We went long again tonight, folks! Zach and I had the hockey guys on for another fantastic preview of this slate of games. We trolled Zach about the Patriots quite a bit, which is always fun. Also, we did a little bonus bowl game betting segment at the end. Enjoy!
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good lord is that
“LAC hasn’t beat anybody lately so KC is a good play”
true, but HOW TF do you ignore this while trying to use that rationale:
KC weeks 6-14
6: at home scores 13 pts and loses to PIT (not a good road team at all)
7: @ OAK scores decently but LOSES TO OAK
8: wins at home easily VS DEN
9: @ DAL scores garbage amount and loses easily to zekey DAL (understandable except their shit scoring)
10: off
11: @ NYG score NINE POINTS TO THE GIANTS and loses
12: vs BUF score 10 pts and loses
13: @ NYJ score decently but loses
14: vs OAK wins easily (OAK)
this is seriously bad “selective” memory to make a point. LAC whoever they beat have done MUCH better than KC and this isn’t “short term memory” unless “short term” forgets about most of KC’s last 8 games. we have 5 out of last 8 games with awful offense with 2 of those being home games (PIT, BUF)
@Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo: oh yeah, wasn’t there some sort of rationale of “walrus is ALWAYS great after a bye” well see week 11 and exactly which week was the bye week. week 1 is easily their worst week of the year. if there’s a similar “kc is good at home” narrative (which could’ve been true in previous few seasons, as i’m sure all previous seasons” the walrus after bye” was too) might want to double check those home games above for ya know, THIS year. i’m not saying LAC should be a big favorite here, just that all this above info is AT LEAST as relevant to this topic but was completely ignored.
@Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo: sorry “week 11 was easily their worst week of the year”
@Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo: by San Diego I mean L.A. lol
@Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo: I didn’t listen to this yet, but going off of your rant…football is week to week. When betting, you look for good spots/bad spots for certain teams. The better team doesn’t always win, you know this. Week 6 doesn’t mean jack right now. Things like Reid’s success after a bye are smart percentages that you play. Of course, he’s not always going to cover after a bye.
@Cram It: i agree week 6 doesn’t mean (that much) jack right now. but that leads more and more towards KC being weak. let’s just show the more recent games then:
11: @ NYG score NINE POINTS TO THE GIANTS and loses (i didn’t mention they didn’t allow many but again, it’s the GIANTS)
12: vs BUF score 10 pts and loses (if we are going about claiming KC at home is something to value, here’s our short term garbage proof of lack of said)
13: @ NYJ score decently but loses
14: vs OAK wins easily (OAK)
unless we want to say only the last 2 weeks are the only thing that means something where exactly are we left? and IF week 6 doesn’t mean jack why would anybody say anything like “KC at home are huge” as podcasters did? or walrus after bye week would mean NOTHING if this year week 6 can’t even mean anything? myself i, would actually think a certain coach after 14 (however-many) near that years MIGHT “mean” something, but clearly this year it didn’t.
i do agree with this part:
“When betting, you look for good spots/bad spots for certain teams. The better team doesn’t always win, you know this. Week 6 doesn’t mean jack right now” in general. however, KC didn’t just NOT cover in week 11 they didn’t cover by -13 points (10 pt or so road favs lost by 3, 12-9, admittedly large road favs is a fade situation in general of course).
81% on KC seems strange too to me. i’m seeing anywhere in the KC -1 to LAC to -1 range. even with the one team having a severely damaged D and a coach who has no clue how to use a top 5 (or so) RB this doesn’t seem tremendously out of wack to me, but again, i’m just making fun of those on podcast who went WELL out of their way(s) to make a KC play while ignoring all of my points above while finding all the pro-KC points they could. at least one of these was the same dude who went well out of his way to say that peterman was the “good play” for the BUF coach just before they started peterman and then somehow never brought up he said that ever again on the next podcast (seems like it might’ve been a own-up point). clearly he’s a BUF fan and just wanted improvement on their end (understandable), but it’s still a spot where it’s own-up time when he said stuff exactly like “it’s time for BUF to start somebody besides rodfather” and then peterman goes off for 5 picks (4 his fault) in like 16 throws or so.
@Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo: San Diego seems like the play to me the more and more I think about it
81% of the public on KC. LAC for me all day long.
@Rick: ARE YOU SERIOUS?!
@Unbreakable_mb: i don’t know where to look that info up, but one would think that THAT many would’ve moved the spread more than from the opening
KC -1
to
LAC -1
which is what i’m finding
If Fournett sits would you play Yeldon or Ivory over Alf Morris or Derrick Henry I also have Tevin Coleman but possible he doesnt play. Thanks
@Brian: yeah I’d play Ivory over all these
Hey MB, some follow ups ;)
– Need 1 WR in PPR league, who scores most pts? DeVante, Kelvin, Lockett or Maclin ?
– Need 1 TE in PPR league to start: Witten or Ebron ?
Thanks, again
@Johnny Be Good: Kelvin and Ebron for me
And forgot to ask,
in PPR league where i own Hopkins, which 2 guys you starting: Hopkins, Diggs or Hyde ?
@Johnny Be Good: Hopkins and Hyde
I need to start 2 RB out of these 3 for all the marbles in a .5PPR league. Who would you ride with?
Drake @ Buf
Kamara vs NYJ
M. Gordon @ KC
Thanks!
@Ron P: Drake and kamara
@Unbreakable_mb: Is it the matchup with Buffalo that makes you go Drake over Gordon? Or you just don’t trust Gordon today?
@Ron P: yes the matchup with buffalo