.

  13. Aardvark says:
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    Would you drop Calvin Ridley for either Godwin, Ross, or Allison? Or see what Ridley does Thursday night first

  14. Aardvark says:
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    Would you drop Calvin Ridley for Godwin, Ross, or Allison? Or wait and see what Ridley does Thursday night first

    • MB

      MB says:
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      I’d drop him for all 3 with Godwin being at the top of the list

  15. Achange says:
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    Play Tarik Cohen, Morris, or Breida as RB3 – PPR + 1 point per carry scoring league

    Garoppolo or Trubisky as QB2

    Thanks for your comments

    • MB

      MB says:
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      Breida this week. He should get the most touches

    • MB

      MB says:
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      @Achange: also Jimmy at QB2

  16. Beef jerky says:
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    12 team ppr. My Royce Freeman for their Josh Gordon.

    • MB

      MB says:
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      @Beef jerky: keep Royce

  17. Eli Man Penguin Boy says:
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    where you got conner ROS PPR? i just now moved him just around ekeler, but maybe should be higher.

    • MB

      MB says:
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      @Eli Man Penguin Boy: from the sounds of it, he will be the starter for half of the season at best. I’d still say Ekeler range is a little low. I’d say around 90-100 overall range, considering that he is a quality back.

      • Eli Man Penguin Boy says:
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        @MB: yeah more like CJA area maybe, i myself (using a mix of fantasy pros top 30 only RB PPR rankers from last year and rudy) had ekeler like 104th before adjusting for ADP (lower). so ekeler pure value 112th but knowing he could be had later. (you got him quite lower just now). i went powell over him (barely) just before that for RB #6.

        • MB

          MB says:
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          @Eli Man Penguin Boy: I love Ekeler. The lack of opportunity bothers me.

  18. Eli Man Penguin Boy says:
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    good draft, i might’ve F’d up here. tried asking late in draft (you might’ve been gone by this point though). i knew weekly waivers time, but i (incorrectly it turns out) thought that only applied to players who had played games (i.e during season). i didn’t draft a kicker, thinking it’d be a day (likely 2) after draft where we could make roster changes (i.e. drop somebody for a kicker). i got auto’d j.allen BAL in 2nd to last round, would be dropping him for vinateri or lambo. i play you in week 1 and if this is a hard fast rule (no adds from draft till after week 1) i guess i’ll have learned my lesson here in this way, never played in a league such as this with no adds from draft till season.

    i am used to weekly WW for players who’s game just happened (so anybody that played from thursday-monday can’t be added till the weekly WW time wednesday night). if not hope i win or lose by more than whatever vinateri scores this week (or lambo)

      • Eli Man Penguin Boy says:
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        @MB: next year i’ll remember to make a note about this on the RCL page. any draft that happened the last tuesday before the season (assuming next year starts on a thursday game like now) this wouldn’t have affected, with the way the waivers work. this means for this year that the only day that could’ve been drafted and this happening was in fact the day we drafted. actually had it for some reason been early and ended before 9 PM eastern this couldn’t have happened. so it’s the super parlay of yuck coming together here, my ignorance coupled with the exact time of draft. went and looked at the other rosters (hope hope hoping for more than 1 team with 2 kickers) and wow, some guys have very little RB depth, but like 3 TE’s.

        • MB

          MB says:
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          Yeah. Auto draft is not the way to go. It was a late start time though

          • Eli Man Penguin Boy says:
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            @MB: you’d think late HELPS people be there, they’re i’d think less likely to have to work. i know in some instances i have to schedule drafts at 8-9 eastern just from owners telling me that. or pacific coast guys where 7 PM eastern is only 4 PM for them.

  19. Fizz says:
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    Why do you have buffalo D so high at 6? I got the bears and thinking if dropping evron to stream another defense week 1. My starting TE is burton.

    • MB

      MB says:
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      I have both defenses from this game in the top 10. Going to be sloppy and low scoring

  20. Steve says:
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    Trade question:
    Would you trade J. Howard and M. Crabtree to get AJ Green and C. Hyde? Also have Gordon and Miller, Thompson, A. Jones. Hopkins, sanders, Edelman, Cole, Miller at wr.

    Thanks a lot!
    Steve

    • MB

      MB says:
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      @Steve: yes I would do that. I think A.J Green bounces back and Hyde is solid as of now

  21. William Hung says:
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    I should’ve done more research on my own, but lack of time caused me to roll 100% with the razzball player rankings and ended up with the following team:

    10 team .5 PPR
    QB- Luck
    RB- McCaffrey, Fournette
    WR- Baldwin, Cooks, Diggs
    TE- Eifert
    FLEX- Derrick Henry
    K- [stream]
    DEF- [stream]
    Bench
    RB- Barber, Duke Jr.
    WR- Woods, Rishard Matthews, John Ross

    I didn’t know Baldwin admitted he would only be 85% this season, and now I’m surprised he was ranked as high as he is… is his injury nothing to worry about? Just based on reading about his injury, I probably should’ve passed on him.

    Some moves I’m thinking of making:
    1. Dropping Matthews and Ross for some combo of Conner, Blount, Godwin, and Gallup. Since my draft was last night, I won’t be able to make a move until Saturday

    I think with the WRs I have, I’m going to take a chance on someone with a ton of upside and hope things work out. Ending up with Cooks and Woods was bad on my part. Since I play in a shallow league, a lot of sleepers are available.

    • MB

      MB says:
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      @William Hung: player honesty is really nothing to worry about. Chris Thompson said the same thing and he’s going to be fine. Players play through stuff all season. Baldwin should be a target monster this year and lack of returning red zone targets led me to not move him in my rankings. I’d keep Ross around for now but I’d drop Matthews for Conner immediately and start him

      • William Hung says:
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        @MB: You think Ross is a better dart throw than John Brown?

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