What the heck just happened.  Smooth sailing on the ship of the S.S. Fantasy, and then, we hit the large iceberg known as the “injury”.  From a fellow owner of the some of the guys injured, like most of you, survival mode is kicking into high gear.  The news about Keenan Allen is particularly troubling, because I completely bought into Allen, drinking the Kool-aid preseason and basically owning him everywhere.  I even own him in the two-team league that I share with my mom.  Yeah it’s sad, but we share a league, but draft six teams a piece.  The winner gets a sundae at the local ice cream shop with unlimited toppings.  The league is fun, but not accepting new applicants!  So back to the land of Whale’s Vaginas and who in Sam hell will benefit from the pass happy attack of the Bolts.  The names are fairly well bantered around fantasy circles: Stevie Johnson and  Malcolm Floyd are the main beneficiaries of the unfortunate-ness that is the kidney injury to Keenan.  So what you are asking yourself is who to grab, who will be the main beneficiary and basically what the hell do you do with the void that is a WR2 that you now (and me) have.  Well, the good news is that in the sum of several 100 words, the answer or for lack of a phrase, the non-answer will pronounce itself like a lighthouse set in the middle of Iowa.  So hang out, get relaxed, and put on some comfy pants for the next 2-7 minutes, depending on reading level and we can talk this out in a group format.

[graphiq id=”1MqiKjVkUt” title=”Stevie Johnson Overview” width=”640″ height=”545″ url=”https://w.graphiq.com/w/1MqiKjVkUt” link=”http://football-players.pointafter.com/l/10610/Stevie-Johnson” link_text=”Stevie Johnson Overview | PointAfter”]

So the Chargers have been one of the most pass happy offenses in the NFL, this is a fact.  The problem is that there is not one guy you can point a finger at, fantasy-wise, to say “You, you are now my Keenan replacement, deal with it”.  If it were that easy, I would be pointing fingers like I was J.P.P. at a 4th of July party and I had the only matches.  Now, the Chargers pass the ball on over 66% of plays and are a top-four team in that said category on the year.  So overnight, it is not going to change, it is just a matter of who to roster, trade for, or acquire via waiver.  The best guess I can give you is Stevie Johnson.  He fits the role of a possession receiver better then the Floyd’s and Inman’s.  Because in that offense, that is what Allen was bringing, a 10-14 target receiver who can be that guy for Philip Rivers.  The truth of the fact is that Stevie isn’t Allen. I am sorry to break the news, but… he is going to useful to you.  Even at 80% of himself with what Allen was producing he will be a fantasy asset, and is the number one guy I would look to acquire.

The Chargers this week get the Bears.  The Bears are a bottom-five team in total team defense, and even more dirt on the Bear defense is that they are a bottom-eight against the pass.  I wish I could implore you to convince yourself that the Chargers aren’t going to re-invent the wheel with their offense.  Rivers is still going to sling the ball 30-40 plus times a game and the targets will be diversified, but someone has to absorb the Keenan targets.  Malcolm Floyd is the deep threat who gets 5-7 looks a game deep down field, rarely getting any receptions within 15 yards from the line of scrimmage. Enter Stevie into the fray, he is mainly owned everywhere, but the potential to be better for fantasy is there.  His targets will go up by 3-4 per game on top of the 6-8 he already receives.  He isn’t a rookie, he can be the adaptive receiver that the 2-6 Chargers need to be for a fantasy-worthy offense.  They aren’t going to catch the Broncos, hell they won’t even catch the Raiders.  None of that matters in the world of fake football.  We want, need, and implore Stevie to be the new Keenan.  He can be that guy, it’s just is a matter of what you need to trade for him, spend FAAB wise or have a little self-roster ability to use him.  He is in for a heavily targeted last eight weeks, and whether you believe me or not, the Bears are just going to show us that it is possible.  Play, trade, or bid with confidence as someone in that pass-happy offense will be the inheritor of fantasy fortuitousness. Smokey Predicts: 12 targets, 8 receptions, 101 yards, and 1 touchdown.

 

 

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  1. Jake says:
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    I would also say that there is a good chance that Woodhead should benefit from Allen’s absence do you agree ? I am not sure what they were trying to do this past weekend against Baltimore Woody could have certainly used more carries and check downs. I cannot stand it when a team gets locked in on a player they drafted and continues trying to make excuses for their poor play (Gordon). Woody can handle more and do more with the opportunities when provided..

