by: MattWi77iams
@MattWi77iams & @NickFaberNFL break down Week 8 in @fantasyfootball. Game by game analysis of who to start/sit with a priority streamers list.
Please, blog, may I have some more?A clash between two AFC teams that enter week 8 with highest projected point total, thanks to the reigning MVP Patrick Mahomes sidelined while he recovers from a knee injury.
Per NFL Next Gen Stats, Derek Carr has the 11th highest passer rating and NFL best completion percentage (74.1). On paper, this is an interesting matchup for Carr who is: facing a defense that has allowed the 4th most receiving yards per game, just placed DB Phillip Gaines on IR, are without DB Bradley Roby until after their bye week, have DB Tashaun Gibson questionable, and are 6.5 point road dogs. BUT Carr ranks 9th in fewest pass attempts per game, has the 8th fewest passes over 20 yards, lacks elite receiving weapons outside of his TE and has a head coach who is enamored with running the ball. Carr is best viewed as a 2-QB league starter and desperation spot fill in 1-qb leagues. Rudy projects Carr as QB21 in week 8.
Please, blog, may I have some more?Before Game Of Thrones, HBO had a terrible-but-awesome show about some bros in Hollywood. It was called Entourage. I guess it was called Entourage because the friends formed an entourage. High brow stuff! This show was exactly what 19-21 year-old me needed every Sunday. Would I again binge watch the show that got me into serialized television even with a lot better television coming out almost weekly? Hell yeah I would.
Anyways, if you haven’t seen Entourage, Johnny Drama is the less famous brother of Vincent Chase, but before Vince got famous, Drama starred in a terrible cult classic show called Viking Quest. The way Minnesota played last night is probably comparable to Viking Quest if it were an actual show.
Please, blog, may I have some more?
by: Pat
The NFL year goes by so fast and the fantasy football season with it. As we approach the halfway point of 2019, I plan to spend next week’s article with a blurb on the second half outlook of each team, or player from each team, from a data point perspective. For this week though we stick with the norm of finding trends and in-week matchups we can expose. Hope everyone has a great finish to the first half of the fantasy season!
Please, blog, may I have some more?
by: Jay
| 2019 Accuracy | Rank | QB | RB | WR | TE | K | DST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 7 | 104 | 25 | 66 | 129 | 113 | 28 | 26 |
| Week 6 | 81 | 74 | 118 | 28 | 76 | 76 | 37 |
| Week 5 | 58 | 68 | 8 | 113 | 41 | 10 | 39 |
| Week 4 | 83 | 37 | 64 | 90 | 120 | 77 | 80 |
| Week 3 | 89 | 86 | 117 | 32 | 106 | 27 | 13 |
| Week 2 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 26 | 39 | 69 | 35 |
| Week 1 | 47 | 81 | 31 | 49 | 76 | 26 | 24 |
| Cumulative | 52 | 34 | 49 | 68 | 95 | 31 | 19 |
What are you ranking? Everything! You get a ranking, you get a ranking, everybody gets a ranking! You’ll find my Standard, Half-PPR, and PPR rankings below.
What are my rankings bona fidas? Well, there’s finishing in the FantasyPros Top-10 Draft Accuracy (7th Place) in 2017, Top-25 Weekly Accuracy (23rd Place) in 2017, Top-5 Draft Accuracy (3rd place) in 2016, Top-10 Weekly Accuracy (10th Place) in 2016, Top-25 Weekly Accuracy in 2015 (21st Place) and on average we’ve finished in the Top-10 Draft Accuracy (9th Overall) and the Top-20 Weekly Accuracy (18th Overall) for the past four years and finished 30th overall for our Draft Rankings with a 32nd overall finish in Weekly just last season. And this is out of over 100+ industry sites and experts year-after-year. I’d like to think we’re pretty good at this stuff…
What does the word bona fidas mean? According to the Merriam-Webster Dictionary, bo·na fi·des ˌbō-nə-ˈfī-ˌdēz , ÷ˈbō-nə-ˌfīdz means 1 : good faith : sincerity, 2 : the fact of being genuine —often plural in construction, 3 : evidence of one’s good faith or genuineness —often plural in construction, 4 : evidence of one’s qualifications or achievements —often plural in construction. On a separate note, I think it would make a great name for a cat.
