romoinjury2016

Now that the weekend has ended and we’re that much closer to the start of the NFL season, one has to ask (especially Cowboys fans and Tony Romo fantasy owners): Can I get off this wild ride? No. No you may not is probably the answer. After Tony Romo took a hit from Seattle’s Cliff Avril during a benign slide this past Thursday, the chronological order of what then took place was as follows:

  • “Romo Back Throwing on the Sidelines.” [Source.]
  • “Romo talks about minor back injury, seems completely fine. No X-rays needed.” [Video.]
  • Tony Romo had an MRI Friday and has a broken bone in his back.” [Source.]

Well, that certainly escalated quickly. Oh, and what’s that imaginary narrative voice used as a vehicle to add a nice flourish whilst moving to another but related point to what was just stated? There’s more…? Oh god…

  • “Romo to wear back brace. Garrett not ruling him out for week one.” [Source.]

LOL, Jason Garrett, never change my man. Anyhow, there are certainly some fantasy implications with such an injury, and to be completely frank, there are probably real life implications for your liver at the moment if you’ve ever found yourself residing in the Dallas area or if you’ve ever been afflicted at all by Romoliciousness (it’s a real thing, trust me). But let’s all be honest with ourselves at this present time… you’re used to it by now… right? I mean, you have to be.

So, the rankings have been updated already, but here’s how it all settled, at least until they install a robotic spine into Romo’s body and I have to change everything all over again…

Romo-1

Dax Prescott – I’ll be honest, I don’t know much about him. Besides having the name of a rebel X-wing pilot from Star Wars and watching a YouTube highlight reel with what I think the kids are calling “soul hip hop”. But hey, there wasn’t any Macklemore, so how bad could it be? Here’s what the NFL scouting report said about him:

There are physical, athletic, and leadership traits comparable to Tim Tebow, but Prescott is vastly more pro-ready as a passer. He’s an ideal backup as he continues to work on overall consistency, but he’ll bring a dynamic element if his name’s ever called. -Mark Dulgerian.

Boy, they sure know the way straight into my heart. I mean, option one would have been copious amounts of Twix bars… but mentioning Tim Tebow, not just in the first sentence, but as a direct comparison? You couldn’t start off the courting process any better. As you all can attest, we all need a bit more Tebow in our lives, and if we are able to consume it in a large schadenfreude-like Cowboys form, sign me the ef up. Look, obviously Romo falls off a large precipice in my rankings, but I’m not entirely sure what do to with Prescott… and I think honesty here will serve everyone the better. I like the fact that he’s considered “pro-ready” as a passer, even though it comes off as an overused buzzword. (And don’t get me started on someone talking about “leadership traits”.) I’m not really convinced of that anyways, but he did look alright against the Seahawks, and I’d like to think that the Cowboys at least put some thought into finding a capable backup to a player that I wouldn’t quite describe as injury-prone, but I can’t quite describe as ever being healthy either. The point is, they should have prepared for this, and I’m assuming they maybe-kinda did. Hopefully. Maybe. (Ugh, who really knows?) I’m ranking him as my QB23 at the moment, because he will get at least 10 starts unless Garrett outdoes himself and sentences Tony Romo to a life in a wheelchair by forcing him back too early… which Romo seems eager to do as well. As a great man once said: “But… why?”

Dez Bryant – I went back and forth on this a lot. I didn’t want to drop him too much, because there are a lot of instances where individual talent can keep a player afloat, even if the person throwing to him is less than ideal. There’s also the concept that such a talent will also keep a high-level of focus from the game plan itself, or even when the game plan gets blown up, simply because of their ability to make plays within a substandard environment. That was probably the complicated way of saying Bryant is an amazing receiver that could probably make me look good while struggling to chuck a football past the seven-yard line… I mean, imagine what he could to for Tebow Prescott! But… there is always a limit to such things. And if I’m going to seriously talk about how much a guy named Dax Prescott is currently an unknown to me, AND a long term one at that, there’s no way I can sit here and sell you on Bryant still being a first round-viable option in both standard and PPR formats. In standard leagues, I’ve dropped him seven spots overall, pushing him to a mid-to-late second round option, and he’s dropped two spots in my wide receiver specific rankings. (In PPR formats, he’s dropped 10 spots and six spots, respectfully). These changes might not seem like much, and may still be a tad bit conservative, so take it as this, you will see some value here. If he starts falling in your drafts, I think it’s fine to take a chance, and perhaps the points I made earlier can ring true.