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Jake: a fantastic chance for Woodhead to shine but he is basically universally owned so he should. Love Wood always have always always will…no homo

  2. OldMilwaukeePounders says:
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    Smokey, whats good man?

    I’ve got a quick question…I have a decent waiver priority in a 12 team keeper league. I have a shot at getting either DeAngelo Williams or Langford. Since this is a keeper league, do you think that Langford ultimately has more value to a team that isn’t necessarily a “win now” team?

    Do you think a re-building team should invest in Langford, who could potentially take the reigns from Forte after this year any how?

    Thanks, man!

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @OldMilwaukeePounders: I am always good brotha. Langford is def the better long term option. Forte is reaching that age precipice of uselessness. Invest in Langford like a single mom likes to be flirted with

  3. Nick says:
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    Interesting enough, someone in my 10-team league JUST dropped Stevie J…we are an FAAB league & I have little funds left ($27/$100)…who would be the drop on my team below & how much FAAB bid you think Stevie worth?

    QB-Taylor
    RB-AP/DeMarco
    WR-Ty/Amari/Garcon
    TE-Bennett
    Flex-Gates
    K-Tucker
    D-STL
    Bench-D Adams, Duke J, Peyton, J Bell, Tate, D Cobb

    To give you a little background, I just grabbed Tate & Cobb for $0 and J Bell for $2 this morning through FAAB. I intend on dropping G Tate for a kicker to slide in for Tucker this week…so options of drops are limited..I’d like to keep D Cobb to see what he does, especially since another team grabbed Sankey & Andrews right after waivers cleared this morning (so Cobb was going to be snagged if I did not claim him)…I’m thinking J Bell might be the drop (despite spending $2 for him this morning)…what you think?

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Nick: Bell is the drop, I don’t trust anything in Detroit not even cars. Stevie J is in the right scheme to be a fantasy swoon from here on out

      • Nick says:
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        @Smokey: What would you bid on Stevie J? I only have 27$ left but could use the WR depth as I have Ty/Amari/Garcon & D Adams on my bench in 10- teamer…

        • Smokey

          Smokey says:
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          @Nick: 12-15

          • Nick says:
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            @Smokey: Thanks bud!

  4. El Jefe says:
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    How much hit does Rivers take now?

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @El Jefe: some but not enough to make him say droppable. That offense is built to his liking and to pass a ton.

  5. booya says:
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    Trade Amari Cooper and Matt Ryan for Rodgers?

    Start 2 WRs and Flex, other WRs are Odell, Dez, Hurns & Mike Floyd…

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @booya: Rodgers is very ordinary lately. I think the Cooper and Ryan side out does him the rest of the way

  6. LordMetz says:
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    I’m in a .5 point PPR league. Which TE would you own ROS and why? Heath Miller or Seferian-Jenkins?

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @LordMetz: AsJ. I think with the rash of injuries an Jamison starting to get better with personnel having a good pass catching td is clutch for him and he will use him a lot down the stretch.

  7. b says:
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    Alright Smokes, who do you think I run with this week?

    WRs – Sanders, Robinson, Martavis Bryant

    RBs – DeAngelo Williams, Gurley, Peterson, Lamar Miller, …..Lacy

    My gut says

    RB1 – Williams
    RB2 – Peterson
    WR1 – Sanders
    WR2 – Robinson
    F – Gurley

    But my heart is saying swap Miller in for Peterson and Bryant might just come back into the Fantasy picture with Big Ben back on the field. Robinson has a tough matchup.

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @b: Bryant for Robinson and that would be the only change.

  8. Teddy Heater says:
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    Smokey! Finally someone that is preaching the truth. I’ve been reading article after article that says Floyd is the add and hardly anyone even mentioned Stevie J. I get Floyd had 2 TD’s last week, but come on, how can everyone dismiss a former troubled WR? (they’re the best kind) I don’t expect him to go all 2007 Patriots Randy Moss, but I do see him get a huge bump in value. I added him last week in all the leagues I could (you already had him in Smoke Show) because of the juicy matchup with Bal. They give up almost the same points to the 2nd WR as the 1st so I was hoping for Floyd’s day! I was ready to drop his ass on Monday until I read the Keenan update. I’m glad at least one expert agrees with me. I think everyone forgets how pedestrian Floyd was last year when Allen was healthy. He’s a deep or nothing guy, so here’s to Stevie proving the haters wrong!

    https://youtu.be/E47ijcEhFxE

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Teddy Heater: Word! Great clip.

  9. Bass! How low can you go? says:
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    Smokey my man, I am still reveling in your Stefon Diggs call, thank you! In a 10-team .5 ppr league, do you drop LaFell for Stevie?

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Bass! How low can you go?: Yea it was fun being first for once. Stevie. Lafell at best is the 4th option, but with 4 really awesome options ahaead of him and the drops I have seen are troubling

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