The first week of Propageddon was a success. Both the tout and public results were nice bell curves, averaging 6ish correct answers out of 11 questions. On the Tout side, Pat Fitzmaurice (@Fitz_FF) and Greg Smith (@Gregsauce) tied with 9 correct, and @andrewkdewhirst was the top reader with 8 correct. I’ve added some questions this week and invited more touts. Get in and fill out this week’s props. I’d like to up the reader participation so I have a couple of things to offer. First, if you share this post on any social media platform I’ll throw you a bonus point. Second, if you get the top reader score Grey Albright will leave you a personalized voicemail complaining about L.A. traffic. I mean, that’s priceless. You can see the full results of the tout responses here. Time for the props…
You’re a head coach whose team is down 14 with 2 mins left in the game. Your team has just scored a TD to narrow the deficit to 8. What do you do?
- Go for the 2-PT conversion. {41.4%}
- Kick the extra point. {58.6%}
No way was I staying out of this debate. There is a correct answer. I’ll put it to you this way. Imagine you walk up to a roulette table and a mysterious stranger offers to cover your next bet and you can pick all numbers one through twenty-two or bet on black. Hey, maybe you have a really good feeling about black and think it can be better than red with some extra chances.
Will the FanDuel price of the top main slate QB be O/U $8,450?
- Over {55.2%}
- Under {44.8%}
I moved the pivot point up on this prop this week. Only three QBs are on the over side: Mahomes, Rodgers, and Goff. This one could be close.
Which will Todd Gurley score more of?
- Rushing TDs {89.7%}
- Receiving TDs or tie {10.3%}
Normally, this is a pretty easy pick for a running back. The tie is definitely in play, though, with Gurley’s receiving role and Cooper Kupp being ruled out this week.
Which will be higher?
- Alex Smith passing yards. {34.5%}
- Saquon Barkley total yards or tie. {65.5%}
I wanted to run this one back since I got the Alex Smith low total half right last week (178 yards). It’s still a tall order, but it made sense with a generational spirit on tap this week in Barkley.
Which will be higher?
- Carlos Hyde rushing attempts. {75.9%}
- Cody Kessler passing attempts or tie. {24.1%}
I found this one fun. Not only are you wagering on whether Blake Bortles finishes the game, you’re guessing at Hyde’s new role.
What position will the player with the most Bears receiving yards play?
- WRÂ {34.5%}
- TE or RBÂ {65.5%}
I was actually shocked this wasn’t closer to 50/50. There’s a good amount of recency bias at play here.
Which will be higher?
- Phillip Lindsay rushing yards. {82.8%}
- Rams-Packers total points scored or tie. {17.2%}
Folks may be underestimating the dent Devontae Booker can put in Lindsay’s role, despite being a less effective back.Â
Choose one.
- New Orleans win {27.6%}
- Minnesota win {17.2%}
- Over 52.5Â {51.7%}
- Under 52.5Â {3.4%}
I split this game four ways. I think it’s close anyway you slice it. More touts liked New Orleans than Minnesota, but the over was the most popular by far.
If you need an extra edge in this or any contest, try out Rudy’s Tools with a free 7-day trial. His projections are consistently one of FantasyPros top ranked. Send any feedback my way in the comments.