Terrance Williams – An already fringe option in your run-of-the-mill formats, he’s dropped 10 in overall standards and 13 in PPR. Williams will actually take the biggest hit here, as secondary targets always seem to suffer when something dramatic happens at the quarterback position. (And we’re way past your TNT drama, nawhatimsayin’ dawg? Wait, does TNT still use that tagline? This may be dated, but I’m going with it.) Sometimes it’s because the quarterback will naturally lean on their star target (Bryant), perhaps even forcing it too, as alluded to above. Sometimes they’ll have to use shorter-read options, like Ezekiel Elliott and Jason Witten. And sometimes they might not even make it to that progression. I mean, RG-III has never made it to his second progression ever, and he’s been in the league for several years now. And look, it’s no secret that Williams has been in this situation before (Haven’t. We. All.) and hasn’t thrived in the least.

Ezekiel Elliott and Jason Witten – I lumped these two together simply because both of these players are probably going to end up the least affected by Romo’s injury. Both moved down three spots in PPR leagues (with Witten going down 11 overall, but no change to his specific positional ranking) and it’s mostly because of what was touched upon (legal touching, mind you) in Williams blurb. In fact, one could argue that Elliott’s value could go up a bit with a possible increase of touches in an offense that might struggle to move the ball vertically. In Witten’s case, the tight end is a quarterback’s best friend in those “oh sh*t, there’s a linebacker coming for my face” type of moments, and he, like Elliott, could even see an uptick. I’m going to err on the caution, as it’d probably be a little optimistic to see the offense benefit from such a thing. It’s almost like: “Hey man, I know you broke your leg, but I bet you could make a mean omelet for me!” I’m actually pretty sure that makes no sense whatsoever.

There’s of course other news and notes that we’ll be covering for this week, but you can bet that I’m always here to report and give profound analysis when Romonobyl happens. They call me: Philanthropist. (No one actually calls me that.)

 

 

  1. Pu$$y Control says:
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    12 team PPR league, I had pick 12 (yeah?). I picked Romo before the news. My other QB is Tyrod. Question is do I use my #1 waiver priority on Dak or is Tyrod enough for the first however many weeks? Somewhere in the back of my mind I forsee that Dak could take this job and run with it.

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @Pu$$y Control: Me too! Shit! I would take the risk here. First waiver priority doesn’t mean as much right out the gate, and I’m open to the idea that Dak could make things happen. That being said, you have to start Tyrod for a bit until we know what we’re getting from Dak, so it’s a good thing you have him.

  2. chris says:
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    in .5 PPR formats, I may have accidentally missed my draft… Party foul!

    After that not sure I deserve help, but the computer thought it to be a great idea to draft brees and rivers. I have Doug Martin and Jamal Charles at RB, and Forte at Flex. whos a realistic RB that i can shoot for with Rivers? only other spot i could upgrade is at WR3 which i have Travis Benjamin.

    I hope thats not too vague. im just looking for a range of guy so im not screwing anyone over.

    Thanks!

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @chris: Not sure you could get much with Rivers… maybe aim for Blount, or Abdullah… I think those would be fair returns.

  3. IV says:
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    Thanks for the write up on this Jay. My plan was not draft Tony Romo do to injury concerns in my 16 team league and I found myself drafting Romo… We have an IR slot for players on the short term IR. Do I wait on Romo news or should I drop him outright for one of the following QBs?

    RG3
    Cutler
    Alex Smith
    Osweiler
    Bradford
    Bridgewater

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @IV: Who knows. Garret wants him back, Romo wants to come back… I personally think the dude should retire… I mean, at what point does someone tell him a functional back is actually a thing that’s good to have in the future?

