Running Back NOT My Guys (based on ADP)
“My Guys” are players I want on my team and have my full support come draft day. These are players I believe in whether it be situationally, talent, production or opportunity. NOT “My Guys” are players I’m not willing to take at their ADP for various reasons. See my list below and take caution if you choose them at current ADP.
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- Player: Ashton Jeanty
- Team: Las Vegas Raiders
- PPR ADP: RB5 / Pick Overall: 12 (1.12
He’s incredible and I expect him to be very good in his rookie season, but I don’t like drafting players at their ceiling. He’s also on the Raiders. Yes, he’ll get all of the touches, but what will those amount to? They ran the ball 35.7% of the time. That was 30th in the NFL last year. LV’s rush yards per attempt was 3.6… dead last. Jeanty alone will boost that, but their o-line ranks 18th per Pro Football Focus. Dynasty, duh. Redraft? Not in the 1st Round for me. Nico Collins, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Brian Thomas Jr., Derrick Henry, De’Von Achane and Drake London are all going within a few picks of Jeanty. I’m happy to miss the mark here and “buy high” in 2026.
- Player: Breece Hall
- Team: New York Jets
- PPR ADP: RB12 / Pick Overall: 35 (2.9)
I don’t trust bad offenses. The Jets are a bad offense. Remember the Raiders being 30th in the NFL in run play percentage? The Jets were 29th. That’ll balloon with Justin Fields, but I don’t see that helping Hall. For some reason, Hall’s opportunity dipped in his second year back from his torn ACL as a rookie. He did miss a game, but he had 33 less touches on the season, has yet to surpass five touchdowns on ground, or nine total on a season, and his yards per carry have lessened each season so far. What gives? Again, Hall has immense talent and could blow up in year four, but I feel he’s being drafted at a best-case-scenario price. I won’t buy that; especially attached to “The Jets”. Plus, it sounds like they want to run more of a committee backfield in New (Jersey) York. Nah.
- Player: Chuba Hubbard
- Team: Carolina Panthers
- PPR ADP: RB17 / Pick Overall: 56 (4.6)
This is my, “I just have a feeling it won’t work out” pick. Chuba’s fun. I enjoy accidently saying “Chubba Hubbard”, but that’s where my excitement ends. Bro made the most of his opportunities and had a career year, I’ll give him that. The Panther’s were the NFL’s version of the Colorado Rockies for much of 2024, but Hubbard shined… most of the time. As a middle-4th Round pick though. I need more consistency and ceiling. I can’t imagine he places higher than he did at RB15 with 300+ touches, 1,300+ total yards and 11 touchdowns. The Panthers rank 11th in PFF’s o-line rankings for 2025. I like that, but they also brought in Rico Dowdle who also had a career year in Dallas. Now. Hubbard is the clear favorite as shown by his 4-year extension vs. Dowdle’s 1-year free agent add, but still. There’s competition. Bryce Young also took like, 14 steps forward in the back half of last season which is great to see, but not the best for Hubbard. I’m taking Alvin Kamara, Joe Mixon, James Conner, RJ Harvey and a handful of wide receivers in the 4th Round. Not Hubbard.
- Player: Tony Pollard
- Team: Dallas Cowboys
- PPR ADP: RB27 / Pick Overall: 78 (6.5)
Would you believe that Pollard was better for fantasy as a backup in Dallas as opposed to last year as a starter in Tennessee? Weird, I know. He’s failed to score a receiving touchdown each of the last two seasons despite over 40 receptions in both. The Titans rank 24th per PFF. Aka, “meh”. Pollard finished RB21 last year and had just five games in which he landed Top 15 on the week. If Tyjae Spears ever stays healthy, Pollard could be a bench stash in a hurry. I loved his value for a few years as Zeke Elliott’s handcuff in Dallas, but after getting burned drafting his hype as the starter last year, I’ll fade in 2026.
- Player: Jaylen Warren
- Team: Pittsburgh Steelers
- PPR ADP: RB32 / Pick Overall: 97 (8.08)
This is easy math. I have Kaleb Johnson as a “My Guy”. That would mean Warren isn’t my favorite back in Pittsburgh. I was all in last year like everyone else. However, Warren was simply a flop. Now, he’s got a better version of Najee Harris to try again for the Steelers. He’ll be a fun PPR back and high-end handcuff at value, but I won’t be drafting him unless I have Johnson. Even so, two Steelers backs in the first eight rounds? Probably not. Warren had 800+ yards and scored just one touchdown last year on 150+ touches. Yikes. I see the Steelers playing catchup in games within their division (Ravens, Bengals, Browns), so perhaps Warren pops as a receiving back, but… what if he doesn’t? He’s a great player to roster if he’s cheap, but he won’t be on draft day. “For that reason, I’m out.” – Mark Cuban (probably)
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