We have been waiting for a fantasy football running back breakthrough and it is finally here in the form of Devin Singletary. Singletary was cemented behind Frank Gore and battled a hamstring injury for the first half of the season. However, the last two weeks he is receiving a 66% or higher snap share and broke out in Week 9 with 20 carries, 3 catches, 140 total yards, and a touchdown. As long as his hamstring can hold up he looks like the lead back behind the #3 offensive line in adjusted line yards in a run heavy offense. All of these positives along with the fact he gets the Browns and the Dolphins in the next two weeks to continue the forward momentum. As noted last week, I’m not sure that there are many opportunities like this that will come along the rest of the year outside of direct stud running back handcuffs. Spend your FAAB. Check the trade market. Get the guy. He could be a league winner.
Mark Ingram (#20) – Ingram was one of my preseason targets and man has he come through. I was weary of the low snap count during the early portion of the season, but at this point on a per snap basis he is as good as there is in the business. The Ravens have an elite offensive line and the most athletic quarterback of a generation increasing the efficiency of an already talented back. Ingram has a lower floor than players around him because of the volume, but on his spike weeks he all but guarantees your team a victory.
David Johnson (#50) – This is a huge two week fall, but somehow, I’m higher than consensus (#66 ROS on fantasypros). The drop is necessary. The Cardinals acquired Kenyon Drake for a reason, as he is a free agent at the end of the season. While he could be attached to a compensatory pick it makes sense that they intend to use him in tandem with Johnson. This moved DJ down from his previous top 20 position, but at the same time I’m unsure of why he would drop any further than this. The Cardinals have made some impressive run game adjustments and have scored over 20 fantasy points with their running backs frequently over the past 5 games. Splitting that in half with the goal line opportunities would continue to make Johnson an RB2.
Marvin Jones (#62) – It was a fair assumption when Kerryon Johnson went down during the Lions week 7 game that Kenny Golladay would receive a spike in pass game work. However, the increased work has gone to Marvin Jones. Prior to week 7 Jones was averaging 5.8 targets per game. From week 7 on he is averaging 9.3 targets per game. Golladays target share has remained the same. Jones doesn’t have a positive rest of season schedule, but the team will be trailing in many games and Jones looks to be the direct beneficiary of pass volume spikes.
John Brown (#69) – Brown is currently hovering around the top 50 of the fantasypros rest of season flex rankings, but he isn’t anywhere close to that for me. The combination of low overall team passing volume and the Bills red zone tendencies simply make John Brown an undependable week to week player for me. Brown is receiving 7.5 targets per game. The Bills are throwing 32 passes per game, 9th least in the NFL. They have only thrown while in the red zone 27 times this season, which is tied for the least in the NFL. Brown has received only 5 red zone targets on the year. This combination creates a fantasy wide receiver without much upside in my view.