      That being said, if you have another QB right now, there’s not enough out there in your league to force a move. I might just wait and see what happens in the next week or so, news wise.

  4. mcmi11ions says:
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    In a 12 team auction keeper league, $250 budget, I’m keeping Brown and Gronk for a combined $57. Looking to get David Johnson for RB. What should my max bid on him be? .5 PPR scoring. Auction value says $46, but I can’t see him going for less than $50-$52…

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @mcmi11ions: I think I could go as high as 50… there are enough question marks to go conservative here. Not that I’m worried, but my premium price would be around there.

      • mcmi11ions says:
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        @Jay: Thank you!

        • Jay

          Jay says:
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          no probs!

  5. ashtray says:
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    Need help with who I should grab with the 2nd overall pick in my keep-two 12 team league. Scoring is basically standard with some bonuses for huge yardage (400 for Qb, 200 for RB/R) and a little generous for QBs (4 for Pass td and -1 for int).

    I’m keeping:

    David Johnson
    Le’veon Bell

    I have a good feeling that the top guys available will be:

    Cam Newton
    Ezequiel Elliott
    Dez Bryant

    The others that I see the next tier down are:

    QB: Brees, Roesthlisberger, Palmer, Manning
    RB: McCoy, Lacy, Martin, Hyde, Murray
    WR: Nelson, Allen, Cooks, Cooper, Hilton, Watkins, Thomas
    TE: Reed, Olsen

    So, who are the top 2 I should grab in this setup?

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @ashtray: Tough one… I’m still okay with Bryant and Elliot there…. but Cam Newton is intriguing in this format. I’m hesitant grabbing a QB that early, even with the slight bonuses. so I’m probably just going Elliot, who seems a little safer than Bryant at the moment.

      • ashtray says:
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        @Jay: Would it change your mind if startable roster spots are:

        2 RB
        3 WR
        1 WR/TE

        • Jay

          Jay says:
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          @ashtray: So no flex, yeah, I dunno, with those three names, you can still start Elliot and then trade off the excess once Bell returns. I just don’t like the idea of Newton over those guys still.

  6. omar says:
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    12 Team 1pt PPR
    Thinking about making the following offer to the Romo owner in my league:

    Give:
    Roethlisberger
    Gronk
    Forte
    Devante Parker

    Get:
    Brandon Marshall
    Zeke Elliott
    Dwayne Allen

    QBs on the wire that I could pick up to replace Big Ben:
    Jameis, Tyrod Taylor, Mariota, Fitzmagic, Griffin, Cutler, Flacco

    Also – Eiffert is on the wire. Could pick him up and stash until he gets back if Allen isn’t cutting it.

    Thoughts? Who is the QB pickup if he were to accept?

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @omar: I would hold most certainly, I think you’re giving up a bit much. I think the Gronk part is what’s pushing the deal.

      • omar says:
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        @Jay:

        Thanks for the input. Just saw this as an opportunity to upgrade at WR and RB. Had the 12-spot in the draft, and grabbed Gronk/Allen Robinson at the first turn.

        WR’s:
        Robinson
        Edelman
        Parker
        Aiken
        Snead
        DGB
        Michael Thomas

        RB:
        Forte
        Woodhouse
        Duke Johnson
        Christine Michael

        Hate giving up Gronk, but I figured that’s what it would take to get back a WR1/RB1 combo. Can I compete the way my roster is structured? My sticking point is at flex, where I’m trying to decide between Duke and Parker. I guess I could play that one on matchups.

        Thanks again…

        • Jay

          Jay says:
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          @omar: You’re right, but I’m not crazy excited for that return with what you’re giving up. It’s fair in a vacuum, but it just looks like a vehicle to get rid of Ben. You could, but this is PPR, you could easily start Woodhead at the flex and see what combination of Ben+Parker or Forte could net you.