What’s my ranking process? I’ve actually written about this in the past, and instead of working hard for new and enlightening content, I have chosen the more efficient (lazy, ahem) method and dropping in a link to that post here. Honestly, my process hasn’t changed much at all (the ole “don’t fix what ain’t broke” proverb comes to mind) and so my “A Day in the Life of a Fantasy Football Ranker” story still remains relevant to this day. (The TL;DR is: I’m lazy as fudge. Well, I mean the other “f” word, but I’m hungry.)
How should I use your rankings? The same way your mother does. Which actually makes no sense. (Unless your mother is in the running to always finish top-3 in your Fantasy Football league. And if that’s the case, say hello to her for me.)
Please, blog, may I have some more?I have been following a simple metric this season for running backs: weighted opportunities (WO) per game. This summer I found that WO/g correlated strongly with fantasy points (FP) per game with an R2 of 0.88 based off 2018 numbers. Granted, this was a small sample size of only 1 year but it’s all the data I had.
In a nutshell, the idea is that players should have a FP/WO ratio of about 1, and if they are above that they are either very efficient or lucky (probably via TDs). If they are below that number, the inverse is assumed. In that piece I identified 4 backs that looked like strong buys this offseason, so let’s see if FP/WO helped.
Please, blog, may I have some more? by: Pat
Remember when in-season trades never happened in the NFL? That was so, so, so long ago. This season we have had several notable players moved ranging from all-pro defensive backs to noted aerospace engineers (Josh Dobbs). However, the trade of Emmanuel Sanders has opened the opportunity for Courtland Sutton to continue his rise to fantasy glory. Sutton had already made a second-year jump prior to the trade and is currently sitting as the WR12 in half-PPR leagues. Sutton’s metrics support his rise to prominence with his player profiler athletic comparison being Alshon Jeffrey. He is 9th in weighted opportunities, top 20 in air yards, and top 20 in targets per game. His quarterback already stinks out loud so any mid-season change to a rookie, if Drew Lock were to get healthy, should have a minimal effect on his rest of season play. Expect the Denver Broncos to remain generally pesky as they fulfill a 5-6 win team destiny, and their air game to funnel through Courtland Sutton for the remainder of the 2019 season.
Please, blog, may I have some more?
by: Zach
We’re more than half of the way through the NFL season, and with more star players landing on the injury report, we’re forced to spend our waiver claims on backup players that have been forced into starting roles, like Ty Johnson in Detroit (more on that below).
Let’s talk about some of the players who landed on the injury report this week.
Please, blog, may I have some more? by: MattWi77iams
Matt Wi77iams & Nick Faber discuss Josh Gordon being placed on the IR and the fantasy football impact.
Also discussed: Davante Adams, Drew Brees, Wendell Smallwood.
Please, blog, may I have some more?Week 8 is here and we have some juicy matchups ahead of us. This week I will analyze the best streaming options that can help you win while your starters are on bye.
Please, blog, may I have some more?With trade deadlines approaching quickly, this column will be coming to an end in its present form. But for the next two weeks, I will still try to give you those trades to make to hopefully, build a playoff roster in your league.
Did you Buy Adam Thielen on the cheap? Did you get out in time on Austin Ekeler? I hope you did. If not, there is no use living in the past. So, let us move forward and find some more moves you can make to improve your team.
Please, blog, may I have some more?B_Don and Donkey Teeth are joined by MB at the midway mark of the fantasy season (at least for those of us smart enough not to play week 17).
MB_Donkey discuss the recent trades. How to deal with the fallout of Mohamed Sanu to the Pats and Emmanuel Sanders to the 49ers. The guys give you an idea of what kind of FAAB bids their putting on some of this week’s hot pickups.
The trio also talk about the Chiefs and Falcons following significant injuries to Mahomes and Ryan. They also discuss how the Davante Adams injury may have shaken up the WR pecking order in Green Bay.
Please, blog, may I have some more?
