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We’re approaching the end of the regular season, but we’re at the point where every game matters. These are the most competitive and important games of the regular season for many teams, so let’s take a look at the best bets for Week 13 of the NFL season.

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Colts ML @ Titans (-116)

The Colts are even money to win this game, even though they are the significantly better team. It’s a divisional matchup, but Gardner Minshew has put Indianapolis into the Wild Card race. Even without Jonathan Taylor, Zack Moss has been more than serviceable for this Colts’ backfield. The value on this bet is too good to pass up on. Give me the Colts to win this AFC South matchup.

Packers +6 vs. Chiefs (-110)

The Packers showed on Thanksgiving that they can compete with any team on any given week. Much of that credit goes to Jordan Love, who has slowly started to figure it out. Green Bay has put themselves in the NFC playoff conversation, and a win against a top-tier team like the Chiefs would be massive for their season. The Chiefs have struggled offensively the last few months, so I like the Packers to keep it close. Take the Packers spread, and if you’re feeling risky, sprinkle their ML.

Falcons ML @ Jets

The Falcons aren’t that good of a football team, but they can do one thing: the Jets’ offense can’t… score points. This is simply a bet against the dreadful NYJ offense. While Robert Saleh’s defense has been great, the offense keeps them on the field most of the game, and by the third quarter, they’re exhausted. Atlanta is playing for the division, the Jets are playing for draft position. I like the Falcons to get the W.

Broncos +3.5 @ Texans

The Broncos have been playing some really good football at the right point in the season. Sean Payton’s formerly “inept” squad is now playing themselves into the playoff picture. The Texans have been really fun to watch, and the duo of C.J. Stroud and Tank Dell have become one of the top pairings in the league. Houston’s offensive line, however, is banged up and missing one of their key guards. I think this will catch up to them enough to keep this game within four points. I like the Broncos to cover on the road. 

Cardinals +5.5 @ Steelers

Kyler Murray’s return has sparked an offense that couldn’t move the ball previously. This matchup against Pittsburgh will be great to see where Kyler’s at. Even after the Steelers fired Matt Canada, the offense hasn’t looked too much better. I think this will be a low scoring game, but Arizona will do just enough to cover the spread. Six points feels like too many, so I like the Cardinals +5.5 against the Steelers.