  7. Tony says:
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    So I’m looking to inprove my RB by packaging Hill and a WR for either Charles or Latavius. Wrs I have are A-Rob, Evans, DT, Snead an Aiken. what kind of a trade would you propose? 14 team, full PPR, 2RB,3WR,1FLEX

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @Tony: Hmm, I think if it’s HIll, you could try adding Snead for Murray… but with the combinations possible, I think there’s going to be a bit of imbalance here. I think you could pry Charles for DT, but you’d want to add something less than Hill there for value.

      • Tony says:
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        An imbalance in who’s favor? What about Evans for Jamaal straight up?

        • Jay

          Jay says:
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          @Tony: imbalance in general, there are combos where you are paying too much or giving up too much. I’d be hesitant to deal Evans for Charles straight up… I think Evans is better.

  8. Brian says:
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    16 team dynasty league. PPR. start 1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 2 RB/WR/TE flex, 1 TE. roster is tyrod, rg3, julio jones, demaryius, mike Floyd, torrey, seth Roberts, tyrell Williams, martavis, leveon, hyde, cjanderson, james white, gronk, PHI. have 5 more roster slots to fill.

    On deck in draft. Looking at jesse james, pryor, terrance Williams, josh ferguson, bruce ellington, smallwood, barner, keith marshall, Kadeem carey, abbrederis, eli rogers, crowder, stills. I like ellington but just don’t think it’s worth having 3 49ers on my team. That said, I think I’m down to choosing between pryor, ellington, jesse james, eli rogers, crowder, and stills. Can you rank them and let me know if any of the rbs I listed prior (ferguson, smallwood, barner, marshall, carey) are worth popping over the wr/te? Thanks!

    • Brian says:
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      @Brian: i also have draughn to back up hyde

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @Brian: They are all kinda clumped together… I’d probably target Stills, then Williams, then Crowder.

  9. a bag of sand says:
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    14t no ppr
    $200 auction
    keep one:
    julio $58
    a rob $29
    cam $13
    j hill $15

    thx

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @a bag of sand: I think ARob is the best combination of value and production there. Tough call with Cam though.

      • a bag of sand says:
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        @Jay: may have to go cam (qb gets 6 pts per passing td and -2 for int) and go all in for top wr .. a. brown will be FA

        • Jay

          Jay says:
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          @a bag of sand: Sure, with those points, it’s a definite fair point.

  10. Ryan says:
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    I’m in a 14 team .5 ppr league. I have an interesting trade that was just offered to me. I was offered aj green and martellus bennett for demarius thomas and jordan reed. It would be awesome to have green give me a legit elite wr core, but I’m not sure if it’s worth downgrading at te. Team is below.

    qb andy dalton
    wr deandre hopkins
    wr keenan allen
    wr demaryius thomas
    rb danny woodhead
    rb giovani bernard
    te jordan reed
    w/r/t arian foster
    bn christine michael
    bn kamar aiken
    bn tevin coleman
    bn tajae sharpe
    bn rgiii
    bn michael thomas

    k steven hauschka

    def jets

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @Ryan: Yeah, I’m actually okay with this… but I’m worried, like you are, that you’re losing too much at TE. Maybe you can switch that part out?

      • Ryan says:
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        @Jay: reed is actually the key part of the trade. Doubt I can switch him out for someone else. Anyway I was thinking of trading for barnridge if I get green.

        • Jay

          Jay says:
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          @Ryan: I think that’s an okay substitute… but I think the trade favors him a bit. I understand if Green is a guy you really want, and I agree, you should want him over DT… but I guess it depends how much Barnidge will cost.

          • Ryan says:
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            @Jay: barnridge I can get for kamar aiken

            • Jay

              Jay says:
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              @Ryan: Yeah, that’s pretty cheap, it’s justifiable.

  11. RotoLance

    RotoLance says:
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    What’s keeping Rivers from being a top 5ish QB like he once was? I’m thinking of trading for him in a 2QB league but I’m not sure if he’s enough of an upgrade over Stafford and/or Fitzpatrick.

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @RotoLance: He usually is a top-5 QB… until around Week 8 when he starts breaking down, either from ineffective front line play or just general durability. He’s still an upgrade there, but it always depends on the price.

  12. WhenYourUncleGetsOffTheGrillToShowYouHowTightHisSpiralIs says:
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    Hey Jay!

