The NFL season is flying by. We’re already at Week 7! We have a great slate of games with a lot of value to be had. Last week was not great, but let’s bounce back and make some money this week. Here are my favorite bets for Week 7 of the NFL season!
Want more data-driven stats and tools to help you win your fantasy league? Check out the Razzball Fantasy Football premium subscriptions for $0.00 upfront with our 3-day free trial!
Buccaneers ML vs. Falcons (-140)
Every week, it becomes increasingly apparent that Desmond Ridder is not the franchise QB that Atlanta had hoped. His struggles continued in the team’s game against the Commanders last week, and now Ridder has to go against a tough Buccaneers defense. Tampa Bay held the Lions to just 20 points, and even though they had trouble offensively, I don’t think those struggles continue into this week. The Falcons won’t be able to get their run game going against the Bucs, and Todd Bowles will force Desmond Ridder to win the game through the air. Based on last week, that isn’t something Ridder has proved he can do yet. I’m taking the Bucs at home to win this game.
Commanders ML @ Giants (-144) & Sam Howell over 14.5 rushing yards (-120)
The Giants played a very competitive game against the Bills and, honestly, should have pulled out the win. However, while New York’s defense played well, one of the biggest issues with Buffalo is that they play down to their competition. Nevertheless, the Giants move on and have the Washington Commanders coming into town. I still don’t believe that the Giants are on the right track after the Bills game. Their offensive line is hurt and bad, and Washington has a decent pass rush. Whether it’s Tyrod Taylor or Daniel Jones under center for the Giants, chances are they’ll go right back to where they have been all season. The main concern with Washington is their offensive line. They’ve allowed the most sacks in the league, and even when Sam Howell is playing well, he’s on the move. The Giants pass rush should keep Howell mobile, so I like him to go over his rushing prop. Take Washington to get the win and the over on Howell’s rushing yards prop.
Browns ML @ Colts (-150)
It’s still up in the air whether the Browns will have Deshaun Watson in this game, but it really doesn’t matter. The Browns are coming off one of their biggest wins of the last five years, and it’s because of their defense. Cleveland made San Francisco’s well-oiled machine of an offense struggle, so it’s safe to assume they’ll do the same to Indianapolis. Gardner Minshew isn’t a bad backup QB, but he won’t be able to piece together enough offense to beat the Browns. He threw the ball 55 times in his start last week, leading to three interceptions. Cleveland’s defense will make Minshew’s day a lot more difficult than Jacksonville did, so I like the Browns in this one.
LV/CHI under 38.5 (-115)
The Raiders and Bears will both be without their starting QBs, meaning we’ll be getting the powerhouse matchup of Brian Hoyer vs. Tyson Bagent. This total is extremely low, but both these teams will obviously have trouble scoring points. There are too many injuries on Chicago’s offense to validate thinking they’ll score more than 10 points, and I think the Raiders’ commitment to their ground game will keep this game at less than 39 total points. Give me the under in the game.