    If possible, I wanted to know what draft grade you would give me on my team (10 player league .5 PPR):

    Starting:
    QB – Philip Rivers
    WR – DeAndre Hopkins
    WR – T.Y. Hilton
    WR – Jarvis Landry
    RB – Eddy Lacy
    RB -LeSean McCoy
    TE – Gary Barnidge
    W/TE – Malcolm Floyd
    K – Dan Bailey
    D – NYJ

    Bench:
    Ryan Matthews
    Arian Foster
    Charles Sims
    Taje Sharpe
    Willie Snead
    Matthew Stafford
    Vance Mcdonald

    Thanks!

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @WhenYourUncleGetsOffTheGrillToShowYouHowTightHisSpiralIs: The grade I give for your quarterback is: ???????????????????????????????????????? good shit go౦ԁ sHit???? thats ✔ some good????????shit right????????there???????????? right✔there ✔✔if i do ƽaү so my self ???? i say so ???? thats what im talking about right there right there (chorus: ʳᶦᵍʰᵗ ᵗʰᵉʳᵉ) mMMMMᎷМ???? ???????? ????НO0ОଠOOOOOОଠଠOoooᵒᵒᵒᵒᵒᵒᵒᵒᵒ???? ???????? ???? ???? ???? ???? ???? ???? ????????Good shit

      Honestly, it’s an okay team, I like your WR’s a lot, but there’s a bit of risk at RB and your flex has some issues. Foster could help with this. Same with Mathews. I think it’s a solid team.

      • WhenYourUncleGetsOffTheGrillToShowYouHowTightHisSprialIs says:
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        @Jay:

        Oops! Did I say Malcolm? I meant Michael Floyd…the receiver for the cards…he’s my flex.

        Is my flex still an issue or nah?

        thanks again

  13. JimmyJackJames says:
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    Total first-world problem here but if you have the 2 pick in a 14 team PPR, do you go OBD or Julio? I’m a huge Giants fan so I’m obviously partial and understand you can’t really go wrong but would like to hear your thoughts. Also, who do you target coming back in the 2nd?

    Thanks!

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @JimmyJackJames: Flip a coin, honestly. Just because you’re a Giants, you should go OBD. As for the turn, just best available, but it should be some combo of WR-RB or RB-WR for those two picks on the turn.

  14. Paradise Paved says:
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    12 team keeper league …keeper deadline extending to tonight (keeping 4) 1/2 point … 2 rb/ 2 wr league no flex

    I have brown, Lacy, Evans, Russell Wilson, Cobb, Maclin , Matt jones

    1) do I trade Lacy for freeman ?
    2) do I trade Matt jones for d. Murray

    If I acquire Murray, i wouldn’t keep Wilson so is it worth it ? Or do I attempt to get a draft pick for jones ?

    Thanks

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      1) Yes.
      2) Eh, I’d hold and keep Wilson there.

  15. branta says:
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    Prescott or Siemian? Standard Yahoo PPR

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      Prescott, higher ceiling, but lower floor.

  16. Mantis Toboggan MD says:
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    do you pronounce it fullonrapist?

      • Mantis Toboggan MD says:
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        @Jay: back just before season 5 or so i knew a guy, who knew a guy i met twice or three times, who knew a guy who was writing for Sunny during at least season 5. i don’t think he was one of the major writers, but either way, pretty cool.

  17. Db says:
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    14 team half ppr
    Qb Eli manning
    Wr Evans
    Wr Maclin
    Rb rashad Jennings
    Rb lat Murray
    Te Julius Thomas
    Flex Corey Coleman

    Bench leveon bell, tevin Coleman, ajayi, Eli Rogers, Chris Johnson, Kenny stills, draugn , will fuller

    Need to drop two for a d and kicker thought I did pretty good grabbing a lot of depth (trade bait later in season), couple running back to use till bell gets back,

    Players on waiver I can switch out for my current guys, spiller, Rudolph, Cruz, Braxton, gilmore, garçon, dgb, James jones, Hillman

    You see any moves to make after dropping two guys?

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @Db: Yeah, love the depth here. I don’t see any moves yet… I think maybe Johnson and Draughn are your drops, but I’d wait at least one more weekend before the final decision.

  18. TDs everywhere says:
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    Need to drop someone and add a kicker.. who should I drop?

    Rivers, Winston
    Beckham, evans, ty, decker, travis Benjamin
    Cj anderson, gio bernard, woodhead, ivory, Sims
    Bennett, zach miller

    12 team .5 ppr 1qb, 2wr, 2rb, 1flex, 1te
    Thanks!

  19. Nightpandas says:
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    Just took over a 12 team .5 ppr
    (1 qb 2 rb 3 wr 1 te 1 flex)
    Can keep 0 to 3, $200 budget total

    Ingram 8
    Jennings 19
    R Matthews 12
    Ellington 32
    McFadden 19
    Barnidge 5
    Agholor 30
    T Benjamin 5
    Woods 5
    Inman 5
    Winston 5
    Brady 17

    Thinking Ingram for sure and maybe one of Winston or Brady. Not sure there is value for a third. Thoughts?

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @Nightpandas: Yeah, Ingram for sure. Probably Mathews. I’m thinking Barnidge here too. Winston is okay value, but I think these three give you a good combination of value and production.

    • Nightpandas says:
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      @Nightpandas: now I am one of three new teams so there will be a mini draft for keepers. As well as the guys above there are also:

      R Wilson 8
      Big Ben 13

      Desean Jack 22
      Fitz 18
      D Parker 14
      Hurns 6
      DGB 5
      Rishard Matthews 5

      J Charles 69
      Hyde 13
      Crowell 12
      Freeman 10
      Yeldon 28
      Doug Martin 34

      Can you give me your thoughts on 9 best of the two lists together? Sorry this is turning into work…

  20. Let Us Now Praise Famous Death Dwarves says:
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    i just joined a dynasty (front loaded though, so i’m not exactly sure where i’ll draft, jesus, i hate front loading!) in which i draft 6th in every round that i draft in. small rosters (15 max). this team was too upsidey to not take over.
    QB newton/RW3 (so 2 top 5 QB’s both with great age, but only start 1, obv will be trading one of them for near identical value RB, apparently we have to wait till draft is over to do that, asinine)
    RB mcglass/d-will/m.gordon (start 2, so i’ll be hanging by a thread till week 4 when d-will loses his job again)
    WR a.brown/hilton/DT (DEN) (start 3, pretty sick starters so far)
    TE m.bennett (start 1, not great here either)
    1 flex
    1 K
    1 D – SEA
    i’ll certainly drop all of cameron/welker/colston and a kicker, and draft 5 players. obviously RB first, a WR for depth, a starting TE, eventually a kicker and probably another best player one of RB/WR, and later i’ll have to be able to get a good RB for RW3 or newton.
    main question, are your dynasty rankings in PPR or standard? i simply won’t know which pick i’ll have first or even what players get dropped, so i’m best off just ranking the top 156 players (12 x 13 (the total rosters minus kickers/defenses)

    • Let Us Now Praise Famous Death Dwarves says:
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      @Let Us Now Praise Famous Death Dwarves: you’ll appreciate that at present time i’m more connected to m.gordon than i’ll bet you ever had to be.

      • Jay

        Jay says:
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        @Let Us Now Praise Famous Death Dwarves: Haha, yeah, that guy burned me big time, but I like him a lot this year… I’m just not trying to make that too obvious for my reader’s sake.

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @Let Us Now Praise Famous Death Dwarves: Yeah, I like this team a lot. I agree with the strat too… and these dynasty rankings are PPR. The reason is, most deep leagues or keeps tend to go in that direction.

      • Let Us Now Praise Famous Death Dwarves says:
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        @Jay: i agree, but i wanted to make sure as this league ain’t. i’m now in 2 non PPR dynasties. ug.

  21. Let Us Now Praise Famous Death Dwarves says:
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    might be a short term issue, but romo is still right ahead of bortles in top PPR 200.

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